Kiminori Sato.ppt
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1
November 14, 2007
Kiminori Sato
Vice President
Global Business Office
NTT West Corporation
Telecommunications Market in Japan
and NTT’s Strategy for FTTH
DigiWorld 2007 Summit Executive Seminar "Who should pay for FTTx?"
2WEST Copyright NTTWEST
1. Telecommunications Market in Japan
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Changes in the ICT Market Structure
0
20
40
60
80
100
Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07Telephone/ISDN 3G Mobile Phone Boradband Mobile Phone
Source: WHITE PAPER Information and Communications in Japan, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications in Japan* 3G mobile phones include W-CDMA, CDMA2000 types.** Broadband includes DSL, FTTH, and CATV.
Telephone/ISDN subscribers 54.2M (6/07)
3G* Mobile phone subscribers 74.7M(6/07)
Mobile phone subscribers 103.1M (6/07)
Broadband** subscribers 27.2M (6/07)
(million)
97.6NTT Law amended
99.7NTT
reorganized
Fixed-line subscribers have declined since 1998
4WEST Copyright NTTWEST
Broadband carriers in Japan
Electric Power Group
Electric Power Group
KDDI GroupKDDI Group SoftBank Group SoftBank Group NTT GroupNTT Group
KDDI
PoweredCom Tokyo Electric Power Co.
Fusion
Other Electric Power Companies
JapanCablenet
SoftBank Telecom
SoftBank BB
BB Technology
JCOM
CATVCATV
sold
47%
FTTH business sold
Fixed Telephone
FTTH
ADSL
IP Phone
NTT Holdings
NTT West
NTT Communications
NTT East
InternationalLongdistance
Regional communication
CATV Internet FTTH
Acquired, Former Japan Telecom
DDI KDDMerged
5WEST Copyright NTTWEST
Higher-speed of the Internet Access
100Mbps
10Mbps
40M
24Mbps
12Mbps
8Mbps
1.5Mbps
500kbps
64kbps
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
ISDNISDN
FTTHFTTH
ADSLADSL
48M
1Gbps
2005
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100Mbps
Decrease in a Service Charge-Fixed Monthly Charge-
20
100
80
60
40
(US$)
2000 2001 2002
FTTH(for detached house )ADSL100Mbps
500kbps1.5M
12M24M 40M
8M
2003 2004
1US$=\110
47M
2005
FTTH(for apartment)
100Mbps
10Mbps
1Gbps
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Broadband Penetration Rate and Cost Levels by Country
Source: Broadband penetration rate is calculated as number of broadband subscriber lines divided by number of households in each country.- Number of broadband subscriber lines: figures of regulatory agencies each country as of the end of 2005- Number of households in Japan: MIC publication of March 2006: “Inhabitant Basic Ledger Population Directory”; other countries: “Yearbook of Statistics 2006” by ITU for end of 2004Costs per 100kbps data transmission: “ITU Internet Report 2006”
41.4%39.6% 37.8%
27.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
$ 0
$ 0.25
$ 0.5
$ 0.75
$ 1
$ 1.25
78.5%Cost per
100Kbps Data transmission
(in US$)
(Broadband penetration
rate)
Japan U.K. GermanyFrance S. KoreaUSA
47.4%as of end of June 2006
$ 0.07
$ 0.49
$ 0.63
$ 0.52
$ 0.08
$ 0.36
Broadband penetration rate is higher in Japan than in all the listed countries other than South Korea, and the cost level in Japan is the lowestBroadband penetration rate is higher in Japan than in all the listed countries other than South Korea, and the cost level in Japan is the lowest
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FTTHDSLCATV
Total: 27.2 million
FTTH: 9.7 millionFTTH: 9.7 million
ADSL: 13.8 millionADSL: 13.8 million
CATV: CATV: 3. 7 3. 7 millionmillion
(June 30, 2007)
Broadband Market in Japan
Broadband subscribers (million)
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
FTTH subscribers are increasing rapidlyFTTH subscribers are increasing rapidly
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07
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From DSL to FTTH
- 250
0
250
500
750
1,000DSLFTTH
2004 2005 2006 07
Net growth of subscriber
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
(thousands)
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0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
FTTH Subscribers in JapanTotal: 9.7 millionTotal: 9.7 million
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
30%
70%
(June 30, 2007)
FLET’S
Other FTTH service providers
NTT West
Subscribers (million)
B FLET’S Family 100 launched
B FLET’S Family 100 launched
NTT East
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07
B FLET’S launchedthe end of 2000
B FLET’S launchedthe end of 2000
*1 B FLET'S" is the brand name of our service which connects subscribers via optical fiber to ISPs .
*2 "B FLET'S Family 100" is a network service which provides connections to ISPs at speeds up to 100 Mbps .
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2. NTT West’s Approaches for Promoting FTTH
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【 Change in Communications Market】
Fixed Telephone MarketFixed Telephone Market■ Intensified competition under scale reductions in the overall pie
・ Shift to mobile and IP communications ・ Competition in rate reductions started with the introduction of carrier selection system
Mobile MarketMobile Market■Intensified competition under rapid market ・ Expansion of data communications by i-mode, etc. ・ Initiation of 3G and competition
Internet MarketInternet Market■Intensified competition under rapid market growth and
progress on broadband ・ Spread and expansion of diversified Internet access services ・ Progress of broadband services such as optical and ADSL ・ Competition in rate reductions
【 Change in Regulatory Environment】
Opening of NetworksOpening of Networks Amendments of Telecommunications Business Law Amendments of Telecommunications Business Law and NTT Lawand NTT Law
(1) Further opening of fixed telephone networks(2) Promoting the opening of
Internet facilities
(1) Establishment of asymmetric regulations (2) Establishment of wholesale telecommunications service system(3) Establishment of Committee to settle disputes in
telecommunications business(4) Establishment of system relating to securing of universal service(5) Expanding the scope of business by NTT East/West
Change in Environment Surrounding NTT
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NTT Group’s Medium-Term Management Strategy
Government broadband
strategy, aiming towards
the realization of an
“energetic, worry-free,
exciting, and more
convenient” broadband
society
Towards Developing a Broadband Society
Fixed telephone & metallic access
2G mobile phone
IP network & optical fiber access
3G mobile phone
Promotion and
Collaboration
Improving Efficiency
Seamless migration
Strengthen our competitiveness and financial base
・ Develop and provide user-friendly broadband/ubiquitous services・ Build a competitive IP network
Review of regulations
・ Rules of competition for the development of a broadband society
・ System for the maintenance of the existing fixed telephone network as a “last resort”
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FLET’S HIKARI PREMIUM: Service Schematic
Regional Regional IP network IP network
(IPv4) (IPv4) NTT NTT
WestWest
ISPsISPsetc.etc.
Broadband Broadband IPv6 IPv6
function function User intercommunication
Stable, high throughput free from interference
from other users
Vast “address space” available
Intercommunication via optimal route
B FLET’S FLET’S HIKARI PREMIUM
Internet connection (optional)
Videophone server
Security server
Content distribution
server
Internet
ISP ISP
Family 100: \4,970/month Condominium type: from \2,840/month
Family type: \4,970/monthCondominium type: from \2,940/month *v6 applications included
Access line speeds of up to 1Gbps
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NTT Group’s Video Distribution Business
Services 4thMEDIA On-demand TV OCN TheaterSky PerfecTV!
Hikari
Content Supplier
Broadcast on Telecommunicatio
ns Services
Service Provider
( Sales/Marketing,
Fee Decision )
+
Platform owner
Access Line /Services
Technological Specification IP Specification
RF Specification
Plala On-demand TV
On-line TV
Content Supplier [CS]( Jupiter/Itochu/TOHOKUSHINSHA/SONY, etc. ) Terrestrial/ BS
Opticast, Inc.
I-CAST
OCN 《 Sales 》OptiCast Marketin
g, Inc.
NTT East/West B FLET’S networks, etc.
NTT East/WestVideo
Communications Network Service( VCAST)
NTT Group(Ownership is
50% or more)
Investing company (Ownership is less than 50%)
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0
100
200
300
Various efforts were made to improve construction technology, etc., and enhance the system so massive volume of installation can be achieved
Improvement of design and construction technology
Strategic deployment of optical cable plant Strategic deployment of optical cable plant
Net Growth of FTTH subscribers in NTT West
2004 2005 2006 2007
(thousand)
Intensified approach to mass provision of FTTH service
17WEST Copyright NTTWEST
(Japanese Yen)
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
4-62005
7-9 10-12 1-32006
4-6 7-9 10-12 1-32007
4-6 7-9
B_Flet's Aggregate Fixed Line(telephone subscriber line+ISDN)
ARPU of B Flet’s tends to rise in line with the increase in the take up of
new services including “Hikari Phone (IP Phone)
ARPU of B Flet’s tends to rise in line with the increase in the take up of
new services including “Hikari Phone (IP Phone)
NTT West’s ARPU of B FLET’S and Aggregate Fixed Line
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NTT Group’s Estimated Share for Broadband Market
47.3
69.062.6
57.457.9
36.4 36.538.1
38.039.1
28.932.3
35.1
39.143.1
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
FTTH ADSL Overall BB Market*
(%)
*Overall BB Market includes FTTH, ADSL and CATV
19
Thank you for your attentionThank you for your attention