KœRESEL KR°Z SONRASI GAYR°MENKUL SEKT–Rœ VE TœRK°YE...

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KÜRESEL KRİZ SONRASI GAYRİMENKUL SEKTÖRÜ VE TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÖNGÖRÜLER 2015. DR. CAN FUAT GÜRLESEL EKONOMİ VE STRATEJİ DANIŞMANLIK HİZMETLERİ. KÜRESEL GAYRİMENKUL SEKTÖRÜ TİCARİ GAYRİMENKUL KREDİLERİNE DAYALI MENKUL KIYMET İHRACI. KAYNAK: COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE SECURITIES ASSOCIATION. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • KRESEL KRZ SONRASI GAYRMENKUL SEKTR VE TRKYE N NGRLER 2015

    DR. CAN FUAT GRLESELEKONOM VE STRATEJ DANIMANLIK HZMETLER

  • KRESEL GAYRMENKUL SEKTRTCAR GAYRMENKUL KREDLERNE DAYALI MENKUL KIYMET HRACI KAYNAK: COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE SECURITIES ASSOCIATION

    YILLARMENKUL KIYMET HRACI MLYAR DOLAR ABDAVRUPADERTOPLAM20016716790200252181181200378138992004932213128200516956142392006203781729820072306421315200812107292009323228

  • KRESEL GAYRMENKUL SEKTRTCAR GAYRMENKUL TOPLAM GETRLER YILLIK YZDE

    KAYNAK: INVESTMENT PROPERTY DATABANK

    YILLARGLOBAL ALIVER MERKEZ ENDEKSGLOBAL ENDSTRENDEKSGLOBAL OFS ENDEKS20014.13.0-1.020028.05.4-1.3200311.95.90.2200414.78.911.9200517.412.325.0200615.911.528.720079.416.318.42008-3.7-0.9-4.22009-1.1-9.7-5.6

  • KRESEL GAYRMENKUL SEKTRTCAR GAYRMENKUL DORUDAN YATIRIMLARI KAYNAK: JONES LANG LASALLE, GLOBAL REAL ESTATE CAPITAL REPORT

    BLGELER2004MLYAR $2005MLYAR $2006MLYAR $2007MLYAR $2008MLYAR $2009MLYAR $TOPLAM457495700759387209AMERKAABD2031952162052832713042821441344641AVRUPANGLTERE206108206115338963591011584010033ASYA-PASFKJAPONYA4818672395521216085396331GELEN LKELER112340515921SINIR TES SINIR 9935818331229440635740217421378131

  • KRESEL GAYRMENKUL SEKTRAVRUPA TCAR GAYRMENKUL SEKTR NGRLER

    KAYNAK: RREEF RESEARCH, EUROPEAN PROPERTY CYCLE MONITOR, 2010

    OFS 20102011201220132014BATI AVRUPA- SKANDNAVKRALARGENEL PYASADKLMEDKLMEARTITOPARLANMAARTITOPARLANMAARTIBYMEORTA-DOU AVRUPAKRALARGENEL PYASADKLMEDKLMESABTTOPARLANMAARTITOPARLANMAARTIBYME

    ALIVER MERKEZLER 20102011201220132014BATI AVRUPA-SKANDNAV KRALARGENEL PYASADKLMESABTKLMESABTDURAANARTIBYMEARTIBYMEORTA-DOU AVRUPAKRALARGENEL PYASASABTKLMESABTDURAANARTIBYMEARTIBYMEARTIBYME

    LOJSTK20102011201220132014BATI AVRUPA- SKANDNAVKRALARGENEL PYASADKLMEDKLMESABTTOPARLANMAARTITOPARLANMAARTIBYMEORTA-DOU AVRUPAKRALARGENEL PYASADKLMESABTTOPARLANMAARTITOPARLANMAARTITOPARLANMAARTIBYME

  • TRKYE KONUT SEKTR NGRLER 2015 TRKYEDE KONUT HTYACI

    YILLARHANE HALKI ARTII KAYNAKLI(000)YENLEME KAYNAKLI(000)KENTSEL DNMKAYNAKLI(000)TOPLAM(000)201031880156554201132681156563201232882156566201334083156579201433484156574201534085156581TOPLAM1.9864959363.417

  • TRKYE KONUT SEKTR NGRLER 2015 KONUT KREDLER N NGRLER

    YILLARGSMH MLYAR TLKONUT KREDLER / GSMH %KONUT KREDLER MLYAR TLSENARYOASENARYOBSENARYOCSENARYOASENARYOBSENARYOC20099544.474.474.4742.642.642.620101.0824.704.805.0050.952.054.020111.1985.005.256.0060.063.071.920121.3095.255.757.0068.775.391.620131.4155.506.258.0077.888.4113.220141.5315.756.759.0088.0103.3137.820151.6566.007.5010.0099.4124.2165.6

  • TRKYE KONUT SEKTR NGRLER 2015 YIL NDE KULLANDIRILACAK KONUT KREDLER DEER VE ADET

    YILLARSENARYO AMLYAR TLSENARYO BMLYAR TLSENARYO CMLYAR TL201016.317.419.4201118.121.027.9201218.723.331.7201320.127.135.6201422.228.939.6201524.436.944.8

    B SENARYOSUYILLAR50.000 TL ADET75.000 TL ADET100.000 TL ADET2010348.000232.000174.0002011420.000280.000210.0002012466.000310.665233.0002013542.000361.330271.0002014578.000385.330289.0002015738.000492.000369.000

  • TRKYE KONUT SEKTR NGRLER 2015 HANEHALKLARININ KONUT KREDS KULLANMA KAPASTES

    HANEHALKLARININ AYLIK ORTALAMA TASARRUFU TRK LRASI

    YILLAREN DK GELR % 20DK GELR % 20ORTA GELR % 20YKSEK GELR % 20EN YKSEK GELR % 202010-275-452407954.1902011-270-382728454.5202012-2553358754.8002013-237403958905.0302014-215554959305.2602015-1901055751.0005.450

  • TRKYE ALIVER MERKEZ NGRLER 2015 AVRUPA GSTERGELER LE KARILATIRMA 2008

    GSTERGELERAB-27TRKYEK BAI GELR EURO 24.5567.000K BAI PERAKENDE HARCAMA EURO 7.9052.337AVMDE YAPILAN HARCAMA MLYAR EURO 483.68.0AVM KRALANABLR M2 BAINA HARCAMA EURO 4.3301.532TOPLAM PERAKENDE HARCAMA NDE AVM HARCAMA PAYI % 23.34.8BN K BAINA KRALANABLR ALAN M222572

  • TRKYE ALIVER MERKEZ NGRLER 2015 PERAKENDE HARCAMALAR VE ORGANZE PERAKENDE PAZAR NGRLER

    YILLARMLL GELRMLYAR DOLAR TOPLAM PERAKENDE HARCAMAMLYAR DOLARORGANZE PERAKENDE PAZAR SENARYO 1SENARYO 2% PAYMLYAR DOLAR% PAY MLYAR DOLAR20106982334093.24093.2201174024742103.742103.7201278426242.5111.344115.3201382327443117.846126.0201486528944121.448138.7201591030445136.850152.0

  • TRKYE ALIVER MERKEZ NGRLER 2015 ALIVER MERKEZ YATIRIMLARI NGRLER

    YILLARSENARYO 1SENARYO 2BN K BAINA M2TOPLAM M2BN K BAINA M2TOPLAM M2201090.06.603.66090.06.603.6602011108.18.022.500108.18.022.5002012113.08.471.384120.08.996.1602013117.08.866.611130.09.851.7902014121.09.261.582140.010.715.8802015125.09.663.125150.011.595.750

  • TRKYE ALIVER MERKEZ NGRLER 2015 ALIVER MERKEZ YATIRIMLARI NGRLER

    YILLARSENARYO 1KRALANABLR M2 BAINA ORGANZE PERAKENDE HARCAMA DOLARSENARYO 2KRALANABLR M2 BAINA ORGANZE PERAKENDE HARCAMA DOLAR200915.21015.210201014.11514.115201112.92612.926201213.13812.815201313.28512.790201413.41012.945201514.16013.110

  • STANBUL OFS PYASASI NGRLER 2015 BLGE EHRLER OFS PYASASI GSTERGELER

    KAYNAK: COLLIERS, GLOBAL OFFICE REAL ESTATE REVIEW, 2009

    EHRLEROFS STOKU 2009 M2OFS NAATI 2009 M2BOLUK ORANI 2009 %KRA 2009M2 /AY/ DOLARVAROVA3.248.000198.0007.331.2BUDAPETE2.400.000371.80021.928.4BKRE1.240.000297.40018.227.2MOSKOVA11.210.0004.042.80016.558.3BRATISLAVA1.320.000123.00012.524.1PRAG2.730.00083.00011.829.8BELGRAD620.000251.00017.022.0KEV1.090.000150.00020.033.3STANBUL2.316.514241.70010.335.0TELAVV2.500.00050.0009.819.9DUBA3.813.3702.230.50030.052.8

  • STANBUL OFS PYASASI NGRLER 2015 STANBULDA OFS STOKU NGRLER

    YILLARLAVE STOK M2TOPLAM STOK M22010183.0003.060.0002011140.0003.200.0002012150.0003.350.0002013100.0003.450.000

  • STANBUL OFS PYASASI NGRLER 2015 AVRUPADA EN Y EHRLER

    KAYNAK: CUSHMAN WAKEFIELD, EUROPEAN CITIES MONITOR, 2010

    SIRAEHRSKOR 2009SKOR 2008SIRA 2008SIRA 19901LONDRA0.850.80112PARS0.560.57223FRANKFURT0.330.32334BARSELONA0.280.265115BRKSEL0.280.28446MADRD0.230.227177MNH0.210.209128AMSTERDAM0.200.24659BERLN0.180.2081510MLANO0.150.1113911CENEVRE0.140.1211812HAMBURG0.110.10171413ZRH0.110.1310714BRMNGHAM0.100.0821-15DSELDORF0.100.1212616MANCHESTER0.100.11141317LZBON0.090.10161618DUBLN0.090.1015-19LYON0.090.09181820STOKHOLM0.080.08201921PRAG0.070.08192322ROMA0.070.0625-23VAROVA0.060.07242524LEEDS0.060.0528-25KOPENHAG0.060.0723-26BUDAPETE0.060.08222127STANBUL0.050.0429-

  • STANBUL LOJSTK PYASASI NGRLER 2015 BLGE EHRLER LOJSTK PYASASI GSTERGELER

    KAYNAK: KING STURGE, EUROPEAN INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKETS, 2010

    EHRLER2008 DOLAR/AY/M22009 DOLAR/AY/M2STANDARD5.000STANDARD5.000PRAG7.356.307.456.75BUDAPETE5.604.904.255.00VAROVA8.405.158.255.00BRATISLAVA6.405.356.255.75ZAGREP7.258.758.508.75BKRE7.706.305.905.90MOSKOVA14.0015.0010.509.00BELGRAD10.0010.0010.0010.00STANBUL9.509.509.009.00

  • STANBUL LOJSTK PYASASI NGRLER 2015 SELM AVRUPA VE BLGE LKELERNDE EKONOMK BYME

    KAYNAK: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, NSAN 2010 (1) TRKYE N ALIMANIN NGRLER

    LKELER201020112015ALMANYA1.21.71.2FRANSA1.51.82.2TALYA0.81.21.3DANMARKA1.21.62.3HOLLANDA1.31.31.8AVUSTURYA1.31.72.2POLONYA2.73.24.0EK CUMHURYET-4.12.33.5MACARSTAN-0.23.23.0SLOVAKYA4.14.54.2ROMANYA0.85.14.1HIRVATSTAN0.22.53.0RUSYA4.03.35.0TRKYE(1)5.54.54.0

  • STANBUL LOJSTK PYASASI NGRLER 2015 TRKYE LOJSTK PERFORMANSI

    KAYNAK: DNYA BANKASI, 2010

    LKELERSKOR2010 SIRALAMA2007 SIRALAMAALMANYA4.1113SVE4.0834HOLLANDA4.0742EK CUMHURYET3.512638POLONYA3.443040SLOVAKYA3.243850TRKYE3.223934MACARSTAN2.995235YUNANSTAN2.965429ROMANYA2.845951BULGARSTAN2.836355HIRVATSTAN2.777463SIRBSTAN2.6983115RUSYA2.619499

  • STANBUL OTEL PYASASI NGRLER 2015 BLGE VE RAKP LKELER LE KARILATIRMALAR

    KAYNAK:STR GLOBAL, 2010

    EHRLERODA FYATI DOLAR 2009ODA GELRDOLAR 2009ODA DOLULUK ORANI % 2009RYAD25715060.8DUBA23816569.1PARS23417373.8MOSKOVA20411958.4ZRH19413468.6MLANO19311057.0ROMA19312162.6LONDRA18214780.5AMSTERDAM16811669.0STANBUL16012164.4KOPENHAG15910163.4OSLO1539662.7HELSNK1348360.1STOKHOLM1399467.2VYANA1348865.9MADRID1307457.6KAHRE1298565.4PRAG1086056.6BUDAPETE975153.2

  • STANBUL OTEL PYASASI NGRLER 2015 STANBUL KONAKLAMA GSTERGELER 2008

    KAYNAK: T.C KLTR VE TURZM BAKANLII

    GSTERGELER2008KONAKLAYAN YABANCI SAYISI2.930.019KONAKLAYAN YERL SAYISI1.479.959TOPLAM KONAKLAYAN SAYISI4.409.978YABANCILARIN GECELEME SAYISI6.652.379YERLLERN GECELEME SAYISI2.547.188TOPLAM GECELEME SAYISI9.199.567YABANCILARIN KALI SRES GECE2.3YERLLERN KALI SRES GECE1.7TOPLAM KALI SRES GECE2.1YABANCI DOLULUK ORANI32.42YERLLER DOLULUK ORANI12.41TOPLAM DOLULUK ORANI44.83

  • STANBUL OTEL PYASASI NGRLER 2015 STANBUL OTELLERNN PEFRORMANSI 2008

    KAYNAK: T.C KLTR VE TURZM BAKANLII

    YILLAR TESSE GEL SAYISI K (000)GECELEME SAYISIGECE (000)DOLULUK ORANI % YABANCIYERLTOPLAMYABANCIYERLTOPLAMYABANCIYERLTOPLAM5 YILDIZ903.899454.9951.358.8941.850.265749.5782.599.84326.8710.8937.764 YILDIZ975.544395.7601.371.3042.308.920692.8553.001.77539.9611.9951.953 YILDIZ608.580325.793934.3731.418.991509.6551.928.64636.0212.9448.962 YILDIZ208.416201.893410.309491.147361.506852.65322.2116.3538.571 YILDIZ14.26139.22253.48343.50878.929122.43713.2724.0837.35ZEL B.3.7082843.9928.3875468.93352.083.3955.47

  • STANBUL OTEL PYASASI NGRLER 2015 OTEL YATIRIMLARI CAZBESN KORUYOR

    KAYNAK: URBAN LAND INSTITUTE PRICEWATERHOUSE COOPERS, EMERGING TRENDS IN REAL ESTATE EUROPE, 2010

    LLEROFSALIVER MERKEZLERSANAY LOJSTKREZDANSOTELNCELKL SEKTRLONDRA12.74.83.37.37.9OFSPARS10.16.62.26.08.7OFSBERLN3.36.93.89.65.4REZDANSSTANBUL3.64.67.65.58.3OTELBARSELONA4.35.56.54.47.0OTELMADRD6.14.33.84.26.6OTELMOSKOVA3.13.22.22.66.2OTELATNA0.93.11.62.95.4OTELVAROVA2.64.25.41.81.7SANAY/LOJROMA2.13.71.13.15.0OTELPRAG2.33.54.91.63.3SANAY/LOJHELSNK2.62.54.92.91.2SANAY/LOJAMSTERDAM2.82.93.33.92.5REZDANSSTOKHOLM2.83.13.83.91.7REZDANSBUDAPETE0.52.03.82