KIT CARSON PANHANDLE DRAINGE ANALYSIS CITY OF …
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KIT CARSON PANHANDLE DRAINGE ANALYSIS CITY OF ESCONDIDO PROJECT 440-18-784 ESCONDIDO, CA KLF PROJECT #20182997.001A
FEBRUARY 5, 2018
Copyright 2018 Kleinfelder All Rights Reserved
ONLY THE CLIENT OR ITS DESIGNATED REPRESENTATIVES MAY USE THIS DOCUMENT AND ONLY FOR THE SPECIFIC
PROJECT FOR WHICH THIS REPORT WAS PREPARED.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
____________________________________________________________________________
Section Page
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................. 1
2 SCOPE OF WORK AND OBJECTIVE ............................................................................. 3 2.1 BACKGROUND AND PROJECT NEXUS ............................................................. 3 2.2 STUDY OBJECTIVES ........................................................................................... 3 2.3 REFERENCE DOCUMENTS ................................................................................ 3 2.4 SCOPE OF WORK ................................................................................................ 4 2.5 LIMITATIONS OF ANALYSIS ............................................................................... 5
3 PROJECT HYDROLOGY ................................................................................................. 6 3.1 DRAINAGE AREA ................................................................................................. 6 3.2 TIME OF CONCENTRATION ................................................................................ 6 3.3 PRECIPITATION AND DESIGN EVENTS ............................................................ 7 3.4 PRECIPITATION LOSS ........................................................................................ 7 3.5 HYDROGRAPH TRANSFORM AND PEAK FLOW DETERMINATION ................ 7 3.6 RESULTS .............................................................................................................. 8
4 CHANNEL HYDRAULICS AND STABLE SLOPE ANALYSIS ........................................ 9 4.1 CHANNEL HYDRAULICS DURING BANKFULL CONDITIONS ........................... 9 4.2 STABLE SLOPE ANALYSIS ................................................................................. 9 4.3 RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................ 10
5 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 11
Tables
Table 1 Summary of Hydrology for Kit Carson Creek Upstream of Las Palmas Avenue Bridge Crossing .......................................................................................................................... 8
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Appendices Appendix A Watershed Hydrology Map Appendix B NRCS Soils Map Appendix C Time of Concentration Calculations Appendix D Weighted Loss Rate Calculations Appendix E Aerial Photograph Project Study Area Appendix F HEC HMS Input and Output Appendix G HEC RAS Input and Output Appendix H Engineering Properties Visalia Sandy Loam Appendix I USGS Grain Size Chart Appendix J Flow Rating Data from HMP Monitoring Report Appendix K Survey and Cross Section Data from HMP Monitoring Report
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KIT CARSON PANHANDLE DRAINAGE
CITY OF ESCONDIDO
ESCONDIDO, CA
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
____________________________________________________________________________
The City of Escondido has hired Kleinfelder to prepare a hydrology and hydraulic study of the
panhandle drainage (the “Panhandle”) into Kit Carson Park. This is an open channel that conveys
runoff from the north end of Kit Carson Park and flows south towards Eagle Scout Lake.
The specific objectives of this study are;
1. Confirm all contributing areas that are hydraulically connected to the Panhandle drainage.
2. Determine the flow rates for the 2-year, 10-year, 50-year and 100-year storm events.
3. Use the best available data to hydraulically evaluate the stable slope of the channel during
the dominant discharge range. Use these results to help develop preliminary plans to
stabilize the portion of the Panhandle that has been closed due to collapse. Kleinfelder
will prepare preliminary improvements plans at 30% design level as part of a subsequent
work effort once this analysis is complete.
The methodology used in this analysis follows the unit hydrograph procedures specified by the
County of San Diego Hydrology Manual (County of San Diego Department of Public Works Flood
Control Section, 2003), which are adapted from those of the National Resource Conservations
Service. The only exception to this procedure is that maximum precipitation intensity values were
taken from Figure No. 1 of the City of Escondido Design Standards (City of Escondido, April
2014). This approach was anticipated to produce more realistic peak flow rates and serve to
facilitate a more suitable basis of comparison with the City’s Drainage Master Plan (Masson &
Associates, Inc, 1995).
The 100-year flow rate published for “Facility 2019” within the City of Escondido Drainage
Master Plan (1,212 cfs) matches reasonably close to the 100-year flow determined in this
analysis (1,359 cfs). The 12% increase is attributable to the fact that the Master Plan (Masson
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& Associates, Inc, 1995) was prepared using methodology that pre-dates the 2003 County
Hydrology Manual.
Using the results of the hydrology analysis, Kleinfelder has performed a stable slope analysis of
Kit Carson Creek to help predict the potential and extent of continued down-cutting of the channel
bed near the site of the trail collapse. In addition to the hydrology parameters, the stable slope
analysis considers readily available desktop information regarding soils within the Kit Carson
Channel bed. As a precursor to the stable slope analysis, hydraulic modeling of the bankfull
condition was done to develop basic information about maximum flow velocity within the channel
during the dominant discharge conditions.
The stable slope analysis indicates that the Kit Carson Panhandle will seek a long-term gradient
somewhere within a range of .00001 to .000085 ft./ft., depending upon changes in roughness.
Because of this low resulting slope range, the current bed elevation at Las Palmas Avenue
Bridge should be considered the scour line for the preliminary design of stabilization measures
at the trail collapse location. Channel stabilization measures will need to be designed to extend
below the scour line to resist sliding, overturning, and other structural failure modes once the
channel has reached a stable elevation. The extent of this additional embedment below will
vary depending upon the specific structure type selected.
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2 SCOPE OF WORK AND OBJECTIVE
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2.1 BACKGROUND AND PROJECT NEXUS
The City of Escondido has hired Kleinfelder to prepare a hydrology and hydraulic study of the
panhandle drainage (the “Panhandle”) into Kit Carson Park. This is an open channel that conveys
runoff from the north end of Kit Carson Park and flows south towards Eagle Scout Lake. Decades
ago the Eagle Scout Lake was built to function as a sediment basin, indicating that there may
have been high levels of sediment transported within the Panhandle drainage. In high water
conditions, Eagle Scout Lake overflows to wetland areas in south Kit Carson Park. The location
is in the Lake Hodges hydraulic sub-area of the San Dieguito watershed.
The area surrounding the Panhandle has been developed for single family homes both in
Escondido (north and west) and County (east) jurisdictions. Portions of an unimproved path next
to the Panhandle have been closed due to collapse into the drainage channel. The drainage
channel has been used as a sample location (“Saratoga”) in the San Diego County Copermittees’
Hydromodification Monitoring Plan (2016).
2.2 STUDY OBJECTIVES
The specific objectives of this study are;
1. Confirm all contributing areas that are hydraulically connected to the Panhandle drainage.
2. Determine the peak flow rates for the 2-year, 10-year, 50-year and 100-year storm events.
3. Use the best available data to hydraulically evaluate the stable slope of the channel during
the dominant discharge conditions. Use these results to help develop preliminary plans
to stabilize the portion of the Panhandle that has been closed due to collapse.
2.3 REFERENCE DOCUMENTS
Prior to beginning work, Kleinfelder has reviewed the following documents that are directly
pertinent to the study objectives;
a) City of Escondido GIS Layer for MS4 Infrastructure (transmitted via email December 7-
12, 2017)
b) City of Escondido Drainage Master Plan (Masson & Associates, Inc, 1995)
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c) Hydromodification Monitoring Plan (Weston Solutions, et al, 2016)
d) Web Based Soil Maps (United States Department of Agricultre, National Resrouces
Conservation Service, 2017)
e) City of Escondido Design Standards and Standard Drawings (City of Escondido, 2014)
2.4 SCOPE OF WORK
To meet project objectives #1 and #2, Kleinfelder has performed a hydrology assessment to
evaluate the relevant issues associated with stabilizing the channel within the Panhandle area.
That assessment consisted of the following tasks:
a) Using SanGIS regional topography obtained via the internet, Kleinfelder examined the
contributing drainage area based on surface flow conditions.
b) Using shape files received at the commencement of work, Kleinfelder evaluated how the
drainage area might be additionally refined based upon the location of conduits within the
City’s MS4.
c) Using current aerial photographs from Google Maps, Kleinfelder evaluated the extent of
existing impervious surfaces.
d) Using shape files provided by the City of Escondido, Kleinfelder examined land use, as
another means of evaluating the extent of impervious surfaces.
e) Using the NRCS web soil survey, Kleinfelder evaluated the hydrologic runoff
characteristics and erosion potential of the soils within the contributing watershed.
f) Using GIS information and topography, determine the time of concentration/watershed lag
based upon existing pipe systems and routing effects of natural channel(s).
g) Using HEC HMS software, Kleinfelder determined the peak flow rates for the 2-year, 10-
year, 50-year, and 100-year events based upon current conditions.
A discussion of detailed methodology and results of these tasks is presented in Section 3.
To meet project objective #3, the stable channel function within HEC RAS was used to identify
the slope beyond which the bed should be considered prone to erosion. The stable slope analysis
was run for a range of roughness and flow conditions considered statistically representative of
the dominant discharge conditions. A discussion of the methodology and results of this task is
presented in Section 4.
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2.5 LIMITATIONS OF ANALYSIS
This analysis was intended to meet specifically defined project objectives and does not serve to
accomplish the following items related to hydrology and project runoff.
1. Completion of Stormwater Quality Management Plan (SWQMP) and/or Stormwater
Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP). Those items are not warranted at this stage of the
project and will be prepared as part of a subsequent effort.
2. Completion of floodplain mapping or FEMA processes (i.e. CLOMRs, LOMRs, etc.).
Those efforts are either unwarranted or to be completed as part of subsequent work effort
(if determined necessary).
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3 PROJECT HYDROLOGY
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Due to the size of the watershed (i.e. greater than 0.5 square miles), City of Escondido design
standards require coordination of the hydrologic method with the City Engineer. The methodology
used in this analysis follows the unit hydrograph procedures specified by the County of San Diego
Hydrology Manual, which are adapted from those of the National Resource Conservations
Service. The only exception to this procedure is that maximum precipitation intensity values were
taken from Figure No. 1 of the City of Escondido Design Standards (City of Escondido, April
2014). This approach was anticipated to produce more realistic peak flow rates and serve to
facilitate a more suitable basis of comparison with the City’s Drainage Master Plan (Masson &
Associates, Inc, 1995).
3.1 DRAINAGE AREA
The primary study point for this analysis is along Kit Carson Creek, just upstream of the Las
Palmas Avenue Bridge crossing. The total drainage area to this point is 1.40 square miles and
was determined based upon a review of topographic shape files obtained through SanGIS, as
well as shape files for existing storm drain location provided by the City of Escondido. Refer to
Appendix A for a graphic delineation of the watershed limits used for this analysis.
3.2 TIME OF CONCENTRATION
The time of concentration and watershed lag were determined based upon the storm drain shape
files provided by the City of Escondido. Attributes within these shape files indicate size and
location of existing conduits, as well as the flowline of open channels. The time of concentration
path is shown within the graphic in Appendix A. The flow along the time of concentration path
begins overland within the existing development at the north end of the watershed and proceeds
in a southerly direction within the existing storm drain conduit system. Eventually the flow reaches
an open channel along Centre City Parkway and then discharges to the main channel within Kit
Carson Panhandle. The computational procedures to determine the overall time of concentration
and watershed lag to the study point follow the specifications of the County of San Diego
Hydrology Manual (County of San Diego Department of Public Works Flood Control Section,
2003) and are shown within Appendix C. The portion of these calculations related to flow
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velocity within the Kit Carson Panhandle is based upon a bankfull analysis of channel hydraulics
(refer to Section 4.1).
3.3 PRECIPITATION AND DESIGN EVENTS
The design events modeled for this analysis were the 2-year, 10-year, 50-year, and 100-year, 6-
hour storms. The precipitation depth and storm distribution for these events generally follow the
isopluvials and methodology within the County of San Diego Hydrology Manual (County of San
Diego Department of Public Works Flood Control Section, 2003). However, each of these
standard events developed using the County Hydrology Manual has been edited such that the
peak 5-minute depth coincides with the adopted Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) chart within
the City of Escondido Design Standards (City of Escondido, 2014). This modification was done
to prevent over-estimation and facilitate better comparison with the City’s Master Drainage Plan
(Masson & Associates, Inc, 1995).
3.4 PRECIPITATION LOSS
Precipitation loss and runoff volume were determined using recent aerial photographs available
from Google Earth to estimate land use and the extent of impervious area (see Appendix E).
Runoff volume within the project watershed is heavily dictated by moderate to high density
residential and occurrence of NRCS Type C Soils (see Appendix B). Determination of
precipitation loss in this analysis follows the “Curve Number” methodology described within the
County of San Diego Hydrology Manual (County of San Diego Department of Public Works Flood
Control Section, 2003). Computations to develop a weighted baseline (i.e. “PZN 2”) curve number
and adjustment based upon the project location and storm frequency are found within Appendix
D.
3.5 HYDROGRAPH TRANSFORM AND PEAK FLOW DETERMINATION
Hydrograph development and determination of peak flows for each design event were determined
using NRCS unit hydrograph method as described within the County of San Diego Hydrology
Manual (County of San Diego Department of Public Works Flood Control Section, 2003). These
calculations were performed using HEC HMS software developed by the US Army Corps of
Engineers for hydrologic modeling. Detailed input and output for the HEC HMS model can be
found within the Appendix F. A summary of the primary hydrology parameters and flow rates
just upstream of the Las Palmas Avenue Bridge can be found within Table 1.
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Table 1 Summary of Hydrology for Kit Carson Creek Upstream of Las Palmas Avenue Bridge Crossing
STORM FREQUENCY
6 HOUR PRECIPITATION DEPTH
(IN)
PEAK 5 MINUTE
INTENSITY (IN/HR)
ADJUSTED CN
DRAINAGE AREA (SQ
MILE)
LAG (MIN)
PEAK FLOW (cfs)
Q100 2.95 0.37 95 1.40 23.0 1,359
Q50 2.62 0.34 95 1.40 23.0 1,180
Q10 2.10 0.28 91 1.40 23.0 790
Q2 1.37 0.20 91 1.40 23.0 433
3.6 RESULTS
The 100-year flow rate published for “Facility 2019” within the City of Escondido Drainage
Master Plan (1,212 cfs) matches reasonably close the 100-year flow in Table 1 (1,359 cfs).
The 12% difference (increase) is attributable to the fact that the Master Plan was prepared using
methodology that pre-dates the 2003 County Hydrology Manual. Although this analysis utilizes
identical peak storm intensity as was assumed used for the Master Plan, other differences in
methodology are contributing to the variation in results – the most significant likely attributed to
the methodology used in determining precipitation loss (i.e. the County’s current curve number
adjustment procedure versus the rational method “C” factors assumed utilized in the 1995
Master Plan).
It is worth noting that the HMP Monitoring report describes the drainage area to the “Saratoga”
site (the site closest to the trail collapse area) as 0.8 square miles (Weston Solutions, et al,
2016). This value is considered an underestimate. No drainage area map is provided within the
report to show how this area was determined. For this and other reasons related to
methodology, the HMP Monitoring Report is not a suitable basis for comparing peak flow rates
for larger statistical events (i.e. Q10, or Q100) with this analysis.
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4 CHANNEL HYDRAULICS AND STABLE SLOPE ANALYSIS
____________________________________________________________________________
Using the results of the hydrology analysis, Kleinfelder has performed a stable slope analysis of
the Kit Carson Panhandle to help predict the potential and extent of continued down-cutting of the
channel bed near the site of the trail collapse. In addition to hydrology parameters discussed in
Section 3, the stable slope analysis considers readily available desktop information regarding
soils within the Kit Carson Panhandle bed. As a precursor to the stable slope analysis, hydraulic
modeling of the bankfull condition was done to develop basic information about maximum flow
velocity within the channel during the dominant discharge conditions.
4.1 CHANNEL HYDRAULICS DURING BANKFULL CONDITIONS
A bankfull analysis was performed using HEC RAS software, developed by the US Army Corps
of Engineers as a comprehensive modeling tool for the hydraulics of riverine systems. The
bankfull analysis makes use of limited ground survey data obtained during completion of the HMP
Monitoring Program and Effectiveness Assessment (Weston Solutions, et al, 2016), since that
source provides the most accurate characterization of the channel cross section and profile near
the collapse area (refer to Appendix K). The bankfull analysis also makes use of calibrated
roughness values (i.e. Manning’s “n”) obtained through storm event monitoring of flow depth and
velocity within Kit Carson Creek (refer to Appendix J). Using the HMP flow rating data and an
assumed bankfull depth, HEC RAS was used to solve for spatially varied maximum velocity during
dominant discharge conditions. A summary of HEC RAS input and output for the bankfull analysis
is found within Appendix G.
4.2 STABLE SLOPE ANALYSIS
Stable slope analysis is a useful exercise for predicting potential for long term downcutting of the
Kit Carson Panhandle within the area of the recent trail collapse. The NRCS Web Soil Survey
indicates that the Kit Carson Panhandle bed is comprised mainly of Visalia Sandy Loam (United
States Department of Agricultre, National Resrouces Conservation Service, 2017). Using a
standard chart from USGS, a 1 mm grain size was considered a suitably conservative value to
use as input for the HEC RAS stable slope computations. Soils information for the Kit Carson
channel bed is found in Appendix H. A copy of the standard USGS Grain Size Chart is found
in Appendix I.
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HEC RAS was used to perform stable slope computations for a range of flow rates and assumed
channel roughness by applying Shields Method of tractive force to the soil parameters developed
from the NRCS Web Soil Survey. The Shields Method has been widely used to predict a critical
shear stress at which incipient motion is triggered. To account for natural variation, a matrix of
stable slope calculations was performed for flows ranging from 50 to 785 cfs and channel
roughness ranging from 0.015 to 0.045. A summary of HEC RAS output and sample input window
can be found within Appendix G.
4.3 RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS
The stable slope analysis indicates that during the vast range of discharge conditions, the Kit
Carson Panhandle bed will seek a long-term gradient somewhere within a range of .00001 to
.000085 ft./ft. Field observations downstream at the Las Palmas Avenue Bridge indicate that the
existing rip rap has suitably hardened the channel bed from erosion at the abutments and around
the foundation piers. Given its relatively close distance to the trail collapse area (about 1,363
feet), this “hard point” is a convenient location from which to project a stable slope upward to
compute a future bed elevation. In performing these computations, the future channel bed near
the collapse is estimated to be within a few hundredths of a foot (essentially level when
considering inherent uncertainty) with bed at Las Palmas Avenue Bridge.
The current bed elevation at Las Palmas Avenue Bridge should be considered the scour line for
the preliminary design of stabilization measures at the trail collapse location. Channel
stabilization measures will need to be designed to extend below the scour line to resist sliding,
overturning, and other structural failure modes once the channel has reached a stable elevation.
The extent of this additional embedment below grade will vary depending upon the specific
structure type selected. Separate coordination with the City of Escondido to select a structural
approach is forthcoming pending approval of this analysis and will consider;
1. Dimensional needs
2. Proximity/encroachment on private property
3. Cost
4. Construction method and temporary access
5. Implications on resource agency permitting
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5 REFERENCES
____________________________________________________________________________
City of Escondido. (2014). Design Standards and Stadard Drawings. Escondido, CA: City of
Escondido.
County of San Diego Department of Public Works Flood Control Section. (2003). San Diego
County Hydrology Manual. San Diego, CA: County of San Diego Department of Public
Works.
Masson & Associates, Inc. (1995). Drainage Master Plan City of Escondido, California.
Escondido, CA: City of Escondido California.
United States Department of Agricultre, National Resrouces Conservation Service. (2017, August
21). Home Page. Retrieved from Web Soil Survey:
https://websoilsurvey.sc.egov.usda.gov/App/HomePage.htm
Weston Solutions, et al. (2016). Final Effectiveness Asssessment Monitoring for the San Diego
Hydromodification Management Plan. In Exhibit B 2015-16 Final Wet Weather Monitoring
Report Final. San Diego, CA: The San Diego County Municipal Copermittees.
Weston Solutions, et al. (2016). Final Effectiveness Asssessment Monitoring for the San Diego
Hydromodification Management Plan. In Exhibit E 2016 Data Analysis Update. San Diego,
CA: County of San Diego and Municipal Copermittees.
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Appendix A Watershed Hydrology Map
____________________________________________________________________________
Las Palmas Avenue Bridge – Drainage Area 1.44 sq. mi.
Link ID 3
Link ID 2
Link ID 1
Link ID 4 Link ID 5
Link ID 6Link ID 7
Link ID 8Link ID 9
Link ID 10
Link ID 11 Link ID 12
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Appendix B NRCS Soils Map
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Appendix C Time of Concentration Calculations
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Kit Carson Panhandle Drainage
Time of Concentration/Lag Calcuations
Link ID Description ConduitLength (ft)Mannings "n" Slope (ft/ft) A WP V Travel Time (min)
1 Initial Time N/A 100 N/A 0.005 N/A N/A N/A 5.000
2 Gutter Flow6"
Type 1500 0.013 0.005 2.00 8.5 3.09 8.103
3 18" RCP 1.5 955 0.013 0.005 1.77 4.71 4.21 3.780
4 24" RCP 2 403 0.013 0.005 3.14 6.28 5.10 1.317
5 33" RCP 2.75 680 0.013 0.005 5.94 8.635 6.31 1.797
6 48" RCP 4 362 0.013 0.005 12.56 12.56 8.10 0.745
7 57" RCP 4.75 883 0.013 0.005 17.71 14.915 9.08 1.620
8 60" RCP 5 375 0.013 0.005 19.63 15.7 9.40 0.665
9 66" RCP 5.5 1708 0.013 0.005 23.75 17.27 10.02 2.842
10 72" RCP 6 2444 0.013 0.005 28.26 18.84 10.61 3.838
10
Channel
Flow S
Centre City
Pky
N/A 733 0.02 0.01 49.00 21 13.10 0.932
11
Channel
Flow Kit
Carson
Panhandle
N/A 5800 0.035 0.032 150.00 70 12.65 7.640
Total (min) 38.279
Total (hrs) 0.638
Total Lag (hrs) 0.383
Total Lag (min) 22.97
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Appendix D Weighted Loss Rate Calculations
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Kit Carson Panhandle Drainage
Weighted Curve Number Calculations
Land Use Type Area (acres) NRCS Soil Type CN (unadjusted)
Open Space 40 Type C 79
Commercial/Industrial 30 Type C 92
School 10 Type C 87
Residential 845 Type C 87
Total 925 (acres)
1.445 (sq miles)
Weighted Total 86.82 PZN 2
91.00 Adjustment for Less than 35‐Year Return
95.00 Adjustment for Greater than 35‐Year Return
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Appendix E Aerial Photograph Project Study Area
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Appendix F HEC HMS Input and Output
____________________________________________________________________________
Basin Models
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Meteorologic Models
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Time Series Data/Precipitation Gages – 100 Yr. Escondido
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Time Series Data/Precipitation Gages – 50 Yr. Escondido
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Time Series Data/Precipitation Gages – 10 Yr. Escondido
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Time Series Data/Precipitation Gages – 2 Yr. Escondido
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Global Summary of HEC HMS Output
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Appendix G HEC RAS Input and Output
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Establishment of Bankfull Conditions
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Summary of Results Hydraulic Stable Channel Analysis
Q "n"Channel
Bottom WidthFlow Depth Stable Slope
Distance From Las
Palmas Road Bridge
Estimated Long Term
Bed El Above LPRB
Bed (ft)
50 0.045 13 4.29 0.000041 1,363 0.06
50 0.035 13 3.63 0.000049 1,363 0.07
50 0.025 13 2.92 0.000059 1,363 0.08
50 0.015 13 2.03 0.000085 1,363 0.12
350 0.045 13 13.07 0.000016 1,363 0.02
350 0.035 13 11.72 0.000016 1,363 0.02
350 0.025 13 10.17 0.000019 1,363 0.03
350 0.015 13 7.12 0.000027 1,363 0.04
785 0.045 13 20.4 0.00001 1,363 0.01
785 0.035 13 17.8 0.000011 1,363 0.01
785 0.025 13 14.8 0.000014 1,363 0.02
785 0.015 13 11.46 0.000016 1,363 0.02
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Sample Input/Output
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Appendix H Engineering Properties Visalia Sandy Loam
____________________________________________________________________________
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Appendix I USGS Grain Size Chart
Visalia Sandy Loam d50
0”-40”
Visalia Sandy Loam d50
40”-60”
HEC RAS Input d50 Stable Channel
Analysis
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Appendix J Flow Rating Data from HMP Monitoring Report
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Appendix K Survey and Cross Section Data from HMP Monitoring Report
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