Livestock Insurance Schemes: Demand for and Application by Small holders and Pastoralists
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Transcript of Livestock Insurance Schemes: Demand for and Application by Small holders and Pastoralists
“Livestock Insurance Schemes:
demand for and application by small
holders and pastoralists”.*
Wyn Richards
Livestock Development Practice UK
* Based on a review funded by IFAD CoP-PPLD.
1
Poverty and Insurance
• Risk and poverty are inextricably linked
• Susceptibility to risk is a defining feature of what
it means to be poor – and it is the poorest who
have the fewest tools to cope with the effects of
weather(drought, floods) disease, conflict etc.
• Breaking the link between risk and poverty by
insuring poor people lessens poverty, increases
resilience and enables them to take part in
income growth.
2
Market research• 97% of the poor have no access to insurance.
• Insurance companies wary of insuring the poor; conventional policies have high transaction costs. Need for new ‘fit for purpose policies’ for the poor. Interest increasing rapidly; yet it is very hard to sell insurance to the poor- difficult concept.
• Principal insurance interests of the poor are for:
i)Health –highest demand but hardest to provide. 24% of those entering hospital leave totally impoverished due to costs involved. In India, 1.7 million poor people pay $8pa for $500 medical cover.
ii)Life -funeral expenses often account for 3-6 months income each year for the poor.
iii)Property/assets – including crops/livestock. Largely based on individual losses and covered traditionally by informal mechanisms.
iv)Weather – without formal insurance, smallholder farmers (0.5-3ha) are perceived as a bad risk by Banks and other FIs .
3
Reaction and consequences of shocks
• Households lose income, resilience, assets (and their lives).
• They cut back on consumption, reduce investments in education, sell productive assets such as land and livestock, borrow from relatives and friends, seek employment, migrate.
• They reduce risky new ventures which might prove profitable in favour of retaining as many assets as possible in easily disposable forms – so perpetuating their poverty.
4
Types of insurable risk
• Classification based on whether they affect a large population(covariate risk) and their frequency, or individual risk.
• Standard insurance contracts difficult to offer when risks are covariate – complex/transaction c.
• Weather events (droughts/floods) tend to affect farmers more than other risks – and are covariate in nature.
• Human health risks are normally individual in nature but transaction costs are normally too high for insurance providers in developing world.
5
Who can help poor farmers share risk?• Government-run social protection schemes that protect the poorest households
against extreme risk through providing assets and transfers - but costly and
difficult to deliver in a timely manner. Few and far between.
• Commercial (formal) insurance and re-insurance markets – growing in
importance but conventional products not suitable. Need for new product – eg.
micro-insurance. Most insurance companies need support of large re-insurance
co.
• Financial institutions and farmers associations can make it easier for poor
householders to save and borrow – but they require clients to have collateral and
formal insurance cover.
• Informal networks that can make it easier to save and borrow – but exposed to
default risks and high interest.
• Traditional societal systems from relatives/friends – most common and trusted
but cannot cope with extreme events as everyone in network normally affected by
extreme effects. Traditional systems tends to perpetuate poverty.
• In Mongolia, good example of integrated protection system where catastrophic
levels of livestock death due to the Dzud are covered by a public social protection
scheme, large risks are covered by private insurance and the residue by farmers 6
Insurance as a business
• Sustainable and affordable insurance schemes depend on satisfying the basic equation
(A+I)/P <1, where
A = administrative costs,
I = indemnities paid, and
P= premiums paid.
• Historically most insurance schemes using conventional policies have incurred financial losses where A+I/P is >1. Scant information on viability of livestock insurance.
7
Financial performance of conventional crop
insurance programmes in 6 countries***
*** Skees et al 1999
8
Livestock Losses
• As a proverb in the Horn of Africa goes: if the animals die, then
the people will die too. Ca.1 billion poor people in the
developing world rely on livestock for their nutritional
wellbeing, for social standing, for financial security, for draft
power, for dung for fuel and fertilizer, and for skins for myriad
purposes.
• Despite many new developments in animal nutrition, breeding,
husbandry practices, reproduction and animal health over the
last 50 years, there are still annual losses of 50 million cattle
and water buffalo, over 100 million sheep and goats and
countless poultry from parasitic and infectious diseases alone.
Many more succumb from inadequate feed and water
supplies, climatic stresses, poor husbandry practices and poor
policies. 9
Type of Livestock Insurance
Product
Description Pros and Cons
Individual coverage approach The herder is compensated for the number
of livestock lost.
A good approach but susceptible to high
administrative costs, to moral hazard and
adverse selection
A weather-based insurance
index
Uses weather indicators as its basis. It
requires reliable historical weather data in
order to develop the necessary weather
index and good weather stations in the
vicinity of the livestock population.
Predictability of data for assessing risk and
computing premium affected by global climate
change and renders the approach questionable
and expensive; additional data system support
might be required
A Vegetation Index A proxy for a weather based index which
assesses vegetative cover (as a result of
weather conditions) through satellite
mapping
Satellite imagery not developed sufficiently yet
for every location/country – but this index likely
to be preferred by insurance companies once
satellite coverage complete.
A mortality-based insurance
index
The insurance compensates individual
herders whenever the livestock mortality
rate in a local region exceeds a specific
threshold. The scheme postulates that
herders retain small losses that do not
affect the viability of their business, while
the larger losses are transferred to the
private insurance company and the
government.
The system is not prone to moral hazard, or
adverse selection but it requires an inventory of
livestock species and census every year in all the
local regions. The popularity of this method is
increasing in Mongolia and has proved to be a
good basis for insurance, even though it is not a
perfect solution.
Indigenous or traditional risk
avoidance and or coping
mechanisms – informal
insurance
Relatives, friends, others provide support
and/or financial and material resources in
event of catastrophic losses.
Despite its negative features, it is the system
most widely practiced. However, its use in
conjunction with a formal insurance system is
likely to be the most favored in future.
Different livestock insurance schemes
10
More on index-based insurance schemes
• They allow farmers to protect themselves against catastrophic agricultural production risk by paying out when an independently observable trigger (such as a specific level of rainfall at a local weather station or satellite assessment of vegetative growth or livestock mortality within a defined geographical area) shows that an insurable event has occurred. This reduces the cost of providing insurance against a number of agricultural risks and allows insurance companies to reach poor households.
• Index-based insurance schemes hold significant appeal for both commercial and development purposes because they allow for management of covariate risk –such as that associated with weather fluctuations, disease outbreaks, price shocks, etc. – and avoid the serious adverse selection and moral hazard problems that have long plagued conventional crop and livestock insurance programs throughout the world.
• The creation of micro-insurance markets for risks whose likelihood of occurrence can be precisely calculated and associated to a well defined index is increasingly being championed as a way by which the benefits of insurance can be utilized by the poor. However, livestock insurance lagging far behind the crop insurance sector.
11
1. Pros to IBLI
Very low transactions costs associated with measuring losses
Preserves effort incentives (no moral hazard) as no single individual can influence
index
Adverse selection does not matter as payouts do not depend on the riskiness of
those who buy the insurance
Available on near real-time basis: faster response than conventional humanitarian
relief
Can be used to create a productive safety net needed to alter poverty dynamics
Encourages financial institutions to provide loans ( Skees and Barnett, 2006)
Specific Lessons on Index-based Livestock Insurance
IBLI – pros, challenges and solutions (mostly from Barrett 2009)
12
2. Challenges to sustainable IBLI Solutions to challenges
High quality data (reliable, timely, non-manipulable,
long-term ) needed to calculate premium and to
determine payouts
Satellite data (remotely sensed
vegetation: NDVI)
Innovation incentives for insurance companies to
design and market specific new products for discreet
audiences/locations.
Researchers do product design work,
develop awareness materials
Establish informed effective demand, especially among
a clientele with little experience with insurance much
less a complex index insurance product
Simulation games with real
information & incentives – see Carter
et al 2008
Low cost mechanism for making insurance available for
numerous small and medium scale producers
Delivery through partners
Index insurance is new, and can be difficult for
stakeholders to understand
Resources must be invested in
explaining how it works
Index insurance is vulnerable to basis risk viz.
insurance payouts do not match actual losses – either
there are losses but no payout, or a payout is triggered
even though there are no losses
Obviously, if either of these
situations occurs too frequently the
insurance scheme will not be viable,
and even damage livelihoods
(Skees,2008).13
It is best to offer poor livestock keepers a package of rural financial services rather than solely livestock insurance
viz a blend of savings, lending, financing and risk minimizing opportunities ( see Pearce et al 2004; Hofmann and
Brukoff, 2006; Vargas etal 2009)
Government needs to be involved from the start of insurance schemes to address the public financial burden, at
least initially
Risk must be sufficiently high to make banks and customers feel that insurance is useful, but not so high as to make
the premium unaffordable or scare off insurance companies
Get the big risk out of the way first. When agricultural insurance is placed into a broader framework motivated by
helping smallholder households smooth consumption over time, focusing on catastrophe insurance is likely to be
considered more optimal.
Involve users in insurance product development. Experience from pilot programmes stress the value of user
involvement in developing and refining prototypes
Need reliable historical data and contemporary data on livestock losses at national and regional levels to provide
necessary risk indicators and levels of confidence for engagement by private sector insurance community.
Incentives should be provided for poor livestock keepers to access suitable schemes.
Need modeling and modelers. Greater user involvement in product development would provide vital information
and feedback to modelers and product developers. Need to develop more modeling capacity in-country.
Give explicit consideration to the characteristics of different risk layers; this is part of the development of broader
financial services for development between the poor and the insurance industry
Promote partnership between users and providers of insurance services. Inclusive mix and shared responsibility
between livestock keepers, government and the private sector.
Appreciate client concerns. Low-income clients often live in remote rural areas, requiring a different distribution
channel to urban insurance products
Generic lessons learned from review.
14
Understand the target audience, identify the specific risks for which insurance and/or financial services
requirements would result in reduced livestock mortality/losses and improved livelihoods.
Identify the most important factor for the poor farmer to insure. Is it catastrophic events resulting in
herd/flock mortality, individual animal losses or perhaps in some cases, loss of performance?
Identify trusted historical and contemporary sources of information/data on livestock mortality,
weather/climate data over the same time period, and other information on national
instability/insecurity
Appreciate/understand the insurance and financial services in-country and the business opportunity
afforded by high volume/low margin potential of insuring poor livestock keepers/pastoralists – and
access to willing re-insurance institutions.
Perform a pilot scheme (see ‘how to’ guide) and note the costs associated with implementing the
required monitoring of a potential scheme in distant rural communities.
Identify possible complementary roles for the government and for the private sector.
Decide on the most appropriate mix of traditional and commercial insurance and/or financial service
products for different levels of insurance – and their cost.
Market the schemes to livestock keepers with initial support/subsidy from government and increased
involvement of private sector actors. Identify trusted institutions who can market insurance/train poor.
Initiate market potential studies in a limited number of countries. It is also recommended that the
outcome of the studies be implemented through timely, pilot, ‘learning by doing’, micro-insurance
initiatives that are based on sound business models and practices premised on well - defined market
and comprehensive market analysis.
A basic guide to implementing livestock insurance
15