Kingfisher plc half year results · 5 Engagement score (79) top quartile, stable and significantly...
Transcript of Kingfisher plc half year results · 5 Engagement score (79) top quartile, stable and significantly...
Kingfisher plcKingfisher plchalf year results
18 September 2019
6 months to 31 July 2019
2
Disclaimer
You are not to construe the content of this presentation as investment, legal or tax advice and you should make you own evaluation of the Company and the market. If you are in any doubt about the contents of this presentation or the action you should take, you should consult a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended) (or if you are a person outside the UK, otherwise duly qualified in your jurisdiction).
This presentation has been prepared in connection with the announcement of the financial results for the six months ended 31 July 2019. The financial information referenced in this presentation is not audited and does not contain sufficient detail to allow a full understanding of the financial performance of the Group. For more information, the entire text of the announcement for the six months ended 31 July 2019 can be found on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer or invitation to sell or any offering of securities or any invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Group or an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended).
This presentation is being solely made and directed at persons to whom this presentation may lawfully be communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.
Certain information contained in this presentation may constitute “forward-looking statements” (including within the meaning of the safe harbour provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), which can be identified by the use of terms such as “may”, “will”, “would”, “could”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, “continue”, “target”, “plan”, “goal”, “aim” or “believe” (or the negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, changes in global or regional trade conditions, changes in tax rates, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results or actual performance of the Company to differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, such forward-looking statements.
The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in circumstances or in the Company’s expectations.
3
Welcome & introduction
Andy Cosslett, Chairman
44
Key point summary Transformation activity continued across the Group
H1 financial performance mixed: - Continued sales growth at Screwfix, Poland and Romania- Significant unified range change adversely impacted B&Q- Transformation activity causing disruption and operational challenges at Castorama France- Price repositioning at Brico Dépôt France; increased gross profit year on year- Good digital sales growth across the Group
H1 Group gross margin % up 60bps, with Group gross profit also up, driven by sourcing benefits and price repositioning- Unified offer sales up 0.4% and gross margin % up 150bps
Balance sheet remains strong
Strong new leadership; opportunity to add new skills to executive team and build a stronger Kingfisher
55
Engagement score (79) top quartile, stable and significantly higher than retail benchmark (66)
Overall price index improving
Net Promoter Score (NPS) improving in every market
Offer
Digital
Customers
59% of sales unified (H1 18/19: 42%); sales from unified ranges up
Sourcing benefits driving growth of gross margin % from unified ranges
Increasing focus on differentiated (unique) products
Digital sales now 7% of Group sales (FY 18/19: 6%)
Digital sales growth +18% (click & collect +24%)(1)
Growth in website conversion rates and digital penetration in all Opcos
H1 19/20 highlights
Colleagues
(1) Variance in constant currencies
6
H1 2019/20 financial results
John Wartig, Interim CFO
77
H1 19/20 summary income statement£m (reported unless otherwise stated) H1 19/20 H1 18/19(1) Change YOYSales 5,997 6,080 (0.9)%
Gross profit 2,221 2,216 +0.6%
Gross margin (%) 37.0% 36.4% +60bps
Retail profit(2) 466 490 (4.4)%
Underlying PBT(2) 353 377 (6.4)%
Adjusted PBT(3) 337 325 +3.7%
Statutory PBT 245 280 (12.5)%
Adjusted effective tax rate (%)(3) 26% 27% 1%
Underlying basic EPS (p)(2) 12.3 12.8 (3.9)%
Adjusted basic EPS (p)(3) 11.8 11.0 +7.3%
Statutory EPS (p) 8.1 9.6 (15.6)%
Dividend (p) 3.33 3.33 -(1) The Group adopted IFRS 16 ‘Leases’ on 1 February 2019 on a fully retrospective basis, resulting in the restatement of comparatives for the six months ended 31 July 2018 and year ended 31 January 2019(2) Before P&L transformation costs, exceptional items, lease FX, related tax items and tax on prior year items (3) Before exceptional items, lease FX, related tax items and tax on prior year items
Variance in constant currencies
88
£m (unless otherwise stated) H1 19/20 H1 18/19(1) Comments on H1 19/20
Underlying PBT 353 377
Transformation P&L costs (16) (52) Principally relates to U&U range implementation and digital transformation initiatives
Adjusted PBT 337 325
Transformation exceptional costs - (46) Prior period costs relate to people changes associated with restructuring in France & UK
Store closures (68) 4 Mainly redundancy provisions related to store closures in France and Germany
Russia & Iberia (26) - Mainly store impairments in Russia
Gain on disposal of properties 1 -
Total exceptional items before tax (93) (42)
Exchange gains/(losses) on lease liabilities 1 (3)
Statutory PBT 245 280
H1 19/20 transformation costs and exceptional items
(1) The Group adopted IFRS 16 ‘Leases’ on 1 February 2019 on a fully retrospective basis, resulting in the restatement of comparatives for the six months ended 31 July 2018 and year ended 31 January 2019
99
H1 19/20 group operational summary
UK & Ireland (44% of sales)
LFL (0.7)%
GM % +60bps
Retail profit (1.7)%
France (36% of sales)
LFL (4.4)%
GM % +60bps
Retail profit (12.2)%
Retail profit movement % is in constant currency; retail loss represents reported retail loss in H1 19/20
Poland (13% of sales)
LFL +3.3%
GM % (20)bps
Retail profit (0.5)%
Other (7% of sales)
LFL (2.8)%
Retail loss £(13)m
1010
UK & Ireland (44% of sales, 59% of RP)
LFL (0.7)%GM +60bpsRP (1.7)%
B&Q LFL -3.2%
c. -2% LFL impact from discontinuation of installation services Surfaces & Décor and Kitchens impacted by ongoing new range
implementation; Outdoor impacted by strong weather comparative Modest benefit from competitor store closures Digital sales +10% growth; 5% of total B&Q sales
Gross margin % up reflecting sourcing benefits and discontinuation of installation services; anticipate H2 kitchens clearance impact
Cost increase largely reflects wage inflation and digital costs
Screwfix LFL +5.1% - selective ongoing investment in price; continuing to gain
market share Digital sales +18% growth; 32% of total Screwfix sales Opened 16 new stores during H1; FY store opening target on track including
first stores in the Republic of Ireland
UK & Ireland – significant range change at B&Q; continued market share growth at Screwfix
RP = retail profit; RP movement % is in constant currency
1111
Castorama LFL -4.3% reflecting price repositioning (c. -2% LFL impact) and
transformation-related activity (c. -2% LFL impact) Digital sales (1) +19% growth; 2% of total Castorama France sales Gross margin % continues to be impacted by logistics & stock inefficiencies
Brico Dépôt LFL -4.6% driven by price repositioning, following a reduction in lower margin
promotional activity (“arrivages”) (c. -5% LFL impact) Digital sales(1) +30% growth; 2% of total Brico Dépôt sales Gross profit and gross margin % up, year on year in H1
France – price repositioning driving gross margin % uplift at Brico Dépôt; Castorama underperformingFrance (36% of sales, 24% of RP)
LFL (4.4)%GM +60bpsRP (12.2)%
RP = retail profit; RP movement % is in constant currency(1) Variance in constant currencies
1212
Overall change programme causing issues in stock planning, stock management and logistics processes
Digital & Supply Chain
Improve effectiveness of IT platform
Improve stock planning and management processes to support better availability
Improve fulfilment efficiency Enhance ecommerce
capability
Castorama France – update
Unified c. 60% of product ranges Price index at 101
Price perception continuing to improve NPS improved c. 5pts over last 12 months
After consultations, closing nine Castorama stores over next 18 months
Benefits in H1 include move to finance shared services in H2 last year
Offer
Customer
Stores
Costs
Where we are today
Execution focus
1313
Poland – solid performance; Romania – in transition
Poland (13% of sales, 19% of RP)
LFL +3.3%GM (20)bpsRP (0.5)%
Good LFL sales performance; Sunday trading restrictions c. -1% impact to H1 LFL
All categories delivered positive LFL growth Digital sales(1) +52%; 2% of total sales Cost increase reflects wage inflation, digital costs and pre-opening costs
RP = retail profit; RP movement % is in constant currency; RL = retail loss(1) Variance in constant currencies
Romania (2% of sales)
LFL +10.5%RL £(8)m
Nearly all Praktiker stores now rebranded to Brico Dépôt with ranges significantly improved and expanding
Unified & unique ranges performing well Losses driven by former Praktiker stores Back-office integration planned for end of H2
1414
Iberia, Russia, Germany(6% of sales)
LFL (4.9)%RL(1) £(5)m
RL = retail loss(1) Includes Koçtaş, Kingfisher’s 50% JV in Turkey, which contributed £3m of retail profit in H1 19/20
Processes for Iberia and Russia progressingIberia LFL -3.6%; retail profit £3m
Russia LFL -6.9%; retail loss £(7)m
Screwfix Germany Retail loss £(4)m Closed all 19 stores during H1; retained online presence via
European website
Iberia, Russia & Germany
1515
Unified & unique outperforming non-unified
Unified & uniqueH1 sales growth(1)
+5.9%
+11.6%
(2.8)%
(2.2)%
(3.9)%
+4.8%
+8.6%28%
31%
51%
64%
66%
72%
81%
59%
72%
69%
49%
36%
34%
28%
19%
41%
Category 7
Category 6
Category 5
Category 4
Category 3
Category 2
Category 1
H1 19/20 sales split
Unified & unique+0.4%(1)
Non-unified(0.9)%(1)
Unified & uniqueH1 sales growth(1)
(2.8)%
+0.3%
+4.1%
+4.3%
(2.2)%
+2.9%
Flat
(1) Constant currency including clearance (excludes Iberia, Russia, Praktiker Romania, Screwfix Germany and services)(2) After cost price inflation and price investment; before logistics & stock inefficiencies
Sales growth
Unified & uniquegross profit growth(1)(2)
1616
H1 18/19Group gross
margin
Unified &unique
Non-unified Pricerepositioning
Discont'n ofinstallations
(B&Q)
Clearance Logistics &stock
inefficiencies
H1 19/20Group gross
margin
+80bps +0bps
36.4%
37.0%
(30)bps
After cost price inflation & price investment
(40)bps
+30bps
+20bps
Unified & unique and price repositioning benefits partly offset by clearance and inefficiencies
(3)
(1) After cost price inflation and price investment; before clearance and logistics & stock inefficiencies(2) 59% product (COGS) unified on average in H1 18/19; exit rate 63%(3) Gross margin % in constant currency
+c. 150bps GM benefit(1)
on 59%(2) of COGS unified
(mainly Castorama France)
(mainly Brico Dépôt France)
1717
H1 19/20 summary cash flow and net debt
131
695
204 84
(236)
(45) (47)
(163) (157)
EBITDA Net rent paid Change inworkingcapital
Tax, interest &other
Gross capex Free cash flow Disposals &other
Dividend H1 19/20movement in
cash
£m
H1 19/20 FY 18/19
IFRS 16 lease liabilities 2,638 2,626
Borrowings & other 131 145
Cash (385) (229)
Net debt 2,384 2,542
Net debt to EBITDA 1.8x(2) 2.0x
£m
(1) The Group adopted IFRS 16 ‘Leases’ on 1 February 2019 on a fully retrospective basis, resulting in the restatement of comparatives for the six months ended 31 July 2018 and year ended 31 January 2019(2) Net debt to last twelve months’ EBITDA
Change in stock: -£111m Net change in
debtors/creditors: +£66m
1818
Gross margin
Sales outlook
Costs
Central costs expected to be up to c. £55m (previously c. £50m) Total transformation costs over 5 years to FY 20/21 expected to be less than £800m
Transformation P&L costs expected to be c. £50-60m in FY 19/20 (previously c. £60-80m) Transformation exceptional costs in FY 19/20 expected to be up to c. £40m
Continue to expect full year gross margin % after clearance to be flat(1)
c. £30-35m of incremental clearance costs (previously c. £25-30m), including B&Q kitchens in H2 19/20
UK – heightened level of uncertainty– annualising discontinuation of installations at B&Q at end of Q3 19/20
France – Castorama continues to underperform– Brico Dépôt annualising reduction in promotional activity at end of Q3 19/20
Poland – loss of one further Sunday of trading per month (3 non-trading Sundays; previously 2)
Other Continue to expect total capex (including transformation) of up to c. £375m 15 store closures over next 18 months, including 11 in France; cash costs expected to be
covered by store disposal proceeds
FY 19/20 outlook & technical guidance
(1) Gross margin movement excluding Russia and Iberia(2) Subject to the blend of profit within the companies’ various jurisdictions, as well as the timing of exits from Russia and Iberia
Tax Group adjusted effective tax rate expected to be around 26-27%(2)
1919
Impact of IFRS 16 ‘Leases’ Adopted full retrospective transition approach from 1 February 2019
No adverse impact on cash flows or underlying economics
Impact on income statement (non-cash) H1 18/19 FY 18/19
- Retail profit +£86m +£171m- Underlying pre-tax profit +£2m +£1m- Underlying EPS - -Impact on balance sheet- Right of use asset +£2,221m +£2,017m- Lease liability +£2,800m +£2,626m
FY 18/19 Net debt to EBITDA improved from 2.6x (under IAS 17(1)) to 2.0x (under IFRS 16) Reflecting lower IFRS 16 lease liability compared to 8x property operating lease rentals
assumption under IAS 17
H1 19/20 Net debt to last twelve months’ EBITDA of 1.8x
(1) Under IAS 17, the multiple was based on lease-adjusted net debt to EBITDAR
20
Tariffs & CustomsTariffs: zero-rate tariffs anticipated on most categories under a no-deal Brexit
Customs measures implemented to avoid delays
Working with vendors to manage transition
ProductsNo significant change to stock ahead of 31 October
Brexit and currency exposures
PeopleBrexit-related retention and hiring not a material issue to date
Managing foreign exchange risks
Of total annual COGS balance of c. £7bn, c. 20% is purchased directly in USD (around half of which relates to UK Opcos)
18-month rolling hedging programme in place to hedge all committed orders, along with a significant percentage of forecast net exposure, against changes in FX rates for USD and EUR
Current stock levels and tightly managed supplier agreements mitigate some of the residual FX-related CPI(1) risk (direct and indirect exposures)
Steps taken to manage Brexit risks
(1) CPI – Cost price inflation
2121
Financial summary
1H1 19/20 financial performance mixed
2Castorama France operational issues identified and focused workplan in place
3H1 19/20 Group gross margin % up 60bps driven by sourcing benefits and price repositioning
4Balance sheet remains strong
5Outlook for our main markets remains mixed
6Continue to expect gross margin % after clearance to be flat(1) in FY 19/20
(1) Group gross margin movement excluding Russia and Iberia
22
Building a stronger Kingfisher
Andy Cosslett, Chairman
2323
Improve performance of enabling technology and processes
Reduce disruption; wind down dual-running costs Tailor the change programme to better fit Opcos;
change ways of working and processes Seamless digital and supply chain interaction Further operating efficiencies
Leveraging the Group’s scale as a competitive advantage
Bring fresh perspective to strategy
Scale used intelligently for customer and wider business benefits
Product offerPricingDigital
Property & formatsCustomer service
Grow ScrewfixBalance of responsibilities between Centre/Opcos
Centralised offer,
design & sourcing
Unified IT Supply chain
GNFR & shared
services
New leadership to:
2424
Important new ranges landing this year
Bathroom & Storage (H1)
Surfaces & Décor (H1 & H2)
Kitchens (H2 in B&Q)
2525
Focus on improving execution
Complete implementation of key differentiated ranges (e.g. B&Q kitchens)
See through the implementation of key transformation enablers
Address underperformance of Castorama France
Continue active management of our property estate
Progress Russia and Iberia processes
Grow Screwfix in the UK and enter new markets
2626
Summary
Kingfisher is well positioned, with leading positions in markets that have attractive long-term growth potential
Transformation activity to support future growth continued across the Group in H1
Focus on improving execution to deliver customer and business benefits
Outlook for our main markets remains mixed; FY gross margin % expectation unchanged
Strong new leadership – Thierry Garnier joining on 25 September
Q&A
2828
Cautionary note regarding forward looking statements
Certain information contained in this presentation may constitute “forward-looking statements” (including within the meaning of the safe harbour provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), which can be identified by the use of terms such as “may”, “will”, “would”, “could”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, “continue”, “target”, “plan”, “goal”, “aim” or “believe” (or the negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, changes in global or regional trade conditions, changes in tax rates, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results or actual performance of the Company to differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of and no reliance should be placed on such forward-looking statements.
The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in circumstances or in the Company’s expectations.
Appendices
3030
Capex summary – H1 19/20 and guidance for FY 19/20
31%
3%10%
33%
4%
19%
H1 19/20:£163m
Existing stores
Screwfix expansion
New stores (ex-Screwfix)
IT
Other
Transformation
30%
5%
10%30%
5%
20%
FY 19/20 guidance:
up to £375m
Existing stores
Screwfix expansion
New stores (ex-Screwfix)
IT
Other
Transformation
3131
Net debt to EBITDA reconciliation
Moving annual total 2019/20 (£m) FY 2018/19 (£m)
Retail profit 900 924
Central costs (51) (49)
Transformation P&L costs (84) (120)
Depreciation and amortisation 544 535
EBITDA(1) 1,309 1,290
Net debt 2,384 2,542
Net debt to EBITDA 1.8x 2.0x
(1) Retail profit less central and transformation P&L costs, before depreciation and amortisation
3232
New YorkMichael O’Learyemail: [email protected]: +1 212 723 4483
LondonMike Woodsemail: [email protected]: +44 (0) 20 7500 2030
For questions about Kingfisher ADRs, please contact Citi:
Benefits of ADRs to U.S. investors:
Clear and settle according to normal U.S. standards
Offer the convenience of stock quotes and dividend payments in U.S. dollars
Can be purchased/sold in the same way as other U.S. stocks via a U.S. broker
Provide a cost-effective means of international portfolio diversification
Kingfisher ADRs trade on OTCQX – the premier tier of the U.S. over-the-counter market under the following information:
Symbol KGFHY
CUSIP 495724403
Ratio 1 ADR : 2 ORDs
Country United Kingdom
Effective Date Jan 01, 1986
Underlying SEDOL 3319521
Underlying ISIN GB0033195214
Depositary Citi
ADR programme
3333
Investor Relations
Tel: +44 (0)20 7644 1082Email: [email protected]
Media Relations
Tel: +44 (0)20 7644 1030 Email: [email protected]
Teneo
Tel: +44 (0)20 7260 2700Email: [email protected]
Contacts