Mapping the structure of Borneo’s tropical forests across a … · 2017. 1. 28. · 1 1 Mapping...

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1 Mapping the structure of Borneo’s tropical forests across a degradation gradient 1 2 Pfeifer M 1* , Kor L 1 , Nilus R 2 , Turner E 3 , Cusack J 4 , Lysenko I 1 , Khoo M 1 , Chey VK 2 , Chung 3 AC 2 , Ewers RM 1 4 5 1 Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst 6 Road, Ascot, Berkshire SL5 7PY, UK. [email protected]; 7 [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]; 8 [email protected] 9 2 Forest Research Centre, Sabah Forestry Department, PO Box 1407, 90715 Sandakan, 10 Sabah, Malaysia. [email protected] 11 3 Insect Ecology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, 12 Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. [email protected] 13 4 Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, The Tinbergen Building, South Parks Road, 14 Oxford, OX1 3PS, UK. [email protected] 15 16 * Corresponding author 17 18 Keywords: Borneo, humid tropical forests, degradation, RapidEye TM , co-occurrence 19 measures, spectral reflectance, biophysical structure, maps, field data 20

Transcript of Mapping the structure of Borneo’s tropical forests across a … · 2017. 1. 28. · 1 1 Mapping...

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    Mapping the structure of Borneo’s tropical forests across a degradation gradient 1

    2

    Pfeifer M1*, Kor L1, Nilus R2, Turner E3, Cusack J4, Lysenko I1, Khoo M1, Chey VK2, Chung 3

    AC2, Ewers RM1 4

    5

    1 Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst 6

    Road, Ascot, Berkshire SL5 7PY, UK. [email protected]; 7

    [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]; 8

    [email protected] 9

    2 Forest Research Centre, Sabah Forestry Department, PO Box 1407, 90715 Sandakan, 10

    Sabah, Malaysia. [email protected] 11

    3 Insect Ecology Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, 12

    Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. [email protected] 13

    4 Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, The Tinbergen Building, South Parks Road, 14

    Oxford, OX1 3PS, UK. [email protected] 15

    16

    * Corresponding author 17

    18

    Keywords: Borneo, humid tropical forests, degradation, RapidEyeTM, co-occurrence 19

    measures, spectral reflectance, biophysical structure, maps, field data20

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    Abstract 21

    South East Asia has the highest rate of lowland forest loss of any tropical region, with 22

    logging and deforestation for conversion to plantation agriculture being flagged as the most 23

    urgent threats. Detecting and mapping logging impacts on forest structure is a primary 24

    conservation concern, as these impacts feed through to changes in biodiversity and ecosystem 25

    functions. Here, we test whether high-spatial resolution satellite remote sensing can be used 26

    to map the responses of aboveground live tree biomass (AGB), canopy leaf area index (LAI) 27

    and fractional vegetation cover (FCover) to selective logging and deforestation in Malaysian 28

    Borneo. We measured these attributes in permanent vegetation plots in rainforest and oil 29

    palm plantations across the degradation landscape of the Stability of Altered Forest 30

    Ecosystems project. We found significant mathematical relationships between field-measured 31

    structure and satellite-derived spectral and texture information, explaining up to 62 % of 32

    variation in biophysical structure across forest and oil palm plots. These relationships held at 33

    different aggregation levels from plots to forest disturbance types and oil palms allowing us 34

    to map aboveground biomass and canopy structure across the degradation landscape. The 35

    maps reveal considerable spatial variation in the impacts of previous logging, a pattern that 36

    was less clear when considering field data alone. Up-scaled maps revealed a pronounced 37

    decline in aboveground live tree biomass with increasing disturbance, impacts which are also 38

    clearly visible in the field data even a decade after logging. Field data demonstrate a rapid 39

    recovery in forest canopy structure with the canopy recovering to pre-disturbance levels a 40

    decade after logging. Yet, up-scaled maps show that both LAI and FCover are still reduced in 41

    logged compared to primary forest stands and markedly lower in oil palm stands. While 42

    uncertainties remain, these maps can now be utilised to identify conservation win-wins, 43

    especially when combining them with ongoing biodiversity surveys and measurements of 44

    carbon sequestration, hydrological cycles and microclimate. 45

    Deleted: ¶46

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    1. Introduction 47

    Through the processes of selective logging and agricultural conversion, large areas of tropical 48

    forests are being degraded and fragmented worldwide (Blaser, Sarre, Poore, & Johnson, 49

    2011). South East Asia, in particular, has the highest rate of lowland forest loss of any 50

    tropical region, with deforestation and logging for conversion to oil palm being flagged as the 51

    most urgent threats (Sodhi, Koh, Brook, & Ng, 2004). Conventional logging, widely used in 52

    South East Asia, and to a lesser extent ‘Reduced Impact Logging’ (Pinard & Putz, 1996) 53

    reduces aboveground biomass (AGB) through the removal of large trees (Slik et al., 2013), 54

    and causes residual damage that includes opening previously dense forest canopies (Pfeifer et 55

    al., 2015). Resultant decreases in canopy leaf area index (LAI) and fractional vegetation 56

    cover (FCover) affect microclimate (Didham & Lawton, 1999; Hardwick et al., 2015), carbon 57

    sequestration through photosynthesis and regulation of surface water flows (Douglas, 1999). 58

    These changes can affect biodiversity (Edwards et al., 2011; Wilcove, Giam, Edwards, 59

    Fisher, & Koh, 2013) and ecosystem functions operating at different trophic levels (Ewers et 60

    al., 2015). 61

    Thus, unsurprisingly, detecting and mapping forest degradation is a primary conservation 62

    concern, and remote sensing could provide an effective means to achieve this task (Rose et 63

    al., 2014). Satellite or airborne sensor data have previously been employed to map 64

    deforestation at coarse to fine spatial resolutions from landscape to global scales (Hansen et 65

    al., 2013). Sensor-data based forest degradation and change maps combined with ground-66

    surveys aid in quantifying degradation impacts on carbon stocks and emissions (Baccini et 67

    al., 2012; Harris et al., 2012), as well as on biodiversity (Gibson et al., 2011; Strassburg et al., 68

    2010; Wearn, Reuman, & Ewers, 2012). 69

    Yet, mapping forest degradation using space-borne sensors is challenging in many 70

    tropical humid landscapes, not least because of persistent cloud cover. Tree cover maps 71

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    (Hansen et al. 2013) or simpler maps of vegetation greenness (Pettorelli et al., 2005) do not 72

    directly map forest biophysical structure or biomass and struggle to distinguish primary from 73

    disturbed forests or agricultural land, including oil palm stands (Tropek et al., 2014). The 74

    latter now cover large areas of South East Asian landscapes (Koh & Wilcove, 2008), and are 75

    easily confused with forests during image classifications, especially when reaching maturity. 76

    A number of methods can distinguish logged from primary forests (Asner et al., 2005). 77

    But, these methods map categories and thus treat the habitat within each land-use as 78

    homogenous. Yet, forest canopy structure and biomass can vary considerably within logged 79

    and unlogged forests affecting ecosystem processes on a continuous scale. For instance, the 80

    intensity of forest disturbance is a key determinant of the carbon (Berenguer et al., 2014; 81

    Pfeifer et al., 2015) and biodiversity (Burivalova, Şekercioǧlu, & Koh, 2014; Gibson et al., 82

    2011) that persists in logged forest. Carbon and biodiversity, in turn, are used to dictate 83

    conservation and management priorities at the landscape scale under certification schemes 84

    such as the High Carbon Stock and High Conservation Value standards applied to the palm 85

    oil industry (Greenpeace International, 2013; RSPO, 2013). 86

    Successfully linking sensor data to actual forest structure data is challenging. Multi-87

    sensor approaches combining airborne LIDAR with satellite data are delivering promising 88

    results in estimating canopy gap structure at landscape scales (Asner, 2009; Asner et al., 89

    2010). But despite the decreasing costs of airborne LIDAR data (Asner, 2009), their 90

    widespread use is still limited by the need for expensive expert knowledge for data 91

    processing, large financial resources to fund planes and flights, and special flying permits that 92

    are often hard to obtain in many tropical countries. Spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar 93

    (SAR) such as ALOS PALSAR overcomes the challenges of persistent cloud cover and 94

    atmospheric effects when mapping forest degradation (Woodhouse, Mitchard, Brolly, 95

    Maniatis, & Ryan, 2012), with long-wavelength L-Band signals penetrating vegetation 96

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    canopies and relating to forest biophysical properties (Boyd & Danson, 2005; Lucas et al, 97

    2014). However, costs of Radar imagery are high and availability limited (Joshi et al., 2015). 98

    Backscatter starts to saturate at around 100 - 150 Mg ha-1 with errors being introduced largely 99

    in ≥ 150 Mg ha-1 forest stands (Robinson, Saatchi, Neumann, & Gillespie, 2013; Mermoz et 100

    al., 2015) typical for humid tropical forests with dense canopies. Also, backscattered energy 101

    is not only affected by the size and orientation of the structural elements in the vegetation 102

    canopy, but also by the moisture content of the vegetation and the underlying soil conditions 103

    (Naidoo et al., 2015). 104

    Unlike LIDAR and Radar, moderate to high-resolution satellite images can be obtained 105

    for most regions in the world free of charge (e.g. Landsat 8 data via USGS Earth Explorer; 106

    SPOT and RapidEyeTM data via European Space Agency). Spectral and texture information 107

    derived from such images have been exploited by ecologists to map tree cover (Céline et al., 108

    2013), green foliage density (Glenn, Huete, Nagler, & Nelson, 2008), and forest biomass and 109

    canopy structure (Castillo-Santiago, Ricker, & de Jong, 2010; Pfeifer, Gonsamo, Disney, 110

    Pellikka, & Marchant, 2012; Wang, Qi, & Cochrane, 2005). In addition, tools to process 111

    these images are now easily accessible via statistical and spatial analyses software, including 112

    freeware such as R Open Source Statistical software (R Development Core Team, 2013) and 113

    QGIS Open Source Geographic Information System (QGIS Development Team, 2012), more 114

    accessible to management staff in the tropics and elsewhere. 115

    Here, we test whether significant relationships can be found between high spatial 116

    resolution optical satellite sensor data and three attributes of forest structure (AGB, LAI, 117

    FCover) measured in rainforest and oil palm plantation areas across a degradation landscape 118

    in Malaysian Borneo. Satellite imagery was obtained at no-cost from the European Space 119

    Agency under Category 1 User Agreement. Forest attributes were collected in permanent 120

    vegetation plots (a combined survey area of > 12 ha) established across the Stability of 121

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    Altered Forest Ecosystems (SAFE) Project landscape (Ewers et al., 2011). In particular, we 122

    ask: (1) what are the impacts of logging on forest structure more than one decade after 123

    logging, and are these impacts spatially homogenous or heterogeneous; and (2) can we 124

    reliably detect spatial variability in logging impacts, observed on the ground, using high 125

    spatial resolution passive sensor data? Our aim was to identify reliable mathematical 126

    relationships that would enable mapping of continuous surfaces of forest and oil palm 127

    structure across entire landscapes. This would provide important baseline data for use in the 128

    planning and management of future logging and agricultural activities in Borneo’s highly 129

    threatened forests to minimise their environmental footprints. 130

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    2. Methods 132

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    2.1 The SAFE degradation landscape 134

    The Stability of Altered Forest Ecosystem (SAFE) Project (4° 38’ N to 4° 46’ N, 116° 57’ to 135

    117° 42’ E; Fig. 1), located within lowland dipterocarp forest regions of East Sabah in 136

    Malaysian Borneo, features a gradient of forest disturbance from unlogged primary forest 137

    through to severely degraded forest and oil palm plantations (Ewers et al., 2011). SAFE thus 138

    reflects Sabah’s predominant land use change over the past decades, characterised by 139

    industrial harvesting and premature re-logging of extensive tracts of once-logged forests and 140

    large-scale forest-to-palm conversions (Reynolds, Payne, Sinun, Mosigil, & Walsh, 2011). 141

    The region has a tropical climate with high rainfall (> 2000 mm / year) and varying terrain 142

    topography, although all plots are below 800 m altitude. The geology comprises a mixture of 143

    sedimentary rocks including siltstones, sandstones and others that are easily eroded (Douglas 144

    et al. 1999). 145

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    Meteorological records from nearby Danum Valley Field Centre, show that the climate in 146

    this part of Sabah is aseasonal, with occasional dry spells that are usually associated with El 147

    Niño events (Walsh & Newbery, 1999). Recent data from Danum Valley (SEARRP: 148

    http://www.searrp.org/danum-valley/the-conservation-area/climate) show that no dry months 149

    occurred between September 2011 and January 2013, the period during which our data was 150

    collected. This is important, as this could have potentially changed biophysical attributes 151

    between time of field measurements and time of satellite data acquisition, as reported for 152

    drought-affected areas in evergreen Amazonian forests (Myneni et al., 2007). 153

    193 vegetation plots (25 m x 25 m) with North–South orientation were set out at SAFE in 154

    2010 using a Garmin GPSMap60 device. Vegetation plots were established across the forest 155

    degradation landscape according to a hierarchical sampling design as an objective procedure 156

    to assess regional forest attributes (Ewers et al 2011). The design was chosen to ensure 157

    unbiased decisions as to where to establish vegetation monitoring plots in the field (Ewers et 158

    al 2011). Plots were located at roughly equal altitude and oriented to minimize potentially 159

    confounding factors such as slope, latitude, longitude and distance to forest edges (prior to 160

    controlled forest-to-oil palm conversion currently being carried out at SAFE) (Ewers et al 161

    2011). Plots were distributed among 17 sampling blocks: three oil palm plantation blocks of 162

    two different ages (OP1 and OP2 planted in 2006 and OP3 planted in 2000), two primary 163

    forest stands (OG1 and OG2), lightly or illegally logged forests inside multi-use or protected 164

    areas (OG3 and VJR), twice logged forests (LFE, LF1 - LF3) and salvage logged forest (A - 165

    F). The latter is forest that has been logged with lifted restrictions on type of tree, size limits 166

    and volume in advance of outright conversion to a new land use type such as agriculture (for 167

    details on the hierarchical sampling design see Ewers et al., 2011). Twice and salvage logged 168

    forests were selectively logged, once during the 1970s followed by a second logging round 169

    from the late 1990s to the early 2000s removing medium hardwoods (Drybalanops and 170

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    http://www.searrp.org/danum-valley/the-conservation-area/climate

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    Dipterocarpus), and lighter hardwoods (Shorea and Parashorea). Historical forestry data 172

    suggest that logging implemented under a modified uniform system removed an estimated 173

    113 m3 ha-1 during the first rotation followed by an estimated 37 m3 ha-1 extraction during the 174

    second rotation in lightly logged forests; the salvage logged forest were re-logged three times 175

    with a cumulative extraction rate of 66 m3 ha-1 (Struebig et al., 2013), although our up-scaled 176

    maps indicate even higher harvesting intensities. Overall, logging in the area resulted in 177

    heavily degraded stands with a high density of roads and skid trails, a paucity of commercial 178

    timber species, few emergent trees and the dominance of pioneer and invasive vegetation. At 179

    SAFE, blocks A - F are currently being converted into a fragmented agricultural landscape. 180

    181

    2.2 Quantifying forest structure: AGB, LAI, FCover 182

    Permanent vegetation structure plots were measured for above-ground biomass in 2010 and 183

    2011 (N = 193). We measured canopy structure in 172 of these plots in 2012 and 2013. 184

    Above-ground biomass was derived from measurements of tree size (height and diameter at 185

    breast height, DBH) following RAINFOR protocols and including all trees with DBH ≥ 10 186

    cm and with > 50 % of their roots located within the plot boundaries (for details see Pfeifer et 187

    al., 2015). 188

    We computed above-ground biomass using an improved pan-tropical algorithm (Chave et 189

    al., 2014), as a recent study showed that it provided better biomass estimates than regional 190

    algorithms for East Kalimantan (Rutishauser et al., 2013). We computed AGB using wood 191

    specific gravity values reflecting different disturbance level of forest stands in Borneo (Slik et 192

    al., 2008). For each tree, we computed AGB as above but using wood specific gravity 193

    estimates drawn randomly (N = 100) from a normal distribution of wood specific gravity 194

    values (for details see Pfeifer et al., 2015). This distribution was defined by maximum and 195

    standard deviation and depended on the tree’s location: primary forests (0.64 ± 0.18) (King et 196

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    al 2006), and lightly logged forests (0.57 ± 0.02), twice logged forests (0.54 ± 0.03), and 197

    salvage logged forests (0.41 ± 0.05) (Slik et al 2008). Oil palms have a fundamentally 198

    different physical structure to forest trees, so we estimated AGB in oil palm plantations 199

    separately (Pfeifer et al., 2015). We computed dry mass in Mg for each palm tree from its 200

    height (in m) using sing (Thenkabail et al 2004). 201

    Leaf area index (corrected for foliage clumping) and fractional vegetation cover were 202

    estimated from 12 to 13 hemispherical photographs acquired in each plot following standard 203

    sampling procedures (Pfeifer et al., 2014), using in house-algorithms (Pfeifer et al., 2014) and 204

    the freeware CAN-EYE v 6.3.8 (Weiss & Baret, 2010). 205

    206

    2.3 Satellite data and derived spectral and texture data 207

    We used five RapidEyeTM satellite images acquired over the SAFE landscape in 2012 and 208

    January 2013 (Table A1 in Appendix). These cover the entire globe with a temporal 209

    resolution of 5.5 days (at nadir) and are high-resolution, ortho-rectified products resampled to 210

    5 m pixel resolution. The Multi-Spectral Imager on-board the satellites acquires data in five 211

    spectral bands. The blue (0.44 - 0.51 µm), green (0.52 - 0.59 µm), red (0.63 - 0.68 µm) and 212

    near-infrared (0.76 - 0.85 µm) bands are very similar to the corresponding Landsat spectral 213

    bands, but the sensor has an additional red-edge band (0.69 - 0.73 µm), giving additional 214

    sensitivity to changes in the reflectance of vegetation (Chander et al., 2013). 215

    We pre-processed all images (calibration, cloud and cloud shadowing-masking) using 216

    ENVI v 5.1 (Exelis Visual Information Solutions, Boulder, Colorado). We applied 217

    atmospheric correction to these images using the 6s algorithm (Second Simulation of Satellite 218

    Signal in the Solar Spectrum) (Vermote, Tanre, Deuze, Herman, & Morcette, 1997) 219

    implemented with the Open Source Geographic Resources Analysis Support System 220

    (GRASS) i.atcorr function (Neteler, Bowman, Landa, & Metz, 2012) implemented in 221

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    Quantum GIS v 2.6.1 (Hugentobler, 2008). We computed standard spectral vegetation 222

    indices, including Normal Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) (Tucker, 1979), a two-band 223

    Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI2) (Jiang, Huete, Didan, & Miura, 2008), and the Modified 224

    Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index (MSAVI2) (Qi, Chehbouni, Huete, Kerr, & Sorooshian, 225

    1994), as well as texture indices using the ‘raster’ (Hijmans & van Etten, 2010) and ‘glcm’ 226

    (Zvoleff, 2014) libraries in R statistical software (R Development Core Team, 2013). To 227

    obtain texture indices, we computed a grey-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) with a 90 228

    degree shift and 64 grey-levels and varied the window size for analyses from 3 x 3 to 9 x 9 229

    pixels. This is important as the size of the analysis window used affects textural features, with 230

    the most appropriate option depending on image resolution and landscape characteristics (Lu 231

    2005). We computed the mean ( ), variance 232

    ( ), contrast ( ) and 233

    dissimilarity ( ) as measures of image texture for each of the 234

    five bands, where P is the symmetrical GLCM with dimension N x N and i and j are the ith 235

    and jth element of P (Gallardo-Cruz et al. 2012). Pij therefore represents the probability of 236

    finding the value of the reference pixel i in combination with the neighbouring pixel j. 237

    We extracted spectral intensity and texture data for each band as well as spectral 238

    vegetation indices to the point coordinates of each plot as mean values within a buffer radius 239

    of 20 m. During this step, we excluded 58 plots that were covered by cloud and cloud 240

    shadows. We used these values as predictors in subsequent modelling and removed highly 241

    inter-correlated indices from global models. In line with other studies (Wang, Qi, & 242

    Cochrane, 2005), MSAVI2 outperformed NDVI and EVI2 (Pearson's product moment 243

    correlation computed for measures of vegetation greenness: r ≥ 0.9; see also Figure A1 in 244

    Appendix) in its ability to separate primary from lightly-logged forest stands and was 245

    subsequently used in all analyses. Dissimilarity estimates computed from band intensities 246

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    within a window of 9 x 9 pixels outperformed other texture indices in single predictor 247

    regression models (see Tables A2 and A3 in Appendix), and we subsequently used this 248

    resolution in all analyses. We excluded intensity and dissimilarity values for the blue band in 249

    modelling and upscaling forest structure. Visual inspections revealed obvious striping and 250

    banding in the blue band of some images that almost certainly derive from image calibration, 251

    which is known to be problematic in large amount of cloud-filled transition scenes (Godard, 252

    Stoll, Anderson, Schulze, & D’Souza, 2012). 253

    254

    2.4 Data analysis 255

    Plot data (forest attributes and spectral as well as texture indices) were aggregated to the level 256

    of the 17 sampling blocks and five disturbance levels defined as oil palm (OP1-OP3, three 257

    blocks), salvage logged (A-F, six blocks), twice-logged (LFE & LF1-LF3, four blocks), 258

    lightly logged (OG3 & VJR, two blocks) and primary forest (OG1& OG2, two blocks). We 259

    used one-way ANOVA with post-hoc Tukey HSD tests for pairwise comparisons aimed at 260

    detecting general differences among the three metrics of forest structure and among earth 261

    observation signals with respect to disturbance level. We checked for homogeneity of 262

    variance within groups using Bartlett's K-squared test statistic, and computed the Welsh 263

    correction to compare pairwise group means in case of variance non-homogeneity using the 264

    R ‘stats’ package (R Development Core Team, 2013). 265

    We explored single predictor relationships between earth observation data and forest 266

    structure data across the three levels of aggregation (plots, blocks, disturbance levels), using 267

    nonlinear least squares and general linear models as implemented in the R ‘stats’ package (R 268

    Development Core Team, 2013). 269

    We used beta-logistic regression with the betareg package in R (Grün, Kosmidis, & 270

    Zeileis, 2012; Simas, Barreto-Souza, & Rocha, 2010) to develop multiple predictor models. 271

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    We scaled model predictions between lower and upper bounds, which were set to reflect 272

    assumptions about expected forest structure per plot (each 0.0625 ha); FCover: 0 - 100, LAI: 273

    0 - 10, AGB: 0 - 65 (maximum value observed at site was 60.8 Mg / Plot). We fitted beta-274

    logistic regression models for plot level data using Maximum Likelihood and automated 275

    model selection via information theoretic approaches and multi-model averaging. First, we 276

    constructed a global model each for LAI, FCover and AGB, including predictors from the set 277

    of predictors described above, after first excluding highly correlated predictors (see Table 1 278

    for details on global models). For each global model, we used the dredge function in the R 279

    MuMIn package v1.10.5 (Barton 2014), which constructs models using all possible 280

    combinations of the explanatory variables supplied in each global model. These models were 281

    ranked, relative to the best model, based on the change in the Akaike Information Criterion 282

    (delta AIC). A multi-model average (final model) was calculated across all models with delta 283

    AIC < 4. 284

    285

    2.5 Upscaling structure across the landscape 286

    We added the grey-level dissimilarity layers as well as the MSAVI2 layer to each 287

    RapidEyeTM scene and subsequently mosaicked those rasters. We aggregated all rasters to 25 288

    m pixel resolution maps, to match the scale of vegetation structure plots using the R raster 289

    package (Hijmans & van Etten, 2010). We then used the model-averaged final model to 290

    predict scaled mean and fitted quantiles of the response distribution with lower (at 0.25) and 291

    upper quantiles (at 0.75) estimates of AGB, FCover and LAI for each pixel in the SAFE 292

    landscape. We unscaled model estimates of forest structure traits and saved the output as new 293

    rasters. 294

    We created minimum convex polygons with a 200 m buffer enclosing all plots within 295

    each block. We extracted mean AGB, LAI and FCover for each pixel encompassed by each 296

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    polygon and summarised overall patterns for variation in the forest structure attributes across 297

    the five disturbance levels using density curves and histogram statistics. 298

    299

    3. Results 300

    301

    3.1 Variability of forest structure across the forest disturbance gradient 302

    Oil palms differed structurally from primary and degraded forest, featuring significantly 303

    lower biomass and canopy cover (Fig. 2). Structural differences were less consistent between 304

    primary and disturbed forests. Above-ground biomass decreased significantly from primary 305

    (Mean: 413.4 t / ha) to lightly logged (267.3 t / ha) to twice-logged (110.6 t / ha) and salvage 306

    logged forest (42.4 t / ha). LAI and FCover were significantly higher in twice-logged versus 307

    salvage logged forests (P < 0.05, Welsh corrected). We found no further significant 308

    differences between forest types with regard to forest canopy structure (Fig. 2). 309

    310

    3.2 Spectral and texture attributes across the forest disturbance gradient 311

    Oil palm blocks differed significantly from forests and displayed lower vegetation greenness 312

    (except oil palm versus twice-logged forest), higher red intensity and dissimilarity and lower 313

    near-infrared dissimilarity (except oil palm versus salvage logged forest) (Fig. 3). The red 314

    intensity was lower in primary and lightly logged forest compared to salvage logged and 315

    twice-logged forest, indicating higher photosynthetic capacity in less-disturbed stands (P < 316

    0.05, Welsh corrected). Patterns were similar for the red-edge intensity but less pronounced 317

    and not significant for oil palm versus salvage logged, and primary and lightly logged versus 318

    twice logged forest. The near-infrared intensity was significantly higher in salvage logged 319

    forest and oil palm compared to lightly and twice-logged forest (all P < 0.01, except oil palm 320

    versus lightly logged: P = 0.07). Vegetation greenness was higher in primary compared to 321

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    twice-logged and salvage logged forest (P < 0.001, Welsh corrected) and lower in twice-322

    logged versus salvage logged forest (P < 0.005). The red dissimilarity was higher in primary 323

    and twice-logged forest compared to salvage logged forest (P < 0.001, Welsh corrected). In 324

    addition, primary forest had significantly lower near-infrared band dissimilarity compared to 325

    twice-logged forest (P < 0.05) but significantly higher near-infrared band dissimilarity 326

    compared to salvage logged forest (Welsh corrected, P < 0.001). The near-infrared 327

    dissimilarity was lower in salvage logged forest compared to twice-logged (P < 0.0001) and 328

    lightly logged forest (Welsh corrected, P < 0.001). 329

    330

    3.3 Modelling relationships between forest attributes and remotely sensed measures 331

    Clear relationships emerged between earth observation data and forest structure attributes 332

    across aggregation levels (Fig. 4). At stand level, leaf area index and fractional vegetation 333

    cover showed strong relationships with red intensity in single-predictor linear models (LAI = 334

    8.556 - 1.059 * RED, RSS = 0.59, Deviance = 0.65, coefficient and intercept significant at P 335

    < 0.0001; FCover = 152.09 - 17.59 * RED, RSS = 9.475, Deviance = 0.66, coefficient and 336

    intercept significant at P < 0.0001). Aboveground biomass increased exponentially with 337

    increasing vegetation greenness (AGB = 6.729e-17 * exp(51.18*MSAVI2), RSS = 4.845, 338

    Deviance = 0.79, coefficient significant at P < 0.001). At plot level, relationships are weaker 339

    but still significant (FCover = 124.918 -11.685 * RED, RSS = 16.13, Deviance = 0.24, 340

    coefficient and intercept significant at P < 0.0001; LAI = 7.18 - 0.76 * RED, RSS = 0.8466, 341

    Deviance = 0.33, coefficient and intercept significant at P < 0.0001; AGB = 4.701e-8 * 342

    exp(24.52 *MSAVI2), RSS = 9.009, Deviance = 0.13, coefficient significant at P < 0.0001). 343

    Including additional predictors improved model performance at the plot level (Table 2). 344

    The green and red-edge intensities as well as vegetation greenness were most important 345

    predictors of AGB (Table 2). Grey-level dissimilarities of red and red-edge (in the case of 346 Deleted: and near-infrared 347

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    LAI) and of red edge (for FCover) improved performance of models predicting forest canopy 348

    attributes. Observed values showed reasonable agreement with predicted values for all three 349

    forest attributes at the level of forest types, although variability at plot level is high (Figure 350

    A2 in Appendix). Our models underestimate AGB in primary and lightly logged forests, and 351

    overestimate canopy structure attributes in oil palms (Figure A2). It is important to note, 352

    however, that the models describing the relationships between forest canopy structure and 353

    sensor data were strongly influenced by the distinction between oil palm and forest habitats, 354

    but that variation among forest plots was less strongly differentiated. 355

    356

    3.4 Up-scaled estimates of logging damage 357

    Maps of forest structure attributes show that all forest types differ significantly from each 358

    other in their structure (Fig. 5). On average, AGB (t / ha), LAI and FCover decreased 359

    sequentially from primary forest to lightly logged, twice-logged and salvage logged forests 360

    (Table 3). Field data as well as map-derived AGB estimates clearly showed the decline in 361

    forest biomass with increasing disturbance (see also Pfeifer et al., 2015). Our maps indicate 362

    average biomass extraction levels of 187 t / ha for lightly logged forest, 228 t / ha for twice-363

    logged forest, and 255 t / ha for salvage logged forest. Yet, whilst field data suggest rapid 364

    canopy recovery following disturbance, data extracted for buffered minimum convex 365

    polygons from up-scaled maps reveal a more nuanced process. LAI was still reduced by 15 % 366

    for salvage and by 7 % for lightly logged forest compared to primary forest. And forest types 367

    differed significantly from each other (P < 0.001); FCover was still reduced by 12.4 % for 368

    salvage logged forest and by 7.8 % for lightly logged forest and differed significantly 369

    between forest types except between twice and lightly logged forests. 370

    Biomass varied less in oil palm plantations compared to forests (Variance test: P < 0.001) 371

    and varied more in primary forests compared to disturbed forest stands (P < 0.001); AGB 372

    Deleted: FCover373

    Deleted: LAI374

  • 16

    heterogeneity was lower in twice logged forests compared to little and salvage logged stands 375

    (P < 0.001). Conversely, canopy LAI varied significantly more in oil palm plantations 376

    compared to forests and in salvage logged forests compared to twice and lightly logged 377

    forests (P < 0.001). However, canopy LAI varied significantly less in salvage logged stands 378

    compared to primary forest stands. FCover varied significantly more in oil palms compared 379

    to forests, in salvage logged compared to twice logged forests, in twice logged compared to 380

    lightly logged forests; FCover varied more in primary compared to lightly logged forests but 381

    less compared to other forest types (P < 0.001). 382

    383

    4. Discussion 384

    Forest degradation via processes like selective logging, is a process that leads to a 385

    deterioration in the density or structure of forest cover (Lambin, 1999) causing significant 386

    loss of aboveground biomass (Slik et al., 2013) and reduced photosynthesis through the 387

    removal of large trees and canopies (Figueira et al., 2008). Degradation impacts are 388

    accompanied by structural changes at stand level, producing a heterogeneous forest landscape 389

    comprised of intact forest, tree-fall gaps, remains of logging infrastructure with compacted 390

    soils, and collateral damage on non-target trees (Laporte et al., 2007). Structural changes are 391

    temporary, as productivity of smaller trees and saplings increases with light availability 392

    allowing them to refill canopy gaps. Recovery time to pre-disturbance conditions of 393

    biophysical structure, however, will vary with location and disturbance intensity (Frolking et 394

    al., 2009; Martin et al., 2015). 395

    Using our extensive network of field measurements, we show that canopy cover appears 396

    to recover more rapidly than aboveground biomass in Borneo’s degraded forests. Canopy 397

    structure and biomass are considerably lower in oil palm stands, though, indicating their 398

    reduced functions in terms of carbon sequestration (Pfeifer et al., 2015) and microclimate 399

  • 17

    regulation (Hardwick et al., 2015). We found significant mathematical relationships between 400

    ground measures of forest structure and high-spatial resolution satellite sensor data. These 401

    relationships held at different aggregation levels, highlighting the potential to use these 402

    relationships to map aboveground biomass, vegetation cover and canopy leaf area across the 403

    SAFE degradation landscape (Fig. 6 and Figure A3 in Appendix). Such maps revealed 404

    considerable spatial variability in the impacts of previous logging and forest-to-palm 405

    conversion across the landscape. This pattern was less clear when considering field data 406

    alone, despite the large survey area covered. 407

    408

    4.1 Spectral signatures across the degradation gradient 409

    Higher absorption in the red wavelengths by canopies of undisturbed and lightly logged 410

    forests indicates higher photosynthetic capacity compared to photosynthesis in forests that 411

    were heavily logged more than ten years ago (see Fig. 3). Red absorption appears more 412

    heterogeneous in primary forest versus lightly logged ones at stand level, possibly because 413

    natural mortality of large trees that still exist in the undisturbed creates large canopy gaps, 414

    visible in the high variability of canopy LAI. These gaps with intense regeneration are 415

    surrounded by intact forests. This interpretation is supported by heterogeneous but high near-416

    infrared reflectance measured above undisturbed forests. High near-infrared reflectance may 417

    be caused by grass growth or strong regrowth of pioneer tree species, which are both patterns 418

    we would expect in heavily disturbed stands or in recent larger canopy gaps (Riou & Seyler, 419

    1997). Salvage logged forests are strongly degraded comprising regrowth patches covered in 420

    less productive vines intersected by an extensive road network; they feature slow tree 421

    regeneration and significantly reduced aboveground biomass. Thus, unsurprisingly, salvage 422

    logged forests exhibit high but homogeneous near-infrared reflectance and low but 423

    homogeneous red absorption. 424

    Deleted: 2425

  • 18

    Twice logged stands differed clearly from undisturbed forest and dense forest regrowth 426

    but also from salvage logged stands. They exhibit high near-infrared reflectance and low red 427

    absorption, but both with variable texture patterns, which is indicative of rainforests with 428

    signs of man-made disturbance (Riou & Seyler, 1997). These stands are irregular mosaics of 429

    intact forest, logging infrastructure and clear-cuts that are currently regenerating. Oil palm 430

    shows less red wavelength absorption and considerably higher dissimilarity in doing so, 431

    probably because they vary in age and canopy LAI and hence photosynthetic capacity. 432

    Furthermore, oil palm canopies are intersected by a dense network of roads used for 433

    maintenance and harvest. Unsurprisingly, their near-infrared reflectance is high but very 434

    homogeneous. Overall, spectral data density curves show considerable overlap across forest 435

    disturbance levels, especially between forests that experienced moderate to high logging 436

    pressures, and between heavily logged forests and mature oil palm plantations. 437

    438

    4.2 Modelling structure - sensor data relationships 439

    Statistically fitting observed values of biophysical attributes, such as leaf area index, to 440

    corresponding spectral vegetation indices is a common upscaling procedure. Spectral 441

    vegetation indices exploit the differential between near infrared and red reflectance and the 442

    ratio of these two spectral bands. This should render them more sensitive to the vegetation 443

    component, while minimizing external effects caused by solar irradiance, atmospheric 444

    conditions, and canopy background (Qi et al., 1995). Vegetation indices have consequently 445

    been linked to productivity and canopy physical traits (Pfeifer et al., 2012; Sims et al., 2006; 446

    Sjöström et al., 2011). Here, we show that vegetation greenness explains only 13 % of 447

    biomass variability at plot level and heavily underestimates biomass in denser forests. Hence, 448

    assuming vegetation greenness to be a direct surrogate for on-the-ground forest structure, 449

  • 19

    productivity or biodiversity (Pettorelli et al., 2005) is too simplistic, and is unlikely to 450

    produce reliable outcomes for degradation landscapes in the humid tropics. 451

    We demonstrate that spectral intensity data themselves can be used to estimate 452

    biophysical structure, in particular for canopy attributes. By including texture information 453

    into our mathematical models, we could significantly improve the models’ predictive 454

    capacity, especially for canopy structure at stand level. Texture and spectral data combined 455

    can be used to separate oil palm from moderately disturbed to undisturbed forests. The plots 456

    measured at SAFE encompass the gradient of biomass found across the wider landscape, 457

    setting this study apart from other tree plot studies (Marvin et al., 2014). Using tree census 458

    data from these plots allowed us to map biomass, and thus carbon, across the landscape. 459

    However, despite using data from more than 12 ha of surveyed area, we found that more 460

    than 40% of the variation in plot attributes remain unexplained. These uncertainties in the 461

    upscaling algorithm need to be accounted for when using the resulting maps for research and 462

    conservation planning at landscape scales. Sources of observed uncertainties may include 463

    inaccuracies in field measurements (Jonckheere, Muys, & Coppin, 2005; Phillips, Brown, 464

    Schroeder, & Birdsey, 2000) or noise introduced through satellite image acquisition and 465

    correction procedures (Dungan, 2003). Canopy reflectance at stand level is affected by many 466

    factors operating at different spatial scales, i.e. transmittance of leaves, amount and 467

    arrangement of leaves in the canopy, and characteristics of other canopy components. Large 468

    time-spans between date of measurement in the field and date of image acquisition can 469

    introduce errors, especially in seasonal environments. However, climate at SAFE landscape is 470

    aseasonal and no dry months occurred between September 2011 and January 2013, the period 471

    during which our data was collected. Canopy structure was measured in the field in the same 472

    year (and for some plots within a month of image acquisition). Biomass was measured 473

    approximately one year prior to image acquisition, which may contribute to errors in 474

  • 20

    upscaling algorithms as Borneo’s forests typically show high wood growth rates (9.73 Mg 475

    dry mass per ha, Banin et al., 2014). However, these high growth rates are caused primarily 476

    through tall trees of the Dipterocarpaceae family (Banin et al., 2014), which had been 477

    targeted by selective logging rounds in disturbed forests. Low spectral resolution of the 478

    images may limit our ability to distinguish between forest degradation stages at higher 479

    disturbance levels, especially when analysing texture. 480

    Spectral reflectance data are good indicators of rates (i.e. photosynthesis), but less 481

    reliable indicators of vegetation state (e.g. leaf area index), due to non-linearity in 482

    relationships (Sellers, 1987). In our study, we use empirical approaches to estimate 483

    biophysical attributes from remote sensing data and to subsequently use the derived statistical 484

    relationships to generate continuous surfaces of these attributes across the SAFE landscape. 485

    A major drawback of this computationally efficient approach is that it is a site and sensor-486

    specific one (Pfeifer et al., 2012). Physically based approaches using radiative transfer theory 487

    model photon transport in vegetation canopies and can be adapted for various conditions 488

    (Myneni et al., 2002). They are more powerful for understanding the mechanisms behind 489

    observed variations in the spectral reflectance at the scale of leaves and individual trees, but 490

    they are difficult to implement, scale- and vegetation type dependent and there is no universal 491

    canopy radiative transfer model suitable for all canopies (Yin et al., 2015). 492

    Complex patterns of topography and disturbance underlie spatial variation in above-493

    ground carbon at landscape scale (Gale 2000, Pfeifer et al. 2015). Environmental factors 494

    other than disturbance measured at SAFE probably affect above-ground live tree biomass, as 495

    terrain steepness may affect both forest accessibility for logging but also forest growth. 496

    Including micro-topographic drivers into models to map AGB variation across a forest 497

    degradation landscape will be the subject of future studies. 498

    499

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  • 21

    4.3 Degradation impacts on forest structure at landscape scale 500

    Up-scaled maps revealed a pronounced decline in aboveground live tree biomass with 501

    increasing disturbance across the SAFE degradation landscape. These impacts are clearly 502

    visible in both field data and maps, even a decade after logging. Harvesting rates computed 503

    from these maps are higher than previously suggested in the literature (Struebig et al., 2013). 504

    However, these were computed assuming that pre-logging biomass was similar to biomass in 505

    nearby undisturbed forests, which may not necessarily be the case. In future analyses, 506

    harvesting rates could be computed from time-series of biomass maps to avoid errors 507

    introduced during such a space-for-time substitution approach. 508

    Field data demonstrate a rapid recovery in forest canopy structure with the canopy 509

    recovering to pre-disturbance levels a decade after logging. Yet, up-scaled maps, which cover 510

    a larger survey area, suggest that both LAI and FCover are still reduced in logged compared 511

    to primary forest stands (for details see Table 3 and Figure 5). Reduced LAI is linked to 512

    higher daily maximum temperatures and lower daily humidity within tropical forests and at 513

    this study site (Hardwick et al., 2015), and this in turn is likely to affect invertebrates and 514

    invertebrate-mediated ecosystem functions (Ewers et al., 2015). We therefore suggest that 515

    logging impacts on ecosystem processes and biodiversity are likely to be present more than a 516

    decade after logging. Overall, our analyses suggest that both canopy structure and biomass 517

    respond negatively to increased forest degradation. 518

    Degradation impacts on forest structure appeared spatially heterogeneous, but not 519

    necessarily in the way we would expect. For example, biomass was low in oil palms, and 520

    quite consistently so. In contrast, AGB in primary forests varied strongly in space, despite 521

    being higher on average when compared to disturbed forest stands. Canopy structure was 522

    most variable in oil palms as we would expect given age differences of our oil palm stands, 523

    but showed no trends with disturbance in forests, even though forest stands were increasingly 524

  • 22

    heterogeneous in their FCover response to disturbance. Natural tree falls causing localised 525

    canopy damage may be one of a number of reasons explaining the heterogeneity observed in 526

    the biophysical structure of primary forests. 527

    528

    4.4 Mapping High Carbon Stocks (HCS) in degraded landscapes 529

    Current estimates suggest that at least one third of the world’s tropical humid forests are 530

    affected by logging. Oil palm (Elais guineensis) is now grown across more than 13.5 million 531

    ha of tropical humid lowland, often replacing high-biodiversity and high-biomass forest 532

    (Fitzherbert et al., 2008). Malaysia and Indonesia, in particular, are major palm oil producers, 533

    where demand for suitable agricultural land conflict with conservation initiatives (Koh & 534

    Wilcove, 2007; Sodhi et al., 2004). In recent years, major conservation NGOs have been 535

    working with corporate actors in palm oil and pulp & paper industries, developing a High 536

    Carbon Stock approach to Forest Conservation Policies (Greenpeace International, 2013). 537

    This approach aims to identify degraded lands suitable for development, cultivation and 538

    expansion of oil palm plantations and to spatially delineate areas that should be conserved. 539

    Our maps are sufficiently detailed to enable such decision-making and to identify (relatively) 540

    high carbon stock areas within the wider study landscape. However, the practical value of 541

    these maps will be dependent on the user’s ability to assess biomass variability in relative 542

    rather than absolute terms. High biomass, little disturbed forests are clearly separated from 543

    low biomass, heavily degraded forests and pockets of high-biomass forest are clearly visible 544

    within the study landscape. Setting appropriate cut-off points for separating high from 545

    moderate biomass forests is likely to be more challenging, given that the uncertainty in our 546

    models and maps increases in high biomass zones. 547

    548

    5. Conclusions 549

  • 23

    Tropical forest landscapes are under increasing pressure worldwide as a result of 550

    anthropogenic disturbance. Mapping forest degradation at near-real time and at the landscape 551

    level can provide a valuable means of informing conservation actions or pre-emptive 552

    management to limit losses. Our maps (Figure A3 in Appendix) depict the impacts of past 553

    logging events on the canopy structure and biomass of tropical humid forests. These maps 554

    can now be utilised to identify conservation win-wins (Strassburg et al., 2010), for example 555

    by combining them with ongoing biodiversity surveys to delineate zones of high biodiversity 556

    across forest types, and with measurements of carbon sequestration, hydrological cycles and 557

    microclimate. These maps can also be manipulated to incorporate trade-offs between land use 558

    demands and to take into account recent developments in fragmentation research. This 559

    information ultimately feeds into High Carbon Stocks and High Conservation Value 560

    approaches to forest and biodiversity conservation (Senior, Brown, Villalpando, & Hill, 561

    2014). 562

    563

    Acknowledgement 564

    We thank the Sime Darby Foundation, the Sabah Foundation, Benta Wawasan and the Sabah 565

    Forestry Department for their generous support of the SAFE Project. We thank the Royal 566

    Society’s South East Asia Rainforest Research Programme for logistical support in the field, 567

    and Yayasan Sabah, Maliau Basin Management Committee, the State Secretary, Sabah Chief 568

    Minister’s Departments, the Malaysian Economic Planning Unit and the Sabah Biodiversity 569

    Council for permission to conduct research in Sabah. Data in the field were largely collected 570

    with the help and support of the SAFE Project’s team of Research Assistants. MP and RME 571

    were supported by European Research Council Project number 281986. We thank the 572

    European Space Agency for providing RapidEyeTM under Category 1 - User Agreement to 573

    MP (C1P 13735). 574

    Deleted: 2575

  • 24

    576

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    811

    812 Formatted: Space After: 8 pt

  • 34

    Table 1 Global beta-logistic models relating forest structure attributes to RapidEyeTM 813

    satellite sensor data at 135 plots. Models include intensity data for sensor bands 2 (GREEN), 814

    3 (RED), 4 (RED_EDGE) and 5 (NEAR_IR), as well as their respective grey-level 815

    dissimilarities (DissB2, DissB3, DissB4, DissB5). Structure attributes include (aboveground 816

    biomass, AGB, leaf area index, LAI, and fractional vegetation cover, FCover) MSAVI2, 817

    which is computed from red and near-infrared intensities, replaced both predictors in the 818

    global model for AGB. The predicted estimates were scaled between 1e-6 and 65 (AGB), 1e-819

    6 and 100 (FCover) and 1e-6 and 10 (LAI) to construct the models. See Table 2 for model-820

    averaging results. DEV - Model fit computed as model-explained deviance. AIC - Akaike 821

    Information Criterion. 822

    Predicted Global Model DEV AIC

    AGB

    scaled

    exp(MSAVI2) + GREEN + RED_EDGE + DissB2 + DissB3

    + DissB4 + DissB5

    0.62 -457.9

    LAI

    scaled

    DissB3 + DissB4 + DissB5 + RED + RED_EDGE +

    NEAR_IR

    0.52 -293.8

    FCover

    scaled

    DissB3 + DissB4 + DissB5 + RED + RED_EDGE +

    NEAR_IR

    0.38 -143.9

    823

    Deleted: ¶824

    Deleted: green825

    Deleted: red826

    Deleted: red-edge827

    Deleted: near-infrared828

  • 35

    Table 2 Results of model-averaging carried out on three global beta-logistic regression 829

    models relating forest structure attributes to satellite derived spectral and texture information 830

    (see Table 1 for global models). The mathematical relationships between forest structure and 831

    satellite sensor data were used to upscale forest structure across the SAFE landscape. Relative 832

    variable importance (RVI) was computed during multi-model averaging. RVI = 1 if the 833

    predictor was present in all models. Coefficient estimates in bold: RVI = 1. DEV - Model fit 834

    computed as model-explained deviance. N - Number of models computed during model-835

    averaging. For further explanation of variables used see Table 1. 836

    Predicted Model coefficients (with shrinkage) Phi DEV N

    AGB

    scaled

    19.45a - 5.01*exp(MSAVI2a) - 2.39*GREENa +

    1.08*RED_EDGEa + 2.65*DissB2a - 0.28*DissB3 -

    0.13*DissB5 + 0.09*DissB4

    12.15a 0.61 8

    LAI

    scaled

    0.90c - 0.59*REDa + 0.41*RED_EDGEa -

    0.11*NEAR_IRa - 0.53*DissB3d+ 1.08*DissB4a -

    0.36*DissB5a

    37.43a 0.52 2

    FCover

    scaled

    2.66b - 0.66*REDb + 0.30*RED_EDGEd -

    0.08*NEAR_IRc + 1.48*DissB4a - 0.42*DissB5c -

    0.17*DissB3

    8.93a 0.38 7

    a P < 0.001, b P < 0.01, c P < 0.05, d P < 0.01 837

    838

    839

    840

    841

    Deleted: ¶842

    Deleted: green843

    Deleted: red-edge844

    Deleted: red845

    Deleted: red-edge846

    Deleted: near-infrared847

    Deleted: red848

    Deleted: red-edge849

    Deleted: near-infrared850

    Formatted: Space After: 8 pt

  • 36

    Table 3 Summary statistics for forest structure variation across disturbance levels using maps 851

    derived from upscaling forest structure. Aboveground biomass (AGB): the distribution of 852

    estimates was least variable in oil palms (F test, P < 0.001); AGB was more variable in 853

    primary and lightly logged forest compared to twice-logged and salvage logged forest, but 854

    less variable in twice compared to salvage logged forest (all P < 0.001). Leaf area index 855

    (LAI): the distribution of estimates was most variable in oil palm; LAI was more variable in 856

    primary forest compared to other forests, but less variable in lightly versus twice-logged 857

    forest, and less variable in twice versus salvage logged forest (all P < 0.001). Fractional 858

    vegetation cover (FCover): the distribution of estimates was most variable in oil palm; 859

    FCover was less variable in lightly logged versus other forest types, less variable in primary 860

    compared to twice-logged forest and less variable in twice-logged versus salvage logged 861

    forest (all P < 0.001). 862

    863

    AGB (t/ha) LAI (m2/m2) FCover (%)

    Mean Median SD Mean Median SD Mean Median SD

    Oil Palm 38.1 33.2 25.2 2.47 2.48 0.7 56.23 57.85 10.5

    Salvage L 95.4 75.4 72.8 3.78 3.84 0.5 70.96 71.13 6.9

    Twice L 122.4 112.6 52.6 3.82 3.81 0.4 74.32 75.04 4.8

    Lightly L 163.2 123.2 102.7 4.12 4.10 0.3 74.71 74.10 3.5

    Primary 350.4 337.5 111.9 4.43 4.46 0.5 81.03 81.43 4.1

    864

    865

    866

    867

    Deleted: ¶868

    Formatted: Superscript

    Formatted: Superscript

  • 37

    Fig. 1 Location of vegetation plots within the SAFE landscape. The average altitude of plots 869

    is 439 m above sea level [range: 238 - 618 m] based on ASTER global digital elevation 870

    model 2 (ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA). Selected close-ups of the 871

    sampling design in forest stands and oil palm plantations are overlaid on False Colour 872

    Composites of two RapidEyeTM images. 873

    874

    Fig. 2 Forest attributes aggregated at the level of forest types. (A) Above-ground biomass in 875

    live tree (AGB) decreased significantly from unlogged, protected forest stands (OG) to 876

    severely degraded stands (Salvage logged) and oil palm plantations (OP). (B) and (C) 877

    Canopy structure (Leaf Area Index, LAI; Fraction of vegetation cover, FCover) does not 878

    differ significantly between forest types, although it does differ markedly between forest 879

    stands and OP. For details on pairwise significant differences see text. 880

    881

    Fig. 3 Spectral and textural image data derived from RapidEyeTM imagery for plots and 882

    aggregated to the level of forest types. Oil palm blocks differed significantly from forests in 883

    all satellite derived information. (A) Red intensity was lower in primary and lightly logged 884

    forest compared to salvage logged and twice-logged forest (P < 0.05). (B) Vegetation 885

    greenness expressed as MSAVI2 was higher in primary compared to twice-logged and 886

    salvage logged forest (P < 0.001) and lower in twice-logged versus salvage logged forest (P 887

    < 0.005). (C) Red dissimilarity was higher in primary and twice-logged forest compared to 888

    salvage logged forest (P < 0.001). Primary forest had significantly lower near-infrared band 889

    dissimilarity compared to twice-logged forest (P < 0.05) but significantly higher near-infrared 890

    band dissimilarity compared to salvage logged forest (P < 0.001). (D) Near-infrared 891

    dissimilarity was lower in salvage logged forest compared to twice-logged (P < 0.0001) and 892

    lightly logged forest (P < 0.001). 893

    Deleted: ¶894

  • 38

    895

    Fig. 4 Single-predictor relationships between forest attributes and spectral data derived from 896

    RapidEyeTM imagery at plot level and aggregated to stand level. At stand level, aboveground 897

    biomass increased exponentially with increasing vegetation greenness. Leaf area index and 898

    fractional vegetation cover decreased linearly with increasing red intensity. At plot level, 899

    relationships are weaker but still significant. For details on models and models fits see text. 900

    901

    Fig. 5 Density curves computed from histograms of structure attributes and extracted for each 902

    disturbance level from the newly generated maps. For details on the extraction see text. All 903

    density curves differed significantly from each other (two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test; 904

    P < 0.001). All forest types differ significantly from each other in their structure. On average, 905

    AGB (t / ha), LAI and FCover decreased sequentially from primary forest to lightly logged, 906

    twice-logged and salvage logged forests (see also Table 3). 907

    908

    Fig. 6 Derived maps of forest structure attributes (above-ground biomass in live tree, AGB, 909

    leaf area index, LAI, and fractional vegetation cover, FCover) at the SAFE degradation 910

    landscape. Details on models used to generate these maps are provided in Table 2. 911

  • 39

    912

    913

    Figure 1 Location of vegetation plots within the SAFE landscape. 914

  • 40

    915

    916

    Figure 2 Forest attributes aggregated at the level of forest types.917

  • 41

    918

    919

    Figure 3 Spectral and textural image data derived from RapidEyeTM imagery for plots and 920

    aggregated to the level of forest types. Red intensity is given in µW/(cm2 * sr * nm). 921

    922

    923

    Formatted: Superscript

  • 42

    924

    925

    Figure 4 Single-predictor relationships between forest attributes and spectral data derived 926

    from RapidEyeTM imagery at plot level and aggregated to stand level.927

  • 43

    928

    929

    930

    Figure 5 Density curves computed from histograms of structure attributes and extracted for 931

    each disturbance level from the newly generated maps.932

  • 44

    933

    934

    Figure 6 Derived maps of forest structure attributes (above-ground biomass in live tree, 935

    AGB, leaf area index, LAI, and fractional vegetation cover, FCover) at the SAFE degradation 936

    landscape. 937

    938 Formatted: Left, Space After: 8 pt, Line spacing: Multiple 1.08 li

  • 45

    Appendix 939

    940

    Table A1 Details on RapidEyeTM imagery used in this study. There were 193 vegetation plots 941

    (25 m x 25 m) established at SAFE in 2010 and distributed among 17 sampling blocks (table 942

    1): three oil palm plantation blocks (OP1 and OP2 planted in 2006 and OP3 planted in 2000), 943

    two primary forest blocks (OG1 and OG2), two lightly or illegally logged forest blocks (OG3 944

    and VJR), four twice-logged forest blocks (LFE, LF1 - LF3) and six salvage-logged forest 945

    blocks that are currently being converted into a fragmented agricultural landscape (A - F) 946

    (Ewers et al 2011). We thank the European Space Agency for providing RapidEyeTM under 947

    Category 1 - User Agreement to Marion Pfeifer (C1P 13735). Res - Resolution, IA - 948

    Incidence angle, SE - Illumination elevation angle, SVA - Spacecraft viewing angle. 949

    950

    Tile Date Blocks (forests and

    oil palms) covered

    Res IA SE SVA

    5041214 21/09/2012 OG1 to OG 3 5 m 18.56 80.84 16.79

    5041215 21/09/2012 - 5 m 16.37 81.04 16.79

    5041216 13/05/2012 - 5 m 16.78 75.08 -13.16

    5041217 18/08/2012 F, VJR, LFE, B, C,

    D, E, OP1, OP2, OP3

    5 m 7.20 78.77 -6.29

    5041218 24/01/2013 A, LF1 to LF3 5 m 6.53 63.36 6.78

    951

    952

    Deleted: ¶953

  • 46

    Table A2 Pearson’s product moment correlation coefficients (Spearman’s rho) between 954

    predictor variables (texture indices: mean, variance contrast, dissimilarity; spectral data) 955

    computed for bands 2 to 5 (B2 to B5) and extracted for the field derived point data. ns - 956

    correlation not significant at P = 0.05. Showing results for window size 9 pixels x 9 pixels 957

    only. B2 - GREEN, B3 - RED, B4 - RED_EDGE, B5 - NEAR_IR. 958

    959

    Mean Variance Contrast Dissimilarity

    B2 B3 B4 B5 B2 B3 B4 B5 B2 B3 B4 B5 B2 B3 B4 B5

    Mean

    B2 - .88 .89 .75 .34 .26 .39 .41 .39 .25 .23 .24 .46 .28 .25 .28

    B3 - - .54 .31 - .56 .44 .20 - .53 .24 .10 - .57 .22 .13

    B4 - - - .92 - - .36 .56 - - .29 .42 - - .33 .45

    B5 - - - - - - - .55 - - - .38 - - - .40

    Vari

    an

    ce

    B2 - - - - - .96 .79 .16 .62 .57 .34 .09 .56 .55 .26 .08

    B3 - - - - - - .68 .02 - .64 .25 -.02 - .64 .16 -

    .03

    B4 - - - - - - - .62 - - .65 .51 - - .62 .49

    B5 - - - - - - - - - - - .86 - - - .85

    Con

    trast

    B2 - - - - - - - - - .85 .58 .14 .94 .71 .48 .14

    B3 - - - - - - - - - - .41 -.1 - .91 .30 -

    .06

    B4 - - - - - - - - - - - .74 - - .96 .69

    B5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - .98

    Dis

    sim

    ilari

    ty

    B2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - .61 .48 .20

    B3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - .22 -

    .09

    B4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - .74

    B5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    Sp

    ectr

    al

    B2 .45 - - - .37 - - - .50 - - - .41 - - -

    B3 .32 .70 - - .45 .56 - - .56 .73 - - .44 .74 - -

    B4 .47 .49 .31 - .19 .23 -.03 - .30 .37 -.11 - .25 .41 -.16 -

    B5 .25 .04 .28 .41 -.00 .00 -.14 -.19 -.01 .04 -.29 -.27 -.00 .10 -.32 -

    .27

    960

    961

    Deleted: 1962

    Deleted: 1963

    Formatted: Left, Space After: 8 pt

  • 47

    Table A3 Models fits (R2adj ) of linear single - predictor models relating texture indices to 964

    biophysical attributes at plot level. ns - correlation not significant at P = 0.05. AGB - Live 965

    tree aboveground biomass, Fcov - Fractional vegetation cover. LAI - Leaf area index. B2 - 966

    GREEN, B3 - RED, B4 - RED_EDGE, B5 - NEAR_IR. 967

    968

    Window 3 x 3 Window 5 x 5 Window 7 x 7 Window 9 x 9

    AGB LAI FCov AGB LAI FCov AGB LAI FCov AGB LAI FCov

    Mean

    B2 .16 ns ns .17 ns ns .18 ns ns .19 ns ns

    B3 ns .15 .10 .02 .16 .11 .02 .17 .12 .03 .17 .13

    B4 .32 ns ns .33 ns ns .34 ns ns .34 ns ns

    B5 .42 .04 .03 .43 .04 .03 .44 .04 .03 .43 .03 .03

    Vari

    an

    ce

    B2 ns .06 .-3 ns .09 .05 ns .10 .06 ns .11 .07

    B3 ns .17 .07 ns .19 .09 ns .19 .11 ns .19 .11

    B4 .02 ns ns .04 ns ns .04 ns ns .02 ns ns

    B5 .16 .07 .04 .21 .06 .03 .22 .05 ns .19 .03 ns

    Con

    trast

    B2 ns .02 ns ns .03 ns ns .05 ns ns .07 ns

    B3 ns .08 ns ns .10 .02 ns .13 .04 .14 .18 .06

    B4 ns ns ns ns ns ns ns ns ns ns ns ns

    B5 .14 ns ns .15 ns ns .14 ns ns .11 ns ns

    Dis

    sim

    ilari

    ty

    B2 ns ns ns ns ns ns ns .03 ns ns .04 ns

    B3 .03 .19 .09 .04 .21 .10 .05 .25 .13 .06 .28 .15

    B4 .04 ns .02 .05 ns .03 .05 ns .02 .04 ns ns

    B5 .16 ns ns .17 ns ns .17 ns ns .14 ns ns

    969

    970

    971

    972

    Deleted: ¶973

  • 48

    974

    975 Figure A1 Spectral vegetation indices derived from RapidEyeTM imagery for plots and 976

    aggregated to the level of forest types. We calculated the Normalized Difference Vegetation 977

    Index as NDVI = (Near_IR - RED)/(Near_IR + RED), the Enhanced Vegetation Index as 978

    EVI = 2.5 * (NEAR_IR - RED)/( NEAR_IR + 2.4 * RED + 1), the Modified Soil-Adjusted 979

    Vegetation Index as MSAVI2 = ((2 * NEAR_IR + 1) - (( 2 * NEAR_IR + 1 )^{2} - 8 * 980

    (NEAR_IR - RED))^{1/2}) / 2, and the Red Edge Index as REI = ((NEAR_IR - RED)/( 981

    NEAR_IR + RED)) +1 Spectral vegetation indices were highly correlated with each other 982

    across plots as indicated by Pearson’s product-moment correlation, r (NDVI ~ MSAVI2: r = 983

    0.996, NDVI ~ EVI2: r = 0.994, EVI2 ~ MSAVI2: r = 0.985, MSAVI2 ~ REI: r = 0.882, 984

    NDVI ~ REI: r = 0.849, EVI2 ~ REI: r = 0.872). 985

    986

    987

    Deleted: ¶988

    Deleted: ¶989

    Deleted: were 990

    Deleted: ¶991 ¶992

    Formatted: Indent: Left: 0 cm, First line: 0 cm

  • 49

    993

    Figure A2 Comparison of predicted forest attributes (using our final models) against forest 994

    attributes observed in the field at the level of plots (grey dots) and at the level of forest types 995

    (mean ±standard deviation). 996

    997

    Formatted: Space After: 0 pt, Line spacing: Double

    Formatted: Font: Not Bold

  • 50

    998