LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

156
LUNG TRANSPLANTATION Overall ISHLT 201 2 J Heart Lung Transplant. 2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

description

LUNG TRANSPLANTATION. Overall. ISHLT. 2012. J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095. NUMBER OF LUNG TRANSPLANTS REPORTED BY YEAR AND PROCEDURE TYPE. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Page 1: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Overall

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 2: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

NUMBER OF LUNG TRANSPLANTS REPORTED BY YEAR AND PROCEDURE TYPE

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

5 7 38 89204

450

758

9701160

128914121389

15101547 1559

17001784

19742012

2218

2569

279429202981

3278

3519

Total

Bilateral/Double Lung

Nu

mb

er

of

Tra

ns

pla

nts

NOTE: This figure includes only the lung transplants that are reported to the ISHLT Transplant Registry. As such, this should not be construed as representing changes in the number of lung transplants performed worldwide.ISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 3: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AVERAGE CENTER VOLUMELung Transplants: January 1, 2000 - June 30, 2011

1-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

52

3238

26

158 7

Number of centers Percentage of transplants

Average number of lung transplants per year

Nu

mb

er

of

Ce

nte

rs

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 4: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

LUNG TRANSPLANTS Transplant Recipient Age by Year of Transplant

(Transplants: January 1, 1987 – June 30, 2011)

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

12

24

36

48

60

0-11 12-17 18-34 35-49 50-59 60-65 >65 Median Age

Year of Transplant

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

Me

dia

n r

ec

ipie

nt

ag

e (

ye

ars

)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 5: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS (1/1985-6/2011)

0-11 12-17 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Recipient Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 6: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS BY ERA

0-11 12-17 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1985-1994 (N = 4,973)

1995-2003 (N = 14,884)

2004-6/2011 (N = 21,742)

Recipient Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

p < 0.0001

Transplants with unknown recipient age were excluded from this tabulation.ISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 7: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

LUNG TRANSPLANTS Donor Age by Year of Transplant

(Transplants: January 1, 1987 – June 30, 2011)

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

10

20

30

40

50

0-11 12-17 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-65 >65 Median Donor Age

Year of Transplant

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

Med

ian

do

no

r ag

e (y

ears

)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 8: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

DONOR AGE DISTRIBUTION FOR LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1985-6/2011)

0-11 12-17 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Donor Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 9: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

DONOR AGE DISTRIBUTION FOR LUNG TRANSPLANTS BY ERA

0-11 12-17 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1985-1994 (N = 4,524)

1995-2003 (N = 14,623)

2004-6/2011 (N = 21,617)

Donor Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

p < 0.0001

Transplants with unknown donor age were excluded from this tabulation.ISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 10: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Adult Recipients

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 11: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS (1/1985-6/2011)

18-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

Recipient Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 12: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS BY ERA

18-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

25

1985-1998 (N = 10,223)

1999-6/2011 (N = 29,606)

Recipient Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

p < 0.0001

Median age by era1985-1998 = 48 years1999-6/2011 = 54 years

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 13: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS BY ERA

18-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-65 >650

5

10

15

20

251985-1994 (N=4,740)1995-2003 (N=14,145)2004-6/2011 (N=20,499)

Recipient Age

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

p < 0.0001

Median age by era1985-1994 = 47 years1995-2003 = 51 years2004-6/2011 = 55 years

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 14: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival

(Transplants: January 1994 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160

25

50

75

100

Bilateral/Double Lung (N=19,566)

Single Lung (N=13,276)

All Lungs (N=32,842)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

Double lung: 1/2-life = 6.7 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = 9.4 YearsSingle lung: 1/2-life = 4.6 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = 6.5 YearsAll lungs: 1/2-life = 5.5 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = 7.7 Years

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 15: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSIndications (Transplants: January 1995 - June 2011)

Diagnosis SLT (N = 13,271) BLT (N = 20,831) TOTAL (N = 34,102)

COPD/Emphysema 6,048 ( 45.6% ) 5,539 ( 26.6% ) 11,587 ( 34.0% )

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis 4,430 ( 33.4% ) 3,495 ( 16.8% ) 7,925 ( 23.2% )

Cystic Fibrosis 219 ( 1.7% ) 5,469 ( 26.3% ) 5,688 ( 16.7% )

Alpha-1 741 ( 5.6% ) 1,332 ( 6.4% ) 2,073 ( 6.1% )

Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension 82 ( 0.6% ) 982 ( 4.7% ) 1,064 ( 3.1% )

Pulmonary Fibrosis, Other 498 ( 3.8% ) 659 ( 3.2% ) 1,157 ( 3.4% )

Bronchiectasis 54 ( 0.4% ) 891 ( 4.3% ) 945 ( 2.8% )

Sarcoidosis 251 ( 1.9% ) 614 ( 2.9% ) 865 ( 2.5% )

Re-Transplant: Obliterative Bronchiolitis 259 ( 2.0% ) 254 ( 1.2% ) 513 ( 1.5% )

Connective Tissue Disease 140 ( 1.1% ) 281 ( 1.3% ) 421 ( 1.2% )

Obliterative Bronchiolitis (Not Re-Transplant) 91 ( 0.7% ) 260 ( 1.2% ) 351 ( 1.0% )

LAM 122 ( 0.9% ) 241 ( 1.2% ) 363 ( 1.1% )

Re-Transplant: Not Obliterative Bronchiolitis 166 ( 1.3% ) 191 ( 0.9% ) 357 ( 1.0% )

Congenital Heart Disease 45 ( 0.3% ) 248 ( 1.2% ) 293 ( 0.9% )

Cancer 6 ( 0.0% ) 28 ( 0.1% ) 34 ( 0.1% )

Other 119 ( 0.9% ) 347 ( 1.7% ) 466 ( 1.4% )

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 16: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSDistribution of Procedure Type for Major Indications by Year

Year of TX

Alpha-1 COPD Cystic Fibrosis IPF IPAH

Double Single Double Single Double Single Double Single Double Single

1995 45.5 54.5 22.0 78.0 90.2 9.8 28.2 71.8 89.3 10.7

1996 47.3 52.7 27.8 72.2 86.8 13.2 28.1 71.9 81.7 18.3

1997 46.4 53.6 27.5 72.5 92.6 7.4 21.5 78.5 90.3 9.7

1998 48.2 51.8 30.2 69.8 93.6 6.4 19.1 80.9 87.0 13.0

1999 46.6 53.4 28.0 72.0 91.3 8.7 23.3 76.7 86.4 13.6

2000 57.9 42.1 29.2 70.8 94.2 5.8 30.7 69.3 93.0 7.0

2001 59.9 40.1 30.2 69.8 93.9 6.1 31.2 68.8 90.0 10.0

2002 56.1 43.9 38.9 61.1 96.2 3.8 35.0 65.0 88.1 11.9

2003 65.2 34.8 43.2 56.8 95.6 4.4 41.3 58.7 95.6 4.4

2004 73.9 26.1 45.8 54.2 96.3 3.7 44.1 55.9 94.5 5.5

2005 78.0 22.0 49.4 50.6 97.3 2.7 45.9 54.1 92.6 7.4

2006 72.8 27.2 58.4 41.6 98.5 1.5 46.8 53.2 100.0 0

2007 83.6 16.4 63.6 36.4 97.3 2.7 49.1 50.9 94.8 5.2

2008 80.2 19.8 65.6 34.4 98.6 1.4 51.3 48.7 93.9 6.1

2009 86.4 13.6 66.4 33.6 99.8 0.2 51.0 49.0 98.6 1.4

2010 86.2 13.8 70.4 29.6 99.2 0.8 55.2 44.8 95.7 4.3

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 17: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Procedure Type within Indication, by Year

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%Bilateral/Double Lung Transplant Single Lung Transplant

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

AT Def COPD IPF IPAH

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 18: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Indications for Single Lung Transplants

(Transplants: January 1995 - June 2011)

6%

46%

2%

33%

1%

3%

10%

Alpha-1 COPD CF IPF IPAH Re-Tx Other*

*Other includes:

Pulmonary Fibrosis, Other: 3.8%

Sarcoidosis: 1.9%

Bronchiectasis: 0.4%

Congenital Heart Disease: 0.3%

LAM: 0.9%

Connective Tissue Disease: 1.1%

OB (non-ReTx): 0.7%

Miscellaneous: 0.9%

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 19: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Indications for Bilateral/Double Lung Transplants

(Transplants: January 1995 - June 2011)

6%

27%

26%

17% 5%2%

17%

Alpha-1 COPD CF IPF IPAH Re-Tx Other*

*Other includes:

Pulmonary Fibrosis, Other: 3.2%

Sarcoidosis: 2.9%

Bronchiectasis: 4.3%

Congenital Heart Disease: 1.2%

LAM: 1.2%

Connective Tissue Disease: 1.3%

OB (non-ReTx): 1.2%

Miscellaneous: 1.8%%

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 20: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSMajor Indications By Year (%)

19901991

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

20100

20

40

60

80

100 CF IPF COPD Alpha-1 IPAH Re-Tx

Transplant Year

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 21: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSMajor Indications By Year (Number)

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

2,750CF IPF COPD Alpha-1 IPAH Re-Tx

Transplant Year

Nu

mb

er

of

Tra

ns

pla

nts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 22: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSAge Distribution By Location

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

Europe North America Other0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

18-34 years 35-49 years 50-59 years 60-65 years >65 years

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 23: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSDiagnosis Distribution By Location(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Europe North America Other

Other

Sarcoidosis

Re-TX

Pulmonary Fibrosis, Other

IPAH

IPF

CF

COPD

Bronchiectasis

Alpha-1% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 24: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSDiagnosis Distribution By Location and Era

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Alpha-1 Bronchiectasis COPD CF IPF IPAH Pulmonary Fibrosis, Other Re-TX Sarcoidosis

Other

% o

f T

ran

sp

lan

ts

2005 - 6/2011

Europe North America Other

2005 - 6/20112005 - 6/20112000 - 2004 2000 - 2004 2000 - 2004

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 25: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Donor Age Distribution By Location

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

Europe North America Other0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%1-10 11-17 18-34 35-49 50-59 60-65 >65

% o

f D

on

ors

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 26: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Era

(Transplants: January 1988 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

1001988-1995 (N=5,949)1996-2003 (N=12,632)2004-6/2010 (N=17,715)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 1,055

N at risk = 192

N at risk = 585

1988-1995: 1/2-life = 3.9 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = 7.0 Years1996-2003: 1/2-life = 5.3 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = 7.9 Years2004-6/2010: 1/2-life = 5.9 Years; Conditional 1/2-life = NA

1988-95 vs. 1996-2003: p < 0.00011988-95 vs. 2004-6/2010: p <0.0001 1996-2003 vs. 2004-6/2010: p <0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 27: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Age Group

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

18-34 (N = 6,355)

35-49 (N = 8,860)

50-59 (N = 12,690)

60-65 (N = 6,515)

>65 (N = 1,595)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

HALF-LIFE 18-34: 6.3 Years; 35-49: 6.5 Years; 50-59: 5.2 Years; 60-65: 4.4 Years; >65: 3.6 Years

All pair-wise comparisons are significant at p < 0.05

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 28: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Gender(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 170

20

40

60

80

100

Male (N=19,569)

Female (N=16,445)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

HALF-LIFE Male: 5.1 years; Female: 5.6 years

N at risk at 10 years = 1,342

N at risk at 10 years = 1,337

p < 0.0001

N at risk = 119

N at risk = 102

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 29: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Alpha-1 (N=2,490) CF (N=5,608) COPD (N=11,948)

IPF (N=7,540) IPAH (N=1,308) Sarcoidosis (N=849)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

HALF-LIFE Alpha-1: 6.2 Years; CF: 7.5 Years; COPD: 5.3 Years; IPF: 4.4 Years; IPAH: 5.0 Years; Sarcoidosis: 5.3 Years

All comparisons with Alpha-1 and CF are statistically significant at < 0.05

COPD vs. IPF: p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 30: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis Conditional on

Survival to 3 Months (Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Alpha-1 (N=2,119) CF (N=4,828)

COPD (N=10,315) IPF (N=6,188)

IPAH (N=948) Sarcoidosis (N=687)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

HALF-LIFE Alpha-1: 7.6 Years; CF: 9.0 Years; COPD: 6.0 Years;IPF: 5.8 Years; IPAH: 8.8 Years; Sarcoidosis: 7.0 Years

All comparisons are statistically significant at 0.05 except Alpha-1 vs. COPD and CF vs. IPAH

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 31: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Alpha-1 (N=1,860) CF (N=4,217)COPD (N=8,968) IPF (N=5,079)IPAH (N=831) Sarcoidosis (N=573)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

HALF-LIFE Alpha-1: 8.6 Years; CF: 10.4 Years; COPD: 6.8 Years;IPF: 6.8 Years; IPAH: 10.0 Years; Sarcoidosis: 8.4 Years

All comparisons are statistically significant at 0.05 except Alpha-1 vs. Sarcoidosis, CF vs. IPAH and COPD vs. IPF

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 32: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

Alpha-1/Single lung (N=1,086)

Alpha-1/Double lung (N=1,403)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 42

N at risk = 41

N at risk at 10 years = 168

N at risk at 10 years = 168

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 33: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 130

20

40

60

80

100

Single Lung, < 50 (N = 471) Double Lung, <50 (N = 714)

Single Lung, 50+ (N = 615) Double Lung, 50+ (N = 869)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk at 13 years:Single Lung, <50 = 58; Double Lung, <50 = 64; Single Lung, 50+ = 23; Double Lung, 50+ = 13

p = 0.0008

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 34: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

COPD/Single lung (N=6,797)

COPD/Double lung (N=5,147)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 59

N at risk = 40N at risk at 10 years = 534

N at risk at 10 years = 261

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 35: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

<50/Single lung (N=799) <50/Double lung (N=1,091)

50+/Single lung (N=5,998) 50+/Double lung (N=4,056)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk at 15 years:Single Lung, <50 = 27; Double Lung, <50 = 17; Single Lung, 50+ = 32; Double Lung, 50+ = 23

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 36: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

IPF/Single lung (N=4,481)

IPF/Double lung (N=3,057)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 31

N at risk = 12

N at risk at 10 years = 213

N at risk at 10 years = 96

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 37: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Idiopathic Arterial Pulmonary Hypertension

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

IPAH/Single lung (N=271)

IPAH/Double lung (N=1,037)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 20

N at risk = 26

N at risk at 10 years = 43

N at risk at 10 years = 117

p = 0.0003

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 38: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type and Era

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD, Single Lung

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

COPD/Single lung/1990-1997 (N=2,035)

COPD/Single lung/1998-2004 (N=2,941)

COPD/Single lung/2005-6/2010 (N=1,821)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 192

N at risk = 66

N at risk = 210

1990-1997 vs. 1998-2004: p < 0.00011990-1997 vs. 2005-6/2010: p < 0.00011998-2004 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.8250

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 39: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type and Era

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD, Double Lung

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

COPD/Double lung/1990-1997 (N=576)

COPD/Double lung/1998-2004 (N=1,629)

COPD/Double lung/2005-6/2010 (N=2,942)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 103

N at risk = 34

N at risk = 253

1990-1997 vs. 1998-2004: p = 0.00411990-1997 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.01061998-2004 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.6989

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 40: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type and Era

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis, Double Lung

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100CF/Double lung/1990-1997 (N=1,100)

CF/Double lung/1998-2004 (N=1,947)

CF/Double lung/2005-6/2010 (N=2,457)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 234

N at risk = 79

N at risk = 225

1990-1997 vs. 1998-2004: p < 0.00011990-1997 vs. 2005-6/2010: p < 0.00011998-2004 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.1703

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 41: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type and Era

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, Single Lung

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

IPF/Single lung/1990-1997 (N=944)

IPF/Single lung/1998-2004 (N=1,454)

IPF/Single lung/2005-6/2010 (N=2,083)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 81

N at risk = 28

N at risk = 174

1990-1997 vs. 1998-2004: p = 0.01011990-1997 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.00031998-2004 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.1816

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 42: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival By Procedure Type and Era

(Transplants: January 1990 - June 2010) Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, Double Lung

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 110

20

40

60

80

100

IPF/Double lung/1990-1997 (N=254)

IPF/Double lung/1998-2004 (N=750)

IPF/Double lung/2005-6/2010 (N=2,053)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk = 44

N at risk = 26

N at risk = 147

1990-1997 vs. 1998-2004: p = 0.00061990-1997 vs. 2005-6/2010: p < 0.00011998-2004 vs. 2005-6/2010: p = 0.0082

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 43: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Donor CMV status/Recipient CMV status

(Transplants: October 1999 – June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

D(-)/R(-) (N=2,192)

D(-)/R(+) (N=2,799)

D(+)/R(-) (N=2,892)

D(+)/R(+) (N=4,640)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

D(-)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(-): p < 0.0001D(-)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(+): p < 0.0001D(-)/R(+) vs. D(+)/R(-): p < 0.0001D(-)/R(+) vs. D(+)/R(+): p = 0.0006

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 44: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era

(Transplants: October 1999 – June 2010) Donor CMV status/Recipient CMV status = D(-)/R(-)

0 1 2 3 4 50

20

40

60

80

100

10/1999-2004 (N=892)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.4120

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 45: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era

(Transplants: October 1999 – June 2010) Donor CMV status/Recipient CMV status = D(-)/R(+)

0 1 2 3 4 50

20

40

60

80

100

10/1999-2004 (N=1,182)

2005-6/2010 (N=1,617)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.7314

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 46: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era

(Transplants: October 1999 – June 2010) Donor CMV status/Recipient CMV status = D(+)/R(-)

0 1 2 3 4 50

20

40

60

80

100

10/1999-2004 (N=1,016)

2005-6/2010 (N=1,876)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.1570

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 47: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Era

(Transplants: October 1999 – June 2010) Donor CMV status/Recipient CMV status = D(+)/R(+)

0 1 2 3 4 50

20

40

60

80

100

10/1999-2004 (N=1,751)

2005-6/2010 (N=2,889)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.9050

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 48: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up Stratified by Donor/Recipient CMV Status (Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

D(-)/R(-), Treatment D(-)/R(-), No Treatment D(-)/R(+), Treatment D(-)/R(+), No Treatment

D(+)/R(-), Treatment D(+)/R(-), No Treatment D(+)/R(+), Treatment D(+)/R(+), No Treatment

% e

xper

ien

cin

g re

ject

ion

wit

hin

1 y

ear

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up No comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05

ISHLT 2012

D(-)/R(-): N = 1,362D(-)/R(+): N = 1,672D(+)/R(-): N = 1,859D(+)/R(+): N = 2,979J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 49: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified Donor/Recipient CMV Status (Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60D(-)/R(-), Treatment D(-)/R(-), No TreatmentD(-)/R(+), Treatment D(-)/R(+), No TreatmentD(+)/R(-), Treatment D(+)/R(-), No TreatmentD(+)/R(+), Treatment D(+)/R(+), No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

18-34 35-49 50-59 60-65 >65

No comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05 except D(+)/R(-) vs. D(-)/R(+): 35-49 (p=0.0188) and D(+)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(+): 35-49 (p=0.0199) and 50-59: (p=0.0078)

Female Male

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 50: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year MortalityDIAGNOSIS Procedure

typeN Relative

RiskP-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Retransplant All 526 2.09 <.0001 1.71 - 2.56

IPAH All 376 1.73 0.0003 1.28 - 2.34

Other* All 972 1.68 <.0001 1.38 - 2.03

Sarcoidosis Double 326 1.66 0.0004 1.25 - 2.19

Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency Single 272 1.65 0.0002 1.27 - 2.16

Bronchiectasis All 286 1.36 0.0436 1.01 - 1.83

Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency Double 447 1.33 0.0307 1.03 - 1.73

Pulmonary Fibrosis (not IPF) All 483 1.32 0.0134 1.06 - 1.65

IPF All 3,906 1.26 0.0064 1.07 - 1.49

COPD/Emphysema Double 2,147 1.20 0.0142 1.04 - 1.39

N = 14,762Reference group = COPD/Emphysema, Single lung

*Other = All diagnoses other than COPD, IPAH, IPF, cystic fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis, bronchiectasis, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, retransplant and LAM.ISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 51: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Transplant year = 1998/1999 vs. 2009/2010 1,587 2.24 <.0001 1.92 - 2.62

Transplant year = 2000/2001 vs. 2009/2010 1,863 1.93 <.0001 1.65 - 2.24

Transplant year = 2002/2003 vs. 2009/2010 2,053 1.45 <.0001 1.24 - 1.69

Transplant year = 2004/2005 vs. 2009/2010 2,529 1.34 <.0001 1.16 - 1.54

Transplant year = 2006/2007 vs. 2009/2010 2,791 1.23 0.0026 1.08 - 1.41

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 3,117 1.22 <.0001 1.11 - 1.34

N = 14,762

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 52: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

DONOR CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Donor history of diabetes 658 1.52 <.0001 1.29 - 1.79

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS

Recipient on dialysis 65 2.44 <.0001 1.67 - 3.55

Hospitalized (including ICU) 1,718 1.71 <.0001 1.51 - 1.93

Ventilator 599 1.53 <.0001 1.29 - 1.82

N = 14,762

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 53: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year MortalityRECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative

RiskP-value 95%

Confidence Interval

IV inotropes 42 1.50 0.0800 0.95 - 2.38

Diagnosis = Sarcoidosis, single lung 116 1.44 0.0813 0.96 - 2.18

Diagnosis = Cystic Fibrosis 1,928 1.23 0.0816 0.97 - 1.54

Prior transfusion 728 1.17 0.0601 0.99 - 1.38

Donor history of cancer 254 0.75 0.0974 0.53 - 1.05

N = 14,762Reference group = COPD/Emphysema, Single lung

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 54: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Bilirubin

Transplant center volume Recipient oxygen required at rest

Cardiac output Height difference

Recipient FVC % predicted  

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 55: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Age

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 56: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 57: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Pre-Transplant Bilirubin

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.00.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Bilirubin (mg/dl)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0032

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 58: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Oxygen Required at Rest

0 1 2 3 4 5 60.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Oxygen Required at Rest (L/min)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 59: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Pre-Transplant Cardiac Output

3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Cardiac output

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 60: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Height Difference

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height - Recipient Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0148

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 61: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient FVC (% predicted)

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 800.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient FVC (% predicted)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0037

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 62: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/EmphysemaRisk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 5,169

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Hospitalized (including ICU) 278 2.05 <.0001 1.59 - 2.66

Ventilator 96 1.62 0.0183 1.09 - 2.42

Chronic steroid use 2,296 1.27 0.0010 1.10 - 1.47

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS          

Transplant Year: 1998/1999 vs. 2009/2010 691 1.93 <.0001 1.44 - 2.59

Transplant Year: 2000/2001 vs. 2009/2010 864 1.66 0.0006 1.24 - 2.22

Transplant Year: 2004/2005 vs. 2009/2010 879 1.35 0.0412 1.01 - 1.80

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 886 1.21 0.0337 1.01 - 1.45

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 63: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/EmphysemaRisk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 5,169

DONOR CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Donor history of diabetes 221 1.65 0.0010 1.23 - 2.23

Donor history of cancer 82 0.33 0.0126 0.13 - 0.79

BORDERLINE SIGNIFICANT

Female recipient 2,627 0.86 0.0594 0.73 - 1.01

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 64: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Transplant center volume

Recipient oxygen required at rest Cardiac output

Recipient PCW (borderline)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 65: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Age

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 66: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0018

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 67: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Oxygen Required at Rest

0 1 2 3 40.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Oxygen Required at Rest (L/min)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0039

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 68: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Pre-Transplant Cardiac Output

3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Cardiac output

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0004

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 69: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = COPD/Emphysema Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient PCW

5 10 15 200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

PCW (mm/Hg)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0659

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 70: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPFRisk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 3,920

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Transplant Year: 1998/1999 vs. 2009/2010 274 3.42 <.0001 2.56 - 4.56

Transplant Year: 2000/2001 vs. 2009/2010 295 2.41 <.0001 1.78 - 3.26

Transplant Year: 2002/2003 vs. 2009/2010 443 1.74 0.0002 1.30 - 2.31

Transplant Year: 2004/2005 vs. 2009/2010 663 1.57 0.0006 1.21 - 2.03

Transplant Year: 2006/2007 vs. 2009/2010 879 1.48 0.0009 1.18 - 1.86

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 808 1.43 <.0001 1.21 - 1.69

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 71: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPFRisk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 3,920

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Hospitalized (including ICU) 482 1.80 <.0001 1.44 - 2.25

Ventilator 166 1.75 0.0005 1.28 - 2.39

Prior transfusion 124 1.45 0.0320 1.03 - 2.02

Previous pregnancy 775 1.29 0.0217 1.04 - 1.60

BORDERLINE CHARACTERISTICS          

Donor cause of death = anoxia 363 0.76 0.0542 0.57 - 1.01

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 72: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age PCO2

Transplant center volume Donor height (borderline)

Recipient oxygen required at rest FVC % predicted (borderline)

Bilirubin PA Systolic Pressure (borderline)

Creatinine

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 73: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Age

35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 74: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 75: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Oxygen Required at Rest

0 1 2 3 4 5 60.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Oxygen Required at Rest (L/min)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0394

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 76: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Bilirubin

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.50.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Bilirubin (mg/dl)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 77: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Creatinine at Transplant

0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Creatinine

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0042

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 78: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient PCO2

30 35 40 45 50 550.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

PCO2

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0255

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 79: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Donor Height

150 160 170 180 1900.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0601

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 80: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient FVC (% predicted)

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 700.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

FVC (% predicted)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0717

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 81: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2010)

Diagnosis = IPF Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient PA Systolic Pressure

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 600.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

PA Systolic (mm Hg)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0941

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 82: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

N = 8,759

DIAGNOSIS* N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, single lung 245 1.30 0.0064 1.08 - 1.56

COPD/Emphysema, double lung 1,119 0.87 0.0183 0.78 - 0.98

Cystic Fibrosis 1,218 0.77 0.0056 0.64 - 0.93

LAM 75 0.52 0.0053 0.33 - 0.82

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS          

Transplant Year: 1998/1999 vs. 2004-2006 1,587 1.35 <.0001 1.23 - 1.47

Transplant Year: 2000/2001 vs. 2004-2006 1,863 1.20 <.0001 1.10 - 1.31

Female recipient/male donor vs. male recipient/male donor 4,170 1.12 0.0247 1.01 - 1.23

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 1,684 1.11 0.0086 1.03 - 1.20

Female recipient/female donor vs. male recipient/male donor 2,468 0.83 0.0074 0.73 - 0.95

ISHLT 2012

* Reference group = COPD/Emphysema, Single lung

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 83: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

N = 8,759

DONOR CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Donor history of diabetes 278 1.36 0.0002 1.16 - 1.61

Donor cause of death = anoxia vs. other* 546 0.83 0.0113 0.72 - 0.96

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS          

IV inotropes 37 2.13 0.0002 1.43 - 3.19

Recipient on dialysis 30 1.79 0.0073 1.17 - 2.74

Pulmonary embolism 77 1.46 0.0124 1.09 - 1.97

Hospitalized (including ICU) 724 1.35 <.0001 1.19 - 1.53

Prior sternotomy 295 1.29 0.0017 1.10 - 1.51

Recipient history of diabetes 923 1.19 0.0009 1.08 - 1.32

Chronic steroid use 4,150 1.14 <.0001 1.07 - 1.22

BORDERLINE SIGNIFICANT

Diagnosis = Retransplant 242 1.20 0.0677 0.99 - 1.47

ISHLT 2012 *Other = All causes of death other than anoxia and stroke.

Reference group = COPD/Emphysema, Single lung

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 84: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Cardiac output

Transplant center volume Height difference

Recipient oxygen required at rest PA Systolic Pressure (borderline)

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 85: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Age

20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 86: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 87: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Oxygen Required at Rest

0 1 2 3 4 5 60.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Oxygen Required at Rest (L/min)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0010

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 88: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Pre-Transplant Cardiac Output

3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Cardiac output

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0009

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 89: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Height Difference

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height - Recipient Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0462

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 90: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient PA Systolic Pressure

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 600.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

PA Systolic (mm Hg)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0829

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 91: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

N = 6,788ISHLT 2012

DIAGNOSIS Procedure type

N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

COPD/Emphysema Double 902 0.79 0.0014 0.68 - 0.91

IPF Double 492 0.73 0.0051 0.59 - 0.91

Sarcoidosis All 188 0.73 0.0424 0.54 - 0.99

Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency Double 255 0.63 0.0008 0.48 - 0.82

Cystic Fibrosis All 1,015 0.60 <.0001 0.47 - 0.77

IPAH All 195 0.59 0.0085 0.40 - 0.87

LAM All 66 0.51 0.0138 0.29 - 0.87

Other* Single 104 0.51 0.0018 0.33 - 0.78

*Other = All diagnoses other than COPD, IPAH, IPF, cystic fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis, bronchiectasis, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, retransplant and LAM.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 92: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

N = 6,788

DONOR CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Donor cause of death = Anoxia vs. Other* 437 0.76 0.0048 0.63 - 0.92

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS

Pulmonary embolism 51 1.71 0.0119 1.13 - 2.61

Prior sternotomy 212 1.36 0.0050 1.10 - 1.68

History of diabetes 702 1.25 0.0015 1.09 - 1.43

Hospitalized (including ICU) 472 1.23 0.0194 1.03 - 1.47

Chronic steroid use 3,162 1.12 0.0107 1.03 - 1.22

Ventilator 124 0.65 0.0247 0.45 - 0.95

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

*Other = All causes of death other than anoxia and stroke.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 93: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

N = 6,788

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 1,292 1.12 0.0309 1.01 - 1.24

Female recipient/male donor vs. male recipient/male donor 1,345 1.15 0.0191 1.02 - 1.30

POST-TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS

OB within 1 year post-transplant 496 1.97 <.0001 1.72 - 2.24

Post-transplant dialysis prior to discharge 167 1.51 0.0009 1.18 - 1.93

Rejection between discharge and 1 year 2,911 1.24 <.0001 1.14 - 1.35

Treated for infection by discharge 2,756 1.11 0.0153 1.02 - 1.21

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 94: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

N = 6,788

CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Donor history of diabetes 197 1.22 0.0947 0.97 - 1.54

OKT3 used for induction 89 1.33 0.0832 0.96 - 1.85

Mismatches at HLA A locus, per mismatch

 0 A MM = 4221 A MM = 2,9292 A MM = 3,437

1.14 0.0679 0.99 - 1.30

IL-2R antagonist used for induction 1,954 0.91 0.0657 0.82 - 1.01

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 95: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age PVR

Transplant center volume Height difference (borderline)

Cardiac output

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 96: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

Recipient Age

20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 97: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0010

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 98: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

Recipient Pre-Transplant Cardiac Output

3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Cardiac output

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0168

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 99: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

Recipient PVR

1 2 3 4 5 60.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient PVR

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0296

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 100: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1998-6/2006)

Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

Height Difference

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height - Recipient Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 5

Ye

ar

Mo

rta

lity

p = 0.0790

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 101: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

N = 5,202

DIAGNOSIS* N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Retransplant 115 1.44 0.0015 1.15 -1.80

Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, single lung 276 1.26 0.0031 1.08 -1.47

COPD/Emphysema, double lung 485 0.82 0.0013 0.72 -0.92

Cystic Fibrosis 744 0.79 0.0120 0.65 -0.95

LAM 51 0.58 0.0096 0.38 -0.88

DONOR CHARACTERISTICS          

Donor history of diabetes 119 1.47 0.0002 1.20 -1.80

Donor history of cancer 60 1.38 0.0250 1.04 -1.83

ISHLT 2012

* Reference group = COPD/Emphysema, Single lung

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 102: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

N = 5,202

RECIPIENT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

IV inotropes 54 1.92 <.0001 1.41 - 2.61

Ventilator 126 1.28 0.0458 1.00 - 1.64

Recipient history of diabetes 316 1.25 0.0017 1.09 - 1.44

Prior sternotomy 191 1.24 0.0109 1.05 - 1.47

Hospitalized (including ICU) 412 1.17 0.0371 1.01 - 1.35

Chronic steroid use 2,407 1.08 0.0357 1.00 - 1.15

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 103: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

N = 5,202

TRANSPLANT CHARACTERISTICS N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Transplant year = 1995/1996 vs. 2000/2001 1,442 1.24 <.0001 1.14 - 1.36

Donor CMV +/ Recipient CMV - 926 1.18 0.0002 1.08 - 1.28

Not ABO identical 420 1.17 0.0095 1.04 - 1.32

Transplant year = 1997/1998 vs. 2000/2001 1,626 1.10 0.0297 1.01 - 1.20

HLA mismatches, per mismatch

 0 MM = 41 MM = 212MM = 1463 MM = 519

4MM = 1,1375 MM = 2,3946 MM = 981

1.06 0.0031 1.02 - 1.09

BORDERLINE SIGNIFICANT

Donor cause of death = anoxia 239 0.86 0.0772 0.73 - 1.02

Diagnosis = Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, double lung 191 0.82 0.0592 0.67 - 1.01

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 104: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Recipient weight

Transplant center volume Donor height

Donor Age Height difference

ISHLT 2012

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 105: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence LimitsRecipient Age

20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 650.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 106: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Center Volume

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center Volume (cases per year)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p = 0.0002

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 107: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence LimitsDonor Age

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 550.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p = 0.0012

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 108: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Recipient Weight

50 60 70 80 90 1000.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Weight (kg)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p = 0.0004

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 109: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Donor Height

150 160 170 180 1900.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p = 0.0005

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 110: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANTS (1/1995-6/2001)

Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits Height Difference

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Donor Height - Recipient Height (cm)

Re

lati

ve

Ris

k o

f 1

0 Y

ea

r M

ort

alit

y

p = 0.0406

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 111: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Cross-Sectional Analysis

Functional Status of Surviving Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

1 Year (N = 6,935) 3 Years (N = 4,448) 5 Years (N = 2,581)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No Activity Limitations Performs with Assistance Total Assistance

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 112: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSFunctional Status of Surviving Recipients

US Recipients Only(Follow-ups: March 2005 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1 Year (N = 7,578)

2 Years (N = 5,972)

3 Years (N = 4,906)

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 113: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSEmployment Status of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1 Year (N = 11,669)

3 Years (N = 7,276)

5 Years (N = 4,702)

Working (FT/PT Status unknown)

Working Part Time

Working Full Time

Retired

Not Working

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 114: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSRehospitalization Post-transplant of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1 Year (N = 15,839)

3 Years (N = 9,853)

5 Years (N = 6,390)

No Hospitalization Hospitalized, Not Rejection/Not Infection

Hospitalized, Rejection Hospitalized, Infection Only

Hospitalized, Rejection + Infection

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 115: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSInduction Immunosuppression

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Transplants: January 2002 – June 2011)

Any Induction (N=6,632)

Polyclonal ALG/ATG (N=1,426)

IL-2R Antagonist (N=4,521)

Alemtuzumab (N=684)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the dischargeISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 116: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSInduction Immunosuppression

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Transplants: 2002, 2006 and 1/2011–6/2011)

Any Induction Polyclonal ALG/ATG

IL-2R Antagonist Alemtuzumab0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2002 2006 1/2011-6/2011

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-upISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 117: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSInduction Immunosuppression

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Transplants: January 2000 – December 2010)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the discharge

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

Any Induction Polyclonal ALG/ATG IL-2R Antagonist Alemtuzumab

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 118: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Survival by Induction Usage Conditional on Survival to 14 Days

(Transplants: April 1994 – June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

25

50

75

100

No induction (N = 9,020)

Induction (N = 7,775)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%) N at risk at 5 years = 2,350

N at risk = 87

N at risk = 37

p < 0.0001

N at risk at 5 years = 3,456

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 119: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Survival by Induction Usage Conditional on Survival to 14 Days

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

25

50

75

100

No induction (N = 6,027)

Induction (N = 6,574)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

N at risk at 5 years = 1,748

N at risk = 153

N at risk = 143

p < 0.0001

N at risk at 5 years = 1,905

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 120: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSMaintenance Immunosuppression at Time of Follow-up

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Follow-ups: January 2002 – June 2011)

Cyclosporine Tacrolimus Sirolimus/ Everolimus

MMF/MPA Azathioprine0

20

40

60

80

100

Year 1 (N = 9,801) Year 5 (N = 4,147)

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-upISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 121: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the discharge

CyA TAC Sirolimus/

Everolimus

MMF/MPA

AZA CyA TAC Sirolimus/

Everolimus

MMF/MPA

AZA0

20

40

60

80

100

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

1-Year Follow-Up 5-Year Follow-Up

Consecutive bars within each drug type represent follow-ups in 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 & 2011.

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSMaintenance Immunosuppression at Time of Follow-up

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Follow-ups: January 2002 – June 2011)

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 122: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Maintenance Immunosuppression at Time of 1 Year Follow-up

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Follow-ups: 2002, 2006 and 7/2010–6/2011)

Cyclosporine Tacrolimus Sirolimus/Everolimus

MMF/MPA

Azathioprine0

20

40

60

80

1002002 (N = 732) 2006 (N = 1,099) 7/2010-6/2011 (N = 1,352)

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in each time frame

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 123: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Maintenance Immunosuppression at Time of Follow-up

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Follow-ups: January 2002 – June 2011)

Cal-cineurin Inhibitor

CellCycle Sirolimus/Everolimu

s

Cal-cineurin Inhibitor

CellCycle Sirolimus/Everolimu

s

0

20

40

60

80

100

% o

f p

ati

en

ts

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

Tac

CyA

Tac

CyAAZA AZA

MMF/MPA

MMF

1 Year Follow-up (N = 9,801) 5 Year Follow-up (N = 4,147)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 124: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Maintenance Immunosuppression Drug Combinations at Time of Follow-up

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone(Follow-ups: January 2002 – June 2011)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Year 1 (N = 9,801)

Year 5 (N = 4,147)

Other

Sirolimus/Everolimus + Calcineurin + Cellcycle

Sirolimus/Everolimus + Cellcycle

Sirolimus/Everolimus + Calcineurin

Tacrolimus

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA

Tacrolimus + AZA

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA

Cyclosporine + AZA

% o

f P

ati

en

ts

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 125: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Maintenance Immunosuppression

Combinations Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

25

50

75

100

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=3,137)

Tacrolimus + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=1,381)

Cyclosporine + MM/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=453)

Cyclosporine + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=498)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 126: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Maintenance Immunosuppression

Combinations Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone Diagnosis: COPD/Emphysema

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90

25

50

75

100

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=974)

Tacrolimus + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=482)

Cyclosporine + MM/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=201)

Cyclosporine + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=228)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.0121

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 127: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Maintenance Immunosuppression

Combinations Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 70

25

50

75

100

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=961)

Tacrolimus + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=397)

Cyclosporine + MM/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=108)

Cyclosporine + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=80)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.0389

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 128: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Maintenance Immunosuppression

Combinations Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 70

25

50

75

100

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=468)Tacrolimus + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=180)Cyclosporine + MM/MPA use at discharge and 1 year (N=39)Cyclosporine + AZA use at discharge and 1 year (N=78)

Years

Su

rviv

al (

%)

p = 0.3808

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 129: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Rejection, Treatment Rejection, No Treatment

Overall: N = 8,55318-34: N = 1,13335-49: N = 1,45950-59: N = 2,75160-65: N = 2,28666+: N = 924Female: N = 3,721 Male: N = 4,832

% e

xper

ien

cin

g re

ject

ion

wit

hin

1

year

18-34 35-49 50-59 60-65 >65 Female Male

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

All comparisons with 18-34 are statistically significant at < 0.05

Overall

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 130: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Type of Induction (Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No induction, Treatment No induction, No Treatment Polyclonal, Treatment

Polyclonal, No Treatment IL-2R Antagonist, Treatment IL-2R Antagonist, No Treatment

Alemtuzumab, Treatment Alemtuzumab, No Treatment

No induction: N = 3,809Polyclonal: N = 868IL-2R Antagonist: N = 3,254Alemtuzumab: N = 575

% e

xper

ien

cin

g re

ject

ion

wit

hin

1

year

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

No induction vs. IL-2R: p = 0.0030Polyclonal vs. IL-2R: p = 0.0441 IL-2R vs. Alemtuzumab: p = 0.0014

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 131: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Type of Induction (Follow-ups: July 1, 2004 – June 30, 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70 No induction, Treatment No induction, No TreatmentPolyclonal, Treatment Polyclonal, No TreatmentIL-2R Antagonist, Treatment IL-2R Antagonist, No TreatmentAlemtuzumab, Treatment Alemtuzumab, No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

18-34 (N=1,129) 35-49 (N=1,453) 50-59 (N=2,731) 60-65 (N=2,274) >65 (N=919)

18-34: Polyclonal vs. IL-2R (p=0.0035); IL-2R vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0062)35-49: No induction vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0183); IL-2R vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0126)50-59: No induction vs. Polyclonal (p=0.0113); No induction vs. IL-2R (p=0.0220); Polyclonal vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0024); IL-2R vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0067)66+: No induct vs. Polyclonal (p=0.0002); Polyclonal vs. IL-2R (p=0.0014); Polyclonal vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0119)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 132: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Type of Induction (Follow-ups: July 1, 2004 – June 30, 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70 No induction, Treatment No induction, No TreatmentPolyclonal, Treatment Polyclonal, No TreatmentIL-2R Antagonist, Treatment IL-2R Antagonist, No TreatmentAlemtuzumab, Treatment Alemtuzumab, No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

Female (N=3,705) Male (N=4,801)

Female: No induction vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0120); Polyclonal vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0212); IL-2R vs. Alemtuzumab (p=0.0008)Male: No induction vs. IL-2R (p=0.0093); Polyclonal vs. IL-2R (p=0.0331)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 133: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

CyA + MMF/MPA, Treatment CyA + MMF/MPA, No Treatment CyA + AZA, Treatment

CyA + AZA, No Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, No Treatment

TAC + AZA, Treatment TAC + AZA, No Treatment

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA: N = 454Cyclosporine + AZA: N = 668Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA: N = 4,328Tacrolimus + AZA: N = 2,137

% e

xper

ien

cin

g re

ject

ion

wit

hin

1

year

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

All comparisons are statistically significant at p < 0.0001 except CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + AZA (p=0.1521)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 134: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression (Follow-ups: July 1, 2004 – June 30, 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90 CyA + MMF/MPA, Treatment CyA + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentCyA + AZA, Treatment CyA + AZA, No TreatmentTAC + MMF/MPA, Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentTAC + AZA, Treatment TAC + AZA, No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

18-34 (N=1,009) 35-49 (N=1,297) 50-59 (N=2,428) 60-65 (N=2,039) >65 (N=814)

All age groups: all comparisons with CyA + AZA are significant at 0.05; all TAC + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + AZA comparisons are significant at 0.05 except 35-49.35-49: CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA ( p=0.0230); CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + AZA (p=0.0426) 50-59: CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA (p=0.0013) 60-65: CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA (p=0.0035)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 135: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression (Follow-ups: July 1, 2004 – June 30, 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90 CyA + MMF/MPA, Treatment CyA + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentCyA + AZA, Treatment CyA + AZA, No TreatmentTAC + MMF/MPA, Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentTAC + AZA, Treatment TAC + AZA, No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

Female (N=3,318) Male (N=4,269)

All comparisons are statistically significant at 0.001 except CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + AZA (female: p=0.4533; male: p=0.2053)

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 136: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 3-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

CyA + MMF/MPA, Treatment CyA + MMF/MPA, No Treatment CyA + AZA, Treatment

CyA + AZA, No Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, No Treatment

TAC + AZA, Treatment TAC + AZA, No Treatment

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA: N = 238Cyclosporine + AZA: N = 385Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA: N = 1,888Tacrolimus + AZA: N = 1,135

% e

xper

ien

cin

g re

ject

ion

wit

hin

3

year

s

Analysis is limited to patients with rejection or no rejection reported on all three annual follow-ups through 3 years

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

All comparisons with CyA + AZA are significant at p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 137: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF ADULT LUNG RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 3-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression (Follow-ups: July 1, 2004 – June 30, 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100 CyA + MMF/MPA, Treatment CyA + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentCyA + AZA, Treatment CyA + AZA, No TreatmentTAC + MMF/MPA, Treatment TAC + MMF/MPA, No TreatmentTAC + AZA, Treatment TAC + AZA, No Treatment

% e

xp

eri

en

cin

g r

eje

cti

on

wit

hin

1 y

ea

r

18-34 35-49 50-59 60-65 >65

All age groups and genders: all comparisons with CyA + AZA are significant at 0.05 except CyA+ MMF/MPA vs. CyA + AZA for 35-49 and 66+ groups

Female Male

Analysis is limited to patients with rejection or no rejection reported on all three annual follow-ups through 3 years

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 138: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

POST-LUNG TRANSPLANT MORBIDITY FOR ADULTSCumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors within 1 Year Post-Transplant

(Follow-ups: April 1994 - June 2011)

Outcome

Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2003

Follow-ups: July 2003– June 2011

Within 1 Year

Total number

with known response

Within 1 Year

Total number

with known response

Hypertension 50.8% (N = 6,021) 52.9% (N = 7,983)

Renal Dysfunction 26.1% (N = 6,012) 22.2% (N = 9,641)

Abnormal Creatinine < 2.5 mg/dl 15.8%   16.9%  

Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl 8.3%   3.7%  

Chronic Dialysis 1.9%   1.5%  

Renal Transplant 0.0%   0.1%  

Hyperlipidemia 16.5% (N = 6,293) 31.4% (N = 8,428)

Diabetes 20.1% (N = 5,987) 28.9% (N = 9,607)

Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome 9.4% (N = 5,623) 9.5% (N = 9,096)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 139: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

POST-LUNG TRANSPLANT MORBIDITY FOR ADULTSCumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors within 1 and 5 Years

Post-Transplant (Follow-ups: April 1994 - June 2011)

Outcome Within 1 Year

Total number

with known response

Within 5 Years

Total number

with known response

Hypertension 52.0% (N = 14,004) 82.9% (N = 4,098)

Renal Dysfunction 23.7% (N = 15,653) 56.1% (N = 4,895)

Abnormal Creatinine < 2.5 mg/dl 16.5%   36.7%  

Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl 5.4%   15.5%  

Chronic Dialysis 1.7%   3.2%  

Renal Transplant 0.1%   0.8%  

Hyperlipidemia 25.0% (N = 14,721) 57.9% (N = 4,443)

Diabetes 25.5% (N = 15,594) 40.5% (N = 4,831)

Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome 9.5% (N = 14,719) 38.9% (N = 4,099)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 140: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

POST-LUNG TRANSPLANT MORBIDITY FOR ADULTSCumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors within 10 Years Post-Transplant

(Follow-ups: April 1994 - June 2011)

Outcome Within 10 Years

Total number with known response

Renal Dysfunction 75.4% (N = 855)

Abnormal Creatinine < 2.5 mg/dl 40.6%

Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl 20.5%

Chronic Dialysis 9.0%

Renal Transplant 5.4%

Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome 61.6% (N = 614)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 141: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeFor Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Conditional on Survival to 14 days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Oblit-erans Syndrome (N = 14,762)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

N at risk = 30

N at risk at 5 years = 2,079

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 142: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Age Group

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 14 days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

18-34 (N = 2,091) 35-49 (N = 3,137)

50-59 (N = 5,110) 60-65 (N = 3,373)

>65 (N = 1,051)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

p = 0.1362

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 143: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Diagnosis

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 14 days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

Alpha-1 (N=863) CF (N=2,104)

COPD (N=5,410) IPF (N=3,587)

IPAH (N=420) Sarcoidosis (N=425)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 144: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Induction Use

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 14 days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100No induction (N = 7,274)Induction (N = 6,523)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

N at risk = 49

N at risk = 21N at risk at 5 years = 1,136

N at risk at 5 years = 818

p = 0.0002

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 145: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Induction Use

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100No induction (N = 6,462)Induction (N = 5,841)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

N at risk = 49

N at risk = 21N at risk at 5 years = 1,136

N at risk at 5 years = 818

p = 0.0004

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 146: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Donor CMV Status/Recipient CMV Status

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 14 Days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

D(-)/R(-) (N = 2,352) D(-)/R(+) (N = 3,134)

D(+)/R(-) (N = 2,915) D(+)/R(+) (N = 4,999)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

N at risk = 17

N at risk = 30

N at risk = 14

N at risk = 17

No p-values are significant at p < 0.05 except D(-)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(-): p = 0.0098D(-)/R(+) vs. D(+)/R(+): p = 0.0265D(+)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(+): p = 0.0010

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 147: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Bronchiolitis Obliterans SyndromeStratified by Donor CMV Status/Recipient CMV Status

For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

20

40

60

80

100

D(-)/R(-) (N = 2,106) D(-)/R(+) (N = 2,811)

D(+)/R(-) (N = 2,523) D(+)/R(+) (N = 4,471)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m B

ron

ch

iolit

is O

blit

-e

ran

s S

yn

dro

me

N at risk = 17

N at risk = 30

N at risk = 14

N at risk = 17

No p-values are significant at p = 0.05 except D(-)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(-): p = 0.0102D(-)/R(+) vs. D(+)/R(+): p = 0.0194D(+)/R(-) vs. D(+)/R(+): p = 0.0013

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 148: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Freedom from Severe Re-nal Dysfunction (N=15,661)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m S

ev

ere

Re

na

l Dy

s-

fun

cti

on

N at risk = 60

N at risk at 5 years = 3,249

* Severe renal dysfunction = Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl (221 μmol/L), dialysis or renal transplant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 149: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* For Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 140

20

40

60

80

100

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction (N=13,866)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m S

ev

ere

Re

na

l Dy

s-

fun

cti

on

N at risk = 60

N at risk at 5 years = 3,249

* Severe renal dysfunction = Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl (221 μmol/L), dialysis or renal transplant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 150: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction* by Maintenance Immunosuppression Combinations at Discharge

For Adult Lung Recipients (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)Analysis limited to patients receiving prednisone

Conditional on Survival to 14 Days

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90

20

40

60

80

100

TAC+MMF/MPA (N = 4,798) TAC+AZA (N = 2,671)

CyA+MMF/MPA (N = 956) CyA+AZA (N = 1,464)

Years

% F

ree

fro

m S

ev

ere

Re

na

l Dy

s-

fun

cti

on

* Severe renal dysfunction = Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl (221 μmol/L), dialysis or renal transplant

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 151: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

MALIGNANCY POST-LUNG TRANSPLANT FOR ADULTSCumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors

(Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Malignancy/Type 1-Year Survivors

5-Year Survivors

10-Year Survivors

No Malignancy 15,493 (96.5%) 4,485 (85.9%) 713 (72.8%)

Malignancy (all types combined) 563 (3.5%) 739 (14.1%) 267 (27.2%)

Malignancy Type*

Skin 169 486 182

Lymphoma 222 82 35

Other 148 199 81

Type Not Reported 24 9 0

* Recipients may have experienced more than one type of malignancy so sum of individual malignancy types may be greater than total number with malignancy.

Other malignancies reported include: adenocarcinoma (2; 2; 1), bladder (2; 1; 0), lung (2; 4; 0), breast (1; 5; 2); prostate (0; 5; 1), cervical (1; 1; 0); liver (1; 1; 1); colon (1; 1; 0). Numbers in parentheses represent the number of reported cases within each time period.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 152: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from MalignancyFor Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

All malignancy Lymphoma Skin Other

Years

% F

ree

fro

m M

alig

na

nc

y

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 153: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from MalignancyFor Adult Lung Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

All malignancy Lymphoma Skin Other

Years

% F

ree

fro

m M

alig

na

nc

y

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 154: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTSCause of Death (Deaths: January 1992 – June 2011)

CAUSE OF DEATH 0-30 Days (N = 2,504)

31 Days - 1 Year

(N = 4,347)

>1 Year - 3 Years

(N = 3,910)

>3 Years - 5 Years

(N = 2,217)

>5 Years – 10 Years (N = 2,615)

>10 Years (N = 756)

BRONCHIOLITIS 8 (0.3%) 199 (4.6%) 1,018 (26.0%) 647 (29.2%) 659 (25.2%) 157 (20.8%)

ACUTE REJECTION 89 (3.6%) 77 (1.8%) 59 (1.5%) 11 (0.5%) 16 (0.6%) 1 (0.1%)

LYMPHOMA 1 (0.0%) 109 (2.5%) 82 (2.1%) 36 (1.6%) 60 (2.3%) 30 (4.0%)

MALIGNANCY, NON-LYMPHOMA

3 (0.1%) 117 (2.7%) 273 (7.0%) 218 (9.8%) 324 (12.4%) 90 (11.9%)

CMV 0 108 (2.5%) 38 (1.0%) 7 (0.3%) 4 (0.2%) 1 (0.1%)

INFECTION, NON-CMV 503 (20.1%) 1,561 (35.9%) 894 (22.9%) 434 (19.6%) 472 (18.0%) 127 (16.8%)

GRAFT FAILURE 652 (26.0%) 740 (17.0%) 727 (18.6%) 403 (18.2%) 466 (17.8%) 132 (17.5%)

CARDIOVASCULAR 268 (10.7%) 195 (4.5%) 154 (3.9%) 106 (4.8%) 133 (5.1%) 50 (6.6%)

TECHNICAL 262 (10.5%) 146 (3.4%) 35 (0.9%) 15 (0.7%) 25 (1.0%) 8 (1.1%)

OTHER 718 (28.7%) 1,095 (25.2%) 630 (16.1%) 340 (15.3%) 456 (17.4%) 160 (21.2%)

ISHLT 2012 Percentages represent % of deaths in the respective time period

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 155: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Relative Incidence of Leading Causes of Death

(Deaths: January 1992 - June 2011)

0-30 Days (N=2,504)

31 Days – 1 Year (N=4,347)

>1 Year – 3 Years

(N=3,910)

>3 Years – 5 Years

(N=2,217)

>5 Years – 10 Years

(N=2,615)

>10 Years (N=756)

0

10

20

30

40

50Bronchiolitis Malignancy (non-Lymph/PTLD)Infection (non-CMV) Graft FailureCardiovascular

% o

f D

ea

ths

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 156: LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

ADULT LUNG TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTSCause of Death Stratified by Donor CMV Status/Recipient CMV Status

(Deaths: January 1992 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Donor CMV Status/

Recipient CMV Status

CAUSE OF DEATH

0-30 Days 31 Days - 1 Year

>1 Year - 3 Years

>3 Years - 5 Years

>5 Years – 10 Years >10 Years

D(-)/R(-)(N=1,572)

BRONCHIOLITIS 1 (0.6%) 24 (6.4%) 101 (24.9%) 78 (32.0%) 69 (24.8%) 19 (20.9%)

INFECTION, NON-CMV 31 (17.4%) 134 (35.6%) 96 (23.7%) 41 (16.8%) 39 (14.0%) 12 (13.2%)

GRAFT FAILURE 50 (28.1%) 69 (18.4%) 80 (19.8%) 49 (20.1%) 51 (18.3%) 18 (19.8%)

D(-)/R(+)(N=2,350)

BRONCHIOLITIS 3 (1.1%) 29 (5.6%) 148 (27.2%) 95 (24.5%) 132 (27.1%) 33 (23.9%)

INFECTION, NON-CMV 56 (20.1%) 204 (39.6%) 128 (23.5%) 90 (23.2%) 79 (16.2%) 24 (17.4%)

GRAFT FAILURE 79 (28.4%) 87 (16.9%) 103 (18.9%) 64 (16.5%) 96 (19.7%) 23 (16.7%)

D(+)/R(-)(N=2,076)

BRONCHIOLITIS 0 20 (3.2%) 128 (23.3%) 70 (25.2%) 79 (25.5%) 7 (9.3%)

INFECTION, NON-CMV 43 (18.0%) 228 (36.5%) 127 (23.1%) 47 (16.9%) 52 (16.8%) 21 (28.0%)

GRAFT FAILURE 64 (26.8%) 125 (20.0%) 115 (20.9%) 60 (21.6%) 73 (23.5%) 15 (20.0%)

D(+)/R(+)(N=3,628)

BRONCHIOLITIS 1 (0.2%) 45 (5.2%) 242 (25.6%) 157 (27.6%) 147 (23.3%) 31 (17.9%)

INFECTION, NON-CMV 81 (18.5%) 316 (36.2%) 211 (22.3%) 114 (20.0%) 113 (17.9%) 24 (13.9%)

GRAFT FAILURE 134 (30.6%) 193 (22.1%) 179 (18.9%) 111 (19.5%) 128 (20.3%) 37 (21.4%)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095