London Computational Knowledge Summit

3 questions

1. What income to be in top 10%?

2. How much richer than 1948?

3. How many gymslip mums?

How much must a childless couple earn (after tax and benefits) to be in the top 10%?

• £40,000• £60,000• £80,000• £100,000• £125,000

How much has real GDP grown by since 1948?

• 50%• 100%• 150%• 200%• 250%

How many gymslip mums?

• There are 780,000 single parents on means tested benefits. How many are under 18 (ie how many ‘gym-slip mums?’)

• 20,000• 40,000• 60,000• 80,000

Size

Is it big or little?

1 million childcare places

• Labour Govt promises £300m for 1m childcare places over 5 years.

• £300m divided by 1m places • =£300• Divided by 5 years • = £60 a year• = a little more than £1 a week?????????

G8 debt relief of $50bn

=$1.5bn annually=£750mG8 population = 750m=£1 per head.

=£0?

Direction

UP and down

Speed camera

Norovirus

Norovirus lab reports

Source: Health Protection Agency

Norovirus confidence intervals• 1:1500 (1 lab case = 1500 in community). • 2000 lab cases = 3million in community

• But maybe 1:140 • (=280,000 cases)

• Or maybe 1:17,000 • (=34 million cases)

• Community study lab cases…• =1

“Save our Butty”

Sausage risk

Risk

21% increase in risk of colorectal cancer for every 50g of bacon daily.

Baseline risk

5 in every 100 get colorectal cancer

21% increase on 5

= 6 in every 100 get colorectal cancer

ie 99 out of 100 unaffected

Which is clear?

• An extra 50g of bacon consumed on a daily basis increases the risk of colorectal cancer by 21 per cent (incidence of 45 per 100,000).

OR• 5 in every 100 men typically get colorectal

cancer in a lifetime. If they all eat an extra rasher or two of bacon every day for life, 6 will.

GDP

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008

The UK Income Distribution in 2005/06

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0 5,200 10,400 15,600 20,800 26,000 31,200 36,400 41,600 46,800 52,000 57,200

£ per year, 2005/06 prices

Nu

mb

er

of

ind

ivid

ua

ls (

mill

ion

s)

Mean, £23000

Median, £18800

Single parents on IS

Age Number (000)

Under 18 6

18-24 162

25-59 611

National Debt as % National income

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

National Debt as % National income

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Cracked mirror

Deaths per story BBC News

8571

4714

7500

0.25 0.33 19.56

1222

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

smk alc ob msl CJD HIV mtl

deaths per story

Deaths per story Newspapers

4444

846

2538

0.375 1.5 22.5

1375

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

smk alc ob msl CJD HIV mtl

deaths per story