Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for...

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DOE OFFICE OF INDIAN ENERGY Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1

Transcript of Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for...

Page 1: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture . 3 Key Concept: Levelized

DOE OFFICE OF INDIAN ENERGY

Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE)

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Page 2: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture . 3 Key Concept: Levelized

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Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables

Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture

Page 3: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture . 3 Key Concept: Levelized

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Key Concept: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE)

• Measures lifetime costs divided by energy production

• Calculates present value of the total cost of building and operating a power plant over an assumed lifetime.

• Allows the comparison of different technologies (e.g., wind, solar, natural gas) of unequal life spans, project size, different capital cost, risk, return, and capacities

Critical to making an informed decision to proceed with development of a facility, community or commercial-scale project

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Adapted from European Wind Energy Association, “Economics of Wind Energy,” http://www.ewea.org/fileadmin/ewea_documents/documents/00_POLICY_document/Economics_of_Wind_Energy__March_2009_.pdf

Annual Expenses

($25)

Initial Costs Including Financing

($100)

Energy System

Annual Cost Per Year ($125)

Annual Energy Production

(1000 kWh)

LCOE ($/MWh) $125/1000) $0.125/kWh

× $$$ Site

Characteristics/ Resources

$

Simple LCOE Concept

$

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Simplified LCOE Calculation

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Σ n

t=1

Σ n

t=1

I + M + F (1+r)

t t t

t

t

t E

(1+r)

It = Investment expenditures in year t (including financing) Mt = Operations and maintenance expenditures in year t Ft = Fuel expenditures in year t Et = Electricity generation in year t r = Discount rate n = Life of the system

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http://en.openei.org/wiki/Transparent_Cost_Database

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Wind LCOE Sensitivity: What Are the Big Drivers?

Initial capital cost (ICC) and capacity factor are two critical drivers, but discount rate (financing costs) and annual operating expenses (AOE) are non-trivial. Wind LCOE example shown below:

Source: Tegen et al. 2012

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Page 8: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture . 3 Key Concept: Levelized

LCOE Models CREST https://financere.nrel.gov/finance/content/crest-cost-energy-models

LCOE Calculator http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/tech_lcoe.html

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Page 9: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) · Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) 1 . 2 Upfront Capital Costs for Renewables Upfront costs do not paint a complete picture . 3 Key Concept: Levelized

Using LCOE

Calculating and comparing LCOE can:

• Measure value across the longer term, showing projected life-cycle costs

• Highlight opportunities for Tribes to develop different scales of projects (facility, community, or commercial)

• Inform decisions to pursue projects on an economic basis, compared to utility rates

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Most renewable energy projects have zero fuel costs (with biomass being the possible exception)