Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional...

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Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association of WA Conference

Transcript of Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional...

Page 1: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Market Assessment for a

Regional Value-added Food

Processing Facility

Stephen Bramwell

Sydney Debien

10 Nov 2018

Tilth Association of WA

Conference

Page 2: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

How did this project come

about?

Page 3: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Some producer comments on

market access

• Small farmers struggle to access institutional buyers due

to managing high volumes

• Mismatch between the costs of local production and prices

consumers and restaurants will pay

• Growth in large scale organics misleading labeling about

“local”, etc.

• Small, local farms perceive shrinking market for local,

direct-from-farmer sales, and increasing competition

Transcribing

producer

comments

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Ideas for how to address

• more control of wholesale prices

(raise them)

• develop markets for surplus

• develop info hub that tracks

seasonal produce supplies

• community-shared purchasing

• narrow definition of local by region

• buy local rewards cards

• local produce prescriptions,

corporate wellness programs

• product aggregation to reach

new/larger markets

Olympia Farmers

Market vendor display

Page 5: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Limitations to local food market

development

National average annual growth rate of direct sales:

–1992 and 2012: 16%

–2007 and 2012: 1.6%

Thurston County average annual growth rate of direct

sales:

–1997 and 2002: 357%

–2002 and 2012: 8%

Forage as a percentage of total crop production

increased from 37 to 68% (Thurston County)

Page 6: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

The Status and Future of Local

Foods (John Ikerd)

“Farmers markets increased

in number from 1,755 to

8,476 between 1994 and

2015. However, the number

of farmers markets

increased by only 2.5

percent between 2015 and

2017.”

19%

1.25%

Page 7: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Potential of a Regional Food

Processing Center?

Goal for south Puget

Sound project:

Evaluate markets for

a community-based

food processing

facility in the south

Puget Sound region

Local organic green beans at food

co-op in White River Junction, VT

Page 8: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

• Are other facilities successfully doing local

food processing?

• Is there local market interest?

• Would local markets pay more?

• Is local markets and local production in

balance?

• Have Ports elsewhere invested in equipment

and buildings?

Preliminary Market Assessment

Some Project Questions

Page 9: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

What We Did

• Market evals:

• Oly Farmers

Market

• CSAs

• Institutional

buyers

• Go to other facilities

• Rally local partners

Page 10: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

• Rapid Market

Assessment at OFM

• August 11, 10:00

AM – 3:00 PM

• 7 questions, 1 dot

per question

• Sheets changed

hourly

• 500+ participants

RMA at Olympia Farmers’ Market

Customers placing dots

Page 11: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

4227

8

59

168

6756

118

OFM

Shopper

Survey

Which Product Would You Most

Like to Buy?

Page 12: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

189

44 648

117

7

162

25

47% motivated by

local economic

reasons

What is Your Primary Motivation

for Buying Local?

Page 13: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

39

71

169 165

40

22 15

Sameprice

$4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $7.00

If non-local frozen stir-fry veggies cost $3.50/lb at the local

supermarket, what is the MOST you would pay for locally

grown and processed frozen stir fry veggies (both organic)

64% would pay

between $4.50

and $5.00, a

~36% premium

Page 14: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Food Services Directors:

–(2) School Districts

–(1) State cafeteria

–(2) Correctional facilities

–(1) Hospitals

–(1) Senior living facilities

–32 questions

–Breakfasts: 7,500

–Lunches: 18,250

–Dinners: 9,767

Institutional Buyer Survey

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Motivation for buying local

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Limitations to buying local

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Interest in a

“commitment model”

22%

67%

11%

Yes Maybe No

33%

56%

11%

Yes Maybe No

Willingness to meet

on pricing w/ farmers

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Interest in local frozen fruit, veg

Current purchase of frozen fruit, veg

Yes: 89%

No: 11%

Page 19: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Monthly purchases, prices

Produce lbs $/lb

Broccoli 11,329 $1.54

Green beans 11,746

Carrots 11,529

Peas 11,270 $0.89

Veg medley 6,746 $1.08

Strawberries 463 $1.78

Raspberries 446 $3.11

Blueberries 463 $2.84

Page 20: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Good Buy In, Limited Price Control

0%

17% 17%

33% 33%33%

0%

50%

0% 0%

STRONGLY DISAGREE

DISAGREE NEITHER AGREE NOR DISAGREE

AGREE STRONGLY AGREE

It is important to me that local food is processed locally

My clientele are willing to pay more for local, origin-identified, frozen fruitsor vegetables

Page 21: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Frozen stir-fry mix pricing analysis

Institutional buyers

Page 22: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

CSA Customer Survey

•3 farms, email survey

•Approximately 600

subscribers/recipients

•N = 219 (36% response rate)

•19 Questions

•Farms founded: 1992, 1994,

~2006

•Question: What is the market

& interest for value-added,

year year-round sales? Focus

on frozen fruit and veg.

Page 23: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

12%

47%

18% 18%

4%

1 2 3 4 5 or more

Household size

88%

3% 3% 4% 1% 1%

Which of the following describes your race

0% 6%

17%

31%

21%24%

20 oryounger

21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 orolder

Respondent age

75% over 40

45% over 50

75 9 4 2 6 1

Page 24: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

12%

47%

18% 18%

4%

1 2 3 4 5 or more

Household size

88%

3% 3% 4% 1% 1%

Which of the following describes your race

0% 6%

17%

31%

21%24%

20 oryounger

21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 orolder

Respondent age

75% over 40

45% over 50

Page 25: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Number of years with current CSA

31%

16%19%

10%

6%

19%

First year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years More than 5years

66% of subscribers joined

the CSA within the last 3

years

Page 26: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

35%

24%

0% 5%

35%

0% 1%

Motivation for buying local

Page 27: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Importance of local products

utilizing local ingredients

53%

32%

12% 2% 1%

Veryimportant

Important Somewhatimportant

Not important No opinion

85% believe it is

important to very

important

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38%

44%

14%3%

0%

Veryimportant

Important Somewhatimportant

Not important No opinion

Importance of value-added

product labels ID back to farmer

82% believe it is

important to very

important

Page 29: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Buy local Buy non-local No buy

Processed products purchased

Page 30: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Frequency of frozen fruit or vegetable

purchases

6%

11%

23%

14%

37%

9%

Daily 4 – 6 times per week

2 – 3 times per week

Once perweek

Less thanonce per

week

Never

Page 31: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Frozen stir-fry mix pricing analysis

Page 32: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Frozen blueberries pricing analysis

Page 33: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Photo credit: Helsing Junction Farm

Case Study: Franklin Co

Community Development Corp

• Grant funding equipment

• Subsidizing facility

• Rental user growth

• Farmer users

• Rates and charges

• Anchor tenants

• Private for-profit businesses,

and non-profit enterprise

• Storage, storage

• Staff

Some of the value-added

products made at the Western

Massachusetts Food

Processing Center,

Greenfield, MA

Page 34: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Broccoli floretter

Blixer

Bottle

labeling

machine

Dicer

Steam jacket kettles

Page 35: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Case Study: Linc Foods

• Value of a committed

partner/account

• Pricing: farmers, and

brokering

• Commitment model

• Operating margin, set

• Product line & customers –

value of aggregation

• Top three markets

• Stability, reliability

Page 36: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Case Study: Skagit County

• Public investment

• Identity - Skagit

• Coordinated

infrastructure

development

• Regional distribution

• More spokes, same

wheel

• Crop supply & market

demand

Puget Sound Food Hub

Distribution Center, Mt Vernon

From the Farm Food Processing

Kitchen, Port of Skagit

Page 37: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Conclusions & Recommendations

Are other facilities successfully doing local food

processing?

Yes & yes

Is there local market interest? Yes

Would local markets pay more? Yes, but

Are local production and demand balanced? No

Would market segmentation be necessary Yes

• Seek local funding for agriculture economic development

• Economic data needed to support business planning for any facility

• Try to integrate into existing distribution/processing networks

• Processing crop production budgets (if $$$ looks good) can help new

and existing farmers build these options into prod/bus plans

Page 38: Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food ... · Market Assessment for a Regional Value-added Food Processing Facility Stephen Bramwell Sydney Debien 10 Nov 2018 Tilth Association

Questions?

Farm couple processing specialty dried Basque

pepper powder at Cloud Mountain Farm Processing

Kitchen