Macedonia National Public Opinion Poll - IRI · Detailed Methodology • The survey was conducted...
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Macedonia National Public Opinion Poll June 28 – July 15, 2018
Transcript of Macedonia National Public Opinion Poll - IRI · Detailed Methodology • The survey was conducted...
Detailed Methodology
• The survey was conducted on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research by GfK Skopje market research firm.
• Data was collected from June 28 to July 15, 2018, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals.
• A nationally representative sample size of 1,100 respondents ages 18 and over was surveyed. The margin of error was plus or
minus three percent at the midrange of the 95 percent confidence level. The response rate was 69 percent.
• The national sample was prepared using State Statistical Office data (2002 census results) for the population aged 18 and
older. It also considered the structure of the population according to age, gender, housing type, ethnic affiliation and region,
and was updated accordingly with estimates and primary information collected by GfK Skopje.
• A stratified multistage sampling probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for
respondent selection.
• Stratification was based on three stages:
• Stage One: The number of respondents for each of the regions was specified in proportion to the size of its
population (aged 18 and older).
• Stage Two: Each region was stratified by the level of urbanization, i.e. urban and rural strata.
• Stage Three: The sampling plan consisted of 150 sampling points located according to urban/rural split, municipality
size and ethnic diffusion.
• Stage Four: The selection of households was based on a random route method. In urban areas, every third household
on the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the “wave-wise” approach was applied, in which the
interviewer selects every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the interviewer’s route/track, counting
from the first house on the left.
• The “next birthday method” was used to select respondents.
• This dataset has been weighed for gender, age, ethnicity and education.
• Figures in charts and tables may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• Any data cited from previous surveys comes from surveys with comparable methodology.
• This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development.
• 17 June 2018 – Signing of agreement with Greece about resolution of name issue
• 17 June 2018 – Protest of VMRO-DPMNE in Bitola against name change
• 20 June 2018 – Parliament adopts the law ratifying the agreement with Greece
• 23 June 2018 – Protest in Skopje against name change
• 26 June 2018 – President Ivanov declares that he will not sign the agreement with Greece
• 26 June 2018 – European Council provides a conditional recommendation for the date of negotiations for EU
• 29 June 2018 – NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announces that invitation will be sent to the country after fulfillment of the agreement with Greece
• 5 July 2018 – Parliament once again adopts the law ratifying the agreement with Greece
• 12 July 2018 – NATO conditional invitation sent to Macedonia
3
Political Context Prior to/During Data Collection
• VMRO-DPMNE: Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization –Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity
• SDSM: Social Democratic Union of Macedonia
• DUI: Democratic Union for Integration
• BESA: Movement BESA (party of Bilall Kasami)
• BESA: Movement BESA (party of Afrim Gashi)
• AA: Alliance for Albanians
• DPA: Democratic Party of Albanians
• NDR: National Democratic Revival
4
Political Party Glossary
Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction?
6
38%34%
32%
25%24%
26%
29%31%
23%
19%22%
27%
31%
39%
36%
29%
23%24%
28%
20%
26%
14%
27%
37%
28%31%
33%
36%
38%
40%
29% 32%
45% 43%
48%
44%41%
33%
39% 39%
48% 48%46%
58%
48%
56%
40%
30%
32% 33%33%
38%
36%
32%
40%
35%31%
36%
30%
27%
26% 27%24%
31%
28%26%
24%
21%
24%
28%
31% 30%
2% 3% 2% 1%3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%
2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Right direction Wrong direction Neutral Don't know/Refused to answer
Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago?
7
26%
33%30%
24%21% 22%
27%25%
14%
19%
18%21%
23% 22%
18%
16%5%
18%
15%
5%13%
4%
28%
37%
25%
17%23%
24%
17% 19% 18%20%
43%26%
29%28%
33%
27%31%
31%
58%
42% 47%
67%
40%
70%
25%
25%
46% 47% 46%
51%
60%58%
54% 54%
42%
54%53%
50%
43%45%
47%51%
35%
38%35%
25%
44%
25%
45%
35%
2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%5% 4% 2%
2%3% 3%
3%2%
2%2% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
More Less Same Don't know/Refused to answer
How would you describe the current internal political situation in Macedonia?
8
23%
44%
53%54%
51%
56%
44%
28%
48%
42%
40% 39%
44%
39%42%
15%
29%
19%
5%
21%
5%
44%
42%
61%
43% 36% 36%
38%35%
43%
55%
41% 43%
45% 45%
41%
46%43%
61%
51%
59%
55%
57%
62%
44%
40%
13%
10%8%
7% 7% 6%
10%
15%
9%13% 13% 12%
9%12%
12%
23%
16% 19%
38%
17%
32%
10%14%
3% 3% 4% 3% 4%
3%
3% 2% 2% 3% 3%4%
6%
4% 4% 2%4%
3% 2%5%
2% 2% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Peaceful and stable Intense and uncertainCritical and unstable Don't know/Refused to answer
In your opinion, what are the two most serious problems facing Macedonia today?
(Open-ended)
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
6%
6%
9%
10%
10%
14%
15%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
7%
7%
9%
12%
10%
8%
10%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Don't know
Other
Agriculture, low prices of agricultural products
Inadequate infrastructure, roads
Emigration/Brain drain
Entrance into NATO
Corruption
Security crisis, peace, stability, war, terrorism
Interethnic relations/conflict
Crime
Poor performance of the current government
Integration into the EU
Social problems
High prices
Law and order, the rule of law
The general political situation
Low or non-payment of salary or pension
Poverty, low standard of living, problems of common people
Unemployment
Name issue
Economy
First mention
Second mention
19%
5%
7%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
9
25%
22%
22%
18%
13%
13%
8%
20%
In the next two years, will the economy in Macedonia get better, get worse, or stay the same?
10
33%
29%
31% 30%31%
34%
29%
23%
28%25% 25% 26%
21%23%
19% 20%
26%
21%
24%
21%
33%
38%
29%
30%
29%30%
37%
30%32%
36%
34% 34%
40%40%
44% 43% 43%
33%
32%
36%
33%35%
32%31%
37%35% 35%
28%30%
35%37%
33%35% 29% 29% 29% 29%
33%
32%
35%
27%31%
23%
22%
7%
4% 5% 5%4%
5%4% 4% 4%
6%5%
6% 7%5%
9% 9%10% 11%
13%15%
9%
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Better Same Worse Don't know/Refused to answer
43%
18%
28%
25%
9%
12%
9%
18%
26%
32%
7%
11%
6%
13%
31%
29%
4%
17%
6%
9%
23%
27%
5%
30%
7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Increaseda lot
Increasedsomewhat
Decreasedsomewhat
Decreaseda lot
The same Don't know/Refused to
answer
November 2016 March 2017 August 2017 July 2018
11
In your opinion, has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year?
How is your family’s economic situation compared to one year ago?
12
2% 2% 3%1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3%
1% 2%
5%14%
10% 12%
15%11% 11%
10%12%
11%
12%
13% 12%13%
11% 12%
15%
13%12%
10%
14%
15%
42%44%
43% 44%45%
43% 43% 44%43%
51%53%
54%54%
51%52%
45%
50%51%
54%
61%63%
25%
26%26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26%
20% 21%20%
22% 22%
18%
23%21% 20%
23%
16%
12%
17%18%
17%15%
16%
19% 19%
16%18%
14%
10% 10% 10%
13% 15%
12%
14% 13%11%
6%
5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse
Speaking personally, is your overall quality of life…?
13
15%
13%
16% 16%14%
17%
13%15%
13%
17%15%
13% 12%11%
14%
18%
13% 13%
9% 15%17%
50%
49% 48%50%
48%45%
47% 47% 48%51%
53%
47%
53% 52%50%
45%44%
50%52%
60% 59%
35%37%
36%33%
37% 38%40%
37%39%
31% 32%
38%34%
37% 36% 37%42%
37% 38%
24%23%
0% 1% <1% 1% 0% 0% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 0% 0% 1% <1% 1% <1% 0% 0% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Getting better Staying the same Getting worse Don't know/Refused to answer
Which of the following statements applies to you?
14
1%
10%
55%
29%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Don’t know/Refused to answer
I cannot even buy what’s necessary
I can buy only what’s necessary
I can buy somewhat more than what’s necessary
I can buy anything I want
Is there any member of your household who has emigrated to live and/or work abroad?
15
10%
12%
22%
54%
1%Yes, in the last year
Yes, in the last three years
Yes, over three years ago
No
Refused to answer
16
For each of the following institutions: please state whether you completely trust, somewhat trust,
somewhat distrust or completely distrust
5%
6%
7%
9%
12%
12%
15%
19%
24%
25%
28%
26%
40%
34%
32%
46%
35%
45%
38%
42%
37%
34%
33%
32%
33%
29%
25%
28%
24%
23%
17%
16%
18%
33%
22%
25%
22%
14%
21%
15%
17%
11%
17%
16%
2%
1%
1%
7%
3%
4%
1%
4%
6%
4%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The judicial system
The media
Health institutions
NGOs
Educational institutions
Local government
The police
Religious communities
The army
NATO
The EU
Completely trust Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Completely distrust Don’t know/Refused to answer
Is now the right time for solving the dispute with Greece? Should it have been done earlier or should it be done later in the future?
18
44%
25%
17%
14%It should have been done earlier
Now is the right time
It should be done later in thefuture
Don’t Know/Refused to answer
How did you learn about the content of the name agreement between Macedonia and
Greece? (Multiple answers possible)
19
1%
7%
9%
22%
24%
27%
71%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Don’t know/Refused to answer
I read it personally
I did not read it
Social media (Facebook, etc.)
From conversations withfriends and/or relatives
Internet portals
TV (news, debates)
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
20
25%
25%
26%
27%
31%
25%
27%
26%
29%
25%
15%
15%
16%
14%
13%
25%
23%
24%
23%
23%
9%
9%
9%
8%
8%
The governments of the Republic ofMacedonia and the Republic of Greecepermanently resolved the 27-year-old
dispute with the name agreement
The speed and quality of reforms inMacedonia will increase by resolvingthe 27-year-old Macedonia-Greece
name dispute
The security and safety of the citizensof Macedonia will be increased by
resolving the 27-year-old Macedonia-Greece name dispute
The citizens of Macedonia will gaineconomic prosperity and increased
access to European funds by resolvingthe 27-year-old Macedonia-Greece
name dispute
The Government removed a majorobstacle to EU and NATO integration
with the name agreement
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused to answer
How much do you support or oppose the proposal for Macedonia to join the EU and NATO as the “Republic of
North Macedonia?”
21
37%
20%
10%
28%
5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Completely support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Completely oppose Don’t know/Refused to answer
How strongly do you agree or disagree that the benefits of joining the EU and NATO justify the acceptance of
the name “Republic of North Macedonia?”
22
36%
21%
12%
26%
5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t Know/Refused to answer
How will you vote in the referendum on resolving the 27-year-old Macedonia-Greece name dispute?
23
49%
22%
16%
13%
Positively (in favor of theagreement)
Negatively (against theagreement)
I won’t vote
Don’t know/Refused to answer
24
Do you know that amendments to the Constitution need to be made in order to resolve the 27-year-old name dispute?
75%
16%
9%
Yes
No
Don't know/Refusedto answer
Please select the statement you agree with most:“The Government led by SDSM works…”
26
39%
25%
24%
12%Better compared to thegovernment led by VMRO-DPMNE
The same compared to thegovernment led by VMRO-DPMNE
Worse compared to thegovernment led by VMRO-DPMNE
Don’t know/Refused to answer
If we compare the previous government led by VMRO-DPMNE and the current government led by SDSM,
which government is better in the following areas:
21%
22%
19%
24%
16%
16%
20%
27%
28%
28%
29%
33%
34%
50%
38%
44%
44%
37%
45%
43%
24%
13%
6%
9%
10%
6%
7%
6%
Conditions fordomestic
companies
Improvement inliving standards
Appointment ofofficials
Improvement ofthe business
climate
Fight againstcorruption andorganized crime
Rule of law
Foreign affairs/International
relations
VMRO-DPMNE SDSM The same Don’t know/Refused to answer
27
The rule of law in a democracy can be understood as “a state where all people and institutions are accountable to the law and the Constitution, and
the Constitution and the law are equally applied to all.”
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“The rule of law exists in Macedonia.”
28
17%
12%
18%
14%
30%
26%
23%
29%
20%
21%
19%
29%
28%
36%
36%
24%
6%
6%
4%
4%
November 2016
March 2017
August 2017
July 2018
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you think your phone conversations are:
29
31%
35%
39%
34%
52%
50%
46%
45%
18%
15%
15%
21%
June 2015
October2015
August 2017
July 2018
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Private and safe? That is, you and the other person in the conversation are the only ones aware of theconversation.
Not private and safe? That is, there is a possibility that your conversations are being listened to and/orrecorded by a third party.
Don't know/Refused to answer
30
Following the change in power, has the government dedicated itself to solving the most important problem Macedonia is facing?
17%
33%
23%
20%
6%
Yes, completely
In general, yes
In general, no
Not at all
Don't know/Refused to answer
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means you think the government gives more support to foreign investments and companies
and 5 means you think the government gives more support to domestic investments and companies, where would you place your views?
31
10%
13%
32%
20%
9%
16%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 2 3 4 5 Don’t know/Refused to answer
The government gives more
support to domestic
investments and companies
The government gives more
support to foreign
investments and companies
32
Do you think that the minimum monthly salary increased during the last year, following the election of the new
government led by SDSM?
43%
26%
23%
8%
Yes
No
Remained the same
Don’t know/Refused to answer
33
Some people believe that those who earn higher salaries should pay higher personal income tax, while others oppose
this idea. Do you support this type of tax?
38%
25%
26%
11%Yes
Yes, but it should depend on thesalary level above which thehigher personal income tax willbe paid
No
Don’t know/Refused to answer
If higher taxes for people with higher incomes are introduced, how will companies react?
34
22%
31%21%
26%
They will pay the full amount oftax (the net salary of theemployee will remain the same)
They will find ways to pay alower amount of tax to avoidpayment of the full tax
They will deduct the amountthey need to pay for highertaxes from salary (the net salarywill be decreased)
Don’t know/Refused to answer
Using the scale used in Macedonian schools, where 1 is unsatisfactory and 5 is excellent, what grade would you give for the... ?
(Mean score)
2.67
2.59
2.76
2.68
2.51
2.76
2.89
2.71
3.00
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Policies of thegovernment so far
Ability of thegovernment to
communicate itspolicies to you as an
individual
Ability of thegovernment to
communicate itspolicies to thegeneral public
July 2018
August 2017
December 2014
35*Answers from December 2014 refer to the government led by Nikola Gruevski, VMRO-DPMNE.
Based on its actions and behavior, do you consider the SDSM-led government to be transparent or non-transparent?
43%
47%
10%
46%
35%
19%
51%
32%
17%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Transparent Non-transparent Don't know/Refused to answer
December 2014 August 2017 July 2018
36*Answers from December 2014 refer to the government led by Nikola Gruevski, VMRO-DPMNE.
37
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “The SDSM-led government is open and accountable to the
citizens/public”?
20%
34%19%
19%
7%Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Don’t know/Refused to answer
Which three ministers in the Government of Macedonia make the best impression on you and are doing the best job they can?
(Multiple responses)
18%
31%
6%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
19%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
3%
5%
3%
5%
5%
5%
6%
1%
1%
1%
3%
3%
2%
4%
3%
3%
5%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Don't know/Refused to answer
None
Other
Dragan Tevdovski (Minister of Finance)
Arber Ademi (Minister of Education)
Venko Filipce (Minister of Health)
Mila Carovska (Minister of Labor and Social Policy)
Renata Treneska Deskoska (Minister of Justice)
Koco Angushev (DPM for Economic Affairs)
Oliver Spasovski (DPM and Minister for Internal Affairs)
Bujar Osmani (DPM for European Affairs)
Radmila Sekerinska (DPM and Minister of Defense)
Nikola Dimitrov (Minister of Foreign Affairs)
Zoran Zaev (Prime Minister)
First mention
Second mention
Third mention
38* DPM stands for Deputy Prime Minister.
Which three government ministers leave the worst impression on you and are not doing their job as they should?
(Multiple responses)
31%
20%
9%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
18%
10%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
8%
3%
11%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
4%
2%
4%
2%
4%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Don't know/Refused to answer
None
Other
Kreshnik Bekteshi (Minister of Economy)
Sadula Duraku (Minister of Environment)
Arber Ademi (Minister of Education)
Bujar Osmani (DPM for European Affairs)
Hazbi Lika (DPM for Implementation of the Ohrid FrameworkAgreement)
Nikola Dimitrov (Minister of Foreign Affairs)
Koco Angushev (DPM for Economic Affairs)
Oliver Spasovski (DPM and Minister for Internal Affairs)
Venko Filipce (Minister of Health)
Radmila Sekerinska (DPM and Minister of Defense)
Zoran Zaev (Prime Minister)
First mention
Second mention
Third mention
39
41
Macedonia is…(Multiple responses possible)
1%
4%
43%
20%
21%
24%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Don't know/Refusedto answer
None of these
All these
My homeland
My country
My state
What does “one society” mean to you? (Open-ended)
4%
3%
5%
7%
7%
7%
14%
17%
18%
18%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Don't know/Refused to answer
Other
All citizens are loyal to the state
All citizens are committed to common goods, goalsand values
There is no discrimination
Professionalism, merit and quality of work is valued
There are no divisions, people respect each other
The rule of law applies to everyone
Citizens are not divided by ethnic,partisan or social affiliation
Citizens have equal rights, obligations and benefitsfrom the state
42
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means you feel completely frustrated with life in Macedonia and 5 means you feel
completely satisfied, how would you rate your view of life in Macedonia?
43
14%
18%
30%
26%
10%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 2 3 4 5 Don't know/Refused to answer
I feel satisfiedI feel frustrated
How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements:
44
5%
7%
10%
10%
28%
25%
29%
31%
28%
27%
22%
23%
34%
36%
26%
25%
5%
5%
13%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
This government improvesthe life of youth
The state takes equal careof all citizens
This government improvesthe life of
vulnerable/marginalizedgroups in society
This government improvesgender equality
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused to answer
45
What languages do you speak at a level to be able to study and work in that language?
2%
1%
2%
8%
17%
19%
28%
87%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Other
Roma
German
Turkish
English
Serbian/Croatian/Bosnian
Albanian
Macedonian
(Multiple responses possible)
46
Should all citizens, regardless of ethnic background, be proficient in Macedonian language as the official state
language?
86%
9%
5%
Yes
No
Don't know/Refusedto answer
Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the European Union?
48
96% 94% 93% 92%95% 93% 96% 94% 92% 90%
87%84%
76%72% 72%
76%80%
72% 72% 71%
76%72%
77%
83%
3% 4% 5% 7%4% 6% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9%
12%
19% 20%23%
20%
14%
22% 22% 23%19%
21% 20%
14%
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 6%
8%5% 4%
6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 3% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it first received its EU candidate
member status?
49
32%
39%
32%28%
21%25% 24%
18%24%
13%
41%
57%
45%
34%
43% 44%
51% 50% 50%
56%
47%
59%
35%
19%
23%27%
25%28%
28%26% 26% 26%
29%
28%24%
24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Closer today When first received its EU candidate status Don't know/Refused to answer
50
What is most important for Macedonia's accession into the EU?
6%
2%
16%
19%
26%
32%
Don't know/Refused to answer
Other
All of the above
Implementation of domesticreforms requested by the EU
Political will by the EU toaccept Macedonia as a
member
Resolution of the name issue
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
51
In how many years do you think Macedonia will become a member of the EU?
14%
18%
27%
25%
16%
16%
17%
21%
25%
21%
17%
18%
25%
23%
18%
7%
14%
17%
27%
35%
Don't KnowNo Answer
Never
More Than10
6-10
1-5
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
July 2018 April 2016 January 2016 October 2015
1-5
6-10
More than 10
Never
Don't know/
No answer
Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO?
52
92%90% 90% 89%
94% 92%94%
91%89% 89%
91%87%
85%
78% 77%
83% 83%
74%76%
73%77%
71%75%
77%
5%8% 8% 9%
6% 7%5%
8%10% 10%
6%9%
11%
16% 15%13% 12%
19% 18%20%
18%21% 21%
19%
3%2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%2% 2% 3% 4% 4%6% 7%
4% 5%7% 7%
8%5%
8%4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer
53
20%
25%
28%
26%
27%
34%
31%
40%
43%
33%
47%
44%
32%
46%
48%
42%
55%
58%
30%
27%
30%
26%
23%
27%
34%
33%
30%
31%
25%
27%
35%
31%
29%
31%
25%
21%
15%
15%
18%
14%
14%
16%
14%
11%
14%
12%
10%
11%
13%
9%
12%
9%
6%
9%
19%
24%
17%
23%
29%
18%
9%
9%
8%
14%
13%
14%
9%
8%
7%
10%
10%
8%
16%
9%
8%
11%
7%
6%
12%
7%
5%
10%
5%
4%
12%
6%
4%
8%
4%
4%
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jul-18
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/Refused to answer
European
Union
United
States
Turkey
Germany
China
Russia
How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements: “Macedonia’s interests are best served by maintaining strong relations
with…”
54
11%
5%
19%
3%
5%
6%
16%
15%
19%
10%
4%
17%
3%
6%
11%
15%
17%
17%
6%
5%
18%
1%
6%
6%
18%
22%
18%
9%
3%
13%
1%
8%
7%
14%
16%
27%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Don't know/Refused to answer
All of them
None of them
China
Germany
Russia
Turkey
United States of America
European Union
July 2018
August 2017
March 2017
November 2016
Which one of these countries helps Macedonia’s national interests the most?
What is your opinion of the Good Neighborhood and Friendship Agreement with Bulgaria as ratified in the Macedonian Assembly?
55
24%
28%
14%
20%
6%
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Completely positive Somewhat positive
Somewhat negative Completely negative
I have not heard about this agreement Don’t know/Refused to answer
If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely would you be to vote?
(n=1,054)
57
62%
22%
4% 4% 4% 5%
59%
18%
7%3%
6% 7%
61%
22%
4%2%
8%
2%
61%
21%
4% 3% 1%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhatunlikely
Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to
answer
November 2016 March 2017 August 2017 July 2018
If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely would you be to vote?
(n=1,054; Disaggregated by age)
58
61%
56%
68%
20%
22%
20%
3%
4%
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
12%
14%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18-34 years old
35-54 years old
55+ years old
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
Which party would you vote for if parliamentary elections were held today?*
59
11%
22%
6%
5%
1%
4%
5%
7%
17%
20%
23%
19%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
7%
18%
21%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
No answer/Refused to answer
Undecided/Don't know
Would not vote
None/Intend to spoil ballot
Other
BESA (party of Afrim Gashi)
DPA
BESA (party of Bilall Kasami)
AA
DUI
VMRO-DPMNE
SDSM
July 2018
August 2017
*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.
60
When you think about people in political life, who is the one person in Macedonia whom you view most favorably?
32%
1%
3%
9%
5%
16%
10%
31%
<1%
4%
5%
6%
11%
16%
45%
1%
1%
2%
2%
5%
5%
7%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
None
Radmila Sekerinska
Ziadin Sela
Hristijan Mickoski
Nikola Dimitrov
Gjorge Ivanov
Ali Ahmeti
Nikola Gruevski
Zoran Zaev
July 2018
August 2017
March 2017
(Open-ended)
61
8%15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 7%
2%10% 12%
6% 2% 1%4%
-21% -23%-16% -16% -15% -18% -17%
-48%-31%
-42%
-48%-48%
-48% -50%
-60%
-29%-33%
-48%-53%
-58% -56%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
Menduh Taci,leader of DPA
HristijanMickoski,leader of
VMRO-DPMNE
NikolaGruevski,
former leaderof VMRO-DPMNE
Ali Ahmeti,leader of DUI
Bilall Kasami,leader of BESA
Afrim Gashi,leader of BESA
Ziadin Sela,leader of AA
■ Very unfavorable■ Somewhat unfavorable■ Very favorable ■ Somewhat favorable
I will read you a list of public figures in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or
very unfavorable opinion of each of them.
62
24%16%
20%16%
27%17%
16%
11%
22%
18%
8%
7%
-17% -26%-11% -18%
-21%
-15%
-25%
-27%
-28%
-31% -25%
-42%
-2%
-26%
3%
-15%-11%
-33%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
The government The opposition Prime MinisterZoran Zaev
President GjorgeIvanov
The parliament The President ofthe Parliament,
Talat Xhaferi
■ Very unfavorable■ Somewhat unfavorable■ Very favorable ■ Somewhat favorable
I will read you a list of institutions in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or
very unfavorable opinion of that institution.
63
15%22%
9% 8% 9% 7% 7%
14%
19%
6% 1% 2%1% 3%
-20%-14% -18% -21%
-17%-19% -17%
-33%
-27%
-45%-46% -48% -49% -51%
-25%
0%
-48%
-57% -54%-60% -58%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
VMRO-DPMNE SDSM DUI DPA BESA(Party of Afrim
Gashi)
BESA(Party of Bilall
Kasami)
AA(Party of Ziadin
Sela)
■ Very unfavorable■ Somewhat unfavorable■ Very favorable ■ Somewhat favorable
I will read you a list of political parties in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable,
or very unfavorable opinion of that party.
Do you agree that VMRO-DPMNE acts constructively in opposition?
64
13%
21%
23%22%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused to answer
What is your primary source of political news?(Multiple answers)
66
86%
5%
12%
32%
9%
32%
89%
3%
8%
27%
7%
35%
85%
4% 6%
27%
4%
39%
84%
4% 5%
22%
3%
38%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Television Radio Print media Family/Friends
Political parties Internet/Websites
November 2016 March 2017 August 2017 July 2018
Which television station do you watch most often for political news?
(Open ended; multiple answers)
67
3%
2%
2%
3%
5%
7%
11%
12%
17%
18%
19%
2%
2%
2%
7%
5%
12%
5%
10%
20%
3%
3%
2%
2%
5%
5%
9%
9%
2%
5%
4%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Local TV Station
MTV (Albanian language)
Other
TV 21
TV Shenja
Alfa
Do not watch TV
MTV (Macedonian language)
24 Vesti
Telma
Alsat-M
Sitel
Kanal 5
First mention Second mention Third mention
How much did you follow political news yesterday?
68
35%
21%
19%
24%
22%
28%
28%
22%
I didn't follow any of it
I followed some of it
I followed most of it
I followed all of it
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
July 2018
August 2017
Where did you follow political news yesterday?(Open ended; multiple answers, n=853: those who answered that they
followed at least some political news yesterday)
69
89%
35%
6%
26%
6%
84%
29%
5%10% 9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Television Internet, online, socialmedia
Printed media,newspapers
Family and friends Multiple sources (TV,Internet, newspapers,
friends)
August 2017 July 2018
* In August, 2017 n=711.
Demographics
24%
54%
17%
3%
30%
41%
16%
11%
2%
1%
2%
5%
14%
19%
9%
3%
13%
3%
30%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Higher Education/University
Secondary
Elementary
None/Incomplete elementary
Don't know/Refused to answer
27,001+ Denars
18,001-27,000 Denars
9,001-18,000 Denars
0-9,000 Denars
Refused to answer
Other
Student/pupil
Unemployed
Retired
Housewife
Professional
White collar worker
Agricultural
Blue collar worker
71
Occupation
Household income
(monthly)
Education
Demographics
13%
12%
32%
7%
8%
12%
17%
9%
23%
29%
16%
8%
1%
0%
34%
64%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Don't know/Refused to answer
Never
Occasionally
Several times in a week
Once a week
Once a day
Multiple times a day
Never
Once a year
Once a month
Once a week
Once a day
Atheist
Christian-Other
Muslim
Orthodox Christian
72
Religious background
Visit to religious temple
Praying
