L ogistics and new challenges for Exports Promotion
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Transcript of L ogistics and new challenges for Exports Promotion
Logistics and new challenges for Exports
Promotion
May, 2013
Carlos PosadaVice Minister of Commerce
Macroeconomic Peruvian Framework
Outstanding Economic Performance
• Thirteen years with positive GDP.
• Growth led by private investment, domestic consumption and recovery of public investment.
• 2013 Estimated GDP: 6.3% (BCRP)
Source: BCRP Source: MEF
• Peru has been liberalizing external trade through tariff reductions in recent years
• Enhanced market access through new bilateral agreements with strategic trade partners.
Real GDP Growth (%)
-0.7
0.9
3.0
0.2
4.05.0
6.87.7
8.99.8
0.9
8.8
6.9 6.3
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
1.3
Peru: Average Tariff %
Peru will continue leading regional growth
LA Economic ForecastReal GDP Growth (2013-2015)
Source : IMF, CEPAL, World BankSource: Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas y Fondo Monetario Internacional.
Venezuela
México
Argentina
Brasil
Colombia
Chile
Peru
3.2
3.4
3.6
4.1
4.5
4.5
6.0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
8.4 9.210.512.315.1
19.5
27.3
22.4
29.5
34.6
44.3
Private Investment 2002-2012(Billion U.S. $)
Improving Business Indicators to boost Exports
DB2008 DB2009 DB2010 DB2011 DB2012 DB2013
5862
46
3643 43
66
53
37 3944
45
3640
53
43
33 37
Peru: Doing Business Evolution
PERU COLOMBIA CHILE
Chile
Perú
Colombia
México
Panamá
Argentina
Brasil
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
37
43
45
48
61
124
130
Source: Doing Business Source: Doing Business
LA Doing Business 2013
And improving Investment grade ratings
to give the best investment environmentLatin America
Investment grade rating
Source: Standard & Poor `s, Fitch Ratings and Moody's. UNCTAD (WIR 2012)
País S&P Fitch Moody´s
Chile AA- A+ Aa3México BBB BBB Baa1Brasil BBB BBB Baa2Perú BBB BBB Baa2Colombia BBB- BBB- Baa3Venezuela n.d. B+ B2Argentina B- CC B3Ecuador B B- Caa1
Countries as a priority destinationFor FDI 2011-2013
(World Ranking 21 countries))
4Brazil(Baa2) 3
Perú (Baa3)16
21
Chile (Aa3)18
2011 2010
18
New Investment Experiences and Results
Gateway to South America, Exit door to the world!
PERÚ: HUB OF BUSINESS IN SOUTH AMERICAN PACIFIC
INVESTMENT SUMMARY CHART TO 2016(MILLIONS OF US$)
CONCEPT PUBLIC INVESTMENT
CONCESSIONSTOTAL
PPA ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE 8,225 3,309 11,534
WATERWAY INFRASTRUCTURE - 87 87
AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE - 500 500
PORT INFRASTRUCTURE - 548 548
TOTAL (/1) 8,225 4,444 12,669
SOURCE: MTC-Ministry of Transport and CommunicationsNot including committed investments in existing concessions and Private Initiatives (IP) to be granted.
Infrastructure ConcessionRoad Infrastructure
Before
After
Port Concessionaire Investment by contract
USD Millions
Works Started in year
Matarani Port terminal TISUR 6 1999New Container Terminal
Callao DPWDPW 704 2008
Paita Port Terminal TPE 269 2012
MINERAL shipping terminal TP Callao -
Consorcio Transportadora Callao S.A.
120 2012
Multipurpose North Terminal
APM Terminals 883 2012
Yurimaguas Port Terminal - Nueva Reforma
Puerto Amazonas SA 43 2013
Source: Supervisory Agency of investment in transport infrastructure for public use - OSITRAN
CONCESSION OF PORTS IN PERU (1999 – 2013)
MAJOR INVESTMENT COMMITMENTS
Phase one (complete) Phase two (in progress) Land reclaimed from the ocean
Construction of a container dock, Dredging of 13 meters.Additional port equipment and reinforcement of existing piers.
Paita Port Terminal
New Container Terminal Callao DPW
Five Stages of execution Construction Optimization of new docks and procurement of equipmentModernization of other docks and container yard to have a first-class multipurpose terminal
Terminal North Multipurpose
CONCESSIONS PROCESSES IN EVALUATION
Investments 2013 - 201613
CONCESSIONS INVESTMENT ACTUAL STATE
M USDTerminal Portuario General San Martín (Pisco) 110 In Process 2013Terminal Portuario San Juan de Marcona 149 Private Iniciative
Terminal Portuario de Salaverry 129 Private Iniciative
Terminal Portuario de Ilo 100 In Evaluation
Terminal Portuario Pucallpa (Fluvial) 35 Private Initiative
Terminal Portuario de Iquitos (Fluvial) 25 In Formulation
T O T A L E S 548Source: Ministry of Transports and Comunications.
SALAVERRY
MARCONA
SAN MARTIN
IQUITOS
ILO
PUCALLPA
Progress:In 2012 Transport and Comunicating Minister, acted as a facilitator of investment in 113 Mill USD in the concessions.Remaining investment by executing: 1,527 Mill USD.
Jorge Chavez International Airport.
Airport InfrastructureNew Terminal
- Concession in 2001 for a period of 30 years.- Investment: $ 1 061 millions in the long term.
- Construction, improvement and operating of the AIJCH
- In 2013 has been chosen for fifth time in a row as the Best Airport in South America.
February 2001
May 2013
NEW INTERNATIONAL AIRPORTOF CHINCHERO-CUSCO
• Location: about 29 km. the road Cusco (province of Urubamba, department of Cusco).Airport Elevation: 3,720 mEstimated users: 4.7 million passengers (to 2030)Investment: 500 million U.S. $
General
Progress:Pre-investment studies in preparationGrant Awarding Concession: Dec-2013
AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURENew Terminal
Government Role and Strategic Development Policy
Challenges
2011 – 2016Objectives and strategies
Duplicate total exports (USD 86,000 million).
Triplicate Non – Traditional exports (USD 7,600 to USD 21,000 million).
Duplicate the number of exporters (+ 15,600 companies).
Utilisation with Social Inclusion
SME Export
Internationalization of Peruvian companies
Trade Facilitation
Building Trade Capacity
OBJECTIVES.
Strategies to increase exports
Promote Peruvian non traditional exports to markets with FTA.
Promote and support SME- participation at PROMPERU’s activities.
Market Diversification for products prioritized.
Promote export development of valued-added products.
Distribute specialized information: to exporters and different stakeholders.
Promote decentralized activities in Peru.
Mainly increase non traditional exports in markets with FTA
US$ 11,194 millions exported 9.8% Growth 12/11 7,890 exporters
15 +147%Singapur
49 +68%Thailand
93 -1%South Korea
330 -2%China
105 +9%Canada
43 +60%EFTA
2,615 +12%United States
243 +11%Mexico
584 +13%MERCOSUR
705 +16%Chile
3,197 +15%Andean
Community131 -2%
Japan124 +36%
Panama10 -3%
Cuba
1,897 -4%European
Union
6,570 SME
Actively participate in the regional groupAlianza del Pacifico
Built a free trade area for goods, services and persons.
Boost growth, development and competitiveness among members.
Be the platform for trade and policy integration to the world, and specifically to Asian-Pacific markets
Members ChileColombia
Objetives
PerúMéxico
Importance 8th economy of the world.5th major market at the world (213 million people).4.1% average exports growth.
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02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,000
2,016
GDP2012
Bil
lion
s U
S$
Source: Euromonitor, IMF DataElaboration Promperú(1) PBI Chile: 268, Colombia: 370, México:
1,178, Perú: 200(2) Var. % del PBI Real, crecimientos
individuales: Chile, 5.6%; Colombia, 4%; México, 3.9%; Perú: 6.3%
Source: SUNAT. Elaboration: PROMPERÚ
Development of Peruvian Exports 2003 – 2012
(Millions US$)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
9,04112,563
17,301
23,561
28,11031,009
27,074
35,806
46,338
(-0.7%)
46,008
World Leader: Traditional and Non Traditional Products
Traditional . Non Traditional .
Challenges Ahead
Strength and Develop Peruvian commercial offices in relevant markets
• Consolidate Trade Promotion of Peruvian Products
• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJmygV1054U
Challenges Ahead
LOGISTIC CITIES MAY, 2013