LOOKING GDP is still a useful measure to demonstrate the …€¦ · aspects of prosperity as...
Transcript of LOOKING GDP is still a useful measure to demonstrate the …€¦ · aspects of prosperity as...
LESSONS FOR ONTARIO
1) No region excels in all indices.
2) Ontario performs well on most indices, mainly social ones, but needs to improve on the economic indices of jobs and income.
3)
Ontario has the greatest opportunity to boost productivity by:
GDP is still a useful measure to demonstrate the magnitude of the economic prosperity gap.
Phasing out the small business deduction to incentivizefirm growth.
Increasing the availability and affordability of child care to increase the female labour force participation rate.
Strengthening the alignment between employers and post-secondary institutions to close the skills gap and improve R&D performance.
Increasing ICT adoption by SMEs to enhance productivity.
RECOMMENDATIONS
27
LOOKINGBEYOND GDPMeasuring prosperity in Ontario
HIGHLIGHTS of WORKING PAPEROCTOBER 2016
105 St. George StreetToronto, ON M5S 3E6Telephone: (416) 946-7300Fax: (416) 946-7606
www.competeprosper.ca
linkedin.com/company/institute-for-competitiveness-&-prosperity
twitter.com/Institute_ICP
Ontario has ranked in near-last place compared to its peer jurisdictions on GDP per capita since 2001.
Economic measures are only one aspect of prosperity and GDP has its drawbacks:
The Institute expanded its lens to include 11aspects of prosperity as measured in the OECD's Regional Well-Being Database.
9th place
Michigan
7th place
Netherlands
3rd place
Wisconsin
10th place
Tennessee
8th place
Ohio
2nd place
BritishColumbia
5th place
OntarioAustralia
1st place 11th place
Indiana
6th place
Québec
4th place
Sweden
ONTARIO RANKS 5TH ON THE OVERALL REGIONAL WELL-BEING INDEX
ONTARIO’S PROSPERITY GAP
HIGHEST
13TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
LOWEST
15TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
Includes undesirable activity, such as accidentsand war that contribute positively to GDP.
Does not capture non-market based activities(e.g., housework).
Hard to capture value of services.
ENVIRONMENT
1.82.8
8.5
13.6 23.7
Australia Iceland
ONTARIO
Netherlands Korea
Air pollution(level of PM 2.5): 8.5
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
ACCESS TO SERVICES
98.5%95.0%
84.2%
72.2% 33.7%
Netherlands Korea
ONTARIO
Tennessee Mexico
Households withbroadband access
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HEALTH
83.0YRS82.3YRS
6.9 81.8YRS
76.3YRS 75.7YRS
6.06.5
10.1 11.5
BritishColumia Japan
ONTARIO
Tennessee Hungary
Mortality rate (per 1,000 pop.)Life expectancy
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
SAFETY
0.30.9
1.2
6.4 19.5
Netherlands Iceland
ONTARIO
Michigan Mexico
Homicide rate (per 100,000 pop.)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
EDUCATION
95.0%92.0%
90.5%
75.9% 40.0%
Wisconsin Czech Republic
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico &Turkey
Workforce with at leastsecondary education
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
CIVIC ENGAGEMENT
93.9%93.9%
68.3%
55.7% 43.4%
Australia Australia
ONTARIO
Tennessee Slovak Republic
Voter turnout
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HOUSING
2.42.7
2.4
1.7 1.0
Wisconsin Canada & USA
ONTARIO
Sweden Turkey, Poland& Mexico
Rooms perperson
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARDS
OECDLEADERS
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S AV
ER
AG
E
LIFE SATISFACTION
7.77.6
7.3
6.8 5.0
British Columbia Denmark
ONTARIO
Ohio Hungary
Self assessment of lifesatisfaction (1–10)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
INCOME
$37,300$44,300
$27,300
$21,600 $3,400
Wisconsin USA
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico
Disposable incomeper capita (C$2010)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
JOBS
E 82.9%E 76.7%
7.3% 67.3%
E 66.2%E 50.5%
U 3.4%U 5.6%
U 7.7%U 26.2%
Wisconsin Japan
ONTARIO
Québec Greece
Unemployment rateEmployment rate
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S PO
OR
LY
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
COMMUNITY
96.9%97.2%
92.0%
91.0% 76.0%
Michigan Iceland
ONTARIO
Indiana Turkey
Perceived socialnetwork support
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
UNEMPLOYMENTRATE (U)
EMPLOYMENTRATE (E)
MORTALITYRATE
LIFEEXPECTANCY
9.0
8.5
9.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
GDP per capita (000 US$ 2015)
Index of Well-Being
Well-Developed OECD countries
40 50 60 $70
Australia
Canada
Netherlands
United States
Sweden
For well-developed countries like Canada, improvements in GDP do not guarantee improvements in well-being.
LESSONS FOR ONTARIO
1) No region excels in all indices.
2) Ontario performs well on most indices, mainly social ones, but needs to improve on the economic indices of jobs and income.
3)
Ontario has the greatest opportunity to boost productivity by:
GDP is still a useful measure to demonstrate the magnitude of the economic prosperity gap.
Phasing out the small business deduction to incentivizefirm growth.
Increasing the availability and affordability of child care to increase the female labour force participation rate.
Strengthening the alignment between employers and post-secondary institutions to close the skills gap and improve R&D performance.
Increasing ICT adoption by SMEs to enhance productivity.
RECOMMENDATIONS
27
LOOKINGBEYOND GDPMeasuring prosperity in Ontario
HIGHLIGHTS of WORKING PAPEROCTOBER 2016
105 St. George StreetToronto, ON M5S 3E6Telephone: (416) 946-7300Fax: (416) 946-7606
www.competeprosper.ca
linkedin.com/company/institute-for-competitiveness-&-prosperity
twitter.com/Institute_ICP
Ontario has ranked in near-last place compared to its peer jurisdictions on GDP per capita since 2001.
Economic measures are only one aspect of prosperity and GDP has its drawbacks:
The Institute expanded its lens to include 11aspects of prosperity as measured in the OECD's Regional Well-Being Database.
9th place
Michigan
7th place
Netherlands
3rd place
Wisconsin
10th place
Tennessee
8th place
Ohio
2nd place
BritishColumbia
5th place
OntarioAustralia
1st place 11th place
Indiana
6th place
Québec
4th place
Sweden
ONTARIO RANKS 5TH ON THE OVERALL REGIONAL WELL-BEING INDEX
ONTARIO’S PROSPERITY GAP
HIGHEST
13TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
LOWEST
15TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
Includes undesirable activity, such as accidentsand war that contribute positively to GDP.
Does not capture non-market based activities(e.g., housework).
Hard to capture value of services.
ENVIRONMENT
1.82.8
8.5
13.6 23.7
Australia Iceland
ONTARIO
Netherlands Korea
Air pollution(level of PM 2.5): 8.5
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
ACCESS TO SERVICES
98.5%95.0%
84.2%
72.2% 33.7%
Netherlands Korea
ONTARIO
Tennessee Mexico
Households withbroadband access
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HEALTH
83.0YRS82.3YRS
6.9 81.8YRS
76.3YRS 75.7YRS
6.06.5
10.1 11.5
BritishColumia Japan
ONTARIO
Tennessee Hungary
Mortality rate (per 1,000 pop.)Life expectancy
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
SAFETY
0.30.9
1.2
6.4 19.5
Netherlands Iceland
ONTARIO
Michigan Mexico
Homicide rate (per 100,000 pop.)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
EDUCATION
95.0%92.0%
90.5%
75.9% 40.0%
Wisconsin Czech Republic
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico &Turkey
Workforce with at leastsecondary education
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
CIVIC ENGAGEMENT
93.9%93.9%
68.3%
55.7% 43.4%
Australia Australia
ONTARIO
Tennessee Slovak Republic
Voter turnout
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HOUSING
2.42.7
2.4
1.7 1.0
Wisconsin Canada & USA
ONTARIO
Sweden Turkey, Poland& Mexico
Rooms perperson
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARDS
OECDLEADERS
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S AV
ER
AG
E
LIFE SATISFACTION
7.77.6
7.3
6.8 5.0
British Columbia Denmark
ONTARIO
Ohio Hungary
Self assessment of lifesatisfaction (1–10)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
INCOME
$37,300$44,300
$27,300
$21,600 $3,400
Wisconsin USA
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico
Disposable incomeper capita (C$2010)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
JOBS
E 82.9%E 76.7%
7.3% 67.3%
E 66.2%E 50.5%
U 3.4%U 5.6%
U 7.7%U 26.2%
Wisconsin Japan
ONTARIO
Québec Greece
Unemployment rateEmployment rate
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S PO
OR
LY
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
COMMUNITY
96.9%97.2%
92.0%
91.0% 76.0%
Michigan Iceland
ONTARIO
Indiana Turkey
Perceived socialnetwork support
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
UNEMPLOYMENTRATE (U)
EMPLOYMENTRATE (E)
MORTALITYRATE
LIFEEXPECTANCY
9.0
8.5
9.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
GDP per capita (000 US$ 2015)
Index of Well-Being
Well-Developed OECD countries
40 50 60 $70
Australia
Canada
Netherlands
United States
Sweden
For well-developed countries like Canada, improvements in GDP do not guarantee improvements in well-being.
Ontario has ranked in near-last place compared to its peer jurisdictions on GDP per capita since 2001.
Economic measures are only one aspect of prosperity and GDP has its drawbacks:
The Institute expanded its lens to include 11aspects of prosperity as measured in the OECD's Regional Well-Being Database.
9th place
Michigan
7th place
Netherlands
3rd place
Wisconsin
10th place
Tennessee
8th place
Ohio
2nd place
BritishColumbia
5th place
OntarioAustralia
1st place 11th place
Indiana
6th place
Québec
4th place
Sweden
ONTARIO RANKS 5TH ON THE OVERALL REGIONAL WELL-BEING INDEX
ONTARIO’S PROSPERITY GAP
HIGHEST
13TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
LOWEST
15TH
16OUT OF
PEERS
Includes undesirable activity, such as accidentsand war that contribute positively to GDP.
Does not capture non-market based activities(e.g., housework).
Hard to capture value of services.
ENVIRONMENT
1.82.8
8.5
13.6 23.7
Australia Iceland
ONTARIO
Netherlands Korea
Air pollution(level of PM 2.5): 8.5
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
ACCESS TO SERVICES
98.5%95.0%
84.2%
72.2% 33.7%
Netherlands Korea
ONTARIO
Tennessee Mexico
Households withbroadband access
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HEALTH
83.0YRS82.3YRS
6.9 81.8YRS
76.3YRS 75.7YRS
6.06.5
10.1 11.5
BritishColumia Japan
ONTARIO
Tennessee Hungary
Mortality rate (per 1,000 pop.)Life expectancy
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
SAFETY
0.30.9
1.2
6.4 19.5
Netherlands Iceland
ONTARIO
Michigan Mexico
Homicide rate (per 100,000 pop.)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
EDUCATION
95.0%92.0%
90.5%
75.9% 40.0%
Wisconsin Czech Republic
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico &Turkey
Workforce with at leastsecondary education
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
CIVIC ENGAGEMENT
93.9%93.9%
68.3%
55.7% 43.4%
Australia Australia
ONTARIO
Tennessee Slovak Republic
Voter turnout
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S W
ELL
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
HOUSING
2.42.7
2.4
1.7 1.0
Wisconsin Canada & USA
ONTARIO
Sweden Turkey, Poland& Mexico
Rooms perperson
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARDS
OECDLEADERS
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S AV
ER
AG
E
LIFE SATISFACTION
7.77.6
7.3
6.8 5.0
British Columbia Denmark
ONTARIO
Ohio Hungary
Self assessment of lifesatisfaction (1–10)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
INCOME
$37,300$44,300
$27,300
$21,600 $3,400
Wisconsin USA
ONTARIO
Netherlands Mexico
Disposable incomeper capita (C$2010)
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
JOBS
E 82.9%E 76.7%
7.3% 67.3%
E 66.2%E 50.5%
U 3.4%U 5.6%
U 7.7%U 26.2%
Wisconsin Japan
ONTARIO
Québec Greece
Unemployment rateEmployment rate
ON
TAR
IO PE
RFO
RM
S PO
OR
LY
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
COMMUNITY
96.9%97.2%
92.0%
91.0% 76.0%
Michigan Iceland
ONTARIO
Indiana Turkey
Perceived socialnetwork support
PEERLAGGARD
PEERLEADER
OECDLAGGARD
OECDLEADER
UNEMPLOYMENTRATE (U)
EMPLOYMENTRATE (E)
MORTALITYRATE
LIFEEXPECTANCY
9.0
8.5
9.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
GDP per capita (000 US$ 2015)
Index of Well-Being
Well-Developed OECD countries
40 50 60 $70
Australia
Canada
Netherlands
United States
Sweden
For well-developed countries like Canada, improvements in GDP do not guarantee improvements in well-being.
LESSONS FOR ONTARIO
1) No region excels in all indices.
2) Ontario performs well on most indices, mainly social ones, but needs to improve on the economic indices of jobs and income.
3)
Ontario has the greatest opportunity to boost productivity by:
GDP is still a useful measure to demonstrate the magnitude of the economic prosperity gap.
Phasing out the small business deduction to incentivizefirm growth.
Increasing the availability and affordability of child care to increase the female labour force participation rate.
Strengthening the alignment between employers and post-secondary institutions to close the skills gap and improve R&D performance.
Increasing ICT adoption by SMEs to enhance productivity.
RECOMMENDATIONS
27
LOOKINGBEYOND GDPMeasuring prosperity in Ontario
HIGHLIGHTS of WORKING PAPEROCTOBER 2016
105 St. George StreetToronto, ON M5S 3E6Telephone: (416) 946-7300Fax: (416) 946-7606
www.competeprosper.ca
linkedin.com/company/institute-for-competitiveness-&-prosperity
twitter.com/Institute_ICP