Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

47
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE APRIL 10 th , 2014 CONTACT: DAVID FLAHERTY 303-861-8585 STEVE DAINES LEADS JOHN WALSH BY 13 POINTS IN MT SENATE RACE: DAINES 49%, WALSH 36%, ROOTS 4%, OTHER 5% UNDECIDED 6% CONG. GENERIC BALLOT: REPUBLICAN 50%, DEMOCRAT 37%, OTHER 5% Louisville, CO – Among likely 2014 general election voters in Montana, Republican Congressman Steve Daines leads newly appointed Democrat Senator John Walsh by 13 points, 49% to 36%. These results are based on a 2,490n automated voice recorded survey of likely 2014 general election voters fielded April 1 st and 2 nd . The image ratings of both candidates are similar, with 53% of all respondents having a favorable opinion of Steve Daines, 33% having an unfavorable opinion of him and 10% having no opinion of him. John Walsh’s image rating stands at 47% favorable, 29% unfavorable and 17% of respondents do not have an opinion of him. When reviewing the results by major voting subgroup, we find Steve Daines leading among men by 18 points, 52% to 34%, and by 9 points, 46% to 37% among women. Among self-identified independents, Steve Daines leads by 15 points, 43% to 28%. “If the election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were John Walsh, Democrat, Steve Daines Republican, Roger Roots, Libertarian, or some other candidate?” Results by Gender, Marital Status and Party Identification* All All Men Mar. Men Sing. Men All Wom Mar. Wom Sing. Wom Dems Reps Ind 65+ Daines Net +13 +18 +21 +9 +9 +13 -4 -72 +75 +15 +8 Total Daines 49% 52% 54% 46% 46% 49% 36% 10% 84% 43% 47% Def Daines 37% 41% 43% 36% 33% 36% 25% 4% 68% 31% 38% Prob Daines 12% 11% 11% 10% 13% 13% 11% 6% 16% 12% 9% Total Walsh 36% 34% 33% 37% 37% 36% 40% 82% 9% 28% 39% Def Walsh 27% 28% 27% 30% 27% 27% 28% 66% 7% 20% 30% Prob Walsh 9% 6% 6% 7% 10% 9% 12% 16% 2% 8% 9% Total Roots 4% 6% 6% 9% 3% 2% 5% 1% 1% 10% 2% Other Can. 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 8% 5% Undec/No Op. 6% 4% 3% 4% 10% 8% 14% 4% 4% 11% 7% *Some numbers shown were rounded to the nearest whole number.

description

Magellan Strategies survey of 2,490 likely Montana general election voters. The survey includes a voter mood question, US Senate ballot test of Steve Daines, John Walsh, and Roger Roots, and a Congressional generic ballot test.

Transcript of Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Page 1: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

! FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE APRIL 10th, 2014 CONTACT: DAVID FLAHERTY 303-861-8585

STEVE DAINES LEADS JOHN WALSH BY 13 POINTS IN MT SENATE RACE: DAINES 49%, WALSH 36%, ROOTS 4%, OTHER 5% UNDECIDED 6%

CONG. GENERIC BALLOT: REPUBLICAN 50%, DEMOCRAT 37%, OTHER 5% Louisville, CO – Among likely 2014 general election voters in Montana, Republican Congressman Steve Daines leads newly appointed Democrat Senator John Walsh by 13 points, 49% to 36%. These results are based on a 2,490n automated voice recorded survey of likely 2014 general election voters fielded April 1st and 2nd. The image ratings of both candidates are similar, with 53% of all respondents having a favorable opinion of Steve Daines, 33% having an unfavorable opinion of him and 10% having no opinion of him. John Walsh’s image rating stands at 47% favorable, 29% unfavorable and 17% of respondents do not have an opinion of him. When reviewing the results by major voting subgroup, we find Steve Daines leading among men by 18 points, 52% to 34%, and by 9 points, 46% to 37% among women. Among self-identified independents, Steve Daines leads by 15 points, 43% to 28%. “If the election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were John Walsh, Democrat, Steve Daines Republican, Roger Roots, Libertarian, or some other candidate?”

Results by Gender, Marital Status and Party Identification*

All All

Men Mar. Men

Sing. Men

All Wom

Mar. Wom

Sing. Wom

Dems

Reps

Ind

65+

Daines Net +13 +18 +21 +9 +9 +13 -4 -72 +75 +15 +8 Total Daines 49% 52% 54% 46% 46% 49% 36% 10% 84% 43% 47% Def Daines 37% 41% 43% 36% 33% 36% 25% 4% 68% 31% 38% Prob Daines 12% 11% 11% 10% 13% 13% 11% 6% 16% 12% 9% Total Walsh 36% 34% 33% 37% 37% 36% 40% 82% 9% 28% 39% Def Walsh 27% 28% 27% 30% 27% 27% 28% 66% 7% 20% 30% Prob Walsh 9% 6% 6% 7% 10% 9% 12% 16% 2% 8% 9% Total Roots 4% 6% 6% 9% 3% 2% 5% 1% 1% 10% 2% Other Can. 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 8% 5% Undec/No Op. 6% 4% 3% 4% 10% 8% 14% 4% 4% 11% 7%

*Some numbers shown were rounded to the nearest whole number.

Page 2: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan Strategies Montana 2014 US Senate General Election Survey Release April 10, 2014, 2,490n MoE +/- 1.96%

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585

Voter Mood The voter mood about the direction of the country among Montana voters mirrors many national surveys, with only 30% thinking the country is headed in the right direction and 64% feeling that things are off on the wrong track. Among major voter subgroups, only among self-identified Democrats do a majority of 66% think things in the country are headed in the right direction. Among independent voters, 68% feel things in the country are off on the wrong track, as do 90% of Republican voters. Congressional Generic Ballot Looking at the results of the Congressional generic ballot test, the generic Republican candidate leads the Democrat candidate by 13 points, 50% to 37%. Among male voters the Republican candidate leads by 18 points, 52% to 34%. Among female voters the Democrat candidate trails the Republican candidate by 7 points, 40% to 47% respectively. These numbers should be alarming to Democrat candidates because women, and single women in particular, are a significant part of the Democratic base. Among the all important independent voter subgroup, we find the Republican candidate leading the Democrat candidate by 12 points, 42% to 30%. “If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate?”

Results by Gender, Marital Status and Party Identification*

All All

Men Mar. Men

Sing. Men

All Wom

Mar. Wom

Sing. Wom

Dem

Rep

Ind

65+

Rep Net +13 +18 +22 +7 +7 +12 -7 -78 +84 +12 +6 Rep. 50% 52% 54% 47% 47% 51% 36% 8% 90% 42% 48% Dem. 37% 34% 32% 40% 40% 39% 43% 86% 6% 30% 42% Other 5% 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 7% 1% 1% 13% 5% Undec/DK 8% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 14% 5% 3% 15% 5%

*Some numbers shown were rounded to the nearest whole number.

Summary Although it is very early in the 2014 campaign cycle, Steve Daines is starting out with a 13 point lead over John Walsh and is in a good position among key voter subgroups. In Montana, the environment is far from ideal for a national Democrat candidate, and as John Walsh begins introducing himself and making his case to voters, we will see if he is able to gain traction later this year. The survey topline and crosstab results are included in this document. This full crosstabs and release can be downloaded from the Magellan Strategies Slideshare page at www.Slideshare.net or http://ow.ly/vEiMf .

Page 3: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan Strategies Montana 2014 US Senate General Election Survey Release April 10, 2014, 2,490n MoE +/- 1.96%

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585

Survey Methodology The results were based on a statewide automated voice recorded interview survey of 2,490 likely 2014 Montana general election voters. The interviews were conducted on April 1st and 2nd of 2014. The individuals interviewed for the survey were selected from a Montana voter file and were selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 1.96% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at [email protected] or 303-861-8585. Survey Commissioned By: The individuals that commissioned this survey wish to remain anonymous. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative, qualitative, and predictive data analytic services to Republican candidates and conservative organizations across the country. Any questions regarding this survey research should be directed to David Flaherty at 303-861-8585 or [email protected].

Page 4: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Montana US Senate 2014 Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 2,490n automated voice recorded survey of likely general election voters in the state of Montana. The interviews were conducted April 1st and 2nd, 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 1.96% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election demographics.

T1. Are you registered to vote? Yes ........................................................................ 100%

T2. How likely are you to vote in the November general election for the United States Senate? Extremely likely ....................................................... 93% Very likely ................................................................. 5% Somewhat likely ........................................................ 2%

T3. Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are headed in the right direction or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? Right direction ........................................................ 30% Wrong track ............................................................ 64% Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 6%

T4. If the election for Congress were being held today would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? Republican candidate ............................................. 50% Democrat candidate ................................................ 37% Some other candidate ............................................... 5% Undecided ................................................................ 7% No opinion ............................................................... 1%

Page 5: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan ID#: MTSEN-040114 Montana US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 4/1/14 – 4/2/14, MoE +/- 1.96%, 2,490n

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

2

Now I’m going to read to you the names of some people involved in politics. After hearing the name please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you don’t know the name of the person or organization, there is an option for that as well. Let’s get started… T5. The first name is John Walsh Total Favorable ....................................................... 47% Total Unfavorable ................................................... 29% No opinion of him .................................................. 17% Very favorable ......................................................... 24% Somewhat favorable ................................................ 23% Very unfavorable ..................................................... 13% Somewhat unfavorable ............................................ 16% Never heard of .......................................................... 7% Unsure ...................................................................... 0%

T6. The next person is Steve Daines. Total Favorable ....................................................... 53% Total Unfavorable ................................................... 33% No opinion of him .................................................. 10% Very favorable ......................................................... 34% Somewhat favorable ................................................ 19% Very unfavorable ..................................................... 19% Somewhat unfavorable ............................................ 14% Never heard of .......................................................... 3% Unsure ...................................................................... 1%

Page 6: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan ID#: MTSEN-040114 Montana US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 4/1/14 – 4/2/14, MoE +/- 1.96%, 2,490n

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

3

T7. If the election for the United States Senate were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were John Walsh, Democrat, Steve Daines, Republican, Roger Roots, Libertarian or some other candidate? Steve Daines ........................................................... 49% John Walsh ............................................................. 36% Roger Roots ............................................................... 4% Some other candidate ............................................... 5% Undecided ................................................................ 6% Definitely Steve Daines ........................................... 37% Probably Steve Daines ............................................ 12% Definitely John Walsh ............................................. 28% Probably John Walsh ................................................. 8%

T8. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? Very conservative .................................................... 31% Conservative ........................................................... 30% Moderate ................................................................ 31% Liberal ....................................................................... 7% Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 1%

T9. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and gay marriage? Very conservative .................................................... 31% Conservative ........................................................... 19% Moderate ................................................................ 25% Liberal ..................................................................... 23% Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 2%

Page 7: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan ID#: MTSEN-040114 Montana US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 4/1/14 – 4/2/14, MoE +/- 1.96%, 2,490n

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

4

T10. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat or something else? Total Republican ..................................................... 35% Total Democrat ....................................................... 27% Something else ........................................................ 38% Strong Republican ................................................... 24% Not so strong Republican ........................................ 11% Strong Democrat ..................................................... 18% Not so strong Democrat ............................................ 9%

T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Female .................................................................... 52% Male ....................................................................... 48%

T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29 ...................................................................... 10% 30-44 ...................................................................... 20% 45-54 ...................................................................... 17% 55-64 ...................................................................... 23% 65+ ......................................................................... 30% Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 0%

T13. What is your marital status? Married ................................................................... 72% Widowed .................................................................. 9% Separated .................................................................. 1% Divorced ................................................................... 7% Single and have never been married ......................... 8% Unmarried and living with a partner ......................... 2% Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 1%

Survey Methodology The results were based on a statewide automated voice recorded survey of 2,490 likely 2014 Montana general election voters. The interviews were conducted on April 1st and 2nd of 2014. The individuals interviewed for the survey were selected from a Montana voter file and were selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age

Page 8: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Magellan ID#: MTSEN-040114 Montana US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 4/1/14 – 4/2/14, MoE +/- 1.96%, 2,490n

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

5

demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 1.96% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at [email protected] or 303-861-8585.

Page 9: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

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ou to

vot

e in

the

Nov

embe

r gen

eral

ele

ctio

n fo

r the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Sen

ate?

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

--

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----

----

----

----

----

----

---

TOTA

L

----

----

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ME

N

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

M

EN

----

----

SIN

G

ME

N

--

----

---

WO

M

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

W

OM

----

----

SIN

G

WO

M

--

----

---

18

-29

---

----

--

30

-44

--

----

--

45

-54

--

----

---

55

-64

---

----

--

65

PLU

S

--

----

--

RE

P

TOT

--

----

---

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P

ME

N

--

----

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P

WO

M

--

----

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M

TOT

---

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M

ME

N

--

----

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DE

M

WO

M

--

----

---

IND

TO

T -

----

----

IND

M

EN

----

----

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W

OM

----

----

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TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1195

10

0.0

915

100.

0

267

100.

0

1295

10

0.0

871

100.

0

396

100.

0

249

100.

0

498

100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

735

100.

0

871

100.

0

429

100.

0

442

100.

0

672

100.

0

235

100.

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438

100.

0

946

100.

0

531

100.

0

415

100.

0 E

XTR

EM

ELY

LIK

ELY

2313

92

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1129

94

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881

96.3

235

88.1

1183

91

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818

93.9

338

85.3

210

84.5

463

93.0

394

93.0

549

95.9

684

93.2

810

92.9

405

94.4

404

91.5

639

95.1

227

96.6

412

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864

91.3

497

93.6

366

88.3

V

ER

Y L

IKE

LY

11

4 4.

6

34

2.9

26

2.9

8 2.

9

80

6.2

37

4.2

43

10.9

24

9.7

16

3.2

23

5.4

16

2.8

35

4.8

36

4.1

12

2.7

24

5.5

22

3.3

6 2.

7

16

3.6

57

6.0

16

3.0

40

9.7

SO

ME

WH

AT

LIK

ELY

63

2.5

32

2.6

7 0.

8

24

9.0

31

2.4

16

1.9

15

3.7

15

5.8

19

3.8

7 1.

7

8 1.

3

15

2.0

26

3.0

12

2.9

14

3.1

11

1.6

2 0.

7

10

2.2

26

2.7

18

3.3

8 2.

0

Page 13: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 2-

2 T2

. How

like

ly a

re y

ou to

vot

e in

the

Nov

embe

r gen

eral

ele

ctio

n fo

r the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Sen

ate?

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

OLO

GY

V

OTE

R M

OO

D

GE

NE

RIC

CO

NG

RE

SS

W

ALS

H IM

G

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

---

----

----

----

----

---

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

---

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

TO

TAL

--

----

---

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

--

MO

DE

R

ATE

----

----

-

LIB

E

RA

L -

----

----

VE

RY

C

ON

S

--

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

---

MO

DE

R

ATE

-

----

----

LIB

E

RA

L

----

----

RG

HT

DIR

----

----

-

WR

NG

TR

CK

-

----

----

DE

M

CA

ND

----

----

RE

P

CA

ND

----

----

-

OTH

R

CA

ND

----

----

FAV

TO

T

----

----

-

VE

RY

FA

V

---

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

UN

FV

TOT

--

----

---

VE

RY

U

NFV

-

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

--

NO

O

PIN

----

----

-

TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

758

100.

0

744

100.

0

772

100.

0

172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

1604

10

0.0

918

100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 E

XTR

EM

ELY

LIK

ELY

2313

92

.9

701

92.4

695

93.5

716

92.7

168

97.7

718

93.5

433

90.8

584

94.2

543

93.6

710

96.3

1477

92

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879

95.7

1148

92

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128

94.0

1120

96

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579

98.4

541

94.7

690

96.7

321

97.9

369

95.6

340

81.3

V

ER

Y L

IKE

LY

11

4 4.

6

26

3.5

37

5.0

41

5.3

4 2.

3

33

4.3

22

4.5

24

3.9

30

5.2

21

2.8

77

4.8

30

3.3

48

3.8

6 4.

8

27

2.4

7 1.

3

20

3.5

21

2.9

7 2.

1

14

3.5

55

13.1

S

OM

EW

HA

T LI

KE

LY

63

2.

5

31

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11

1.5

15

1.9

17

2.

2

22

4.7

12

1.9

7 1.

3

7 0.

9

50

3.1

9 1.

0

41

3.3

2 1.

2

13

1.1

2 0.

3

10

1.8

3 0.

5

3

0.9

23

5.5

Page 14: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 2-

3 T2

. How

like

ly a

re y

ou to

vot

e in

the

Nov

embe

r gen

eral

ele

ctio

n fo

r the

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Sen

ate?

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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----

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----

----

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----

---

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L

----

----

-

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TO

T -

----

----

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RY

FA

V

--

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

-

UN

FV

TOT

---

----

--

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RY

U

NFV

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

---

NO

O

PIN

-

----

----

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H

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F W

LSH

----

----

-

PR

OB

W

LSH

-

----

----

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IN

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F D

AIN

----

----

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PR

OB

D

AIN

----

----

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GR

R

OO

T

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ME

O

THR

-

----

----

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DE

C

IDE

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

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0

818

100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

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204

100.

0

1207

10

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100.

0

288

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0

108

100.

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0

163

100.

0 E

XTR

EM

ELY

LIK

ELY

2313

92

.9

1256

94

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820

95.3

436

93.4

788

96.4

463

97.9

325

94.3

199

77.2

848

95.7

657

96.3

191

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1128

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90

83.4

108

97.0

129

79.4

V

ER

Y L

IKE

LY

11

4 4.

6

41

3.1

21

2.5

20

4.3

22

2.7

7 1.

4

15

4.5

42

16.1

28

3.1

17

2.4

11

5.5

42

3.5

19

2.1

23

8.0

17

15.4

2 1.

9

24

14.9

S

OM

EW

HA

T LI

KE

LY

63

2.

5

29

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19

2.2

10

2.2

8 0.

9

3 0.

7

4 1.

2

17

6.8

10

1.1

8 1.

2

2 0.

8

37

3.1

25

2.7

13

4.4

1 1.

2

1 1.

2

9 5.

7

Page 15: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 3-

1 T3

. Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k th

ings

in th

e co

untry

are

hea

ded

in th

e rig

ht d

irect

ion

or d

o yo

u fe

el th

at th

ings

are

off

on th

e w

rong

trac

k?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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----

- --

----

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----

----

--

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----

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----

----

----

----

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----

----

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----

----

----

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- --

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

-

TO

TAL

--

----

---

ME

N

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

M

EN

----

----

SIN

G

ME

N

--

----

---

WO

M

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

W

OM

----

----

SIN

G

WO

M

--

----

---

18

-29

---

----

--

30

-44

--

----

--

45

-54

--

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---

55

-64

---

----

--

65

PLU

S

--

----

--

RE

P

TOT

--

----

---

RE

P

ME

N

--

----

--

RE

P

WO

M

--

----

---

DE

M

TOT

---

----

--

DE

M

ME

N

--

----

--

DE

M

WO

M

--

----

---

IND

TO

T -

----

----

IND

M

EN

----

----

IND

W

OM

----

----

-

TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1195

10

0.0

915

100.

0

267

100.

0

1295

10

0.0

871

100.

0

396

100.

0

249

100.

0

498

100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

735

100.

0

871

100.

0

429

100.

0

442

100.

0

672

100.

0

235

100.

0

438

100.

0

946

100.

0

531

100.

0

415

100.

0 R

IGH

T D

IRE

CTI

ON

738

29.6

337

28.2

244

26.6

92

34.3

401

30.9

277

31.8

122

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44

17.6

151

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123

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206

36.0

211

28.7

68

7.8

38

8.8

30

6.8

441

65.6

153

65.4

288

65.7

229

24.2

146

27.5

83

20.0

W

RO

NG

TR

AC

K

16

04

64.4

799

66.9

624

68.2

167

62.3

805

62.1

546

62.7

234

59.1

197

79.1

318

63.8

272

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344

60.1

466

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785

90.1

383

89.3

402

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178

26.5

66

28.2

112

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640

67.7

350

65.8

291

70.0

U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

148

6.0

59

4.9

47

5.2

9 3.

4

90

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48

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41

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8 3.

3

29

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28

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22

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58

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8 1.

9

10

2.3

53

7.9

15

6.5

38

8.7

77

8.1

35

6.7

41

10.0

Page 16: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 3-

2 T3

. Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k th

ings

in th

e co

untry

are

hea

ded

in th

e rig

ht d

irect

ion

or d

o yo

u fe

el th

at th

ings

are

off

on th

e w

rong

trac

k?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

--

----

----

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----

----

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TOTA

L

----

----

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VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

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NS

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RV

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--

----

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DE

R

ATE

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-

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RA

L -

----

----

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RY

C

ON

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--

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NS

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RV

E

--

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DE

R

ATE

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E

RA

L

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HT

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TR

CK

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M

CA

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P

CA

ND

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CA

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----

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RY

FA

V

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WT

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----

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--

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RY

U

NFV

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WT

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--

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O

PIN

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

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100.

0

744

100.

0

772

100.

0

172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

1604

10

0.0

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100.

0

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10

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0

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10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 R

IGH

T D

IRE

CTI

ON

738

29.6

67

8.8

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118

68.7

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100.

0

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7 68

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42

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16

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589

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44

6.2

9 2.

7

35

9.2

72

17.3

W

RO

NG

TR

AC

K

16

04

64.4

677

89.3

600

80.7

263

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44

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04

100.

0

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23.7

1172

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343

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310

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U

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148

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8.6

41

7.1

74

8.0

23

1.9

22

16.2

95

8.2

42

7.2

52

9.2

7 1.

0

1 0.

2

7 1.

8

36

8.5

Page 17: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 3-

3 T3

. Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k th

ings

in th

e co

untry

are

hea

ded

in th

e rig

ht d

irect

ion

or d

o yo

u fe

el th

at th

ings

are

off

on th

e w

rong

trac

k?

DA

INE

S IM

G

US

SE

NA

TE B

ALL

OT

----

----

----

----

----

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TO

TAL

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----

---

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TO

T -

----

----

VE

RY

FA

V

--

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

-

UN

FV

TOT

---

----

--

VE

RY

U

NFV

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

---

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O

PIN

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----

----

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H

TOT

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----

--

DE

F W

LSH

----

----

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PR

OB

W

LSH

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----

----

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IN

TOT

--

----

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F D

AIN

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----

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OB

D

AIN

----

----

RO

GR

R

OO

T

----

----

-

SO

ME

O

THR

-

----

----

UN

DE

C

IDE

----

----

TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

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100.

0

467

100.

0

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100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

1207

10

0.0

920

100.

0

288

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0

108

100.

0

111

100.

0

163

100.

0 R

IGH

T D

IRE

CTI

ON

738

29.6

146

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45

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101

21.6

514

62.9

330

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184

53.4

54

21.1

591

66.6

487

71.4

103

50.6

64

5.3

26

2.8

38

13.4

17

15.4

35

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27

16.4

W

RO

NG

TR

AC

K

16

04

64.4

1133

85

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797

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336

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238

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101

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137

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181

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224

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148

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76

37.6

1119

92

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240

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82

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66

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107

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U

NS

UR

E

NO

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INIO

N

148

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49

3.7

18

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30

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66

8.1

42

8.9

24

6.9

23

8.8

71

8.0

47

6.9

24

11.8

24

2.0

15

1.6

9 3.

1

10

9.1

10

9.4

29

18.0

Page 18: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 4-

1 T4

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for C

ongr

ess

wer

e be

ing

held

toda

y w

ould

you

vot

e fo

r the

Dem

ocra

t can

dida

te o

r the

Rep

ublic

an c

andi

date

?

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

--

----

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---

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L

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ME

N

TOT

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----

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MA

RR

M

EN

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----

SIN

G

ME

N

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---

WO

M

TOT

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--

MA

RR

W

OM

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SIN

G

WO

M

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-29

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-64

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OM

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2490

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267

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0

396

100.

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498

100.

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423

100.

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

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100.

0

442

100.

0

672

100.

0

235

100.

0

438

100.

0

946

100.

0

531

100.

0

415

100.

0 R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

CA

ND

IDA

TE

12

37

49.7

625

52.3

497

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125

46.7

612

47.3

447

51.4

141

35.7

154

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242

48.6

236

55.8

252

44.0

349

47.5

783

89.8

377

87.9

406

91.7

54

8.1

11

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43

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400

42.2

236

44.4

164

39.4

D

EM

OC

RA

T C

AN

DID

ATE

918

36.9

408

34.1

292

31.9

106

39.8

511

39.5

339

38.9

169

42.6

30

12.1

165

33.1

153

36.1

257

44.9

305

41.5

57

6.5

33

7.6

24

5.4

581

86.4

216

92.2

364

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281

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158

29.8

123

29.5

S

OM

E O

THE

R C

AN

DID

ATE

136

5.5

71

5.9

52

5.7

19

7.0

65

5.0

36

4.1

29

7.3

18

7.3

44

8.8

15

3.4

25

4.4

34

4.7

8 0.

9

4 0.

9

4 0.

9

6 1.

0

1 0.

5

5 1.

2

122

12.9

66

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56

13.6

U

ND

EC

IDE

D

16

7 6.

7

86

7.2

69

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16

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81

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43

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38

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36

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45

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14

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35

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36

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21

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14

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7 1.

6

15

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6 2.

4

10

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130

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66

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65

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N

O O

PIN

ION

32

1.3

7 0.

6

5 0.

6

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6

25

1.9

6 0.

7

19

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11

4.3

1 0.

3

6 1.

4

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6

10

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3 0.

3

1 0.

3

2 0.

4

16

2.3

16

3.

6

13

1.4

5 1.

0

8 1.

9

Page 19: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 4-

2 T4

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for C

ongr

ess

wer

e be

ing

held

toda

y w

ould

you

vot

e fo

r the

Dem

ocra

t can

dida

te o

r the

Rep

ublic

an c

andi

date

?

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

OLO

GY

V

OTE

R M

OO

D

GE

NE

RIC

CO

NG

RE

SS

W

ALS

H IM

G

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

----

----

----

TO

TAL

--

----

---

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

--

MO

DE

R

ATE

----

----

-

LIB

E

RA

L -

----

----

VE

RY

C

ON

S

--

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

---

MO

DE

R

ATE

-

----

----

LIB

E

RA

L

----

----

RG

HT

DIR

----

----

-

WR

NG

TR

CK

-

----

----

DE

M

CA

ND

----

----

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P

CA

ND

----

----

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OTH

R

CA

ND

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TO

T

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RY

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V

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RY

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PIN

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2490

10

0.0

758

100.

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744

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0

772

100.

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172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

1604

10

0.0

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100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

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0 R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

CA

ND

IDA

TE

12

37

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592

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496

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127

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19

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604

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252

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43

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42

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100.

0

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D

EM

OC

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T C

AN

DID

ATE

918

36.9

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144

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533

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143

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80

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88

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0

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18.7

S

OM

E O

THE

R C

AN

DID

ATE

136

5.5

42

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48

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33

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6 3.

5

32

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24

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31

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16

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98

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136

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0

48

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11

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ND

EC

IDE

D

16

7 6.

7

40

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50

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62

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3 2.

0

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24

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45

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51

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40

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106

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67

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7

22

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45

7.9

18

2.5

1 0.

4

17

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70

16.7

N

O O

PIN

ION

32

1.3

2 0.

3

6 0.

8

17

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14

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8

4 0.

7

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6

14

2.0

10

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17

1.

4

2 0.

4

15

2.6

3 0.

4

3

0.7

11

2.6

Page 20: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 4-

3 T4

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for C

ongr

ess

wer

e be

ing

held

toda

y w

ould

you

vot

e fo

r the

Dem

ocra

t can

dida

te o

r the

Rep

ublic

an c

andi

date

?

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

--

----

----

----

----

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L

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TO

T -

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RY

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V

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WT

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FV

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RY

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NFV

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WT

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O

PIN

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H

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F W

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OB

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IN

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F D

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OB

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AIN

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GR

R

OO

T

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ME

O

THR

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----

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DE

C

IDE

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

100.

0

818

100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

1207

10

0.0

920

100.

0

288

100.

0

108

100.

0

111

100.

0

163

100.

0 R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

CA

ND

IDA

TE

12

37

49.7

1034

77

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760

88.4

273

58.5

57

6.9

9 1.

8

48

13.9

110

42.6

35

3.9

22

3.2

13

6.5

1098

91

.0

875

95.1

223

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31

28.9

26

23.6

41

25.4

D

EM

OC

RA

T C

AN

DID

ATE

918

36.9

175

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51

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124

26.5

660

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430

90.8

230

66.7

52

20.1

800

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646

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154

75.5

36

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34.5

27

16.6

S

OM

E O

THE

R C

AN

DID

ATE

136

5.5

54

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18

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35

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38

4.7

16

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22

6.4

36

13.8

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4 0.

6

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2

20

1.7

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0

11

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56

52.0

32

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19

11.7

U

ND

EC

IDE

D

16

7 6.

7

56

4.2

28

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28

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60

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16

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44

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44

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48

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13

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35

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7 6.

1

13

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68

41.6

N

O O

PIN

ION

32

1.3

9 0.

7

2 0.

2

7 1.

6

3 0.

4

2 0.

5

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2

17

6.6

14

1.6

1 0.

1

13

6.4

5 0.

4

3 0.

3

2 0.

6

2

2.2

8 4.

7

Page 21: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 5-

1 T5

. Now

I'm

goi

ng to

read

to y

ou th

e na

mes

of s

ome

peop

le in

volv

ed in

pol

itics

. Afte

r hea

ring

the

nam

e, p

leas

e te

ll m

e if

you

have

a fa

vora

ble

or u

nfav

orab

le o

pini

on o

f tha

t per

son.

If y

ou d

on't

know

the

nam

e of

the

pers

on, t

here

is a

n op

tion

for t

hat a

s w

ell.

Let's

get

sta

rted,

the

first

nam

e is

...Jo

hn W

alsh

.

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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2

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4

9 1.

0

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6

1 0.

3

Page 22: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 5-

2 T5

. Now

I'm

goi

ng to

read

to y

ou th

e na

mes

of s

ome

peop

le in

volv

ed in

pol

itics

. Afte

r hea

ring

the

nam

e, p

leas

e te

ll m

e if

you

have

a fa

vora

ble

or u

nfav

orab

le o

pini

on o

f tha

t per

son.

If y

ou d

on't

know

the

nam

e of

the

pers

on, t

here

is a

n op

tion

for t

hat a

s w

ell.

Let's

get

sta

rted,

the

first

nam

e is

...Jo

hn W

alsh

.

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

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GY

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OTE

R M

OO

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ALS

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1 0.

5

Page 23: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 5-

3 T5

. Now

I'm

goi

ng to

read

to y

ou th

e na

mes

of s

ome

peop

le in

volv

ed in

pol

itics

. Afte

r hea

ring

the

nam

e, p

leas

e te

ll m

e if

you

have

a fa

vora

ble

or u

nfav

orab

le o

pini

on o

f tha

t per

son.

If y

ou d

on't

know

the

nam

e of

the

pers

on, t

here

is a

n op

tion

for t

hat a

s w

ell.

Let's

get

sta

rted,

the

first

nam

e is

...Jo

hn W

alsh

.

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

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1

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6

1 0.

7

Page 24: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 6-

1 T6

. The

nex

t per

son

is S

teve

Dai

nes.

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

--

----

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0

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27

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670

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140

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657

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453

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181

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145

58.2

231

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289

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688

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353

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335

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113

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478

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210

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UN

FAV

OR

AB

LE

81

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412

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303

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99

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406

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107

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20

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159

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139

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247

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249

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64

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38

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26

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429

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262

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324

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206

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118

28.4

N

O O

PIN

ION

258

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90

7.6

70

7.7

20

7.5

168

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89

10.2

78

19.6

84

33.8

69

13.8

33

7.9

21

3.7

49

6.7

89

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29

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59

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14

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47

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47

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62

14.9

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ER

Y F

AV

OR

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LE

86

0 34

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445

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349

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95

35.5

415

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293

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99

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132

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137

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147

34.7

178

31.0

264

35.9

513

58.9

266

62.0

247

55.9

57

8.4

14

6.1

42

9.7

290

30.6

165

31.0

125

30.2

S

OM

EW

HA

T FA

VO

RA

BLE

467

18.8

225

18.8

178

19.4

45

16.9

243

18.7

160

18.4

82

20.7

13

5.1

94

18.8

92

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111

19.4

153

20.8

175

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87

20.3

88

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104

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34

14.6

70

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188

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103

19.5

85

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V

ER

Y U

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VO

RA

BLE

473

19.0

249

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182

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58

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224

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174

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94

18

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87

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157

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135

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18

2.1

12

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4

273

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115

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158

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181

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122

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60

14.4

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OM

EW

HA

T U

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VO

RA

BLE

345

13.8

163

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121

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41

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182

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122

14.0

60

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20

8.0

65

13.0

52

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91

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115

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46

5.3

26

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20

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156

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53

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103

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143

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85

15.9

58

14.0

N

EV

ER

HE

AR

D O

F

68

2.7

16

1.3

12

1.3

4 1.

4

52

4.0

26

3.0

25

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40

7.

9

10

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10

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9 1.

2

26

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9 2.

1

17

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15

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0.

1

15

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27

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20

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UN

SU

RE

19

0.8

7 0.

6

3 0.

3

4 1.

6

12

0.9

6 0.

7

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3

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5

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0

11

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5 0.

6

5

1.1

6 0.

9

4 1.

7

2 0.

4

8 0.

9

3 0.

6

5 1.

2

Page 25: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 6-

2 T6

. The

nex

t per

son

is S

teve

Dai

nes.

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

OLO

GY

V

OTE

R M

OO

D

GE

NE

RIC

CO

NG

RE

SS

W

ALS

H IM

G

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TAL

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RY

C

ON

S

---

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RV

E

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DE

R

ATE

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E

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----

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RY

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ON

S

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DE

R

ATE

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L

----

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HT

DIR

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CK

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M

CA

ND

----

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P

CA

ND

----

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CA

ND

----

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T

----

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RY

FA

V

---

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WT

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----

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RY

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NFV

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PIN

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2490

10

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0

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0

581

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0

386

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0 TO

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FAV

OR

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LE

13

27

53.3

597

78.7

463

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224

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35

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589

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309

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54

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441

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306

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TO

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UN

FAV

OR

AB

LE

81

8 32

.8

62

8.1

160

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459

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79

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412

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514

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660

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57

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667

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406

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261

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84

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17

5.1

67

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53

12.8

N

O O

PIN

ION

258

10.4

74

9.7

96

12.9

66

8.6

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0

98

12.7

69

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31

4.9

48

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54

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181

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110

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36

26.2

44

3.8

9 1.

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35

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9 1.

3

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3

9 2.

2

176

42.2

V

ER

Y F

AV

OR

AB

LE

86

0 34

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438

57.8

314

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82

10.6

23

13.2

440

57.4

222

46.5

156

25.2

37

6.4

45

6.1

797

49.7

51

5.6

760

61.5

18

13.5

235

20.2

84

14.3

151

26.3

483

67.7

261

79.6

222

57.5

81

19.4

S

OM

EW

HA

T FA

VO

RA

BLE

467

18.8

159

20.9

149

20.0

142

18.4

12

7.1

149

19.4

95

19.8

152

24.5

62

10.7

101

13.7

336

21.0

124

13.5

273

22.1

35

25.9

207

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85

14.5

121

21.2

133

18.6

48

14.7

85

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84

20.1

V

ER

Y U

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VO

RA

BLE

473

19.0

26

3.4

68

9.1

285

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91

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20

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29

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286

49.3

330

44.7

101

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430

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7

16

12.1

418

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276

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141

24.8

27

3.8

10

3.2

16

4.3

24

5.7

SO

ME

WH

AT

UN

FAV

OR

AB

LE

345

13.8

35

4.7

92

12.4

175

22.6

37

21.7

43

5.6

50

10.5

122

19.7

125

21.6

184

24.9

137

8.5

230

25.1

48

3.9

22

16.1

249

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129

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120

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57

8.0

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9

50

13.1

30

7.1

NE

VE

R H

EA

RD

OF

68

2.

7

21

2.8

22

2.9

19

2.5

2 1.

0

12

1.6

12

2.6

19

3.0

20

3.5

22

3.0

44

2.7

26

2.8

31

2.5

7 5.

0

5 0.

4

3 0.

5

2 0.

4

3 0.

4

3

0.7

17

4.0

UN

SU

RE

19

0.8

5 0.

7

3 0.

4

3 0.

4

1 0.

8

6 0.

8

1 0.

1

4 0.

7

2 0.

3

2 0.

3

9 0.

5

6 0.

7

5 0.

4

1 1.

1

3 0.

3

2 0.

3

2 0.

3

2 0.

2

1 0.

3

1 0.

2

6 1.

5

Page 26: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 6-

3 T6

. The

nex

t per

son

is S

teve

Dai

nes.

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

--

----

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L

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RY

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V

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WT

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TOT

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F W

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OB

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LSH

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----

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F D

AIN

----

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OB

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AIN

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R

OO

T

----

----

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ME

O

THR

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C

IDE

----

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10

0.0

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10

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100.

0

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0

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

886

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0

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0

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288

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0

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0 TO

TAL

FAV

OR

AB

LE

13

27

53.3

1327

10

0.0

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0

467

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0

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125

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39

19.2

1054

87

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855

93.0

199

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30

28.2

31

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45

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TO

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UN

FAV

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LE

81

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81

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0

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100.

0

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523

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125

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48

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16

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36

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28

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PIN

ION

258

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258

100.

0

56

6.3

26

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30

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74

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41

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35

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13

11.3

75

46.2

V

ER

Y F

AV

OR

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LE

86

0 34

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860

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0

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5.

5

44

6.4

5 2.

5

778

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718

78.0

61

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19

17.2

5 4.

6

9 5.

3 S

OM

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T FA

VO

RA

BLE

467

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467

35.2

46

7 10

0.0

115

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81

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34

16.7

276

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137

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139

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12

11.0

26

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37

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ER

Y U

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0

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63

31.0

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19

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15

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37

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20

12.1

N

EV

ER

HE

AR

D O

F

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13

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5

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7

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14

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RE

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0

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4

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1

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6

5 3.

1

Page 27: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 7-

1 T7

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for t

he U

nite

d S

tate

s S

enat

e w

ere

bein

g he

ld to

day

for w

hom

wou

ld y

ou v

ote

if th

e ca

ndid

ates

wer

e Jo

hn W

alsh

, Dem

ocra

t, S

teve

Dai

nes,

Rep

ublic

an, R

oger

Roo

ts, L

iber

taria

n or

som

e ot

her

cand

idat

e?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

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----

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N

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M

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RR

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OM

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G

WO

M

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-54

--

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-64

---

----

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65

PLU

S

--

----

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P

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P

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T -

----

----

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M

EN

----

----

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W

OM

----

----

-

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L

2490

10

0.0

1195

10

0.0

915

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0

267

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0

1295

10

0.0

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100.

0

396

100.

0

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100.

0

498

100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

735

100.

0

871

100.

0

429

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0

442

100.

0

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0

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0

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946

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0

531

100.

0

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100.

0 S

TEV

E D

AIN

ES

1207

48

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617

51.6

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590

45.6

425

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142

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145

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241

48.4

222

52.4

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43.5

347

47.2

731

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82.6

377

85.2

68

10.1

21

9.0

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10.6

408

43.2

241

45.4

167

40.3

JO

HN

WA

LSH

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35.6

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34.3

301

32.9

100

37.4

477

36.8

315

36.1

159

40.2

49

19.8

157

31.4

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33.1

249

43.5

287

39.0

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8.8

56

13.1

21

4.6

549

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84.6

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80.0

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27.6

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29.2

106

25.5

R

OG

ER

RO

OTS

108

4.3

75

6.3

51

5.6

23

8.7

33

2.5

15

1.7

18

4.6

22

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43

8.6

13

3.1

13

2.2

16

2.2

5 0.

6

4 1.

0

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1

5 0.

7

4 1.

7

0.

1

98

10.4

67

12.6

32

7.6

SO

ME

OTH

ER

CA

ND

IDA

TE

11

1 4.

5

49

4.1

37

4.0

11

4.0

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4.8

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5.0

19

4.7

25

4.

9

19

4.4

32

5.6

33

4.5

14

1.6

5 1.

2

9 2.

0

24

3.6

6 2.

4

19

4.3

73

7.7

39

7.3

34

8.3

DE

FIN

ITE

LY D

AIN

ES

920

36.9

489

40.9

390

42.6

96

36.1

431

33.3

311

35.7

98

24.7

108

43.3

179

36.0

163

38.4

188

32.8

280

38.1

595

68.3

306

71.2

289

65.4

29

4.4

8 3.

6

21

4.8

296

31.2

175

32.9

121

29.2

P

RO

BA

BLY

DA

INE

S

28

8 11

.5

128

10.7

102

11.1

26

9.9

159

12.3

114

13.1

44

11.2

37

15.0

62

12.5

59

13.9

61

10.7

67

9.1

136

15.7

49

11.4

87

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38

5.7

13

5.4

26

5.9

113

11.9

67

12.5

46

11.1

D

EFI

NIT

ELY

WA

LSH

682

27.4

330

27.6

246

26.9

81

30.4

352

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239

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111

27.9

34

13.8

113

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109

25.8

198

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224

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57

6.6

46

10.6

12

2.7

441

65.5

165

70.4

276

63.0

184

19.5

119

22.5

65

15.6

P

RO

BA

BLY

WA

LSH

204

8.2

80

6.7

55

6.0

19

6.9

124

9.6

75

8.6

49

12.3

15

6.0

43

8.7

31

7.3

51

8.9

63

8.6

19

2.2

11

2.5

9 1.

9

108

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33

14.3

75

17.0

76

8.1

36

6.7

41

9.9

UN

DE

CID

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163

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30

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9 3.

2

124

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73

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50

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32

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30

6.0

29

6.8

26

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45

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4.5

8 1.

8

32

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26

3.8

4 1.

9

21

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98

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5.0

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17.2

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PIN

ION

14

0.6

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4

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8

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7

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2

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9

2 0.

2

1 0.

4

1 0.

2

7 0.

8

3 0.

6

4 1.

0

Page 28: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 7-

2 T7

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for t

he U

nite

d S

tate

s S

enat

e w

ere

bein

g he

ld to

day

for w

hom

wou

ld y

ou v

ote

if th

e ca

ndid

ates

wer

e Jo

hn W

alsh

, Dem

ocra

t, S

teve

Dai

nes,

Rep

ublic

an, R

oger

Roo

ts, L

iber

taria

n or

som

e ot

her

cand

idat

e?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

--

----

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----

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TOTA

L

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VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

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NS

E

RV

E

--

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DE

R

ATE

----

----

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LIB

E

RA

L -

----

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RY

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ON

S

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NS

E

RV

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--

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DE

R

ATE

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LIB

E

RA

L

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HT

DIR

----

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WR

NG

TR

CK

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----

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M

CA

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P

CA

ND

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OTH

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2490

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768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

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10

0.0

918

100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

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100.

0

572

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0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 S

TEV

E D

AIN

ES

1207

48

.5

568

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466

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150

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18

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560

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340

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64

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1119

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313

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192

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HN

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93

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76

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OG

ER

RO

OTS

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17

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3

36

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18

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30

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24

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17

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82

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14

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31

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56

41.3

33

2.8

13

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20

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27

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14

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13

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45

10.9

S

OM

E O

THE

R C

AN

DID

ATE

111

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21

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40

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36

4.7

10

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18

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12

2.5

47

7.6

29

5.0

35

4.7

66

4.1

38

4.2

26

2.1

32

23.2

43

3.7

6 1.

0

37

6.5

34

4.8

8 2.

5

26

6.7

24

5.8

DE

FIN

ITE

LY D

AIN

ES

920

36.9

467

61.6

353

47.5

89

11.6

8 4.

4

448

58.3

274

57.3

172

27.8

24

4.1

26

3.5

879

54.8

20

2.1

875

70.7

9 6.

7

166

14.3

30

5.1

136

23.8

529

74.1

276

84.2

253

65.6

122

29.2

P

RO

BA

BLY

DA

INE

S

28

8 11

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101

13.3

113

15.2

60

7.8

11

6.3

112

14.6

67

14.0

67

10.9

39

6.7

38

5.2

240

15.0

17

1.8

223

18.0

11

8.1

96

8.2

7 1.

2

88

15.5

89

12.4

29

8.8

60

15.5

70

16.7

D

EFI

NIT

ELY

WA

LSH

682

27.4

72

9.5

92

12.3

394

51.1

116

67.4

77

10.1

52

10.9

202

32.6

340

58.6

487

66.0

148

9.2

646

70.4

22

1.7

4 2.

9

624

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484

82.3

139

24.4

8 1.

1

8

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40

9.6

PR

OB

AB

LY W

ALS

H

20

4 8.

2

21

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47

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110

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22

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29

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24

5.0

59

9.5

86

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103

14.0

76

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154

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13

1.1

2 1.

7

153

13.2

40

6.8

114

19.9

17

2.4

1 0.

2

17

4.3

23

5.5

UN

DE

CID

ED

163

6.5

23

3.0

58

7.7

63

8.2

1 0.

4

42

5.4

28

6.0

42

6.7

38

6.5

27

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107

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27

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41

3.3

19

14.0

45

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8 1.

3

37

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9 1.

3

9

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87

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N

O O

PIN

ION

14

0.6

5 0.

7

2 0.

2

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2

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5

5 0.

6

2 0.

5

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3

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7

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1

1 0.

1

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1 0.

1

0.

1

0.

1

7 1.

6

Page 29: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 7-

3 T7

. If t

he e

lect

ion

for t

he U

nite

d S

tate

s S

enat

e w

ere

bein

g he

ld to

day

for w

hom

wou

ld y

ou v

ote

if th

e ca

ndid

ates

wer

e Jo

hn W

alsh

, Dem

ocra

t, S

teve

Dai

nes,

Rep

ublic

an, R

oger

Roo

ts, L

iber

taria

n or

som

e ot

her

cand

idat

e?

DA

INE

S IM

G

US

SE

NA

TE B

ALL

OT

----

----

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RY

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WT

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PIN

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F W

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IN

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DE

C

IDE

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10

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100.

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100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

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100.

0

204

100.

0

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10

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100.

0

288

100.

0

108

100.

0

111

100.

0

163

100.

0 S

TEV

E D

AIN

ES

1207

48

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1054

79

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778

90.6

276

59.1

48

5.8

1 0.

2

47

13.5

74

28.6

12

07

100.

0

920

100.

0

288

100.

0

JOH

N W

ALS

H

88

6 35

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164

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49

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115

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225

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56

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886

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0

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0

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0

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GE

R R

OO

TS

10

8 4.

3

30

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0

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ME

OTH

ER

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ES

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1

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0.

1

0.1

6 2.

1

Page 30: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 8-

1 T8

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

fisc

al is

sues

like

taxe

s an

d go

vern

men

t spe

ndin

g?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

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OM

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-64

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P

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----

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235

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ER

Y C

ON

SE

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ATI

VE

758

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420

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333

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83

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339

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234

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95

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166

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447

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166

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101

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C

ON

SE

RV

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VE

744

29.9

374

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302

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71

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98

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176

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124

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157

27.4

232

31.5

348

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164

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80

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28

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52

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315

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182

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133

32.1

M

OD

ER

ATE

772

31.0

332

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239

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90

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440

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285

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153

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75

30.1

107

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141

33.3

203

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241

32.9

65

7.4

27

6.2

38

8.5

389

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141

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248

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318

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164

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154

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LI

BE

RA

L

172

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36

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17

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113

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80

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43

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44

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7 0.

8

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6

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0

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42

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101

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22

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14

2.6

8 1.

9 U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

45

1.8

12

1.0

6 0.

7

6 2.

1

33

2.6

15

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17

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6

1.1

8 1.

8

11

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20

2.7

4 0.

5

2 0.

4

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5

16

2.4

4 1.

7

12

2.8

24

2.6

6 1.

1

19

4.5

Page 31: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 8-

2 T8

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

fisc

al is

sues

like

taxe

s an

d go

vern

men

t spe

ndin

g?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

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----

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TOTA

L

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----

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VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

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NS

E

RV

E

--

----

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DE

R

ATE

----

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-

LIB

E

RA

L -

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RY

C

ON

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NS

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RV

E

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DE

R

ATE

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----

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E

RA

L

----

----

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HT

DIR

----

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NG

TR

CK

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M

CA

ND

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P

CA

ND

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CA

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RY

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V

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2490

10

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758

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0

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0

581

100.

0

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100.

0

1604

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0.0

918

100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

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100.

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0

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100.

0

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0

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Y C

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VE

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0

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592

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196

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115

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336

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156

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129

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C

ON

SE

RV

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VE

744

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496

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48

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281

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OD

ER

ATE

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0

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6

57

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322

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336

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263

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127

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546

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110

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89

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BE

RA

L

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20

4.8

UN

SU

RE

N

O O

PIN

ION

45

1.8

2 0.

2

4 0.

9

8 1.

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3

8 5.

7

15

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4 0.

7

11

2.0

0.

1

20

4.8

Page 32: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 8-

3 T8

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

fisc

al is

sues

like

taxe

s an

d go

vern

men

t spe

ndin

g?

DA

INE

S IM

G

US

SE

NA

TE B

ALL

OT

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RY

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V

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WT

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FV

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RY

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PIN

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F W

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OB

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IN

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AIN

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ME

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THR

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C

IDE

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2490

10

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0

886

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ER

Y C

ON

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VE

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62

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26

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74

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93

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72

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21

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568

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101

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48

44.6

21

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23

14.1

C

ON

SE

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ATI

VE

744

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463

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314

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149

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160

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68

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92

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M

OD

ER

ATE

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224

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505

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150

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63

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BE

RA

L

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1 0.

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NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

45

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8 0.

6

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1

8 1.

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5 1.

5

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12

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9 1.

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9

5 0.

4

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2 0.

9

0.

2

4 3.

4

18

11.3

Page 33: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 9-

1 T9

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

soc

ial i

ssue

s lik

e ab

ortio

n an

d ga

y m

arria

ge?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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N

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RR

M

EN

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ME

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-64

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10

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10

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10

0.0

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100.

0

396

100.

0

249

100.

0

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100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

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100.

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442

100.

0

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0

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0

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100.

0

531

100.

0

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100.

0 V

ER

Y C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

768

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398

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326

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71

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369

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251

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109

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117

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131

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120

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151

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247

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474

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236

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239

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60

8.9

25

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34

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234

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137

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96

23.2

C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

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270

22.6

209

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59

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207

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126

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67

17.0

48

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92

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91

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98

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145

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223

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119

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104

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8.7

20

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38

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130

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66

15.8

M

OD

ER

ATE

620

24.9

304

25.4

235

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69

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316

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230

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86

21.6

24

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130

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116

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166

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180

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149

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70

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298

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135

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LI

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RA

L

581

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371

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116

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147

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137

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21

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362

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111

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251

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197

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102

24.6

U

NS

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E

NO

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INIO

N

45

1.8

14

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7 0.

7

7 2.

7

31

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12

1.4

18

4.5

3

0.6

5 1.

1

10

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26

3.6

4 0.

5

2 0.

4

2 0.

5

19

2.8

7 2.

8

12

2.9

22

2.3

6 1.

1

16

3.8

Page 34: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 9-

2 T9

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

soc

ial i

ssue

s lik

e ab

ortio

n an

d ga

y m

arria

ge?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

----

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----

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----

----

----

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----

----

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----

----

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----

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----

----

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----

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----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

--

TOTA

L

----

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VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

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NS

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DE

R

ATE

----

----

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LIB

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RA

L -

----

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RY

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ON

S

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NS

E

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----

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DE

R

ATE

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L

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HT

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TR

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M

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----

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P

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----

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----

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-

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RY

FA

V

---

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

UN

FV

TOT

--

----

---

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RY

U

NFV

-

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

--

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O

PIN

----

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

758

100.

0

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100.

0

772

100.

0

172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

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10

0.0

918

100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 V

ER

Y C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

768

30.8

503

66.4

204

27.4

51

6.5

8 4.

9

768

100.

0

79

10

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674

42.0

80

8.7

604

48.8

32

23.2

236

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99

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138

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314

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159

48.6

155

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147

35.1

C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

477

19.2

154

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262

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57

7.3

477

100.

0

65

8.8

389

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88

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337

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24

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145

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51

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94

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189

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74

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115

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83

19.8

M

OD

ER

ATE

620

24.9

72

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211

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322

41.7

7 4.

1

620

100.

0

21

1 28

.7

355

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278

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252

20.4

39

28.3

346

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181

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165

28.9

155

21.7

69

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86

22.3

81

19.3

LI

BE

RA

L

581

23.3

23

3.1

63

8.5

336

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155

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58

1 10

0.0

372

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167

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452

49.3

43

3.5

31

22.8

416

35.9

254

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162

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55

7.7

26

7.9

29

7.5

91

21.8

U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

45

1.8

5 0.

7

4 0.

5

7 0.

9

1 0.

6

10

1.4

18

1.1

19

2.1

2 0.

2

11

7.9

17

1.5

4 0.

7

13

2.2

0.

1

0.

1

0.

1

17

4.0

Page 35: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 9-

3 T9

. Do

you

cons

ider

you

rsel

f to

be v

ery

cons

erva

tive,

con

serv

ativ

e, m

oder

ate

or li

bera

l whe

n it

com

es to

soc

ial i

ssue

s lik

e ab

ortio

n an

d ga

y m

arria

ge?

DA

INE

S IM

G

US

SE

NA

TE B

ALL

OT

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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----

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----

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TO

TAL

--

----

---

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TO

T -

----

----

VE

RY

FA

V

--

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

-

UN

FV

TOT

---

----

--

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RY

U

NFV

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

---

NO

O

PIN

-

----

----

WLS

H

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F W

LSH

----

----

-

PR

OB

W

LSH

-

----

----

DA

IN

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F D

AIN

----

----

-

PR

OB

D

AIN

----

----

RO

GR

R

OO

T

----

----

-

SO

ME

O

THR

-

----

----

UN

DE

C

IDE

----

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

100.

0

818

100.

0

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100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

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10

0.0

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100.

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0

108

100.

0

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100.

0

163

100.

0 V

ER

Y C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

768

30.8

589

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440

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149

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63

7.7

20

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43

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98

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107

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77

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29

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560

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448

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112

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36

33.3

18

16.5

42

25.6

C

ON

SE

RV

ATI

VE

477

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316

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222

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95

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79

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29

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50

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69

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76

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52

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24

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340

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274

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67

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18

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12

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28

17.4

M

OD

ER

ATE

620

24.9

309

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156

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152

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258

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136

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122

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31

11.9

261

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202

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59

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239

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172

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67

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30

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47

42.0

42

25.6

LI

BE

RA

L

581

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99

7.5

37

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62

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412

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286

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125

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48

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426

48.0

340

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63

5.2

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24

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29

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38

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U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

45

1.8

13

1.0

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5

9 2.

0

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8

3 0.

5

4 1.

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17

1.9

11

1.6

6 2.

9

5 0.

4

2 0.

3

2 0.

9

5

4.7

13

8.2

Page 36: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 10

-1

T10.

Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k of

you

rsel

f as

a R

epub

lican

, a D

emoc

rat o

r som

ethi

ng e

lse?

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

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----

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OM

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EN

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10

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10

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396

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TAL

RE

PU

BLI

CA

N

87

1 35

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429

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356

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72

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442

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316

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91

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871

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EM

OC

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672

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75

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438

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283

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153

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52

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2 10

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0

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ME

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LSE

946

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TRO

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26

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143

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301

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T S

O S

TRO

NG

DE

M

22

6 9.

1

89

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59

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95

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41

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51

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40

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43

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70

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22

6 33

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89

38.0

137

31.3

Page 37: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 10

-2

T10.

Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k of

you

rsel

f as

a R

epub

lican

, a D

emoc

rat o

r som

ethi

ng e

lse?

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

OLO

GY

V

OTE

R M

OO

D

GE

NE

RIC

CO

NG

RE

SS

W

ALS

H IM

G

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

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----

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----

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----

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----

----

----

----

----

----

TO

TAL

--

----

---

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

--

MO

DE

R

ATE

----

----

-

LIB

E

RA

L -

----

----

VE

RY

C

ON

S

--

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

---

MO

DE

R

ATE

-

----

----

LIB

E

RA

L

----

----

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HT

DIR

----

----

-

WR

NG

TR

CK

-

----

----

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M

CA

ND

----

----

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P

CA

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----

----

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----

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TO

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----

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RY

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V

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PIN

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0

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0

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0 TO

TAL

RE

PU

BLI

CA

N

87

1 35

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447

59.0

348

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65

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1

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223

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149

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785

49.0

57

6.2

783

63.3

8 5.

6

253

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90

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379

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162

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147

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TO

TAL

DE

MO

CR

AT

67

2 27

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45

5.9

80

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389

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60

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59

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362

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441

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581

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54

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6 4.

7

497

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34

10.4

38

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77

18.4

S

OM

ETH

ING

ELS

E

94

6 38

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266

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315

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318

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22

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234

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197

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281

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400

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TRO

NG

RE

P

60

4 24

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357

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551

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558

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1 0.

9

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95

22.7

N

OT

SO

STR

ON

G R

EP

267

10.7

91

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0.

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96

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9 1.

5

26

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25

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7

82

7.1

26

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71

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52

12.4

S

TRO

NG

DE

M

44

6 17

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27

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40

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39

5.0

21

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95

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280

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320

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90

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18

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0

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32

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42

10.1

N

OT

SO

STR

ON

G D

EM

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68

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71

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41

5.7

16

4.9

24

6.3

35

8.3

Page 38: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 10

-3

T10.

Gen

eral

ly s

peak

ing,

do

you

thin

k of

you

rsel

f as

a R

epub

lican

, a D

emoc

rat o

r som

ethi

ng e

lse?

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

--

----

----

----

----

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----

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--

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----

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----

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----

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----

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----

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----

---

TOTA

L

----

----

-

FAV

TO

T -

----

----

VE

RY

FA

V

--

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

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RY

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PIN

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OB

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----

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IN

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--

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F D

AIN

----

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OB

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AIN

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----

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GR

R

OO

T

----

----

-

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ME

O

THR

-

----

----

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DE

C

IDE

----

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

100.

0

818

100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

1207

10

0.0

920

100.

0

288

100.

0

108

100.

0

111

100.

0

163

100.

0 TO

TAL

RE

PU

BLI

CA

N

87

1 35

.0

688

51.8

513

59.7

175

37.4

64

7.9

18

3.9

46

13.4

89

34.4

77

8.6

57

8.4

19

9.4

731

60.6

595

64.7

136

47.4

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6

14

12.6

39

24.2

TO

TAL

DE

MO

CR

AT

67

2 27

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161

12.1

57

6.6

104

22.3

429

52.5

273

57.8

156

45.3

61

23.6

549

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441

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108

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68

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29

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38

13.3

5 4.

2

24

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26

15.7

S

OM

ETH

ING

ELS

E

94

6 38

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478

36.0

290

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188

40.3

324

39.6

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38.3

143

41.4

109

42.0

261

29.4

184

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76

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408

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296

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113

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98

91.1

73

65.6

98

60.1

S

TRO

NG

RE

P

60

4 24

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487

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395

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92

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10

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23

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64

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51

5.7

43

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9

512

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443

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69

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3 2.

4

6 5.

1

29

17.9

N

OT

SO

STR

ON

G R

EP

267

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201

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118

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83

17.7

31

3.8

8 1.

8

23

6.6

25

9.7

26

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15

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219

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68

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2 2.

2

8 7.

5

10

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STR

ON

G D

EM

446

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86

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29

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57

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316

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96

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31

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392

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339

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53

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3 2.

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20

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7 4.

2 N

OT

SO

STR

ON

G D

EM

226

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75

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28

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113

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53

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60

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30

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156

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101

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55

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45

3.7

25

2.7

20

7.1

1 1.

3

4 4.

0

19

11.4

Page 39: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 11

-1

T11.

For

sta

tistic

al p

urpo

ses,

are

you

a m

an o

r a w

oman

?

G

EN

DE

R~M

AR

ITA

L

AG

E

RE

PU

BLI

CA

NS

D

EM

OC

RA

TS

IND

EP

EN

DE

NTS

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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---

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L

----

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ME

N

TOT

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--

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RR

M

EN

----

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G

ME

N

--

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M

TOT

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--

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RR

W

OM

----

----

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G

WO

M

--

----

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-29

---

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-44

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-54

--

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55

-64

---

----

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65

PLU

S

--

----

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P

TOT

--

----

---

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P

ME

N

--

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P

WO

M

--

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M

TOT

---

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M

ME

N

--

----

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M

WO

M

--

----

---

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TO

T -

----

----

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M

EN

----

----

IND

W

OM

----

----

-

TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1195

10

0.0

915

100.

0

267

100.

0

1295

10

0.0

871

100.

0

396

100.

0

249

100.

0

498

100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

735

100.

0

871

100.

0

429

100.

0

442

100.

0

672

100.

0

235

100.

0

438

100.

0

946

100.

0

531

100.

0

415

100.

0 FE

MA

LE

12

95

52.0

12

95

100.

0

871

100.

0

396

100.

0

143

57.5

221

44.4

242

57.2

293

51.2

390

53.0

442

50.7

44

2 10

0.0

438

65.1

43

8 10

0.0

415

43.9

41

5 10

0.0

MA

LE

11

95

48.0

1195

10

0.0

915

100.

0

267

100.

0

10

6 42

.5

277

55.6

181

42.8

280

48.8

345

47.0

429

49.3

429

100.

0

23

5 34

.9

235

100.

0

53

1 56

.1

531

100.

0

Page 40: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 11

-2

T11.

For

sta

tistic

al p

urpo

ses,

are

you

a m

an o

r a w

oman

?

FI

SC

AL

IDE

OLO

GY

S

OC

IAL

IDE

OLO

GY

V

OTE

R M

OO

D

GE

NE

RIC

CO

NG

RE

SS

W

ALS

H IM

G

----

----

----

----

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----

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----

----

----

TO

TAL

--

----

---

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

--

MO

DE

R

ATE

----

----

-

LIB

E

RA

L -

----

----

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RY

C

ON

S

--

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

---

MO

DE

R

ATE

-

----

----

LIB

E

RA

L

----

----

RG

HT

DIR

----

----

-

WR

NG

TR

CK

-

----

----

DE

M

CA

ND

----

----

RE

P

CA

ND

----

----

-

OTH

R

CA

ND

----

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TO

T

----

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RY

FA

V

---

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WT

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RY

U

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----

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WT

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O

PIN

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L

2490

10

0.0

758

100.

0

744

100.

0

772

100.

0

172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

1604

10

0.0

918

100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 FE

MA

LE

12

95

52.0

339

44.7

370

49.7

440

57.0

113

65.8

369

48.1

207

43.5

316

51.0

371

63.9

401

54.3

805

50.2

511

55.6

612

49.5

65

48.0

586

50.5

292

49.7

293

51.3

347

48.7

178

54.4

169

43.8

255

61.1

M

ALE

1195

48

.0

420

55.3

374

50.3

332

43.0

59

34.2

398

51.9

270

56.5

304

49.0

210

36.1

337

45.7

799

49.8

408

44.4

625

50.5

71

52.0

575

49.5

296

50.3

278

48.7

366

51.3

150

45.6

217

56.2

163

38.9

Page 41: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 11

-3

T11.

For

sta

tistic

al p

urpo

ses,

are

you

a m

an o

r a w

oman

?

D

AIN

ES

IMG

U

S S

EN

ATE

BA

LLO

T

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

----

----

----

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----

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L

----

----

-

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TO

T -

----

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RY

FA

V

--

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--

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WT

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----

----

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FV

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---

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--

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RY

U

NFV

----

----

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WT

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FV

--

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O

PIN

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TOT

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----

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F W

LSH

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OB

W

LSH

-

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IN

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F D

AIN

----

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OB

D

AIN

----

----

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GR

R

OO

T

----

----

-

SO

ME

O

THR

-

----

----

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DE

C

IDE

----

----

TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

100.

0

818

100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

1207

10

0.0

920

100.

0

288

100.

0

108

100.

0

111

100.

0

163

100.

0 FE

MA

LE

12

95

52.0

657

49.5

415

48.2

243

51.9

406

49.6

224

47.4

182

52.8

168

65.0

477

53.8

352

51.6

124

60.9

590

48.9

431

46.9

159

55.4

33

30.2

62

55.7

124

76.2

M

ALE

1195

48

.0

670

50.5

445

51.8

225

48.1

412

50.4

249

52.6

163

47.2

90

35.0

410

46.2

330

48.4

80

39.1

617

51.1

489

53.1

128

44.6

75

69.8

49

44.3

39

23.8

Page 42: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 12

-1

T12.

Whi

ch o

f the

follo

win

g ag

e gr

oups

app

lies

to y

ou?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

- --

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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----

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--

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----

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----

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TO

TAL

--

----

---

ME

N

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

M

EN

----

----

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G

ME

N

--

----

---

WO

M

TOT

---

----

--

MA

RR

W

OM

----

----

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G

WO

M

--

----

---

18

-29

---

----

--

30

-44

--

----

--

45

-54

--

----

---

55

-64

---

----

--

65

PLU

S

--

----

--

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P

TOT

--

----

---

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P

ME

N

--

----

--

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P

WO

M

--

----

---

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M

TOT

---

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M

ME

N

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M

WO

M

--

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TO

T -

----

----

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M

EN

----

----

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W

OM

----

----

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TOTA

L

2490

10

0.0

1195

10

0.0

915

100.

0

267

100.

0

1295

10

0.0

871

100.

0

396

100.

0

249

100.

0

498

100.

0

423

100.

0

573

100.

0

735

100.

0

871

100.

0

429

100.

0

442

100.

0

672

100.

0

235

100.

0

438

100.

0

946

100.

0

531

100.

0

415

100.

0 18

-29

24

9 10

.0

106

8.9

83

9.1

23

8.5

143

11.1

58

6.6

64

16.2

249

100.

0

91

10.4

45

10.4

46

10.4

52

7.7

9 3.

6

43

9.8

107

11.3

53

9.9

54

13.0

30

-44

49

8 20

.0

277

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212

23.1

58

21.5

221

17.1

184

21.1

37

9.3

49

8 10

0.0

17

5 20

.0

106

24.6

69

15.6

115

17.2

41

17.4

75

17.1

208

22.0

131

24.6

77

18.7

45

-54

42

3 17

.0

181

15.2

140

15.3

41

15.2

242

18.7

196

22.5

46

11.7

423

100.

0

153

17.5

67

15.7

85

19.3

106

15.8

29

12.3

78

17.7

164

17.4

85

16.0

79

19.1

55

-64

57

3 23

.0

280

23.4

208

22.7

70

26.0

293

22.6

222

25.5

68

17.1

57

3 10

0.0

17

6 20

.2

75

17.4

101

22.9

172

25.6

71

30.1

102

23.3

224

23.7

134

25.3

90

21.7

65

PLU

S

73

5 29

.5

345

28.9

269

29.3

76

28.4

390

30.1

208

23.9

180

45.3

735

100.

0

274

31.5

135

31.5

139

31.5

223

33.1

84

35.9

139

31.7

237

25.1

126

23.7

111

26.9

U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

12

0.5

6 0.

5

4 0.

4

1 0.

4

6 0.

5

3 0.

4

2 0.

5

3

0.3

2 0.

4

1 0.

2

4 0.

6

2 0.

7

2 0.

5

6 0.

6

3 0.

5

3 0.

7

Page 43: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 12

-2

T12.

Whi

ch o

f the

follo

win

g ag

e gr

oups

app

lies

to y

ou?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

- --

----

----

----

----

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L

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-

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

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--

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DE

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ATE

----

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ON

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NS

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M

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P

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RY

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NFV

-

----

----

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WT

UN

FV

--

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O

PIN

----

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

758

100.

0

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0

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

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100.

0

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10

0.0

918

100.

0

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10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 18

-29

24

9 10

.0

102

13.5

52

7.1

75

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19

11.2

117

15.3

48

10.1

24

3.9

59

10.2

44

5.9

197

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30

3.3

154

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18

13.3

57

5.0

31

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26

4.6

92

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75

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17

4.4

85

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30

-44

49

8 20

.0

166

21.9

176

23.6

107

13.8

44

25.7

131

17.0

92

19.2

130

20.9

143

24.7

151

20.4

318

19.8

165

18.0

242

19.6

44

32.2

171

14.8

90

15.2

82

14.3

131

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61

18.7

69

18.0

108

25.9

45

-54

42

3 17

.0

130

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124

16.7

141

18.3

21

12.2

120

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91

19.1

116

18.7

92

15.8

123

16.7

272

17.0

153

16.7

236

19.1

15

10.7

206

17.8

85

14.5

121

21.2

117

16.5

50

15.2

68

17.6

61

14.6

55

-64

57

3 23

.0

159

21.0

157

21.1

203

26.3

43

25.0

151

19.6

98

20.6

166

26.9

147

25.4

206

27.9

344

21.5

257

28.0

252

20.4

25

18.4

322

27.8

166

28.2

156

27.3

160

22.5

67

20.4

94

24.3

66

15.9

65

PLU

S

73

5 29

.5

197

26.0

232

31.2

241

31.3

44

25.7

247

32.2

145

30.3

180

29.0

137

23.6

211

28.6

466

29.1

305

33.2

349

28.2

34

25.3

396

34.2

213

36.1

184

32.1

207

29.1

73

22.2

135

34.9

97

23.3

U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

12

0.5

3 0.

4

3 0.

4

5 0.

6

1 0.

3

2 0.

3

3 0.

7

4 0.

6

3 0.

4

3 0.

4

7 0.

4

8 0.

9

4 0.

3

7

0.6

4 0.

7

3 0.

5

5 0.

7

2 0.

6

3 0.

8

1 0.

1

Page 44: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 12

-3

T12.

Whi

ch o

f the

follo

win

g ag

e gr

oups

app

lies

to y

ou?

DA

INE

S IM

G

US

SE

NA

TE B

ALL

OT

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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TO

TAL

--

----

---

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TO

T -

----

----

VE

RY

FA

V

--

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

-

UN

FV

TOT

---

----

--

VE

RY

U

NFV

----

----

SM

WT

UN

FV

--

----

---

NO

O

PIN

-

----

----

WLS

H

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F W

LSH

----

----

-

PR

OB

W

LSH

-

----

----

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IN

TOT

--

----

--

DE

F D

AIN

----

----

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PR

OB

D

AIN

----

----

RO

GR

R

OO

T

----

----

-

SO

ME

O

THR

-

----

----

UN

DE

C

IDE

----

----

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L

2490

10

0.0

1327

10

0.0

860

100.

0

467

100.

0

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100.

0

473

100.

0

345

100.

0

258

100.

0

886

100.

0

682

100.

0

204

100.

0

1207

10

0.0

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100.

0

288

100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0 18

-29

24

9 10

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145

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132

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13

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20

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20

5.

8

84

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49

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34

5.0

15

7.4

145

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108

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37

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22

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32

19

.8

30-4

4

498

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94

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94

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65

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69

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113

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43

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241

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62

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43

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25

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30

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45

-54

42

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239

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147

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92

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87

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52

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140

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109

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31

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222

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163

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59

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13

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19

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29

17.8

55

-64

57

3 23

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289

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178

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111

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247

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157

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91

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21

8.3

249

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198

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51

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249

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188

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61

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13

11.9

32

28.8

26

16.0

65

PLU

S

73

5 29

.5

416

31.4

264

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153

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249

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135

28.5

115

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49

19.0

287

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224

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63

31.0

347

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280

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67

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16

15.1

33

29.9

45

27.4

U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

12

0.5

7 0.

5

2 0.

3

5 1.

0

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4

1 0.

2

3 0.

8

2 0.

7

4 0.

5

4 0.

6

0.

1

3 0.

3

3 0.

3

1 0.

3

1 1.

0

3 2.

4

1 0.

6

Page 45: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 13

-1

T13.

Wha

t is

your

mar

ital s

tatu

s?

GE

ND

ER

~MA

RIT

AL

A

GE

R

EP

UB

LIC

AN

S

DE

MO

CR

ATS

IN

DE

PE

ND

EN

TS

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

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-29

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-64

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PLU

S

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M

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----

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OM

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0

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100.

0

396

100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

423

100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

871

100.

0

429

100.

0

442

100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0

946

100.

0

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100.

0

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100.

0 M

AR

RIE

D

17

86

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915

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915

100.

0

87

1 67

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871

100.

0

14

1 56

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335

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430

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476

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672

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356

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316

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435

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152

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283

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407

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272

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W

IDO

WE

D

23

7 9.

5

50

4.1

50

18

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187

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18

7 47

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11

4.3

19

3.8

12

2.9

26

4.6

166

22.6

88

10.1

15

3.5

73

16.5

81

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14

5.9

68

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68

7.1

21

3.9

47

11.3

S

EP

AR

ATE

D

22

0.

9

15

1.3

15

5.

6

8 0.

6

8

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4 1.

6

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3

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6

8 1.

4

6 0.

9

6 0.

7

4 1.

0

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3

6 0.

9

3 1.

2

3 0.

7

11

1.1

8 1.

4

3 0.

7 D

IVO

RC

ED

178

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85

7.1

85

31

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93

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93

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15

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18

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48

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62

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34

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13

2.9

21

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74

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28

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46

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70

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44

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26

6.2

SIN

GLE

187

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108

9.0

10

8 40

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79

6.1

79

19

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49

19.8

51

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26

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42

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17

2.4

58

6.7

40

9.2

19

4.2

44

6.6

25

10.6

19

4.4

84

8.9

43

8.1

41

9.9

UN

MA

RR

IED

40

1.6

10

0.8

10

3.

7

30

2.3

30

7.

5

8 3.

1

5 1.

0

11

2.5

13

2.2

3 0.

4

3 0.

4

1 0.

2

3 0.

6

23

3.4

5 2.

2

17

4.0

14

1.4

4 0.

7

10

2.3

UN

SU

RE

N

O O

PIN

ION

40

1.6

13

1.1

28

2.1

21

8.5

8 1.

5

1 0.

3

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9

3 0.

3

10

1.2

1 0.

2

9 2.

1

9 1.

3

7 3.

1

1 0.

3

21

2.3

5 0.

9

17

4.0

Page 46: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

tana

US

Sen

ate

Gen

eral

Ele

ctio

n S

urve

y, A

pril

1st -

2nd

, 201

4, 2

,490

N, 1

.96%

MoE

, Wei

ghte

d R

esul

ts, M

agel

lan

Stra

tegi

es, 1

685

Box

elde

r St.

Sui

te 3

00, L

ouis

ville

, CO

800

27, 3

03-8

61-8

585

Tabl

e 13

-2

T13.

Wha

t is

your

mar

ital s

tatu

s?

FIS

CA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

SO

CIA

L ID

EO

LOG

Y

VO

TER

MO

OD

G

EN

ER

IC C

ON

GR

ES

S

WA

LSH

IMG

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

- --

----

----

----

----

- --

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

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----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

----

--

TOTA

L

----

----

-

VE

RY

C

ON

S

---

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

--

MO

DE

R

ATE

----

----

-

LIB

E

RA

L -

----

----

VE

RY

C

ON

S

--

----

--

CO

NS

E

RV

E

--

----

---

MO

DE

R

ATE

-

----

----

LIB

E

RA

L

----

----

RG

HT

DIR

----

----

-

WR

NG

TR

CK

-

----

----

DE

M

CA

ND

----

----

RE

P

CA

ND

----

----

-

OTH

R

CA

ND

----

----

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TO

T

----

----

-

VE

RY

FA

V

---

----

--

SM

WT

FAV

----

----

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FV

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--

----

---

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RY

U

NFV

-

----

----

SM

WT

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--

----

--

NO

O

PIN

----

----

-

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L

2490

10

0.0

758

100.

0

744

100.

0

772

100.

0

172

100.

0

768

100.

0

477

100.

0

620

100.

0

581

100.

0

738

100.

0

1604

10

0.0

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100.

0

1237

10

0.0

136

100.

0

1160

10

0.0

589

100.

0

572

100.

0

713

100.

0

328

100.

0

386

100.

0

418

100.

0 M

AR

RIE

D

17

86

71.7

567

74.7

559

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524

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115

67.2

576

75.1

335

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465

75.0

391

67.3

521

70.6

1170

73

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631

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944

76.3

88

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818

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427

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391

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560

78.5

250

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310

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275

65.9

W

IDO

WE

D

23

7 9.

5

66

8.7

66

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83

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11

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86

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49

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55

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34

5.8

79

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134

8.4

99

10.8

93

7.5

15

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134

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56

9.5

78

13.6

34

4.7

5 1.

4

29

7.5

39

9.3

SE

PA

RA

TED

22

0.9

3 0.

4

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0

11

1.4

2 0.

9

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9

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5

8 1.

3

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9

6 0.

8

15

1.0

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6

13

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1 0.

5

11

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9 1.

5

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3

8 1.

2

1 0.

4

7 1.

9

3 0.

6 D

IVO

RC

ED

178

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44

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34

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72

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24

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39

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33

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36

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64

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55

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109

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73

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11

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94

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41

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53

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48

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29

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19

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25

6.0

SIN

GLE

187

7.5

63

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51

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55

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12

6.7

45

5.9

42

8.8

44

7.1

50

8.6

52

7.1

125

7.8

58

6.3

83

6.7

15

11.0

72

6.2

43

7.3

30

5.2

38

5.4

20

6.2

18

4.7

53

12.7

U

NM

AR

RIE

D

40

1.

6

3 0.

4

12

1.7

23

2.9

1 0.

6

3 0.

4

0.

1

10

1.6

25

4.4

22

2.9

17

1.1

27

2.9

5 0.

4

6 4.

6

19

1.6

11

1.9

8 1.

3

1 0.

1

1 0.

3

20

4.

8 U

NS

UR

E

NO

OP

INIO

N

40

1.6

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Page 47: Magellan Strategies Montana US Senate Survey Release April 10, 2014

Mon

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US

Sen

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