Lindsay falvey poland niras 4
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Transcript of Lindsay falvey poland niras 4
Changing Paradigms Integrated Thinking
Prof. Lindsay Falvey FTSESeptember 2015
Changing Paradigms Integrated Thinking
• Dev’t Goals interrelated• Sustainability integrated knowledge• Widening our view• What is changing?• Perspectives of changes• an example: CGIAR & ILRI
(world’s largest issue)
Integrated Thinking(Sachs, 2015)
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Integration in Development Consulting?
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Through the NIC Window… in a changing world
But What to We See?
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We see a project, a program, a problemand we apply our experience & learning
Training & experience our window view:
- We ‘know’ automatically from what we see- We see what others do in similar cases- We apply intellectual constructs we know
Is this really integrating all parameters, all knowledge?
Biased View: Automatic thinking(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Biased View: Automatic thinking(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Biased View: Social thinking(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Biased View: Social thinking(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Biased View: Mental models(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Biased View: Mental models(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Integrated & Iterative (World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Widening Our View
- Objective thinking
- Not Automatic, Social & Mental
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Widening Our View
- Objective thinking
- Not Automatic, Social & Mental
- Integrating what’s changing
What is Changing?(Sachs, 2015)
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What is Changing?(Sachs, 2015)
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What is Changing?(Sachs, 2015)
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What isn’t Changing?
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What is Changing?
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What is Changing?
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Rockström (in Nature) concluded: “… as long as the thresholds are not crossed, humanityhas the freedom to pursue long-term social and economic development.”
What is Changing?
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A World of Change
- Population- Environment- Inequity- Migration- Riots- Epidemics- Technology
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A World of Change
- Population- Environment- Inequity- Migration Understanding- Riots Changes- Epidemics- Technology
Understanding Changes – one view
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Understanding Changes – one view
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Understanding Changes – one view
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Understanding Changes – one view
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Ideologies, Views & Beliefs
- Not perpetual crisis- Not just a new cycle- Maybe a hierarchy of human dev’t
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Ideologies, Views & Beliefs
- Not perpetual crisis- Not just a new cycle- Maybe a hierarchy of human dev’t
Integrating ViewsWorld’s Greatest Challenge
Its About Food!
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Food Trade is Dynamic & Complex
Thousands of ha per person
Less than 2 ha per person −shared with at least 5 animals
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Global status of human-induced soil degradation
Source: www.fao.org
Very high severity
High severity
Moderate severity
Low severity
Stable Land, Ice Caps or non-used wasteland
What are we Relying on?
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Breeding, Irrigation & Fertilizer
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Fossils Fuels Feed the WorldHaber-Bosch process
IFDC & Deli Chen, 2015)
Rural Development
Resource Use Efficiency/Waste Reduction
Sustainable Intensification Resilience (agricultural, societal)
Responsible DietsPrecision FarmingInternalising Environmental Costs
Climate Change Adapted Crop Systems
High-Tech World
Industrial Agricultural SystemResponse to Mass Demand
Urbanisation / Changing Diets
Globalised Trade System
2030T
oda
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Culture of Innovation
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HyperurbanisationRapid Change in Diets
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Regionalised Trade Systems
How: keep track & have impact?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x64RhTRiabQ
World’s Greatest Challenge: Food
Add to this:• Food > environments• Increasing demand & wealth• Food used as a weapon• Food-induced migration • Ungovernable countries
Need to secure the seeds of/for human survival
Svalbard44
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Sustainability
- Security
- Integration
- Objectivity
- Generosity
- Humility
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Security underpins Sustainability
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Gene Bank
- Food crop seeds- Pasture seeds- Ownership- Simple- Low Operating $
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Food Demand
• More for more people• More for urban dwellers• More E-intense for wealthy• Cereals = staples• But meat and dairy rise faster
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By 2050 we’ll need huge amountsof cereals, dairy and meat
1bn tonnes morecereals to 2050
1bn tonnesdairy each year
460m tonnesmeat each year
4 of 5 highest value global commodities are livestock
FAO 2013
What is Int’ Dev’ Relying on?
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Multiple Complex Changes
• Donors• Partnerships• Financing• Globalized issues
INTEGRATED THINKING
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Integrated & Iterative Project Cycle
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Changing Paradigms Integrated Thinking
• Interrelationships: $, disciplines, agencies, views• External environment always changing• Varying perspectives of changes• Examples of adaptation for food• Partnerships becomes a wider concept
Integrating Our Thinking(World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Integrated & Iterative (World Dev’t Report, 2015)
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Conclusions
We have three responsibilities:
1. Guard against our beliefs & biases
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Conclusions
We have three responsibilities:
1. Guard against our beliefs & biases2. Know what interacts with our fields
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Conclusions
We have three responsibilities:
1. Guard against our beliefs & biases2. Know what interacts with our fields3. Bring knowledge to serve clients
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Conclusions
We have three responsibilities:
1. Guard against our beliefs & biases2. Know what interacts with our fields3. Bring knowledge to serve clients
Thank you