Macroeconomic Trends and Opportunities by Jill Schlesinger
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Transcript of Macroeconomic Trends and Opportunities by Jill Schlesinger
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Trends and OpportunitiesJill SchlesingerSenior Business Analyst
CBS News
@jillonmoney
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FinanceConnect 2013
Trends and Opportunities
May 2, 2013
Jill Schlesinger, CFP CBS News Senior Business Analyst
JillonMoney.com
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Who I am
CBS News Senior Business Analyst
Investment Advisor and CFP
Commodities Trader
SALESMAN!
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Global Macro Outlook 2013
“We don’t have a
sense of the final
destination … Where
we end, I really don’t have much of clue.”
- IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard 4/2013
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• Global growth = +3.3%
• US = +2%
• China = +8%
• Eurozone = -0.3%
• Japan = +1.6%
• Emerging and Developing = +5.3%
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US Recovery
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US Recovery
Measures used by the NBER business cycle dating committee:
• GDP: returned to the pre-recession peak in Q4 2011
• Jobs: 2.2% below pre-recession peak (2M private sector
jobs/yr)
• Industrial Production: 1.2% below pre-recession peak
• Real personal income: 3.7% below previous peak
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US Recovery: GDP
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US Recovery: Jobs
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US Recovery: Housing
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Central Bank Action
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US Recovery: Profits/Stocks
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Financial Services:
What’s Ahead
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Regulatory
How to impose limits
that preserve the
safety of the system,
without discouraging
innovation?
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Business Opportunity
Mass Affluent (Net worth $100K-1M)
• 1/4 work with advisor
• < 1/3 wants to be actively involved with money management
• > 40% are unsure of retirement
• 60% worried about children and grandchildren
Spectrum Group “2013 Mass Affluent Investor”
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Business Opportunity
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Breaking Through
• 92% of Americans use multiple platforms to get their daily news.
• 37% of internet users have contributed to, commented on, or disseminated news via social.
• 100M active users are publishing 200M tweets a day.
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Social is the KEY
By 2014, nearly 165M people will be regular users of social
• 65% multi-task while watching TV
• Younger, participatory
• Raving Fans
• Low cost prospecting
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