KONE’s Annual General Meeting 2016 · KONE’s Annual General Meeting 2016 March 7, 2016 Henrik...
Transcript of KONE’s Annual General Meeting 2016 · KONE’s Annual General Meeting 2016 March 7, 2016 Henrik...
KONE’s Annual General Meeting 2016
March 7, 2016
Henrik Ehrnrooth, President & CEO
KONE’s 2015
Market development
in 2015
Long-term drivers
Our outlook for 2016
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 2
2015: Profitable growth in a
changing market environment
2015 2014 Historical
change Comparable
change
Orders received MEUR 7,958.9 6,812.6 16.8% 5.6%
Order book MEUR 8,209.5 6,952.5 18.1% 11.9%
Sales MEUR 8,647.3 7,334.5 17.9% 8.3%
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 1,241.5 1,035.7 19.9%
Operating income (EBIT) % 14.4 14.1
Cash flow from operations
(before financing
items and taxes)
MEUR 1,473.7 1,345.4
Basic earnings per share EUR 2.01 1.47
Basic earnings per share
excluding one-time item* EUR 1.79 -
Dividend per share EUR 1.401) 1.20
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 3 1) Board’s proposal to the AGM
*Excluding extraordinary dividend from TELC
2015 Orders received: Growth in both the volume
business and major projects
MEUR
2,200
2,400
1,600
2,000
1,800
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
21.7%
18.7%
Q4
1,947
Q3
1,764
Q2
2,193
Q1
14.3%
11.9% 2,054
2009 2015
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 4 Growth in historical exchange rates.
2015 Sales: Growth in all regions,
in North America in particular
MEUR
400
200
0
1,000
800
600
2,600
2,400
2,200
1,600
2,000
1,800
1,400
1,200
18.3%
16.3% 19.5%
17.3%
Q3
2,184
Q2 Q4
2,210
Q1
1,691
2,562
2009 2015
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 5 Growth in historical exchange rates.
2015 Operating income: Positive development
driven by both the new equipment and service
businesses
Operating income excluding one-time items.
MEUR
379
326325
212
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
20.0%
17.4% 23.5%
18.0%
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2009 2015
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Growth in historical exchange rates.
2015: We further strengthened our
offering and capabilities in new equipment
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~ 161,000 units
(~ 154,000 units)
New equipment orders
received
New elevator solutions were launched in
2015:
- I MonoSpace® and I MiniSpace™ for
the Indian market
- Z MiniSpace™ for the Chinese
market
Updated version of the TransitMaster 140
escalator was released for the
infrastructure segment in China.
KONE’s new elevator test tower, one of
the world’s tallest at 236 meters, was
opened in Kunshan in the autumn.
New equipment units
delivered
~ 137,000 units
(~ 130,000 units)
2015: We delivered on our target to accelerate
growth in services
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A strong level of conversions of installed
equipment was driving the growth of the
maintenance base.
Our approach to sales and customer
interactions was sharpened.
We improved the response times of
technicians and speed of problem
resolution with a next generation Field
Mobility device.
Equipment in KONE’s
maintenance base
< 1.1 million units
(> 1 million units)
KONE’s 2015
Long-term drivers
Our outlook for 2016
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 9
Market development
in 2015
Market development in 2015
China
Rest of Asia-Pacific
Europe, Middle East
and Africa
North America
New equipment: the global market declined slightly
due to a decline in the large Chinese market
In Asia-Pacific, the new
equipment market declined slightly
in 2015, but remained at a high
level
In the EMEA region, Central and
North Europe saw the strongest
development. South Europe
stabilized and the Middle East saw
some growth.
In North America, the market
developed strongly
EMEA: Euroope, Middle East and Africa March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 10
Market development in 2015
Europe, Middle East
and Africa
North America
China
Rest of Asia-Pacific
Maintenance: growth continued globally, with Europe
and North America remaining the most significat
markets
11
In the EMEA region, the market
grew, but the environment
remained varied. South Europe in
particular continued to see intense
price competition
In North America, the market saw
some growth, but competition
remained intense
In Asia-Pacific, maintenance
markets grew with at fastest rate
globally
EMEA: Euroope, Middle East and Africa March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 11
Market development in 2015
Europe, Middle East
and Africa
North America
China
Rest of Asia-Pacific
Modernization: slight increase in global modernization
demand with a positive develpoment in North America
in particular
In the EMEA region, the large
European market developed
favorably in Central and North
Europe, but South Europe remained
weak
In North America, modernization
demand continued to grow
In Asia-Pacific, increasing
modernization opportunities were
seen from a smaller starting level
EMEA: Euroope, Middle East and Africa March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 12
KONE’s 2015
Long-term drivers
Our outlook for 2016
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 13
Market development
in 2015
2015
8,647
44%
17%
39%
2014
7,334
41%
15%
44%
2013
6,933
38%
16%
46%
2012
6,277
35%
16%
49%
2011
5,225
27%
18%
55%
2010
4,987
21%
21%
58%
2009
4,744
17%
21%
62%
2008
4,603
16%
19%
65%
2007
4,079
14%
21%
65%
2006
3,601
13%
22%
65%
2005*
3,242
12% 22%
66%
EMEA Americas Asia-Pacific
CAGR,%
10.3%
4.6%
7.7%
25.4%
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13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.9% 14.0% 12.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% EBIT margin
(%)¹
EMEA= Europe, Middle East and Africa
*) 2005 figures are pro forma
¹ Excluding one-time items Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation
14.4%
Sales by area 2005–2015 (MEUR)
Over the past decade, KONE’s sales
has grown in all regions
8,647
31%
12%
57%
2014
7,334
2008
4,603
33%
19%
48%
2007
4,079
36%
19%
45%
2006
3,601
40%
19%
41%
2005*
3,242
41%
19%
40%
32%
13%
55%
2013
6,933
32%
14%
54%
2012
6,277
34%
16%
50%
2011 2015
37%
17%
46%
2010
4,987
37%
5,225
46%
2009
4,744
34%
19%
47%
17%
Maintenance New equipment Modernization
CAGR,%
10.3%
6.0%
7.0%
14.3%
*) 2005 figures are pro forma
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 15
13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.9% 14.0% 12.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.0% 8.4% EBIT margin
(%)¹
¹ Excluding one-time items
14.4%
Sales by business 2005–2015 (MEUR)
We have grown both the new equipment and the
service business
Powerful global megatrends will continue to drive the
E&E industry growth
Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 16
Urbanization
Safety Environment
March 7, 2016
Changing demographics
Connectivity Quality
Urbanization and urban development continue
globally, progressing through different stages
Strong growth in middle
income consumers
Changing living
preferences
Mature markets Emerging markets
Move from rural to
urban areas
1
Growth of middle
income consumers
2
Changing patterns of
urban living
3
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Continued growth in urban
population
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1. Move from rural to urban areas
Source: UN World Urbanization prospects, 2014 revision.
85% of the billion new urban residents by
2030 to be in Asia-Pacific and Africa
Urbanization continues to be a strong driver
in Asia-Pacific and Africa
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Urban population
(Millions)
Latin America
Africa and the
Middle East
China
Asia-Pacific
ex China
North America
Europe
2030
5,058
2015
3,957
+1,101
China, India and Southeast Asia will continue to see a
growing middle class accelerating urban development
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90 % of the 2.5 billion new middle income
consumers to be in Asia-Pacific
2. Growth of middle income
consumers
1,000
2,000
0
4,000
5,000
3,000
+2,460
Latin America
Middle East
and Africa
Asia-Pacific
North America
Europe
2030
4,884
2015
2,424
Source: UNDP Human Development Report, data from Brookings
Institution. The middle income consumer group includes people earning
or spending $10–$100 a day (2005 PPP).
(Millions)
Europe and North America will see changing
requirements in city planning and infrastructure
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3 3. Changing patterns of urban living
75
60
3529
17
Germany Australia United
States
France UK
Projected % increase in one-person households,
early-mid-2000s to 2025-2030
Source: OECD: The Future of Families to 2030.
Living preferences continue to change
alongside changing demographics
The industry and KONE will be shaped
by two significant trends going forward
Digitalization and increasing speed
of technological change
Changing growth dynamics
21 March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation
1 NEW EQUIPMENT
Opportunities in many
markets despite the
decline in global
market volumes.
Increasing
opportunities from
smarter buildings
The importance of the service business is increasing
as the new equipment market slows
3 MODERNIZATION
Growing opportunity in
all regions as the
installed equipment
base ages and
customer requirements
increase
2 MAINTENANCE Importance of
maintenance relative to
the total business will
increase in the
emerging markets
New technology to start
shaping the business
everywhere
1
2
3
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 22
Mobility
Connectivity
Cloud
Analytics
Sensors
Data storage
and integration
Everything becomes mobile and connected
Customers have full real-time transparency
Users demand increased convenience,
efficiency and enjoyment in People Flow
New ”ecosystems” emerging around
smart buildings and cities
Development of technological enablers
continues to accelerate
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 23
Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 24
Our strategy focuses on making KONE an
even more competitive company
March 7, 2016
Work with our development programs
continues in 2016
Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 25 March 7, 2016
Further improve customer
service and communication
Help all employees perform
at their best
Develop innovative
solutions in new equipment
Strengthen our differentiation in
the maintenance business
Accelerate the growth of
the modernization business
First in Customer Loyalty
A Winning Team of
True Professionals
The Most Competitive
People Flow® Solutions
Preferred Maintenance Partner
Top Modernization Provider
KONE’s 2015
Long-term drivers
Our outlook for 2016
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 26
Market development
in 2015
The modernization market is expected to grow slightly in Europe, to
continue to grow in North America, and to develop strongly in Asia-
Pacific.
Modernization markets
Market outlook 2016
Asia-Pacific: The market in China is expected to decline by 5–10%
in units ordered and also the price competition to continue intense.
In the rest of Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to see some
growth.
Europe, Middle East and Africa: the market is expected to grow
slightly with growth in Central and North Europe and a more stable
development in South Europe and the Middle East.
North America: the market is expected to see some growth.
The maintenance markets are expected to see the strongest growth
rate in Asia-Pacific, and to develop rather well also in other regions.
Maintenance markets
New equipment markets
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 27
Business outlook 2016
KONE’s net sales is estimated to grow by 2–6%
at comparable exchange rates as compared to
2015.
The operating income (EBIT) is expected to be in
the range of EUR 1,220–1,320 million, assuming
that translation exchange rates would remain at
approximately the average level of January 2016.
Sales
Operating income
March 7, 2016 Annual General Meeting 2016 | © KONE Corporation 28