Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine...

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Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks – perspective of an ecological economist – Jos´ ephine Gantois Columbia University November 12, 2019

Transcript of Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine...

Page 1: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks– perspective of an ecological economist –

Josephine Gantois

Columbia University

November 12, 2019

Page 2: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Reconstructing High Temperature Extremes in the Past[with Wolfram Schlenker]

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Figure: Locations of tree ring sequences that overlap with the instrumentaltemperature record. Circle size indicates the number of tree cores sampled at eachlocation.

Page 3: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Reconstructing High Temperature Extremes in the Past[with Wolfram Schlenker]

Page 4: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Monitoring Flowering Phenology Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning

Page 5: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Monitoring Flowering Phenology Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning

Source: Planet data – Location: Carrizo Plain, California – Time: February 2017

Page 6: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Monitoring Flowering Phenology Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning

Source: Planet data – Location: Carrizo Plain, California – Time: March 2017 ‘superbloom’

Page 7: Leveraging Big Data to Manage Extreme Weather Risks€¦ · Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time I Time horizon:-short: predict/monitor

Panel Topic:Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Manage Extreme Weather Risks in Real Time

I Time horizon:- short: predict/monitor the next extreme event, improve short-term returns- long: characterize the future expected distribution of extreme weather

events, build long-term resilience- climate risk disclosures: Julian Nyarko and Eric Talley

I Spatial scale:- influenced by policy goal- correlated nature of extreme events- implications for the need for ground-truth data for supervised models