LECTURE 5 Oligopoly

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    Mid-trimester Examination

    Date: Week 6, Monday 17thAugust 2015

    enue: !" 101 # !" 102

    $ime: %:&0'm- 6:%0'm (in)*uding 10mins"eading $ime+

    !oerage: e)tures 1 . 5/

    Mid-trimester Exam: Monday tudents n*y

    1 Copyright 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) !"1##2$$"0%&'uard and *+rien&,ssentials of ,-ono.i-s&2e

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    Mid-trimester Examination

    Date: Week 6, Wednesday 1thAugust2015

    enue: !" 101 # !" 102

    $ime: %:&0'm- 6:%0'm (in)*uding 10mins"eading $ime+

    !oerage: e)tures 1 . 5/

    Mid-trimester Exam: $hursday tudents

    2 Copyright 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) !"1##2$$"0%&'uard and *+rien&,ssentials of ,-ono.i-s&2e

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    34

    4AME $8E"

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    *igo'o*y and 9arriers to entry

    *igo'o*y/ A .aret stru-ture in hi-h a s.all nu.er ofinterdependent fir.s -o.pete

    t is diffi-ult to no hat an oligopolist4s de.and and.arginal revenue -urves loo lie

    t is not non hat 5uantity an oligopolist ill sell at aparti-ular pri-e6 as the pri-e -harged de'ends on the

    'ri)es and a)tions o )om'etitors/

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    ;arrier to entry/ Anything that eeps ne fir.s fro.entering an industry

    Exam'*es are e)onomies o s)a*e, o

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    =sing game theory to ana*yse o*igo'o*y

    As the de.and and .arginal revenue -urves of anoligopolist .ay e unnon6 the profit8.a7i.ising levelof output and pri-e -annot e -al-ulated in the sa.e ayas for -o.petitive .arets

    4ame theory/ 9he study of ho people .ae de-isionsin situations here attaining their goals depends on theirintera-tions ith others: in economics6 the study of thede-isions of fir.s in industries here the profits of ea-h

    fir. depend on its intera-tions ith other fir.s

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    !

    4ame $heory: >ey !hara)teristi)s

    ; *ayers

    9he a-tors&parti-ipant&opponents

    ; "u*es

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    Dominant strategy/ A player has a do.inantstrategy hen it has one strategy that ors est(that is opti.al) no .atter hat an opponent does

    ayo matrix/ A tale that shos the payoffs thatea-h fir. earns fro. every -o.ination of strategiesadopted y the fir.s

    A duopoly game is pri-e -o.petition eteen tofir.s

    " Copyright 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) !"1##2$$"0%&'uard and *+rien&,ssentials of ,-ono.i-s&2e

    =sing game theory to ana*yse o*igo'o*y

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    >ir. ehaviour and the prisoners4 dile..a

    !oo'eratie e?ui*i9rium/ An e5uiliriu. in a ga.e inhi-h players -ooperate to in-rease their .utual payoff

    @on-)oo'eratie e?ui*i9rium/ An e5uiliriu. in a ga.ein hi-h players do not -ooperate ut pursue their on self8interest

    Copyright 2013 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) !"1##2$$"0%&'uard and *+rien&,ssentials of ,-ono.i-s&2e

    =sing game theory to ana*yse o*igo'o*y

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    10

    Strategic Interaction: Payof Matrixand Dominant Strategy

    The Payof Matrixdescribes the payofs to bothplayer or every possible outcome (see next slide)

    A dominant strategy

    ;A player has a dominant strategy when it has one strategy thatworks best (that is optimal) no matter what an opponent does.

    Example: A rm (e.g. !oolworths) has a dominantstrategy when it has one strategy that WORKS BEST

    (that maximises its payof) O MATTER what its rival(e.g. "oles) does.

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    !irm Aconsiders its "ayofs to #orm$%ate its strategy:; &' i# B ad(ertises )co%$mn&'; *' i# B doesn+t ad(ertise )co%$mn ,';

    B !irm A %oo-s $" and do.n the "ayof matrix to to #orm$%ate its strategy!irm Bconsiders its "ayofs to #orm$%ate its strategy:; &' i# A ad(ertises )ro. &'; *' i# B doesn+t ad(ertise )ro. *'; B !irm B %oo-s acrossthe "ayof matrix to to #orm$%ate its strategy

    Firm A

    Advertise

    Firm B

    10, 5 15, 0

    10, 26, 8

    Dont advertise

    Advertise

    Dont

    advertise

    12

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    Dominant Strategy (Firm A)

    !irm A has a dominant strategy in this game

    ; # & advertises, A should advertise (-/0)

    ; # & doesnt advertise, A should advertise (-1/-).

    ; As ominant 2trategy is to Advertise.

    ; &ecause -/0 3 -1/-, A will always choose 4Advertise5.

    Firm A

    Advertise

    Firm B

    10, 15,

    10,6,

    Dont advertise

    Advertise

    Dontadvertise

    5 0

    8 2

    13

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    Dominant Strategy (Firm B)

    !irm B a%so has a dominant strategy in this game

    ; # A advertises, & should advertise (1/)

    ; # A doesnt advertise, & should advertise (6/$).; &s ominant 2trategy is to Advertise.

    ; &ecause 1/ 3 6/$, & should always choose 4Advertise5.

    Firm A

    Advertise Dont advertise

    Advertise

    Dontadvertise

    10, 15,

    10,6,

    5 0

    8 2

    1#

    Firm B

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    1$

    Dominant Strategy )A / B'

    oes A have a dominant strategy7 0ES' 8egardless o what & does, As best strategy is still TO

    AD1ERTISE.

    oes & have a dominant strategy7

    0ES' 8egardless o what A does, &s best strategy is still TOAD1ERTISE.

    !hen both rms have dominant strategies, there STABI2IT0.!e call the outcome a DOMIAT STRATE30 E45I2IBRI5M6

    BUT Sometimes a frm does not have a dominantstrategy

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    Exam!e o" a sit#ation $%ere a "irm does &'%ave a Dominant Strategy

    # & 4Advertise, A should 9Advertise (-/0)

    owever, i & 9ont Advertise, A should play ont Advertise($/-1).

    A does not have a dominant strategy.

    +hus, it is more di;cult to PREDI7TAs actions in thesecircumstances

    1%

    Firm A

    Advertise

    Firm B

    Dont Advertise

    Advertise

    DontAdvertise

    10, 15,

    20,6,

    5 0

    8 2

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    1!

    @ash E?ui*i9rium (@E+

    A situation here ea-h fir. -hooses the est strategy6gienthe strategies -hosen y other fir.s

    ; --urs here @E3$8E" AE" 8A 3@!E@$3E

    $ DE3A$E =@3A$E"Afro. its -hosenstrategy

    ; .plies staility E=33;"3=M

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    1"

    Birm A does not hae a Dominanttrategy/ What is the @ash E?ui*i9riumC

    Firm A

    Advertise

    Firm B

    Dont advertise

    Advertise

    Dontadvertise

    10, 15,

    20,6,

    5 0

    8 2

    (B: Advertise, A: Dont advertise) @ot @E6 e-ause A hasin-entive to unilaterally deviate and play ?Advertise@ (10%)

    (B: Dont advertise, A: Dont advertise) @ot @E6 e-ause + hasin-entive to unilaterally deviate and play ?Advertise@ ("2)

    next s*ide

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    1

    Birm A does not hae a Dominanttrategy/ What is the @ash E?ui*i9riumC

    Firm A

    Advertise

    Firm B

    Dont advertise

    Advertise

    Dontadvertise

    10, 15,

    20,6,

    5 0

    8 2

    (B: Dont advertise, A: Advertise) @ot @E, e-ause + hasin-entive to unilaterally deviate and play ?Advertise@ ($0)

    (;: Adertise, A: Adertise+ 3s @E,e-ause A has no in-entiveto unilaterally deviate and play ?

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    risoners di*emma/ A ga.e here pursuing do.inantstrategies results in non8-ooperation that leaves everyoneorse off

    =

    A ga.e in hi-h ea-h player has a do.inant strategy6and hen ea-h plays their do.inant strategy theresulting payoffs are s.aller than if ea-h had played ado.inated strategy

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    $he 'risoners di*emma

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    The Prisoners+ Di%emma+he setting

    ;+wo bank robbers (Al and &ob) have been captured bythe police

    ; !ithout a conession, the police have insu;cient

    evidence to convict them o a robbery

    ;+hey can prosecute or possession o unlicensed weapons

    ;+he police have a cunning plan