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LED Market , Trend,
in Thailand
and Cautions
in Thailand
and Cautions
Kitti SukutamatuntiKitti Sukutamatunti
Illuminating Engineering Association of Thailand2012
550914 1www.TIEAThai.org
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กติต ิสุขุตมตนัติ• ประชาสัมพนัธ์• สมาคมไฟฟ้าแสงสว่างแห่งประเทศไทย• สมาคมไฟฟ้าแสงสว่างแห่งประเทศไทย
• Public Relation Committee of the Illuminating Engineering Association of Thailand (TIEA)
• www.TIEAThai.org• www.TIEAThai.org
E-mail : [email protected]
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หัวข้อ1.LED Application Trends
2.LED standards2.LED standards
3.Global LED market
4.Thai LED market4.Thai LED market
5.Cautions for LEDs
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LED Application Trends
• Consumer Products• Mega-Displays• Mega-Displays• Lamps (“General Illumination”)• Smart Transport• Architecture & Built Environment
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New Product to Market CurveNew Product to Market CurveTIME TO MARKET TIME IN MARKET
PRODUCT-TO-MARKET INTERVENTIONS
Executive Orders.
Code & Standard Case Studies.
Voluntary Adoption.
Regulatory
Actions
Consortia &
Collaborative
Research Funding
Grants, Matching
Funds & Low-
Interest Loans.
Procurement
Challenges.
Demonstration
Sites.
Third-Party
Evaluations.
Specifier Education
Workshops.
Commercialization
Grants.
Custom Rebates.
Case Studies
Publicity, Promotions & Rebates.
Bulk & Government Procurements.
Concepts Early Adoption
Launch Pre-Launch and Qualification
SteadyGrowth
Rapid Growthand Evaluate
Prototypes R&D
Brainstorming.
"Skunkworks."
Crisis-response.
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Signage Signage TrendsTrends100%
90%
80%Dominant
70%
LED SIGNS AND SIGNALS: RELATIVE
MARKET POSITIONS in USA in 2002
MARKET SHARE
Monopoly
TIME IN MARKET
EXIT SIGNS
70%
Major60%
50%
Strong 40%
30%
Minor or Emerging20%
MARKET POSITIONS in USA in 2002
TRAFFIC
SIGNALS
READER BOARDS
HIGHWAY
MESSAGE SIGNS
BUS & TRUCK
TURN SIGNALS
RED
AVIATION &
MARINE
Niche or Weak10%
Early
Adoption GrowthGrowthand Evaluate
Launch Rapid Stability
Steady
GREENAUTOMOBILE
TURN SIGNALS
MARINE
SIGNALS
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APPLICATIONS: SIGNAGEAPPLICATIONS: SIGNAGE• Colorful, dynamic,
luminous sites and objects attract humans.
• Branded products increase • Branded products increase sales revenues and profits.Annual growth >13%.
• Conventional backlit “box-type” & “channel letter” signs: LEDs replacing FL and neon.
• New POPs: LED BLU, EL • New POPs: LED BLU, EL and OLED.
• Future: flexible signs and signs paired with PV power supplies.
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LEDs establish digital brand identity.
Vast areas of signs will upgrade to LED.
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Smart TransportSmart Transport• Day & night, by land, by sea and by air! • Interconnected vehicles, operators, infrastructure and
environment.
• Steady growth, varies by geographic region. Tremend ous opportunities for reduced energy demand and much lo wer operating and maintenance costs. Major barrier is f irst cost, so financing is necessary for most major syst ems.
• Increasing efficiency in transport increases produc tivity and reduces environmental impacts. Digital sophisti cation creates demands throughout for LEDs.creates demands throughout for LEDs.
• Infrared, visible and UV wavelengths all valuable i n this sector, for sensors, signals, lighting and machine vision.
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SSL products are rapidly introduced into the market
Problems
• Some very low quality products in the market (dim, short life, bad color). Big concerns short life, bad color).
• Inaccurate performance claims
• Insufficient information on product labels
Big concerns
worldwide
Many new manufactures who have little knowledge about lighting.
Standards and measurement techniques for traditional lamps do not apply.
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LEDLED
Standards
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• LED module for general lighting service : JIS C 815 5
• Measurement methods and photometry for white light LEDs : JIS C8152
• White light emitting diode devices for general ligh ting –• White light emitting diode devices for general ligh ting –performance specificaions : JIS C 8153
• Self-ballasted LED lamps for general lighting servi ces –performanc requirements : JIS C 8157
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IESNA LM-79 Approved Method for Electrical and Photometric
Measurement of SSL Products
� Test method used for DOE SSL
Energy Star.
� Major contribution by NIST� Major contribution by NIST
� Covers LED luminaires and
integrated LED lamps.
� Covers measurements of
Prepared by the Subcommittee on Solid-State Lighting of the
IES Testing Procedures Committee
� Covers measurements of
• Total luminous flux (lumen)
• Luminous efficacy (lm/W)
• Chromaticity, CCT, CRI
• Luminous intensity distribution
Solid-State Lighting Subcommittee
Kevin Dowling, Chair
Yoshi Ohno, Technical Coordinator
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ANSI C78.377 Specifications for the Chromaticity of SSL products
Published Feb. 2008
� Key standard for white light color of
SSL products for indoor.
� Major contribution by NIST.� Major contribution by NIST.
� New questions
- True visual preference
- IEC binning standard
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�This program is an extension
of the existing Energy Efficient
Lighting Products (for
fluorescent lamps and
reflector lamps).
NVLAP EELP-Solid State Lighting
reflector lamps).
�NIST conducts round robin
testing using selected SSL
products
http://ts.nist.gov/Standards/Accreditation/upload/NIST-HB-150-1A-2009.pdf
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LED Temperature
Tx
1.0
Re
lati
ve li
gh
t o
utp
ut
Difficulties in Measurement of LED Lifetime
• Strong function of LED
temperature
0.7
T1 (55°C)
Predicted
1.0
Re
lati
ve li
gh
t o
utp
ut
T2(85°C)
T3
TX
Typical measurement
temperature
• Estimated by interpolation
and extrapolation
• Not always exponential
• LED lifetime can be very long
(e.g., 50,000 h)
Predicted
L70 of the luminaire
010,0000 20,000
Re
lati
ve li
gh
t o
utp
ut
Operating time (h)
6,000
Typical measurement
(LM-80)
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LEDs
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หลอด LED รูปทรงกระบอก
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„…The new Samsung Galaxy Beam phone includes a projector that can show films and pictures at up to 50”…
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Versatile laser projection
www.TIEAThai.org
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LED Fab Capacity by Region, 2011
Worldwide LED capacity to
reach 1.57M in 2011 (4”
equivalent per month)
Source: SEMI Opto/LED Fab Watch Nov. 2011550914 38www.TIEAThai.org
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Chips and Packages Brands in the Market• Avago• Citizen Electronics • Cree (bought Cotco)• Cree (bought Cotco)• Epistar• Everlight• Nichia• Osram Optosemiconductors (Siemens)• Philips Lumileds• Seoul Semiconductor• Philips Lumileds• Seoul Semiconductor• Stanley• Toyoda Gosei (Toyota Group)
“Big Five”550914 39www.TIEAThai.org
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Global MarketGlobal Market
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Thai MarketThai Market
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• LED lighting increases each year.
• LED products were 18% of global lighting sales in 2011, up from 14% in 2010.
• Japan is the best LED market in Asia, because the threat of natural disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis, country's government and private sector are working country's government and private sector are working together to reduce energy consumption.
• Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore also keep high usage rates.
• Thailand, Malaysia and Vietnam use LED lighting at medium-to-high rates.
• Thailand’s lighting market is worth 17 billion Baht• Thailand’s lighting market is worth 17 billion Baht
• Thailand's lamp market is worth 7 billion Baht and grew by 4%. LED lighting has a 12% market share, expected to increase to 45-50% by 2015.
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Average lamp pricing
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Unit penetration rates for various lighting
sources
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รูปทรงหลอด LED Retrofit
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LED สว่าง เทยีบเท่าได้หรือยงั
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ระวงั ความสว่างที*ลดลงเร็วมาก
ระวัง
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ความสว่างของ LED ลงลงตามเวลา
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อายุการใช้งาน ของ LED ลงลงตามอุณหภูมทิี*เพิ*มขึ2นตามอุณหภูมทิี*เพิ*มขึ2น
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หลอด LED ที*ด ีควรมีการระบายความร้อนที*มากพอ
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Direction Plan co.,ltd. (DP), the Thailand’s leadin g technical professional services firm, provides Energy, Environment, Safety, Security, Eng ineering, Investment, Publishing, IT, Automation Tooling System (ATS) adv isory services. Since DP was established 18 years ago, DP have given consulting to more than 5,000 corporate customers. DP is the only professional consulting f irm in Thailand who publish many customers. DP is the only professional consulting f irm in Thailand who publish many technical magazines ,e.g. Gear, SCImag, EIT journal , Energy Policy, Energy Plus magazines. DP has also been recognized as one of th e top consulting firms in energy, innovation, it, resource and technology investment in ASEAN. The information described in this presentation is provided by each department of DP which may be accurate only at the time and may not be approved by DP. If you requ ired any more information, please kindly contact us at www.Directionplan.org, or e- mail ; [email protected].
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