Leonie Haimson, Class Size Matters District 2 Community Education Council January 20, 2015 HOW...

Leonie Haimson, Class Size Matters

District 2 Community Education Council

January 20, 2015

HOW DOE’S CAPITAL PLAN WILL LEAD TO WORSE OVERCROWDING & LARGER CLASSES

IN D2

Capital plan has only 1/3 of seats in D2 just to address future enrollment K-8 – nothing to alleviate current overcrowding

*Does not include 4,900 seat as yet unsited and undetermined location and/or grade level seats**Estimated Total Added Enrollment= Averaged DOE Enrollment Projections + Housing Starts Estimated Growth

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

3,190

4,194

2,977

4,840

8,426

Manhattan HS Enrollment Projections of 2,862 but NO seats in Capital Plan to address need

Man

hatta

n HS N

ew S

eats

from

Cap

ital P

lan F

Y 201

5-20

19*

Enroll

men

t Pro

jectio

ns, S

tatis

tical

Forec

astin

g 20

11-2

021

Enroll

men

t Pro

jectio

ns, G

rier P

artn

ersh

ip 20

11-2

021

Housin

g Sta

rts, E

stim

ated

Gro

wth 2

012-

2021

Estim

ated

Tot

al Add

ed E

nroll

men

t 201

2-20

21**

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0

796

7

2,460

2,862


Citywide capital plan has 1/3 seats needed just to address projected K-8 Enrollment increases

*Statistical Forecasting does not include D75 students; K-8 Seats in Capital Plan are categorized as Small PS and PS/IS and includes 4,900 seats for class size reduction if Bond issue passes.

Source for Housing Starts: NYSCA Projected New Housing Starts 2012-2021, http://www.nycsca.org/Community/CapitalPlanManagementReportsData/Housing/2012-21HousingWebChart.pdf; Projected public school ratio, https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Projected-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

29,482

40,589

51,954

38,244

84,516


http://www.nycsca.org/Community/CapitalPlanManagementReportsData/Housing/2012-21HousingWebChart.pdf



https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Projected-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k


Citywide capital plan has one tenth of seats needed just to address projected HS enrollment increases citywide

*Statistical Forecasting does not include D75 students; HS Seats in Capital Plan are categorized as IS/HS and does not include seats for class size reduction

Source for Housing Starts: NYSCA Projected New Housing Starts 2012-2021, http://www.nycsca.org/Community/CapitalPlanManagementReportsData/Housing/2012-21HousingWebChart.pdf; Projected public school ratio, https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Education/Projected-Public-School-Ratio/n7ta-pz8k

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

3,147

19,46118,387

13,483

32,407







This doesn’t include at least 32,000 seats currently needed to bring down to 100% in districts averaging over 100%

*These figures are the difference between capacity & enrollment in the organizational target # in 2013-2014 Blue Book

Source: 2013-2014 DOE “Blue Book”

D8 D10 D11 D15 D20 D22 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D30 D310

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

131

3,124

1,966 1,970

4,553

464

5,277

1,9691,678

1,307

864610

1,114

# of Seats Needed in all districts with ES building utilization rates

higher than 100%

Queens HS Staten Island HS0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,0006274

761

# of Seats Needed in all dis-tricts with building utiliza-tion rates higher than 100%

at HS level

D2 building utilization compared to citywide average

*Calculated by dividing building enrollment by the target capacity

Source: 2013-2014 DOE Blue Book

District 2 Elementary Schools

Citywide Elementary Schools

District 2 Middle Schools

Citywide Middle Schools

Manhattan High Schools

Citywide High Schools

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

93.4%97.5%

70.4%

81.1%

89.3%92.5%

16 ES and MS buildings above 100% in D21,490 seats needed to reduce building utilization to 100%


P.S. 6 P.S. 290

P.S. 183

P.S. 234

P.S. 41 P.S./I.S. 276

P.S. 150

P.S. 198

P.S. 116

P.S. 3 P.S. 42 P.S. 40 P.S. 234

ANNEX

P.S. 130

P.S. 11 P.S./I.S. 89

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

139%

131% 130% 128%124%

121% 119%113% 113% 111% 109% 107% 106% 104% 104% 104%

17 Manhattan High Schools Above 100% 3,181 HS seats needed to reduce building utilization rate to 100%


N.E.S

.T (O

LD J

22)

HEALTH P

ROFESSIONS H

S

J. K

. ONASSIS

HS F

OR INT C

AREERS

MIL

LENNIU

M H

S

STUYVESANT HS (N

EW)

HS FOR E

NVIRONM

ENTAL STUDIE

S

OLD M

ANHATTAN VOC/T

ECH HS

HS FOR E

CONOMIC

S & F

INANCE

BEACON HS

FIORELL

O LAGUARDIA

HS

THE HERIT

AGE SCHOOL

PARK EAST H

S

MANHTN C

T FOR M

ATH & S

CI. HS

GREGORIO L

UPERON PREP. S

CHOOL

THE COM

MUNIT

Y HEALT

H ACADEM

Y OF T

HE HEIG

HTS

G. WASHIN

GTON HS E

DUC. CAM

PUS

HS FOR M

ATH, SCI &

ENGIN

EERING

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

107%

140%128%

120% 118% 112% 111%104%

156%

130%137%

124%

101% 106% 103% 102% 101%

These estimates Do NOT include the following:

• Does not include 4900 seats added last Feb still undetermined as to district and grade level.

• Does not include need to address neighborhood overcrowding;

• Does not include need to eliminate Kindergarten wait lists;

• Need to expand preK and reduce class size;

• Need to eliminate trailers;

• Need for schools to regain lost cluster rooms and/or space for students to receive their mandated services.

Reducing class size #1 priority of parents citywide and D2Data Source: 2014 NYC School Survey Results

Small

er c

lass

size

Mor

e pr

epar

ation

for s

tate

test

s

Mor

e ha

nds-

on le

arnin

g

Strong

er e

nrich

men

t pro

gram

s

Mor

e ef

fect

ive te

achin

g

Strong

er a

rts p

rogr

ams

Mor

e ef

fect

ive s

choo

l lead

ersh

ip

Mor

e rig

orou

s cu

rricu

lum

Bette

r com

mun

icatio

n with

par

ents

Less

pre

para

tion

for s

tate

test

s0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%23%

17%

15%

12%

9%8%

5%4% 4%

2%

23%

14%13%

13%

9% 9%

5%

8%

5%

4%

Citywide

D2

Class size trends this fall• This fall, class sizes overall increased an average .1

student per class citywide, according to the DOE.

• In K-3, class sizes decreased slightly citywide from 24.9 to 24.7 but at this rate would take 24 years to reach C4E goals of 20 students per class.

• In 4-8th grades, average dropped slightly from 26.8 to 26.7 & wd take 30 years to reach C4E goals 23 students per class.

• In HS, average increased from 26.7 to 26.8 students per class.

Class sizes in D2 have increased in grades K-3 by 12.7% since 2007

Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2014, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan

2006-07 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-1519

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

2120.7

20.520.3

20.119.9 19.9 19.9 19.9

21 20.9

21.4

22.1

22.9

23.9

24.524.86

24.7029350468913

22 21.9

22.3

22.7 23.1

23.7

24.4

23.97

25.1451612903226

C4E goalsCitywide actualD2

D2’s class sizes in grades 4-8 have increased by 4.6% since 2009


2006-07 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-1522

23

24

25

26

27

28

25.6

24.824.6

23.8

23.3

22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9

25.6

25.125.3

25.8

26.326.6 26.7 26.8

26.662623389660426.6

26

26.5

25.9 26

26.426.7

26.89

27.0130208333333

C4E targetCitywide actualD2

Class sizes city-wide increased in core HS classes this year and up 2.6% since 2007

*DOE’s class size data is unreliable & their methodology for calculating HS averages have changed year to year


2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-1524.0

24.5

25.0

25.5

26.0

26.5

27.0

26.126.2

26.626.5

26.426.3

26.726.8

26

25.7

25.2

24.8

24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5

Citywide ActualC4E Target

Examples of schools in D2 with large class sizes, K-3

Data source: November 2014 DOE Class Size Report

0

10

20

3032 32 31 30 29 29 28 28 28 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 26 25 25

D2 1st Grade

0

10

20

3032 32 31 31 31 31 30 29 29 29 29 28 28 27 27 26 26 26 26 25 25

D2 2nd Grade

0

10

20

3033323232323131303030292928282727272626262625

D2 3rd Grade

2224262830 28 28

2726 26 26 26 26 26

25 25 25 25 25 25

D2 Kindergarten

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY 13

79,10979,021

76,795

74,958

72,787

73,844

Instead of hiring new teachers, the number has dropped by more than

5,000 since 2007-8 citywidedata source: Mayor's Management Report

Other ways city has encouraged class size increases

• In 2010, the DOE eliminated the early grade class size reduction funding for K-3, despite promising to keep it as part of its C4E plan.

• In 2011, the DOE refused to comply with a side agreement with the UFT to cap class sizes at 28 in grades 1-3, leading to sharp increases in these grades to 30 or more.

• Co-locations have made overcrowding worse, and taken space that instead could have been used to reduce class size.

• When principals try to lower class size, particularly in middle or high schools, DOE often sends them more students.

More ways DOE has worked to increase class size in its C4E plan• DOE has cut school budgets by 14% since 2007.

• DOE failed to allocate ANY funds specifically towards class size reduction in its targeted or citywide C4E allocations.

• DOE allows principals to use C4E funds to “Minimize growth of class size,” which is not lowering class size

• DOE has never aligned its capital plan to smaller classes, as required by state C4E regs.

• The current “Blue Book” formula would tend to force class sizes higher especially in grades 4-12.

Bill de Blasio promised to reduce class size while running for Mayor

• During his campaign, Mayor de Blasio promised if elected to abide by the city’s original class size plan approved by the state in 2007.

• The Mayor needs to deliver on his promise and provide what NYC parents want and their children need.

• He also needs to expand the capital plan to alleviate school overcrowding, end ALL co-locations, and build more schools!

• Will you help us by urging your Councilmembers to sign a letter for an expanded capital plan?

What can you do?• Urge Chancellor and your City Councilmembers to

expand capital plan.

• City Council votes on capital plan every June;

• This year they should refuse to do approve the capital plan until it is significantly approved.

• Will you help us urge them to do so?

Comparison of class sizes in Blue book compared to current averages & Contract for excellence goals

Grade levelsUFT Contract

class size limits

Target class sizes in "blue

book"

Current average

class sizes

C4E class Size goals

How many students allowed in 500 Sq ft

classroom according to NYC building code

Kindergarten 25 20 23 19.9 14

1st-3rd 32 20 25.5 19.9 254th-5th 32 28 26 22.9 25

6th-8th

30 (Title I)

33 (non-Title I)

28 27.4 22.9 25

HS (core classes) 34 30 26.7* 24.5 25

*DOE reported HS class sizes unreliable

Leonie Haimson, Class Size Matters District 2 Community Education Council January 20, 2015 HOW...

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