LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

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THE BEGINNING IS NEAR Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/LONGWave The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document. MAYAN CALENDAR ENDS FISCAL CLIFF ARRIVES HISTORIC UNCERTAINTY YET HISTORIC COMPLACENCY?

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Transcript of LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

Page 1: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/LONGWave

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

MAYAN CALENDAR ENDS

FISCAL CLIFF ARRIVES

HISTORIC UNCERTAINTY

YET

HISTORIC COMPLACENCY?

Page 2: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/LONGWave

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RIGHT SHOULDER BEING PUT IN

THE BEGINNING (OF THE DOWN IN2013)

IS NEAR!

Page 3: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

LONG TERM – FUNDAMENTALS “EARNINGS PEAKED” Peaked and Being Taken Down By Analysts Market Generals Becoming Fewer & Weaker However: ….Shadow Banking Money Flows, Central Bank Policy

& Japanese Election Suggest Onslaught of Liquidity But: QE is not working

INTERMEDIATE TERM – RISK “CANARIES SINGING” EU in Recession, ECRI Suggests US Likely there also Bond Bubble to Work Against Equities Surge in Cash Deposits

SHORT TERM – CONFIDENCE “HOPE TURNS TO FEAR” UNCERTAINTY & COMPLACENCY – An Unusual Combination PATTERNS – “Of Concern”

Divergence of Public and Business Sentiment Fiscal Cliff: The “Holy S#^t Moment!”

After the Can Successfully Kicked Down the Road

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

Page 5: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

FUNDAMENTALS CHANGE

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UP $6 TRILLION IN 2011????

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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QE9 & ZIRP

TO

QE ‘UNLIMITED’ & NIRP

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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While this is taking place we will find a different scenario in the equity markets. The Fed will not be investing money directly in equities and so the liquidity that has propped the stock markets during the Treasury buying phase and will help at the margin with the MBS purchases is not going to have such a dramatic influence in my opinion as the MBS cash is likely to flow back into other segments of the bond markets and not so much into equities. There is also the American Fiscal Cliff, the worsening recession in Europe, the slow-down in China and the possibility of some political event in Greece, Spain, Portugal or Ireland as the funding nations in Europe get strained and could break during 2013. There is a point I assure you and I think we are verging on it where the people of various nations, under their own strain of recession, just cannot afford the grand scheme of European Union and revolt. The IMF is already getting testy with Greece and when Spain shows up hat in hand, their data is found to be inaccurate and the price tag far past the ridiculous estimations of the EU/ECB then “buddy can you spare me a dime” may fall on deaf ears. It should be noted that during the worst year of the Great Depression, 1933, that America had an unemployment rate of 25% which is exactly where we find both Spain and Greece today. A telling sign of things to come perhaps?

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

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RIGHT SHOULDER BEING PUT IN

THE BEGINNING (OF THE DOWN IN2013)

IS NEAR!

Page 28: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/LONGWave

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

RIGHT SHOULDER BEING PUT IN

THE BEGINNING (OF THE DOWN IN2013)

IS NEAR!

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

Page 29: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

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The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

THE BEGINNING IS NEAR

Page 30: LONGWave Audio Slides-12-10-12-sub-Beginning is Near

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THE CONTENT OF THIS SLIDE PRESENTATION AND ITS ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSION ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

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