MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH INCREASE IN CORN ACREAGE ...
Transcript of MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH INCREASE IN CORN ACREAGE ...
MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH INCREASE IN CORN ACREAGE PREDICTED CONCERN OVER HISTORICALLY TIGHT SUPPLIESFEED
Mike NorthMilk Marketing SpecialistFirst Capitol AG
8 Progressive Dairyman Issue 5 • March 22, 2011
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Supreme hay ($/ton)
Mar. 4 Price 3-week change
Central CA $300-$320 $50UT $100-$125 NC
NV $160-$170 $10-$20
WA/OR $160-$170 $20
CO $135-$150 $15 NM $185-$190 NC
TX $185-$205 $5-$10
Source: USDA National Hay, Feed & Seed Summary
Mar. 4 Price 3-week change
CA $339 $49
ID $331 $2
NM $305 $50
Soybean meal* ($/ton)
Mar. 4 Price 3-week change
CA $408 $10
ID $408 $2
NM $397 $3
*Price quotes contributed by Western Milling, J.D. Heiskell and United Cooperative.
Corn* (in tons) (in bushels)
Mar. 4 Price 3-week change
CA $305 $7
ID $303 $5
NM $290 $8
Price 3-week change
$8.54 .30¢
$8.48 .14¢
$8.12 .22¢
Cottonseed* ($/ton)
One of the single greatest discussions in recent weeks has been that of acreage. Will corn producers plant enough corn to meet current demand? Will cotton prices rob corn of acreage in the south? Will South American soybeans rebuild enough supply to allow U.S. production a timeout in its pursuit to keep pace with corn growth? Recent reports from South American harvest suggest record yields are coming our way, though it is too early to make that prediction for the whole of the continent when only a few producers in the north are harvesting. Some of those questions were addressed at the USDA Ag Outlook Forum held in
late February. Rising cotton prices will pull acres away from corn in southern areas, as USDA analysts expect a 13 percent increase in cotton production. However, analysts at that conference project 92 million acres of corn to be planted in the U.S., nearly 4 million more than 2010. � is projection aligns itself well with recent discussions from private analysts who predict a range from 90 to 93 million acres. � e short-term answer to this question of how much corn we will plant will come on March 31, when the USDA releases its planting intentions report.
� e story doesn’t stop there.
Tight supplies remain an ongoing thread in this conversation. In the February Supply and Demandreport, the USDA lowered corn ending stocks to 675 million bushels. � is brings our stocks-to-use ratio to 5.0 percent, the lowest since the 1995/1996 marketing year. � is continues to add to our discount carry structure which now has March corn futures at a $1.20 premium to the new crop December futures. Tight supplies have a way of placing a premium value on stored bushels. A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Don’t expect this spread to weaken until well into summer, when more is known about the success of the coming crop.
� is general concern over the lack of necessary acreage and historically tight supplies has been at odds though with other concerns, namely those in the Middle East.
February 21 featured a limit- down move in corn, soybeans and wheat as speculators sought to limit their exposure in agricultural commodities. As the wave of riots and demonstrations ripple out from Egypt, concerns over the potential economic disruption that is likely to follow shined a light on speculator risk in long positions. � ey were quick to exit a share of their portfolio and the immediate price break was quick to follow. � is appetite for risk seems to be an ongoing assessment at these levels. As soon as the market broke, new money found its way back to the market to cause a subsequent rally back to the prices that were just left. Expect more of the same until the June 30 release of the USDA Acreage Report and pollination of the Midwestern corn crop. PD
COMMODITIES
Mar2011
May July Sept Dec Mar2012
Low
High
Settle$5.50$5.75$6.00$6.25$6.50$6.75$7.00$7.25$7.50
Mar2011
JulyMay Aug Oct DecSept MarJan2012
Low
High
Settle$320$330$340$350$360$370$380$390
The chart above displays the amount of income a U.S. producer would have remaining after paying for feed to produce one hundredweight of fl uid milk at the current all-milk price.
REGION
GAS DIESEL
Recent 3-week change
Yearly change Recent 3-week Yearly
change
East Coast $3.502 +.362¢ +0.762¢ $3.908 +.321¢ +0.976¢
Midwest $3.487 +.397¢ +0.792¢ $3.823 +.344¢ +0.952¢
Gulf Coast $3.402 +.401¢ +0.755¢ $3.812 +.323¢ +0.939¢
West $3.584 +.316¢ +0.705¢ $4.046 +.375¢ +1.043¢
California $3.874 +.427¢ +0.828¢ $4.122 +.375¢ +1.065¢
U.S. $3.52 +.38¢ +0.769¢ $3.871 +.337¢ +0.967¢
Apr2011
May AprMarFebJune July Sept Oct NovAug Dec Jan2012
Settle$95
$97
$99
$101
$103
$105
Prices used to calculate ratioCommodity Current Change
Corn (bu) $5.66 .72¢ Soybeans (bu) $12.10 .50¢ Baled hay (ton) $127 $6.00 All-milk (cwt) $18.40 $1.70 Source: USDA NASS Agricultural Prices report Feb. 2011
INCREASE IN CORN ACREAGE PREDICTED CONCERN OVER HISTORICALLY TIGHT SUPPLIES
FUTURES
ENERGY
High: $7.45 Low: $5.66
High: $385.70 Low: $331.00
High: $102.84 Low: $95.47
Corn (dollars per bushel)
Soybeans (dollars per ton)
Crude oil (dollars per barrel)
Mar2010
Jan2011
Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb
2009
2010
$3$4$5$6$7$8$9
$10$11 Feb 28, 2010: $9.01
High: $10.79 Low: $3.51Income over feed cost (per cwt)
CornMay ’11 contracts $7.15 +.36¢ $7.44/$6.68July ’11 contracts $7.19 +.35¢ $7.45/$6.72
MAR. 4 Avg. 3-week settle High/Low
Soybean mealMay ’11 contracts $365.66 -$18.86 $384.20/$348.30July ’11 contracts $367.56 -$17.67 $385.70/$350.00
The normal seasonality of soybean meal prices often offer producers an opportunity to buy protein inputs well in the period of February/March. Recent tightening of crushing margins has once again offered that price break that we seasonally hope for. As China begins to lift price control measures (favoring higher veg oil prices), this may be a good time to address protein needs for the next fi ve to six months. You may use put options to allow for any further correction to take place.
The ongoing battle of acreage and tight stocks vs. speculative money fl ow and world events plays out against the backdrop of spring planting conditions and world weather concerns. This volatile mix of situations and emotions has created trading ranges
of forty cents in corn futures and more than a dollar in soybeans. The grain and oilseed markets are caught in a whipsaw. Do not expect volatility (the most dominant trend of our time) to let up any time soon. Use any breaks in corn price as a buying opportunity for immediate/short-term feed needs.
Source: USDA NASS Agricultural Prices report March 7, 2011
Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange data
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
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Issue 5 • March 22, 2011 Progressive Dairyman 9
Month after month, dairy cow prices continue to move higher. � e national average price for dairy cows for January 2011 was $65/cwt and by February cow prices gained $6.20/cwt to average $71.20/cwt,
MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH DAIRY COWS AVERAGING $10 HIGHERMARKET WATCHMARKET WATCHMARKET WATCHMARKET WATCHMARKET WATCHCATTLE
Chris LehnerDirector of CommoditiesEquity Cooperative Livestock Sales Association
a 8.7 percent increase. A year ago, February 2010, cows averaged $51.70/cwt. Compared to 2010 cow prices, cows in 2011 are averaging more than 27 percent more.
� e demand for beef continues
to support dairy cow prices. A year ago, select boxed beef averaged close to $140/cwt and in 2011 beef prices have climbed about 15 percent higher. � e spread between choice and select boxed beef is extremely
narrow, suggesting the demand for ground beef products and correlating dairy cow prices should continue to see strength.
Empire Livestock - Burton MarketVernon, NY (800) 257-1819 (sale 3/3/11)
$1,400$50
$1,100 $200
$950 $150
$1,100$175
$600 NC
$800 $50
N/T$110/cwt
NCN/T
Mammoth Cave Dairy Auction, Inc.Smiths Grove, KY (800) 563-2131(sale 3/1/11)
$1,520 $150
$1,350 $10
$1,150 $150
$1,000$130
$430$55
$510$10
$160$30
$145 $20
N/T
New Holland Sales StablesNew Holland, PA (717) 354-4341(sale 3/2/11)
$1,475 $50
$1,325$15
$1,125 $150
$1,375$25
$585 $200
$900 $125
N/T N/T N/T
Mid-Georgia Livestock AuctionJackson, GA (770) 775-7314 (sale 3/1/11)
$1,575 NC
$1,475 NC
$1,175 NC
N/T$430
NC$465
NC$125 NC
$55 NC
N/T
Central Livestock AssociationAlbany, MN (800) 733-6828 (sale 2/18/11)
$1,775 $300
$1,350 $150
$1,000 $175
$1,200 $50
$133/cwt NC
$115/cwt $13/cwt
N/T N/T$900
NC
Equity Co-op LivestockStratford, WI (715) 687-4101Rocky Olsen (608) 434-4037 (sale 3/1/11)
$1,600 $25
$1,300 $100
$1,300 $100
$1,100$125
$625 NC
$1,025$100
$175$25
$155$35
N/T
Norwood Dairy Cattle AuctionNorwood, MO (sale 2/18/11)
$1,450NC
$1,275NC
$1,000NC
$1,225NC
$300NC
$780NC
$210NC
$110NC
N/T
Pipestone Livestock Auction MarketPipestone, MN (507) 825-3306 (sale 3/3/11)
$1,610$85
$1,513$106
$1,479$116
N/T$160/cwt$47/cwt
$118/cwt $20/cwt
N/T N/T N/T
Spring� eld Livestock Marketing Center Springfi eld, MO (417) 869-9500 Doug Thomas (417) 840-9316 (sale 2/22/11)
$1,750 $390
$1,300 $140
$1,000 $150
$1,300 $90
$355 $35
$585 $25
N/T$115 $25
N/T
Topeka Livestock AuctionTopeka, IN (206) 593-2522 (sale 3/1/11)
$1,600 $165
$900 $85
N/T$60
$14 $875 $75
$1,510 $185
$250$75
N/T$985
$240
Tri-State LivestockSioux Center, IA (712) 722-0681Mike Koedam (712) 470-0198 (sale 2/16/11)
$1,885 $310
$1,640 $190
$1,550 $150
N/T$126/cwt$13/cwt
$94/cwt $2/cwt
N/T N/T N/T
United Producers, IncMarion, MI (517) 294-3484 (sale 2/18/11)
$1,700$100
$1,550 $150
$1,250$50
$1,175 $125
$600 $150
$950 $150
N/T N/T $1,000$50
Brush Livestock of ColoradoBrush, CO (970) 842-2801 (sale 3/3/11)
$1,800 $100
$1,725 $85
$1,570 $70
$1,335$90
$535$40
$885$310
N/T N/T$925
$125
Chehalis Livestock MarketChehalis, WA (360) 748-3191 (sale 2/25/11)
$1,325 $50
$1,285 $85
$1,175 $75
N/T N/T N/T N/T $50 N/T
Producers LivestockJerome, ID (208) 324-4345 (sale 3/2/11)
$1,675 $175
$1,530 $60
$1,400 $10
$1,000$118/cwt$6/cwt
N/T N/T N/T N/T
Smith� eld Livestock AuctionSmithfi eld, UT (435) 563-3259 (sale 3/3/11)
$1,540$90
$1,500 $50
$1,420 $70
$830NC
$79/cwtNC
$94/cwt NC
N/T N/T N/T
Sulphur Springs Livestock and Dairy AuctionSulphur Springs, TX (903) 885-7739(sale 2/24/11)
$1,425$100
$1,000$50
$1,000$50
N/T $600 $140
$800$160
$250 $175
$125 $105
$825
Tulare County SalesDinuba, CA (559) 591-0884 (sale 3/1/11)
$1,650$50
$1,500$100
$1,300NC
$1,300$100
$500 $900$100$25
$75$15
$900$100
Escalon Livestock Marker, Inc.Escalon, CA (209) 838-7011(sale 3/2/11)
$1,800 $400
$1,300 $100
$1,150NC
N/T$90/cwt $5/cwt
$110/cwt NC
N/T N/T$850 $50
Contact Judy about being included in Progressive Dairyman’s Market Watch! [email protected] • (208) 324-7513 NC = No change N/T = No test Decrease in price Increase in price
MARKETWATCH Top Springer
Top Average
Medium Holstein Springer
ShortbredsOpen
Heifers Light
Open Heifers Heavy
HeiferCalves
BullCalves
Breeding BullsMarch 4, 2011
10 Progressive Dairyman Issue 5 • March 22, 2011
MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH Jan. PRODUCTiON UP 2.3% VS 2010MILK
NOTE: The colored bar represents cumulative year-to-date milk production. When it does not surpass the dotted line at the center of the box, it indicates state production is below the previous year’s total. When it does surpass the dotted line, it indicates production is above the previous year’s total.
Texas425 +5
1,875 +3.9%797 +7.7%
797 107.7%
Utah87 +1
1,760 -1.9%153 +1.3%
153 101.3%
Vermont135 NC
1,605 +1.6%217 +2.4%
217 102.4%
Virginia95 NC
1,515 -1.3%144 -1.4%
144 98.6%
Washington252 NC
1,975 -0.2%498 +2.3%
498 102.3%
Wisconsin1,265 NC1,740 +1.2%2,201 +1.6%
2,201 101.6%
Arizona185 +1
2,015 -1.9%373 +7.5%
373 107.5%
California1,749 NC1,940 +1.3%3,393 +0.7%
3,393 100.7%
Colorado123 NC
1,975 +2.3%243 +8.5%
243 108.5%
Florida115 +1
1,715 +6.2%197 +8.8%
197 108.8%
Idaho574 NC
1,880 +1.1%1,079 +5.3%
1,079 105.3%
Illinois98 NC
1,660 +2.8%163 NC
163 100.0%
Indiana172 +1
1,705 +1.5%293 +3.2%
293 103.2%
Iowa210 +3
1,775 +2.3%373 +0.5%
373 100.5%
Kansas123 +1
1,800 +2.0%221 +7.8%
221 107.8%
Michigan362 +1
1,945 +1.3%704 +3.5%
704 103.5%
Minnesota470 NC
1,640 -0.3%771 -0.3%
771 99.7%
Missouri95 NC
1,240 +1.6%118 -4.8%
118 95.2%New Mexico
323 +22,105 +4.5%680 +6.1%
680 106.1%
U.S. Total9,157 +161,789 +1.5%
16,385 +2.3%
16,385 102.3%
New York610 -1
1,775 +4.4%1,083 +4.4%
1,083 104.4%
Ohio270 NC
1,630 +1.9%440 +1.1%
440 101.1%
Oregon120 -1
1,680 -0.6%202 +4.1%
202 104.1%
Pennsylvania543 NC
1,640 +0.6%891 +1.0%
891 101.0%
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12 Progressive Dairyman Issue 5 • March 22, 2011
Except for California, January milk production in the West was running well above a year ago.
California had just a 0.7 percent increase in production due to milk per cow being up just 1.3 percent compared to a 3.2 percent increase back in December. Stress from wet weather and perhaps high feed prices is slowing down increases in milk per cow.
But other Western states had relatively high increases from year ago. Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Texas, Oregon and Washington. Each of these states has added cows from a year ago. PD
SURVEYED WESTERN STATES ALL EXPERIENCE INCREASED MILK PRODUCTION
Bob CroppProfessor EmeritusUniversity of Wisconsin – Madison
Texas425 +5
1,875 +3.9%797 +7.7%
797 107.7%
Legend
Number of cows(in thousands)
Milk per cow(month)
(lbs.)Total milk
production (month)
(in millions of lbs.)
Year-to-date milkproduction (total)(in millions of lbs.)
Percentage of year-to-date production versus previous year-to-date
Monthly change(in thousands)
Annual percentchange
Annual percentchange
95% 100% 105%
Feb2010
Jan2011
Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2009
2010
9,0009,0509,1009,1509,2009,2509,3009,3509,400
Jan. 2011: 9,157 High: 9,289 Low: 9,082
Milk cows (in thousands)
Feb2010
Jan2011
Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2009 2010
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,750
1,800
1,850 Jan. 2011: 1,731 High: 1,809 Low: 1,640Milk per cow (in pounds, 30-day equivalent )
Feb2010
Jan2011
Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2009
14,500
15,000
15,500
16,000
16,500
17,000 Jan. 2011: 15,856High: 16,490 Low: 14,923Milk production (in pounds, 30-day equivalent)
U.S. HERD STATS
Jan. daily avg. milk per cow: 57.7 lbs.
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Issue 5 • March 22, 2011 Progressive Dairyman 13
� e price of butter, cheddar cheese, nonfat dry milk, dry whey and the Class III and IV prices have all experienced strong increases and are much higher than what were forecasted back in early January. Price changes from the beginning of January to their peak in February were: Butter $1.69 to $2.10; CME cheddar barrels $1.34 to $1.9175 as of February 18; CME 40-pound cheddar blocks $1.3425 to $1.9550 as of February 18; Western nonfat dry milk from the range of $1.20 to $1.24 to $1.40 to $1.70; and dry whey from a range of $0.29 to $0.42 to $0.43 to $0.50. Butter prices started to show weakness on February 11 and had declined to $2.005 as of February 18. � e January Class III was $13.48 and will be near $17 for February. As of February 18, Class III futures settled at $18.51 for March, above $17 through September and down to $16.44 for December. � e January Class IV was $16.42 and will be near $18.40 for February. As of February 18, Class IV futures settled in the $20s through August and were down to $17.44 for December. If these prices hold, the advanced Class IV price will be the mover of Class I prices for all of 2011.
� is price pattern is the opposite of what was forecasted back early January. It was then assumed that it would take the fi rst half of the year to slow down the growth in milk production as dairy producers slowly adjust cow numbers and milk per cow slows in response to much higher feed prices. Domestic demand, while improving, is still held back by a sluggish economy. Dairy exports, which were up substantially for all products in 2010, would decline some in 2011, especially for cheese and butter. And stocks of cheese remained relatively high. � e result would be lower milk prices during the fi rst half of the year with much stronger prices for the second half. But it now looks like the opposite will occur, with prices averaging higher for the fi rst half of
Feb MarMay June July Aug Sept Oct Nov DecApr2008
Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov DecJan2009
Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov DecJan2010
Jan2011
CA Class1 price
Federal Class I price$8
$10$12$14$16$18$20$22$24
MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH STRONG INCREASES BETTER THAN FORECAST 2011 COULD BE HEALTHIER THAN EXPECTEDDAIRY PRICES
Mar 2011: $18.23 High: $20.78 Low: $9.43Mar 2011: $19.51 High: $22.77 Low: $11.40 Fluid milk prices (in dollars)
Bob CroppProfessor EmeritusUniversity of Wisconsin – Madison
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14 Progressive Dairyman Issue 5 • March 22, 2011
Mar2009
FebApr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan2010
Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Futures2011 2012
Jan2011
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
STRONG INCREASES BETTER THAN FORECAST 2011 COULD BE HEALTHIER THAN EXPECTED
Class III (in dollars)
3/6/10
4/3/10
5/1/10
6/5/10
7/3/10
8/7/10
9/4/10
10/2/10
11/6/10
12/4/10
1/1/11
2/5/11
3/5/11
2009
$1.00
$1.25
$1.50
$1.75
$2.00
$2.25
$2.50 Mar 5, 2011: $2.08 High: $2.23 Low: $1.16Butter (weekly average in dollars)
3/2/11
3/3/11
3/4/11
2/16/11
2/17/11
2/18/11
2/22/11
2/23/11
2/24/11
2/25/11
2/28/11
3/1/11
2/11/11
2/14/11
2/15/11
$1.95
$1.99
$2.03
$2.07
$2.11
$2.15Butter prices remain at record levels for this time of year.
MayAprMar Nov Dec Jan2011
June July Sept OctAugFeb2010
2009
$0.85
$0.95
$1.05
$1.15
$1.25
$1.35
$1.45 Jan 2011: $1.34 High: $1.35 Low: $0.92 Non-fat dry milk3/13/10
4/3/10
5/1/10
6/5/10
7/3/10
8/7/10
9/4/10
10/2/10
11/6/10
12/4/10
1/1/11
2/5/11
3/5/11
2009
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
3/3/11
3/4/11
2/15/11
2/16/11
2/17/11
2/18/11
2/22/11
2/23/11
2/24/11
2/25/11
2/28/11
3/1/11
3/2/11
2/11/11
2/14/11
$1.90
$1.93
$1.96
$1.99
$2.02
$2.05
Mar 5, 2011: $2.00 High: $2.00 Low: $1.11Cheese(weekly average in dollars)
Cheese price on an upward climb, reaching highest price in more than two years.
the year than the second half, and with averages for the year much improved over 2010.
Besides a slowdown in milk production, for these higher prices to hold, domestic sales as well as dairy exports will need to hold close to what is currently projected. As of now, with the exception of fl uid milk, higher wholesale and retail prices appear to not have dampened dairy product sales. But, in the past, higher prices have slowed down sales. So we could experience some of the same again now.
It appears that 2011 is shaping up to be a much better year than earlier
predicted, with much higher milk prices for the fi rst half of the year. Even with lower prices for the second half, they could still average higher than prices experienced the second half of 2010. Dairy producers should evaluate their price risk management strategies and decide whether to protect the price on a portion of their future milk production with opportunities now provided on the futures market. Despite higher milk prices, with much higher feed costs, returns over feed costs will not show the same degree of improvement, especially for those dairy producers who purchase a majority of their feed. PD
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Issue 5 • March 22, 2011 Progressive Dairyman 15
400
500
600
700
800494 600 662 621 512 581 630 595 NA 593 596 603 506 563 585 577 497 554 609 605 524 585 627 589 505
Number of workers employed in ag labor (in thousands)
MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCH AVG. WAGES UP FROM YEAR AGOLABOR
Livestock wages and number of employees employed in ag laborSource: NASS, Agricultural Statistics Board, March 2011
Pacifi c
$11.53 $10.55 +.98¢43 43 NC
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Mountain I
$10.81 $10.55 +.26¢17 14 +21.4%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 ChangeNorthern Plains
$11.69 $10.14 +$1.5032 19 +68.4%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Southern Plains
$9.91 $10.21 -.03¢42 47 -10.6%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Mountain II
$10.56 $11.30 -.74¢14 14 NC
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
California
$10.75 $11.24 -.49¢111 121 -8.3%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Mountain III
$9.85 $9.59 +.26¢16 18 -11.1%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change Delta
$9.27 $9.35 -.08¢19 23 -17.4%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Corn Belt II
$10.86 $10.77 +.09¢14 18 -22.2%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Corn Belt I
$11.72 $10.35 +$1.4022 27 -18.5%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Lake States
$10.45 $9.97 +.48¢37 41 -9.8%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 ChangeNortheast I
$10.28 $10.56 -.28¢25 18 +38.9%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Appalachian I
$9.58 $9.14 +.44¢15 20 -25%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Northeast II
$10.37 $9.63 +.74¢23 22 +4.5%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Appalachian II
$9.25 $10.11 -.86¢13 14 -7.1%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Southeast
$11.16 $8.74 +$2.418 17 +5.9%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Florida
$10.05 $10.35 -.03¢38 43 -11.6%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Northwest
$10.97 $10.80 +.17¢74 71 +4.2%
Feb.'11 Feb. '10 Change
East Coast
$9.99 $9.70 +.30¢151 157 -3.8%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Midwest
$11.18 $10.31 +.87¢105 105 NC
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
Southwest
$10.17 $10.35 -.18¢169 186 -9.1%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
United States
$10.52 $10.31 +.21¢505 524 -3.6%
Feb. '11 Feb. '10 Change
400
500
600
700
800
October 2009October 2009October 2009October 2009October 2009
January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010
January 2011January 2011January 2011January 2011
January 2005January 2005January 2005January 2005
April 2005April 2005April 2005April 2005April 2005
July 2005
October 2005October 2005October 2005October 2005October 2005
January 2006January 2006January 2006January 2006January 2006
April 2006April 2006April 2006April 2006April 2006
July 2006July 2006July 2006July 2006July 2006
October 2006October 2006October 2006October 2006
April 2007April 2007April 2007April 2007
July 2007July 2007July 2007July 2007July 2007
October 2007October 2007October 2007October 2007October 2007
January 2008January 2008January 2008January 2008January 2008
January 2007
April 2008April 2008April 2008April 2008April 2008
April 2010April 2010April 2010April 2010April 2010
July 2008July 2008July 2008July 2008July 2008
October 2008October 2008October 2008October 2008October 2008
January 2009January 2009January 2009January 2009January 2009
April 2009April 2009April 2009April 2009April 2009
July 2009July 2009July 2009July 2009July 2009
October 2010October 2010October 2010October 2010October 2010
July 2010July 2010July 2010July 2010July 2010
494 600 662 621 512 581 630 595 NA 593 596 603 506 563 585 577 497 554 609 605 524 585 627 589 505
Number of workers employed in ag labor (in thousands)
Livestock wage rate
Employees in ag labor (in thousands)
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55%
33%
12%
80%
17%
3%
66%
29%
6%
79%
19%
2%
69%
23%
8%
84%
13%
3%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1st Score 2nd Score 1st Score 2nd Score 1st Score 2nd Score
Comparisons of Teat Scores y Different Liner Barrel ShapesScore 4Score 3Score <=2
Round to Tri-Circle® Square to Tri-Circle®Triangle to Tri-Circle®
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16 Progressive Dairyman Issue 5 • March 22, 2011