Paths to Post Secondary Readiness

Dash WeerasingheAssessment and Accountability

Plano ISD

4th Annual Texas MAP User Conference - July 28, 2010

Why College Readiness?

•Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Surveys, March 1998, 1999, and 2000.

$23,400

$30,400

$36,800

$38,200

$52,200

$62,300

$89,400

$109,600

Some High School

High School Graduate

Some College

Associate's Degree

Bachelor's Degree

Master's Degree

Doctoral Degree

Professional Degree

Ave

rage

Ann

ual E

arni

ngs

College Preparation Program • Students that undergo a rigorous college program

are more likely to: Stay in high school Score higher on college readiness test Enroll in college (by 12 percentage points) Be prepared for credit-bearing college courses Not need remedial courses in college Achieve a first-year college grade point average (GPA) of

3.0 or higher (by 9 percentage points) Persist in college (by 7 percentage points) Earn a college degree (by 8 percentage points)

* The Role of Nonacademic Factors in College Readiness and Success, Issues in College Readiness, ACT 2007

College Readiness Program

EXPLORE PLAN ACT/SAT

Successful transition into high school

Explore personally relevant career options

Information about students' perceived needs

World-of Work Map, study skills checklist, coursework planner

As a "pre-ACT" test, PLAN is a powerful predictor of success on the ACT

Focuses attention on both career preparation and improving academic achievement

Links students with relevant college and scholarship information

ACT tests are curriculum based and directly related to what is taught in high school courses

Can measure growth towards collage readiness

SAT scores can be converted to ACT scale to measure growth

Measuring PSR

Test EXPLORE PLAN ACT SAT Equivalent

English 13 15 18 471 – VMath 17 19 22 520 – Q

Reading 15 17 21 470 – VScience 20 21 24

• Students who meet a Benchmark have approximately a 50 percent chance of earning a B or better and approximately a 75 percent chance of earning a C or better in English Composition, College Algebra, and Biology Typical first year college coursework

* How Much Growth toward College Readiness Is Reasonable to Expect in High School?, ACT 2009* ACT-SAT Concordance, ACT 2008

Using PSR Benchmarks

Test EXPLORE PLAN ACT SAT Equivalent

English 13 15 18 471 – VMath 17 19 22 520 – Q

Reading 15 17 21 470 – VScience 20 21 24

• Evaluating students’ early progress toward college readiness• For timely interventions• For educational counseling• Career planning tool

College Readiness to College GPAM

athematics

• EXPLORE, PLAN, or ACT score and College First-year GPA

Growth to PSRAverage Growth in Achievement between 8th and 11th grade: Using the vertical scale from Explore, Plan, and ACT

TAKS and College Readiness

EXIT TAKSScore

Predicted English

ACT Score

Predicted Verbal SAT

Score

Predicted Math

ACT Score

PredictedQuant. SAT

Score

2100 17.7 461 19.5 472

College Readiness Reading Standard = 18

2200 20.1 502 21.9 521

College Readiness Math Standard = 22

2300 22.5 534 24.3 570

2400 24.9 584 26.7 618

• Math EXIT TAKS Score 2100 ► 5%2200 ► 26%2300 ► 77%2400 ► 100%

• ELA EXIT TAKS score 2100 ► 57%2200 ► 77%2300 ► 90%2400 ► 100%

Exit TAKS and College Readiness

Probability of being ready for College Algebra

Probability of being ready for freshman English Composition

Aiming for 2250 in EXIT TAKS• What is the equivalent standard for 2250 in EXIT TAKS

Reading Mathematics

Grade 3 2330 2308

Grade 4 2282 2291

Grade 5 2269 2308

Grade 6 2320 2276

Grade 7 2263 2193

Grade 8 2298 2216

Grade 9 2228 2201

Grade 10 2221 2181

* Identifying Appropriate College-Readiness Standards For All Students, National Center for Education Accountability, May 2006.

Unequal standards in grades 3-6; Need to set significantly higher expectation in elementary to meet the required standard in secondary…

PSR – Begins in Elementary!

MAP EXPLORE PLAN, ACT, SAT, EOCs

Grades 1 – 8

MAP RIT Growth in Reading and Math

Progress to College Readiness in 8th Grade

Grade 8 Status Check

High school Planning

Career Analysis

EOC College Readiness Measures

Grade 10 Status Check – PLAN, SAT

Grade 11 Readiness: SAT, ACT, EOCs

Charting PSR Growth• Based on ACT recommended standards - College

Readiness MAP RIT Scores Mathematics: RIT Score of 244 by Grade 8 Spring Reading: RIT Score of 226 by Grade 8 Spring

• Find the typical growth path for students District or school specific growth path Growth path dependent of student demographics

LEP path or Non-LEP path Economically disadvantaged Ethnicity Combination of above

Charting PSR Growth• In Plano, using a regression model, we formularized

the fall to spring growth for each grade level• This enabled individual growth paths for each

student based in their starting MAP score from KN to grade 9 Reading Mathematics Science – Grade 3 to 9

• Apply the growth trajectory formulae to identify students on track at grade 3 and above

Grade 3 Fall to Grade 8 Spring

171

190

205

215

224

235237

244

249

177

196

240

214

226

231

238

243

218

226

235

245249

254258

192

207

218

229

234

241

246

208

220

226

234

186

202 Target = 244

160

180

200

220

240

260

Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

RIT

Ran

ge

Target: 244 in Grade 8 Spring

Mathematics Path

Grade 3 Fall to Grade 8 Spring

Mathematics Path244

249

240

231

238

243

254258

234

241

246

234

160

180

200

220

240

260

Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

205

215

177

196

218

226

192

186

160

180

200

220

240

260

Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

171

190

205

215

224

235237

244

249

177

196

240

210

222

229

237

244

234

226

220

208197

177

Target = 244

160

180

200

220

240

260

Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

RIT

Ran

ge

Accelerated Growth path: 4 more RIT points required than typical growth

Target: 244 in Grade 8 SpringMathematics Path

Accelerated Growth to PSR

Target: 244 in Grade 8 SpringMathematics Path

244

249

240

237

244

234

160

180

200

220

240

260

Gr 1 Fall Gr 2 Fall Gr 3 Fall Gr 3 Spring Gr 4 Spring Gr 5 Spring Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

Accelerated Growth to PSR

237

244

249

217

232

241

227

236

243

248

253

257

217

226

233

210

220

230

240

250

Gr 6 Spring Gr 7 Spring Gr 8 Spring

RIT

Ran

ge

PSR – Intervention in 6th Grade

Accelerated Growth path: 11 more RIT points required than typical growth

Target: 244 by Grade 8 Spring

Presenting to Teachers

Presenting to Teachers

Presenting to Teachers

PSR - Challenges• Key To Readiness: Motivating students early

at upper elementary grade levels educating students and parents from non-college degree

households on what college readiness mean

• Setting College Readiness Standards too low students not being ready for credit bearing courses

• Setting High Standards aspiring college students, currently not “On track” could be

discouraged

Why Post Secondary Readiness

•The PayScale Report, 2010

$32

$34$35$35$36

$36$37

$38$40

$42$49$49

$51

$53$56

$65

Elementary EducationArt

Fashion MerchandisingEducation

JournalismSpecial Education

MusicBiology

FrenchAgriculture

EconomicsInformation Systems

PhysicsNursing

Computer ScienceChemical Engineering

Starting Salary in Thousands

Paths to Post Secondary Readiness

Dr. Dash WeerasingheAssessment and Accountability

Plano ISDDash.Weerasinghe@pisd.edu

4th Annual Texas MAP User Conference - July 28, 2010