Labour Market Trends Jsw Jan 010
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Staying Ahead of Labour Market Trends
Northern Lights Canada
BRIDGES TO SUCCESSJSW Conference 2010
Resilience, Recognition, and Success
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“Y” this talk now?“Y” this talk now?
• The world is flat
• The Economy and the
Labour Market
• BRICA
• The Future of Work• Wherever we go, there we are
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Workshop ObjectivesWorkshop Objectives
• Inform
– About Labour Market Trends
• Understand
– Why such trends are happening
• Position
– Ourselves and our clients correctly
in order to stay ahead of trends
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SourcesSources
• Books
• Newspapers
• Magazines (mostly stolen)
• Colleagues
• My kids
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► Resilience The positive ability to adapt to the consequences of a ‘catastrophy’.
► RecognitionThe ability to recognize what is known.
► SuccessThe achievement of an objective/goal.
Wikipedia, 2010
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Resilience►You can discover most of what you need to know…
Recognition►…by simply noticing the nature of the changes taking place.
Success►The trick then lies in learning how to take advantage of these changes.
Campbell, C., 1998
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Getting the most from this workshopGetting the most
from this workshop
• Pick one strategy
• Use it next week at work
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Value of Your Honourable Work
Value of Your Honourable Work
• You witness people facing life-
altering challenges
• You participate in their making
major changes in their lives
• You help people
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Understanding the Labour Market System
Understanding the Labour Market System
Perlmutter & Trist, 1986Senge, 1990
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Systems Explained
made up of individual, interrelated parts
causes its own behaviour
Senge, 1990
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CultureCulture
The world is flat.
Friedman, 2006
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Change is like a bulldozer sweeping the landscape, and those who don’t change are going to be flattened!
Dr. Tomorrow(Frank Ogden)
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Toronto Star, July 2008
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Reuters.com, May 2009
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Canadian Business
Nov. 9, 2009
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April 2008
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April 2009
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Calgary SunDec. 2, 2009
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Calgary SunNov. 22, 2009
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Globe Life
Nov. 2009
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“The Global Village”
Marshall McLuhan
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Culture – The World is FlatCulture – The World is FlatFlatteners• Nov. 9, 1989 (11/9) – The Berlin Wall
came down• 1990’s
The Internet & The World Wide Web Work-flow SoftwareUploading – Harnessing the power of
communitiesOutsourcing
• 2001 – Offshoring
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Speed
“I have a microwave fireplace. You can lay down in front of the fire all night in eight minutes.”
Steven Wright
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Culture – The World is FlatCulture – The World is Flat
Flatteners
• 2000’s Supply-Chaining Insourcing In-Forming The Steroids
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Time
June 15, 2009
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Vanity Fair
Nov. 2009
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Managing Me, Inc.
I was going to buy a copy of The Power of Positive Thinking, and then I thought:
What the hell good would that do?”
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BenefitsCanada.com
Nov. 16, 2009
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• what we do
• beliefs
• language
• traditions
Culture Unspoken but shared assumptions that guide the daily behaviour of people.
Clemmens-Rumizen, 2002
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Culture – The World is FlatCulture – The World is Flat
List five words or phrases that
define our current culture
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Macro
Economy &Government
BRICA & NY*LON*KONG
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Macro – Evolution of The Economy
Macro – Evolution of The Economy
Beck, 1995; HRDC, 1994; Pritchett, 1996
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Macro – Evolution of WorkMacro – Evolution of Work
Beck, 1995; HRDC, 1994; Pritchett, 1996
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My dog is worried about the economy because Alpo is up to $.99 a can now. That’s about $7 in dog money.
Joe Weinstein
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Calgary Sun, Oct. 2007
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Calgary Sun, Jan. 2008
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Nightmare on Wall Street!
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Calgary Sun, Jan. 2008
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Calgary Sun
Mar. 2008
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National Post
Feb. 2008
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Calgary Sun
March 2008
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Calgary Sun
Mar. 2008
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Calgary Herald
Mar. 2008
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Sub-Prime MeltdownSub-Prime Meltdown
• NINJA mortgages• Canada Bank Act
• Sub-prime mortgages –
Canada – 5%
US – 1 out of every 4 or 5
Holt, 2007, p. 64
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Toronto Star
Jul. 2008
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National Post
Sep. 2008
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Calgary Sun
Oct. 2008
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Calgary Sun Oct. 2008
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Global Economy – (2004 – 2007)Global Economy – (2004 – 2007)
+
• US – 10% of global growth
• BRICA – 50% (Brazil, Russia, India, China plus large
Middle East oil producers)
-• US purchases 25% of Canada’s gross domestic product
• 80%+ of Canada’s exports US
Hodgson, 2007, p. 66Buchanan, 2007, p. 66
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Calgary Sun
Jan. 2008
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Jan. 2008
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Globe & Mail
Nov. 12, 2009
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Canadian Economy “Robust”Canadian Economy “Robust”
• Solid growth in incomes
• Resilience of Central Canada (in light of US sub-
prime meltdown)
• Western Canada – AB & BC
• Employment rate – all time high
• Unemployment rate – 33 year low (5.9%)
• Strong consumption growth
• Will be able to withstand US problems.
Hodgson, 2007, p. 67-68
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“Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.”
Wolf, 2007, p. 62
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Calgary Sun
Mar. 2008
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Potential RiskPotential Risk
• Backlash against globalization+
• Lost manufacturing jobs+
• Homeland security worries+
• Efforts not well-received abroad+
• Illegal immigration
Could lead to Isolationism & Protectionism
Bremmer, 2007, p. 68-72
US recession Geopolitical Instability
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Calgary Sun, Dec. 5, 2009
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Calgary Sun
Oct. 3, 2009
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Calgary Sun, Dec. 5, 2009
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Dec. 1, 2008
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BusinessWeek
Dec. 1, 2009
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“What goes up”“What goes up”
• Strong world economic growth
• Recessions usually check growth – but
no recession for 16 years
• No supply crunch now to warrant soaring
oil prices
• Probably not going to last
Hall, 2007, pp. 72-74
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MacroMacro
Major economic trends?
Dominant government responses?
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Meso
Labour Market
Change & the Economic Imperative
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MESO MESO
Change and the Economic Imperative
“The Darwinian struggle to survive.”
Many businesses have discovered that the attributes that made organizational structures ideal in the Industrial Economy could potentially cripple those organizations in the New Economy.
Coy, 2000
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MESO MESO
Post-Industrial Society
“This calls for different organizations, as well as different kinds of workers.”
Peter Drucker
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MESO MESO
The Organization of the Future
1. Hungry for Change
2. Innovative Beyond Customer Imagination
3. Globally Integrated
4. Disruptive by Nature
5. Genuine, not just Generous
The Enterprise of the Future, IBM Global CEO Study, 2008
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MESO – New Economy Organizational StructureMESO – New Economy
Organizational Structure
• Flat
• Self-regulating
• Collaborative
• Participatory
• Responsive
• Innovative
• More Time-Consuming to Build
Coy, 2000; Trish from NLC Ottawa
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Future Employment Opportunities
Small Business
Self-Employment
Contract Work
Part-time Work
Life-long Learning
HRDC
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MESO MESO
An H.R. Paradox
Oversupply of low-skill resources generates unemployment.
Talent shortages threaten economic stability and growth.
HRSDC, 2008
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Globe and Mail
August 2008
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2010 Hot Jobs 2010 Hot Jobs 1. Property Administrators
2. Insurance Adjusters
3. Customer Service Clerks
4. Architectural Technologists
5. User Support Technicians
6. Systems Testing Technicians
7. Respiratory Therapists
8. Medical Radiation Technologists
9. Medical Sonographers
10. Dental Hygienists (HRSDC 2010)
And … SASKATCHEWAN
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New Job TitlesNew Job Titles
• Bioaesthetic Coach
• Experience Designer
• Health-Enhancement Mentor
• Intercommunity farmer• Personal Genome Optimizer
Richard A. Samson (“Hyperjobs: The New Higher-Level Work and How to Get Into It,”
Nov-Dec 2005)
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New Job TitlesNew Job Titles
• Chief Health Officer• Coordinator of Workforce
Development and Continuing Education
• Corporate Historian• Manager of Diversity• Manager of Faith-Based Relations and
Initiatives• Offshore Outsourcing coordinator
John A. Challenger (“Working in the Future: How Today’s Trends Are Shaping Tomorrow’s Jobs,” Nov-Dec 2005)
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New Job TitlesNew Job Titles
• Chief Innovation Officer• Executive Chef, Space Airline• Global Work Process Coordinator• Skycar Mechanic• Telemedicine Technician• Transhumanist Designer/Technician• Underwater hotel manager• Vice President of Experiences
Joyce Gioia and Roger Herman (“Career Planning for the 21st Century,” Nov-Dec 2005)
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New Job TitlesNew Job Titles
Manager of First Impressions
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New Lifetime Work PatternsNew Lifetime Work Patterns
WorkSchool Retire
From
To
Sc ho o l Wo rk Trn g Wo rk Une m p Trn g Wo rk Une m p Wo rk Trn g Wo rk Re tire
Human Resources Development CanadaKawartha Lakes Management Area, June 1994
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Career PathsCareer Paths
Foot (1998), p. 81
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Top Transferable Skills for the 21st Century
"flexible, ready-trained, on-demand, enterprise-ready”
Team Player
Oral/Written & Electronic Communications
Computer Skills
Basic Math Skills
Analytical – Problem Solving
HRDC, Kawartha Lakes, 1994Nuala Beck, 1995; HRSDC, 2008
Flexibility – Versatility
Interpersonal
Organized – Planning
Time Management
Leadership
Self-starter – Takes Initiative
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Globe and Mail
April 2008
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Globe and Mail, April 2008
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Globe and Mail,
April 2008
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Globe & Mail
Nov. 12, 2009
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Paradigm Shift
We have entered the age of the “contingent” worker … one who is resourceful, fluid, and flexible. Employment is now “contingent” on the results that the employer can achieve
Workers are wise to think that they are in business for themselves, and their tasks are outsourced to them by the employer
Employability replaces employment security
William Bridges, Jobshift, 1994
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DemographicsDemographics
Act Your Age!
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Demographics
2/3 of everything
+
Electoral Politics
Technology
National Values
Foot (1998), p. 7Adams (1997)
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Depression & World War II Babies 1930 - 1946
Baby Boomers1947 – 1966
400,000+ babies every year
Generation X1960’s
Baby Bust1967 - 1979
Generation Y -- Millennials1980 - 1995
Millennium BustGeneration Z
1996 - 2010
Demographics
Foot (1998)
pp. 22-31
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April 2008
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MillennialsMillennials
• Not driven by dreams of financial success
• What’s a career?
• Willing to move around (a lot)
• Want feedback daily
• Want input – want to be heard
• Fearless and blunt
• Work-life balance
• Flexible schedules
• Philanthropic work
• BREVITY
Sacks, 2006, pp 72-75
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CalgaryInc., April 2008
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CalgaryInc.,
April 2008
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MESO - OrganizationsMESO - Organizations
Multi-generation labour force
A.K.A.Scenes from the
Culture ClashFast Company, January 2006
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Strategic Organizations• Overriding mission and purpose
• Long-term
• The “what” and the “why”
• Able to attract individuals through strong employer brands
• Able to retain individuals through understanding and responding to various motivations to work
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New Corporate Vision Statement
Wherever we go,there we are.
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MesoMeso
What will work look like in the
future?
• Jobs
• Work Environment
• Work-Life Balance
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Micro
Individuals
Up the Creek with a Paddle
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Employable
You are employable if someone will hire you.
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Time
May 25, 2009
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BusinessWeek
Oct .19, 2009
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Benefits Canada, Peace of Mind Guidebook, www.benefitscanada.com/microsites/peaceofmind
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Employed
Training/reskilling = job protection.
HRSDC, 2008
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Micro – Teams & IndividualsMicro – Teams & Individuals
Tactical
• Calculated, small, hands-on actions
serving a larger strategic purpose
• Short-term
• The “how”
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► Resilience The positive ability to adapt to the consequences of a ‘catastrophy’.
► RecognitionThe ability to recognize what is known.
► SuccessThe achievement of an objective/goal.
Wikipedia, 2010
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Resilience►You can discover most of what you need to know…
Recognition►…by simply noticing the nature of the changes taking place.
Success►The trick then lies in learning how to take advantage of these changes.
Campbell, C., 1998
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Perlmutter & Trist, 1986Senge, 1990
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Micro - Getting the most from this workshop
Micro - Getting the most from this workshop
Strategies to Work & Prosper
What I need to know/do.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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NORTHERN LIGHTS CANADACome and
connect with us!
Want to become a fan of Northern Lights?
www.facebook.com/pages/Northern-Lights-Canada/
www.linkedin.com/groups?about=&gid=74831&trk=anet_ug_grppro
Twitter: #NLCAN
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Northern Lights Canada is a person-centred organization committed to providing innovative, responsive links to real work.
We offer 4 major divisions of service: • Vocational Rehabilitation Services • Employment Services• Employer Services • Corporate Training.
For more information, please feel free to contact us:
1-800-361-4642www.northernlightscanada.ca
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Voc Rehab Canada (VRCAN) is a national consortium of experienced regional vocational rehabilitation companies. VRCAN provides customers with single-point access to VR services anywhere they are needed in Canada, whether on an individual service or contract basis.
Member companies include:Argus Management Consultants, Inc. Sandra Preeper & Associates
Advantage Rehabilitation Consultants Ltd. Rehabilitation Alternatives Limited /
Vocational Alternatives Software
OPTIMA Rehabilitation CVE Inc.
Northern Lights Canada Occupational Rehabilitation Group of Canada (ORGOC)
Western Rehabilitation Specialists Inc. Diversified Rehabilitation Group
Genesis Rehabilitation Ltd.
For more information, please feel free to contact us at 1-866-97VRCAN
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