Know your valuation for equity compensation and avoid the perils of 409a
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Transcript of Know your valuation for equity compensation and avoid the perils of 409a
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MEMBER OF PKF NORTH AMERICA, AN ASSOCIATION OF LEGALLY INDEPENDENT FIRMS © 2010 Wolf & Company, P.C.
Know Your Valua,on For Equity Compensa,on (and Avoid the Perils of 409A)
Exclusively for
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Introduc,ons
• ScoH Goodwin – Wolf & Company, PC – Member of the Firm – Technology Services Team Leader – TCN board of directors and program commiHee chair
• Alicia Amaral – Scalar Analy,cs – Managing Director – TuUs University, Entrepreneurial Finance – CPA and Cer,fied Valua,on Analyst, CVA – Past CFO
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Who is Wolf & Company?
• Boston based, regionally focused
• 18 owners and 190 professionals in three offices
• Niche focused – Technology Services Team
• Provide our clients with direct access to owner-‐level exper,se
• Ability to grow with you
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Who is Scalar Analy,cs?
• 600+ valua,ons per year • Majority of clients backed by venture capital firms and angel groups
• Clients in virtually every industry • Work with all of the “big 4” audit firms and countless regional firms
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Agenda
• Overview of stock compensa,on plans • Overview of IRC Sec,on 409A • The who, what, why and how of valua,ons • Q&A
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Stock Compensa,on Overview
• Common forms of stock compensa,on – Founders shares – Op,ons – Restricted stock
• Tax treatment
• Advantages and disadvantages
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Overview of IRC Sec,on 409A
• What is it? • How does it impact stock compensa,on? • What is the worst that could happen? • What do you as an entrepreneur need to know to
stay out of trouble? • What are best prac,ces at various stages of
development?
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Standard of Value
• Fair Market Value – Assumes hypothe,cal buyer – This is standard for 409A (per IRS)
• Investment Value – Assumes strategic buyer
409A ≠ VC investment
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Investment Valua,on for Start-‐Ups
• Discounted Cash Flow??? • Berkus • Bill Payne Method • Risk Factor Simulation • Venture Capital Method
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David Berkus Method
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$500k for each • Good idea • Prototype
• Quality Team • Quality Board • Ini,al Sale
Value $0 to $2.5 Million
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Bill Payne Method
Factor Management Size of Opportunity/Market Product/Service Sales Channels Stage of Business Other
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Weight 30% 25% 10% 10% 10% 15% 100%
Ra,ng 100 = Average, 100+ = above average, 100-‐ = below Mul,ply result by $1.75M
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Bill Payne Method Example
Factor Management Size of Opportunity Product/Service Sales Channels Stage of Business Other
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Weight 30% 25% 10% 10% 10% 15% 100%
Ra<ng 125 115 110 70 125 80
Total 37.50 28.75 11.00 7.00 12.50 12.00
108.75
Value = $1.75M * 108.75 = $1,903,125
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Risk Factor Simula,on Method
Risk Factor Management Stage Funding Risk Regulatory Manufacturing Sales & Mktg Compe,,on Technology Li,ga,on Reputa,onal Exit
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Risk Factor +$500k +$250k -‐$250k
0 +$250k -‐$500k +$250k +$250k
$0 -‐$250k +$250k $250k
Valua<on Base $1.75M Risk 250k Value $2.0M
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Venture Capital Method
Determine the • Investor’s required rate of return (ROI), and
• Terminal Value (TV)
Work backwards to get valua,on (Post $)
TV can be either exit or next round 14
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VC Method Example
• TV based on es,mated revenues and/or Net Income in terminal year
• Example: – Es,mated revenue in Year 5 is $40M – Average mul,plier for industry = 2 – So your es,mated value of the company at the end of year 5 , or TV = $40M * 2 = $80M
*Note: Can also es,mate TV based on Net Income and apply average P/E mul,ples
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VC Method Example
• ROI • Say I sell an investment for $100M that I purchased for $20M. What’s my ROI?
• Answer: $100M / 20M = 5x • Same as TV/Post$ = ROI • To solve for Post$: Post$ = TV/ROI
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VC Method Example
• Say in our example that investor needs a 20X ROI • Post $ = TV/ROI • Post $ = $80M / 20 • Post $ = $4,000,000
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Three Valua,on Methods
Valua,on Methods 409A
1. Asset Approach
2. Market Approach
3. Income Approach
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2. Market Approach
a) Recent securi,es transac,ons method b) Comparable (guideline) public company method c) Comparable transac,on method d) Industry-‐specific mul,ples
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2b. Market Example: Guideline Public Company Method
Data for similar public companies in same industry • Salesforce.com, Inc. • Concur Technologies, Inc. • Kenexa Corp. • LogMeIn, Inc. • Constant Contact, Inc.
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In thousands of dollars (000) LTM Revenue LTM EBITDA NTM Revenue NTM EBITDA
Venture Co. $6,812.0 ($6,337.8) $14,380.7 ($3,166.6)
Mean Multiple 5.0x 22.1x 4.0x 19.2x
Implied Enterprise Value $33,809.2 N/A $57,270.2 N/A
Average Enterprise Value $45,539.7
Plus Cash $4,441.9
Market Value of Invested Capital $49,981.6
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Steps in the Valua,on Process
1. Take weighted average of applicable methods (asset, market or income) to come up with enterprise value
2. Allocate the enterprise value among classes of stock
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Valuation
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Step 1 – Determine enterprise value using weighted average of applicable methods (Asset, Market and Income)
Fair Market Value of Venture Co. as of September 30, 2012 Market Value of Method Weighted
In actual dollars Invested Capital Weighting Value
Adj. Book Value of Assets (Cost) $5,914,647 0.0% $0
Invested Capital (Cost) $22,182,037 0.0% $0
Recent Securities T ransaction Backsolve (Market) $42,932,012 25.0% $10,733,003
Public Comps Valuation (Market) $49,981,604 25.0% $12,495,401
Acquisition Comps Valuation (Market) $55,094,153 25.0% $13,773,538
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation (Income) $44,606,522 25.0% $11,151,631
Weighted Market Value of Invested Capital $48,153,573
Less Debt ($1,750,000)
Weighted Equity Value $46,403,573
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Step 2: Alloca,on
• Simply means “who gets what” in the event of an exit • Common shareholders get paid aUer preferred
Remember that the purpose of 409A is to value common stock
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Option Value Analysis Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Option 6 Option 7 Option 8 Option 9 Option 10
Definition: Before this breakpoint… Series C
liquidation
preference
Series B & A
liquidation preference
Common
participates
Allocated options
exercise
Series A converts to
common
Common
Warrants
exercise
Unallocated
options
participate in
value
Series B converts
to common
Series C reaches
3.0x
participation cap
Series C converts
into Common
stock
Break Points $0 $20,771,210 $22,182,037 $25,812,886 $27,793,293 $28,582,104 $39,428,548 $56,429,660 $301,546,405 $421,162,792 Infinity
Current Equity Value (Price) $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573 $46,403,573
Exercise $0 $20,771,210 $22,182,037 $25,812,886 $27,793,293 $28,582,104 $39,428,548 $56,429,660 $301,546,405 $421,162,792 Infinity
Riskfree Rate 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31%
Maturity (in years) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Volatility 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54%
d1 28.942 1.333 1.264 1.103 1.025 0.995 0.654 0.275 (1.501) (1.855) 0.000
d2 27.998 0.389 0.320 0.159 0.081 0.051 (0.290) (0.669) (2.445) (2.799) 0.000
Call Option Value: $46,403,573 $28,763,403 $27,871,048 $25,735,075 $24,660,647 $24,249,313 $19,421,999 $14,152,891 $929,712 $405,738 $0
Incremental Option Value $17,640,170 $892,355 $2,135,972 $1,074,429 $411,334 $4,827,313 $5,269,108 $13,223,179 $523,975 $405,738
Option Value of Security Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Option 6 Option 7 Option 8 Option 9 Option 10
Series C $17,640,170 $0 $488,775 $204,543 $67,632 $795,364 $799,205 $1,933,391 $0 $60,031
Series B $0 $697,195 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $414,235 $19,010 $12,542
Series A $0 $195,160 $0 $0 $40,566 $229,734 $230,844 $566,020 $26,281 $17,340
Common $0 $0 $1,647,197 $689,319 $227,924 $2,680,416 $2,693,361 $6,604,011 $306,632 $202,309
Allocated $0 $0 $0 $180,567 $59,705 $702,136 $705,527 $1,729,925 $80,322 $52,995
A Warrants $0 $0 $0 $0 $15,507 $87,821 $88,245 $216,372 $10,046 $6,628
Common Warrants $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $331,842 $307,524 $754,035 $35,011 $23,099
Unallocated $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $444,402 $1,005,190 $46,672 $30,793
Total $17,640,170 $892,355 $2,135,972 $1,074,429 $411,334 $4,827,313 $5,269,108 $13,223,179 $523,975 $405,738
Total Option Value Option Value Total Shares
Share Value
(Marketable)
Marketability
Discount
Share Value (Non-‐
Marketable)
Series C $21,989,112 5,934,632 $3.705 0.0% $3.705
Series B $1,142,982 1,239,906 $0.922 0.0% $0.922
Series A $1,305,945 1,714,171 $0.762 0.0% $0.762
Common $15,051,167 20,000,000 $0.753 35.7% $0.484
Allocated $3,511,178 5,239,012 $0.670 35.7% $0.431
A Warrants $424,620 655,276 $0.648 35.7% $0.417
Common Warrants $1,451,511 2,283,567 $0.636 35.7% $0.409
Unallocated $1,527,057 3,044,179 $0.502 35.7% $0.323
Total $46,403,573 40,110,742
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Summary
• STEP 1 Enterprise Value $48,153,573 Less Debt (1,750,000) Equity Value $46,403,573
• STEP 2 Alloca,on to common $15,051,167 Divided by # shares ÷ 20,000 Price per share = $0.753
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Discount
• Discount for lack of marketability (DLOM) ü 25 – 45%
• Discount for Venture Co. = 35.7% • Price per share $0.753 less 35.7% =
$0.484 per share
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Other Points
• Value is based on a number of assump,ons that have a material impact on the result – Projected cash flows – WACC – DLOM – Comparable companies
• Important to have a “DEFENDABLE VALUE” (IRS and auditors)
• Important to review report for reasonableness of assump,ons. You know your business.
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QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS
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Thank You!
ScoH Goodwin, CPA [email protected] (617) 428-‐5407 Alicia Amaral alicia.amaral@scalaranaly,cs.com (617) 684-‐5510
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Resources
To be posted to TCN website: • Detailed outline and PowerPoint presenta<on • Scalar Analy<cs – white paper, “Sec<on 409A – Common
Stock Valua<on”