ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Australia Q1 SUBJECT: MEOS Q118...

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  • SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 1

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Australia

    Q1 2018

  • SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 2

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the first quarter 2018 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 1,503 employers in Australia.

    All survey participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2018 as compared to the current quarter?”

    Contents

    Australian Employment Outlook 1 Organisation-Size Comparisons Regional Comparisons Sector Comparisons

    Global Employment Outlook 11 International Comparisons – Asia Pacific International Comparisons – Americas International Comparisons – EMEA

    About the Survey 27

    About ManpowerGroup® 28A us

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  • ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 1

    SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 1

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net Employment Outlook

    Seasonally Adjusted

    % % % % % %

    Jan-Mar 2017

    Apr-June 2017

    July-Sep 2017

    Oct-Dec 2017

    Jan-Mar 2018

    13 5 76 6 8 9

    15 4 78 3 11 9

    10 3 83 4 7 9

    15 4 78 3 11 10

    18 5 74 3 13 14

    Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

    No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    -10

    -20

    Australian Employment Outlook

    Australian employers report respectable hiring intentions for the January-March time frame. With 18% of employers forecasting an increase in staffing levels, 5% anticipating a decrease and 74% expecting no change, the resulting Net Employment Outlook is +13%.

    Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, the Outlook stands at +14%. The Outlook is the strongest in more than six years, improving by four and five percentage points quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, respectively.

    Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.

    From this point forward, all data discussed in the commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated otherwise.

  • 2 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

    SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 2

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    Participating employers are categorised into one of four organisation sizes: Micro businesses have less than 10 employees; Small businesses have 10-49 employees; Medium businesses have 50-249 employees; and Large businesses have 250 or more employees.

    Staffing levels are expected to increase in all four organisation size categories during Quarter 1 2018. The strongest labour market is anticipated by Large employers who report a solid Net Employment Outlook of +27%. Elsewhere, Outlooks for Medium- and Small-size employers stand at +17% and +11%, respectively. However, Micro employers expect a quiet hiring pace, reporting an Outlook of +1%.

    Organisation-Size Comparisons Quarter-over-quarter, Large employers report an improvement of five percentage points, and Outlooks are four percentage points stronger for both Medium- and Small-size employers. Meanwhile, Micro employers report relatively stable hiring plans.

    In a comparison with this time one year ago, Large employers report a considerable improvement of 11 percentage points. The Outlook for Medium employers increases by eight percentage points, and Small employers report an improvement of five percentage points. However, hiring prospects decline by three percentage points for Micro firms.

    IncreaseOrganisation-Size Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net Employment Outlook

    Seasonally Adjusted

    % % % % % %

    Large-Size 250 or more

    Medium-Size 50-249

    Small-Size 10-49

    Micro-Size less than 10

    34 7 55 4 27 27

    22 5 69 4 17 17

    16 4 78 2 12 11

    4 3 90 3 1 1

    Micro-Size less than 10Micro-Size less than 10

    Graph displays Seasonally Adjusted DataGraph displays Seasonally Adjusted Data

    Small-Size 10-49Small-Size 10-49 Medium-Size 50-249Medium-Size 50-249 Large-Size 250 or moreLarge-Size 250 or more

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

  • ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 3

    SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 3

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    Employers anticipate an increase in staffing levels in all eight regions during the first quarter of 2018. New South Wales employers report the strongest hiring intentions with a Net Employment Outlook of +21%. Elsewhere, steady job gains are expected in Queensland and Tasmania, with Outlooks of +15% and +14%, respectively, while Outlooks stand at +13% in both South Australia and Australian Capital Territory (ACT). Meanwhile, Northern Territory employers report the weakest regional Outlook of +5%.

    Hiring plans improve in six of the eight regions when compared with the final quarter of 2017, most notably in Northern Territory, where employers report an increase of 12 percentage points. Hiring intentions are nine percentage points stronger in New South Wales and increase by five percentage points in ACT. Meanwhile, employers in two regions − Tasmania and Western Australia − report no quarter-over-quarter change.

    -5 25

    Western Australia

    *Incorporated with New South Wales until Q1 2009.

    Victoria

    Tasmania

    South Australia

    Queensland

    Northern Territory

    New South Wales

    9 8

    -2

    11

    12

    14 15

    17

    21

    5

    21

    11

    14

    13

    Australian Capital Territory (ACT)* 13 15

    Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

    0 5 10 15 20

    Regional Comparisons When compared with this time one year ago, Outlooks strengthen in seven of the eight regions. Considerable increases of 11 percentage points are reported in both Queensland and Tasmania, while the Outlook for New South Wales is 10 percentage points stronger. Modest improvements of six and five percentage points are reported in South Australia and Western Australia, respectively, while ACT employers report an increase of four percentage points. However, Victoria employers report a slight decline of two percentage points.

  • 4 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

    SMART JOB NO: 14027 QUARTER 1 2018

    CLIENT: MANPOWER

    SUBJECT: MEOS Q118 – AUSTRALIA – FOUR COLOUR – A4

    SIZE: A4

    DOC NAME: 16004_AUSTRALIA_4COL_A4_Q118_FORPDF PAGE: 4

    ARTWORK SIZE: 297mm x 210mm DATE: 29.11.17

    87 CHARTERHOUSE STREET • LONDON EC1M 6HJ • TEL +44 (0)20 7553 4744

    Australian Capital Territory (ACT) Respectable payroll gains are anticipated in Quarter 1 2018, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%. The Outlook is five percentage points stronger in comparison with Quarter 4 2017, and improves by four percentage points when compared with this time one year ago.

    New South Wales The strongest hiring pace in more than six years is forecast for the January-March time frame, with employers reporting a solid Net Employment Outlook of +21%. Hiring plans improve by nine percentage points when compared with the previous quarter and are 10 percentage points stronger when compared with the first quarter of 2017.

    Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

    No bar indicates Net Employment Outlo