Louisiana Energy Workforce Outlook · US Employment by Industry Trade & Transportation 17%...
Transcript of Louisiana Energy Workforce Outlook · US Employment by Industry Trade & Transportation 17%...
Louisiana Energy Workforce Outlook
Stephen R. Barnes, PhD
US Employment by Industry
Trade & Transportation17%
Government13%
Education & Health Services14%
Professional & Business Services14%
Leisure & Hospitality10%
Manufacturing7%
Financial Activities10%
Other Services6%
Construction5%
Natural Resources & Mining2%
Information2%
LA Employment by Industry
Trade & Transportation18%
Government14%
Education & Health Services13%
Professional & Business Services12%
Leisure & Hospitality10%
Manufacturing6%
Financial Activities8%
Other Services6%
Construction7%
Natural Resources & Mining5%
Information1%
US GDP by Industry
Trade & Transportation16%
Government13%
Education & Health Services8%
Professional & Business Services
12%
Leisure & Hospitality4% Manufacturing
12%
Financial Activities20%
Other Services2%
Construction4%
Natural Resources & Mining4%Information
5%
Louisiana GDP by Industry
Trade & Transportation16%
Government11%
Education & Health Services6%
Professional & Business Services8%
Leisure & Hospitality4% Manufacturing
23%
Financial Activities13%
Other Services2%
Construction5%
Natural Resources & Mining10%Information
2%
Historical Employment & Projections
108
113
118
123
128
133
138
143
148
153
158
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
LA Total US Total
MIL
LIO
NS
Core Energy Industries
• Oil & Gas Extraction
• Support Activities for Mining & Extraction
• Pipeline Transportation
• Utilities
Historical Employment & Projections
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
-
5
10
15
20
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Oil & Gas Extraction Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Support Activities, Oil & Gas Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Utilities Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
1.2
1.7
2.2
2.7
3.2
3.7
4.2
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Pipeline Transportation Total LA
Core Energy Employment Outlook
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Utilities
Pipeline Transportation
Support Activities,Mining & Extraction
Mining, Oil & Gas
Total LA
Closely-Related & Support Industries
• Petroleum Manufacturing
• Chemical Manufacturing
• Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction
• Specialty Trade Contractors
• Water Transportation
• Rail Transportation
• Support Activities for Transportation
• Machinery Manufacturing
Historical Employment & Projections
1,500
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,700
3,000
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Specialty Trade Contractors Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
THO
USA
ND
S
Water Transportation Total LA
Historical Employment & Projections
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
LA Total Core Energy Energy Support & Related Industries
• Upstream growth has soaked up recent increases in workforce supply
• Downstream manufacturing expansions generating large increases in workforce demand
• Baby boomer retirements plus the oil and gas bust of 1980s leading to increase in replacement demand
Recent Workforce Trends in Energy
Top Core Energy Occupations
• Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining
•Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
•Riggers
•Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
•Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
•Crane and Tower Operators
•Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
•Maintenance and Repair Workers, General
• First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
•Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
•Petroleum Engineers
• Industrial Machinery Mechanics
•Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
•General and Operations Managers
•Production Workers, All Other
•Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers
•Maintenance Workers, Machinery
•Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
•Electro-Mechanical Technicians
•Electricians
•First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
•Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels
Competition for Workers
39.5%
22.8%
12.8%
6.2%2.2%Riggers
Mining
Transportation and Warehousing
Construction
Manufacturing
Other
Staffing RatiosMining & Extraction: 3.6%
Annual Replacement2.5%
Competition for Workers
51.7%
18.6%
15.6%
9.3%1.1%Crane & Tower Operators
Mining
Construction
Transportation and Warehousing
Manufacturing
Other
Staffing RatiosMining & Extraction: 2.8%
Annual Replacement3.5%
Competition for Workers
56.7%
12.0%
9.1%
5.8%
4.1%
3.3%
2.8%
1.9%1.3%
2.4%
ElectriciansConstruction
Manufacturing
Self-Employed
Mining
Utilities
Government
Educational Services
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Other
Industry Staffing RatiosUtilities: 5.9%Mining & Extraction: 1.4%
Annual Replacement3.0%
Competition for Workers
39.8%
13.0%
7.8%
7.0%
6.9%
6.9%
3.3%
3.1%
1.0% 0.4%0.2%Heavy Tractor & Truck Drivers
Transportation and Warehousing
Wholesale Trade
Construction
Self-Employed
Administrative and Support and WasteManagement and Remediation ServicesManufacturing
Retail Trade
Mining
Government
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Utilities
Staffing RatiosMining & Extraction: 1.7%Utilities: 0.9%
Annual Replacement1.6%
Competition for Workers
33.7%
10.4%
9.0%
8.3%
1.7%0.4%
0.2%
0.1%Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water VesselsTransportation and Warehousing
Self-Employed
Mining
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Manufacturing
Government
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Industry Staffing RatiosMining & Extraction: 1.3%
Annual Replacement4.7%
Replacement Rates
• Several energy occupations key to multiple industries experiencing turnover rates above statewide average (2.49%)
•Derrick Operators, Oil & Gas: 4.4%
•Rotary Drill Operators: 4.1%
•Welders, Cutters, Solderers : 3.0%
•Petroleum Pump System Operators: 3.7%
•Captains, Mates of Water Vessels: 4.6%
• Freight, Stock, & Material Movers: 3.1%
•Gas Plant Operators: 3.2%
•Civil Engineers: 2.5%
•Mechanical Engineers: 3.5%
•Mining & Geological Engineers: 3.6%
•Health & Safety Engineers: 2.6%
•Operating Engineers: 3.3%
•Mobile Heavy Eqpt. Mechanics: 2.9%
•Power Line Installers & Repairers: 3.4%
•Power Distributors & Dispatchers: 3.9%
•Electricians: 3.0%
2022 Outlook for Top Occupations
Occupation 2012 Base New Growth ReplacementTotal
Demand
Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, and Laborers 39,440 6,200 12,200 18,400
Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 27,860 3,900 4,500 8,400
Maintenance & Repair Workers, General 28,650 3,800 5,500 9,300
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, & Brazers 14,590 2,100 4,400 6,500
First-line Supervisors of Construction & Extraction Workers 12,050 1,900 1,300 3,200
Electricians 10,830 1,500 3,200 4,700
First-line Supervisors of Production & Operating Workers 10,420 1,100 1,500 2,600
Captains, Mates, & Pilots of Water Vessels 9,270 1,700 4,300 6,000
Industrial Machinery Mechanics 6,890 2,200 2,000 4,200
Riggers 3,550 1,100 900 1,900
Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, & Mining 5,230 900 2,100 3,000
Crane & Tower Operators 4,640 800 1,600 2,400
2022 Employment Outlook
• Strong employment growth driven by energy– US Forecast: 12.6%
– LA Forecast: 13.0%
– LA Core Energy Forecast: 13.9%
– LA Energy Support Forecast: 16.6%
• Replacement of existing workforce– US Annual Replacement Rate: 2.3%
– LA Annual Replacement Rate: 2.5%
– Energy Occupations Replacement Rate: 2.9%