Mark Andrew - GHD - Platform Carriage Interface Risks
-
Upload
informa-australia -
Category
Business
-
view
473 -
download
0
Transcript of Mark Andrew - GHD - Platform Carriage Interface Risks
What is a PTI size
that reduces risk,
SFAIRP, for as many
passenger groups as
practicable?
By-product:
specification for a
tool that could be
used by industry to
classify step / gap
sizes by risk.
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Problem description
Q Why not make the gap extremely small, so that all passengers essentially
do not experience a gap?
A Gaps that are too small do not allow for train carriage side-to-side
movement, and therefore:
• the platform and carriage gets damaged
• and train running delays increase.
Q Why not make all carriage floors match the platform height, so there is no
step?
A Differences in train design and infrastructure as-built do not allow for zero
step.
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Methodology overview
Three stages
A1 - Hazard log
A2 - Bow-tie scenario map
A3 - Risk scenarios identified (say 30+)
B1 - Scenario dynamics described
B2 – Evidence-based SQRA
B3 - Grouping of risks by loss type
C1 - Summation of risks by loss category
C2 - Define an Exchange Rate (harm: damage: delay)
C3 – Model gap size costs with different cohort mixes
Rich picture of the system
including candidate passenger
cohorts
Measurement of costs of loss
calculated by cohorts and step
size
Link costs to gap and step size
= design tool specification
DeliverableActivity
COHORT EXAMPLE 1: PEOPLE WITH WALKING FRAME
COHORT EXAMPLE 2: UNDER FIVES ON FOOT
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Passenger can not access
carriage
Slip trip / fall
Object stuck on step
Train running delay
Passengers slip or trip
Passenger falls into train /
platform
Passenger falls down gap
Train running delay
Slip trip fall
Access restrictions
Train running delay
Object stuck / dropped
Carriage contacts platform
Platform damage
Repair costs
Train running delay
A1 - Typical hazards
Train –platform interface
Gap too
large
Step too high
Step too low
Gap too
small
ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES ONLY
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Prevention
Controls
Mitigation
Controls
A2 - Bow-tie representation - generic
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Loss of control:
Platform-Train
interface
Gap too large
Passenger
cohort A
(e.g. <5yrs)
Step too high
Other
Slip / Trip / Fall
Entrapment
Inaccessible: delay /
cancel
Train running delay
Carriage body damaged
Train doors damaged
Other
Platform edge damage
Structural failure
Other
Passenger
cohort B
(e.g. frame)
Passenger
cohort C
(e.g. wheel
chair)
Passenger
harm
Rolling
stock
damage
Platform
damage
Gap too small
Step too low Infra-structure
Gap too large
Step too high
Other
Gap too large
Step too high
Other
Other
A2 – Bow-tie scenario map for PTI
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Loss of control:
Platform-Train
interface
Gap too large
Passenger
cohort AStep too high
Other
Slip / Trip / Fall
Entrapment
Inaccessible: delay /
cancelled
Train running delay
Carriage body damaged
Train doors damaged
Other
Platform edge damage
Structural failure
Other
Passenger
cohort B
Passenger
cohort C
Passenger
harm
Rolling stock
damage
Platform
damage
Gap too small
Step too low Infra-structure
Gap too large
Step too high
Other
Gap too large
Step too high
Other
Other
A3 – Example scenario from bow-tie (one of 30+)
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
B1 – Scenario dynamics described
For our example candidate risk scenario:
While attempting to board an under-five year old falls
into the gap.
To measure this risk we need:
• Initiating Incident Frequency (incidence of under fives falling when boarding).
• Probability of the fall escalating to an entrapment in the gap.
• Consequential harm from under five falls into the gap (extent of injury).
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
B2 – Evidence-based risk analysis
For our example candidate risk scenario:
While attempting to board an under-five year old falls into the gap.
Evidence-based? > a blend of empirical data and subject-matter expertise.
Initiating Incident Frequency (incidence of under fives falling when boarding):
Records show 1:500 passengers are under fives, of which 1 in 500 slip while boarding so of the say 1,700,000 boardings per year, the Initiating Incident Frequency is 6.8 / annum
Probability of the fall escalating to an entrapment in the gap:Records show there is a one in 70 chance of entrapment following a fall.
Consequential harm from under five falls into the gap (extent of injury).Representative injury is disabling injury.
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
B3 – Group the risks by loss type
Infrastructuresafer:
Scenarios 2,5,9,15,27 etc
Passengers harmed:
Scenarios 6,12,16.23 etc
Passengers safer:
Scenarios 1,3,4,7 etc
Infrastructuredamaged:
Scenarios 26,17,19 etc
Bigger gap size
Smaller gap size
Smaller step size Larger step size
Some
cohorts
feature in
more than
1 cell
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
C1 & C2: Sum the risks by type and apply
Exchange Rate
N
…
2
Exchange Rate
Sum of all Harm
Sum of all Damage
Sum of all Delay
Global net loss calculation for gap size 1
Exchange Rates
for harm, damage
and delays have
been created in
various reference
sources
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
C3: Model the gap size / loss trade-off
N
…
2
Exchange Rate
Sum of all Harm
Sum of all
DamageSum of
all Delay
Global net loss calculation for gap size 1
N
…
2
Exchange Rate
Sum of all Harm
Sum of all
DamageSum of
all Delay
Global net loss calculation for gap size 1
N
…
2
Exchange Rate
Sum of all Harm
Sum of all
DamageSum of
all Delay
Global net loss calculation for gap size 1
Cohort mix A Cohort mix B Cohort mix C etc >
Input variables into a spreadsheet or database to allow for SFAIRP calculations of control
costs versus losses avoided to be traded. [Different Exchange Rates will yield different
SFAIRPs]
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Data sources
Exchange rates
Industry incident records
Classic texts
Manuals, guides & checklists
Standards and Regs
Weblinks and data sources
E.G. REFERENCE SOURCES
E.G. DATA REPOSITORIES
E.G. MANUALS & GUIDES
E.G. ISO / BS / ASNZ / DIN STANDARDS
E.G. COSTS OF INJURIES - SAFE WORK AUSTRALIA
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
Does this approach pass the SFAIRP test?
The five SFAIRP criteria:
a) the likelihood of the hazard
b) the degree of harm that might
result
c) what the person concerned knows,
or ought reasonably to know
d) the availability and suitability of
ways to eliminate or minimise the risk
e) the cost associated and if cost is
grossly disproportionate
✔ see stages A & B
Criterion addressed?
✔ see stages B & C
✔ see stages A & B
✔ see stages A, B & C
✔ see stage C
Platform-Train Interface Risks ~ A SFAIRP method
So Far As Is Reasonably Practicable (SFAIRP)
"Reasonably practicable" is a narrower
term than "physically possible" and
seems to me to imply that a
computation must be made by the
owner, in which the quantum of risk is
placed on one scale and the sacrifice
involved in the measures necessary for
averting the risk (whether in money,
time or trouble) is placed in the other;
and that if it be shown that there is a
gross disproportion between them - the
risk being insignificant in relation to the
sacrifice - the defendants discharge the
onus on them.
Lord Justice of Appeal (1949)
Acknowledgements:
The author wishes to thank GHD for permission to attend and present at this Conference.