Strategic Planning 2007 Judith Lindenau, CAE, RCE [email protected].
Market demand and technical requirements for tankers up to 60.000 td · LINDENAU 40500 tdw: 6.800...
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Transcript of Market demand and technical requirements for tankers up to 60.000 td · LINDENAU 40500 tdw: 6.800...
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Market Market demanddemand and and technicaltechnical requirementsrequirementsfor for tankerstankers up to 60.000 tdwup to 60.000 tdw
Dipl.Dipl.––Ing. Dirk P. LindenauIng. Dirk P. LindenauManagingManaging DirectorDirectorLINDENAU GmbHLINDENAU GmbH
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Istanbul Tanker Event 2008
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Impressions
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World orderbook – global fleet, all sizes
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1.000
2.000
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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
Num
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Type and number of vessel- order book 31.12.2007 -
Chemical Tanker
Oil TankerBulk
Carrier
Gas Tanker
Ro/Ro, Ro/Pax, Cruise
Dry Cargo (Container, MPV,
Reefer)
2274
328
2866333
296
2790
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Existing fleet in 2008 8.836 oil tanker 401 Mio. tdw
Phase Out until 2010 - 1.242 oil tanker - 76 Mio. tdwScrapping of ships > 30 years - 1.176 oil tanker - 10 Mio. tdw Present Orderbook + 2.295 oil tanker + 158 Mio. tdwExpected Orderbook 2008 - 2010 + 1.148 oil tanker + 79 Mio. tdw
Existing fleet 2010 + 9.861 oil tanker 552 Mio. tdw
Tanker fleet size prognosis 2010- oil tankers of all sizes -
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Required fleet:If the seaborne oil market growth increases by 4 % per year, the required fleet size will increase in number from
8.836 tanker in 2008to 9.543 tanker in 2010 (+ 8,0 %)
Existing fleet:The existing fleet size of oil-carrying tankers will increase in number from
8.836 tanker in 2008to 9.861 tanker in 2010 (+ 11,2 %)
Consequences- with respect to number of tankers -
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Required fleet:If the seaborne oil market growth increases by 4 % per year, the required fleet size will increase in size from
401 Mio. tdw in 2008to 434 Mio. tdw in 2010 (+ 8,2 %)
Existing fleet:The existing fleet size of oil-carrying tankers will increase in size from
401 Mio. tdw in 2008to 551 Mio. tdw in 2010 (+ 13,7 %)
Consequences- with respect to size of tankers -
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End of speech?
Gaps in 2010:
The existing fleet size (9.861 tanker) will exceed the required fleet size (9.543 tanker).
The existing tonnage (552 Mio. tdw) will exceed the required tonnage (434 Mio. tdw).
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No!(Why?)
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Fleet prognosis 2010- number of oil carrying tankers < 60.000 tdw -
0500
1000150020002500300035004000
< 5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60Segment size ( 1000 tdw)
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Existing Fleet 2010
Required Fleet 2010
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Requirements for safe and economical shipping
safe shipscontinuous survey
well trained personnelsafe transport routes
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• CSR - Common Structural Rulesin force for Tankers above 150 m in Length
• PSPC – Performance Standards for Protective Coatingsin force in line with CSR, 2009 otherwise
• BWM / BWT – Ballast Water Treatment / Managementin discussion at IMOapprox. in force after 2009
• ECAS – Emission Control AreasMassive Sullfur reduction for fuels under discussion at IMOapprox. in force after 2015/2020
Influences on the tanker design
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Safety: CSR
DH tankers to be designed
according to common structural rules
stuctural requirements fatigue requirements
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Safety: PSPC
Coating of DH tankers to be according to
Performance Standard of Protective Coating
Steel preparation, blasting, priming and finish
approved and documented in the Coating Technical File (CTF)
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Environment
Future DH tankers to be delivered
with a ballast water treatment unit
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Earn money
with (our) DH tankers!
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1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
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US$
/ t
GasoilHFO IF380
Fuel prices
Increase of MGO: ~ 1100 %
Increase of HFO: ~ 650 %
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Fuel saving by optimized hull
LINDENAU 40500 tdw: LINDENAU 40500 tdw: 6.800 kW6.800 kW
Far East Far East CompetitorCompetitor::
7.820 kW7.820 kW
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Extensive Model Testing under real conditions
Results:• Speed is 0,5 kn above value in contract, best result over all tests
executed at HSVA (Hamburg Ship Model Basin)• 15% less fuel consumption then comparable Far East competitor• Deck wetness events reduced by 84%• Slamming reduced by 90% • Forces on frames reduced by 45%
Model Tank Test in smooth water Model Tank Test in sea condition Model Tank Test in ice
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Fuel saving by optimized hull
Design Power Fuel Difference
[kW] [t/a] [t/a]Far East Competitor 7820 7970 1040LINDENAU 40500 tdw 6800 6930 0
Common Data:
Fuel cons.: 175 g/kWh excl. Tol.
Duration: 220 days / year at sea
Speed: 15 kn
Fuel Price:(16.04.2008, IFO 380, Istanbul)
That means: LINDENAU design will save
540.800 $
every year
520 $/to
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Competitiveness: Transport capacity
1. very short loading/unloading processes2. use of 1st-class components3. ultra low downtime
up to 5,0 % higher transport capacityper year, corresponding to 11,0 %difference of contract price
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Competitiveness: Cargo flexibility
LINDENAU tankers achieve a 4,0 % higherincome by freight due to higher flexibility
up to 4,0 % higher income thancomparable ships, correspondingto 8,8 % difference of contract price
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Competitiveness: Cargo flexibility
A significant part of the tanker fleet has no cargoheating
LINDENAU tankers can be equipped withcargo heating, allowing the transportationof high-viscosity cargo(pumpable only under heated condition)
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Competitiveness: Ice class
A significant part of the tanker fleet is limitedto ice-free waters / harbors
LINDENAU tankers can be deliveredwith class notation E1 ... E4 and/orFinnish ice class IA / IA Super
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Competitiveness: Cargo variety
LINDENAU tankers can be designed and built for the combined transportation of oil, oil and oil products as well as chemicalsIMO Type 2.
- Revised Chemical (IBC) Code January 1st, 2007- Revised cargo list (IMO Type 2) January 1st, 2007
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Competitiveness: Costs
lowest operation costslowest manpower requirementslowest maintenance costs
up to 10,0 % below the costs of comparable ships, correspondingto 11,5 % difference of contract price
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Competitiveness: Resale
LINDENAU tanker achieve a 40,0 %higher resale price than comparableships, corresponding to 15,2 %difference of contract price.
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Due to higher income and lower costsover an operating period of 12 years, LINDENAU tankers would counter-balancea higher contract price of
Competitiveness: Summary
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The Future
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Double Hull of the futurewith predetermined breaking Points
Dynamic Calculations*:
Approx. 60% more collision energy is absorbable
*explicit solver LS-DYNA
German Patent 10-2004-041-593.5-22August 26th, 2004
International Patent PCT / EP 2005 / 009039pending
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New hull design under construction
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Wind energy
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To summarize:
The Ship remains
... the safest
... the most economic
... and most environmental friendly
means of transport.
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LINDENAU tankers serve for…
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The end
Thank you for your attention.
