Large-Scale Portfolio Optimizationweb.stanford.edu/.../Large-Scale_Portfolio.pdf · Expected...
Transcript of Large-Scale Portfolio Optimizationweb.stanford.edu/.../Large-Scale_Portfolio.pdf · Expected...
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Large-Scale Portfolio Optimization
MS&E348Winter 2011/2012
Professor Gerd Infanger
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The classical mean-variance model (Markowitz, 1952, 1959)
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Large-scale portfolio optimization
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Historical returns for measuring risk
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Markowitz modelTraditional formulation:
Practical formulation:
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Factor model
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Factor model formulation in practice
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Factor model formulation in practice, alternative
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Tracking error as a measure of risk
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Mean absolute deviation (MAD) model (Konno et al., 1990)
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MAD model with historical returns
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Expected utility optimization using factor models(Infanger, 2010)
• The problem can be solved efficiently.• Allows for derivatives (e.g., options) in the portfolio.
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Components of asset return
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Calibrating the expected utility model to a benchmark
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• Implied means (Black and Litterman, 1992, Grinold, 1999)
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Active portfolio management using expected utility maximization
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• By adding the conditional mean forecast (based on the value of the factors), we take on active bets in a graduated fashion.
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Active portfolio management using mean-variance optimization
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Commercial implementations
• Mean-variance (and MAD)– E.g., Barra, Northfield, Axioma
• Scenario-based– Allows also for options and other derivatives– E.g., Algorithmics (Ron Dembo, especially for risk evaluation)
• Issues of accuracy of parameter estimation– Richard Grinold: Mean-Variance and Scenario based Approaches to
Portfolio Optimization, J. of Portfolio Management, Winter 1999– (Richard Micheaud, “resampled efficient frontier” , Efficient Asset
Management: A Practical Guide to Stock Portfolio Optimization and Asset Allocation, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, June 1998.)
– Robust portfolio optimization
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Commercial implementations (cont.)
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Commercial implementations (cont.)
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Commercial implementations (cont.)
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Commercial implementations (cont.)