KIAMBU COUNTY POPULARITY SURVEYinfotrakresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/...George Nyanja...
Transcript of KIAMBU COUNTY POPULARITY SURVEYinfotrakresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/...George Nyanja...
KIAMBU COUNTY POPULARITY
SURVEY
About the Kiambu CountyTrak Survey
This is a syndicated CountyTrak Poll. CountryTrak is a syndicated County Performance
Index that was launched in 2015 to provide objective information on citizen’s perception
of the county governments and the elected leaders therein. CountyTrak is a product of
the Infotrak Poll . This particular survey was financed and conducted by Infotrak Research
and Consulting using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) through Infotrak’s
ICATi suite.
A sample of 1200 respondents were interviewed to represent the 2017 Kiambu county
projected adult population of 1240984. The sampling design translated into a margin of
error of -/+ 2.8 at 95% degree of confidence.
The sampling frame was designed to cover all the 12 sub counties and 60 wards of
Kiambu County and the sample split was guided by population proportionate to size as
stipulated in the 2009 Kenya Population & Housing Census.
Data was collected between 3rd -5th April 2017
Sample Distribution
Sub County Wards Population Sample
Proporti
on (%)
Gatundu
South
Kiamwangi
87,290 84 7.0 Kiganjo
Ndarugo
Ngenda
Gatundu
North
Gituamba
76,916 74 6.2 Githobokoni
Chania
Mangu
Juja
Murera
90,816 88 7.3
Theta
Juja
Witeithie
Kalimoni
Thika Town
Township
126,402 122 10.2
Kamenu
Hospital
Gatuanyaga
Ngoliba
Ruiru
Gitothua
154,416 149 12.4
Biashara
Gatongora
Kahawa/Sukari
Kahawa
Wendani
Kiuu
Mwiki
Mwihoko
Githunguri
Githunguri
112,963 109 9.1
Githiga
Ikinu
Ngewa
Komothai
Sub County Wards Population Sample
Proporti
on (%)
Kiambu
Tinganga
83,099 80 6.7 Ndumberi
Riabai
Township
Kiambaa
Cianda
110,892 107 8.9
Karuri
Ndenderu
Muchatha
Kihara
Kabete
Gitaru
107,355 104 8.7
Muguga
Nyadhuna
Kabete
Uthiru
Kikuyu
Karai
95,869 93 7.7
Nachu
Sigona
Kikuyu
Kinoo
Limuru
Bibirioni
100,249 97 8.1
Limuru Central
Ndeiya
Limuru East
Ngecha Tigoni
Lari
Kinale
94,717 92 7.6
Kijabe
Nyanduma
Kamburu
Lari/Kirenga
Total 1240984 1200 100.0
SURVEY FINDINGS
48.9%
31.8%
4.5%
.1% .1% .1%
14.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
William Kabogo Ferdinand Waititu James Nyoro David Ngari
(Gakuyo)
John Mugwe Aquiline Njoki Don’t
know/Undecided
Assuming the elections for Kiambu Governor were to be held today which aspirant would you vote for?
GOVERNOR ASPIRANTS POPULARITY
N=1200
48.8%
7.4%
2.8% .9% .1%
40.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Kimani Wamatangi Karungo wa
Thang’wa
George Nyanja Stephen Ndichu Juliet Kimemia Don’t
know/Undecided
SENATORIAL CONTEST
Assuming the elections for Kiambu Senator were to be held today which aspirant would you vote for?
N=1200
41.7%
15.5%
.9% .6% .3%
41.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Gathoni wa
Muchomba
Anne Nyokabi
Gathecha
Gladys Chania
Mwangi
June Koinange Jane Kamunge Don’t
know/Undecided
Assuming the elections for Kiambu Women’s Representative were to be held today which aspirant would you vote for?
WOMEN REPRESENTATIVE CONTEST
N=1200
LIKELIHOOD TO RE-ELECT THE MPs
Do you plan to re –elect your current Member of National Assembly?
48.5%
32.2%
16.9%
2.4%
Yes No Don’t know/Undecided Refused to answer
N=1200
Sub County Current MP
Political
Party Yes No
Don’t
know/Undecided
Refused to
answer
Kikuyu Kimani Ichungwa Jubilee 87.3% 8.4% 3.6% .7%
Kiambu Jude Njomo Jubilee 68.9% 14.7% 15.4% 1.0%
Gatundu South Moses Kuria Jubilee 62.4% 20.9% 16.7% 0.0%
Thika Town Alice Ng’ang’a Jubilee 51.2% 32.8% 14.7% 1.3%
Limuru John Chege Jubilee 49.0% 28.3% 19.5% 3.2%
Ruiru Esther Gathonga Jubilee 48.5% 28.2% 22.5% .8%
Githunguri Njoroge Baiya Jubilee 44.8% 33.3% 21.3% .5%
Juja Francis Waititu Jubilee 43.8% 42.3% 12.9% 1.0%
Kiambaa Paul Karuga Jubilee 41.7% 33.3% 17.4% 7.7%
Lari Joseph Kahagara Jubilee 39.1% 40.9% 14.7% 5.4%
Gatundu North Kigo Njega Jubilee 29.3% 47.2% 21.8% 1.8%
Kabete Ferdinand Waititu Jubilee 20.6% 55.9% 18.4% 5.2%
Total 48.5% 32.2% 16.9% 2.4%
LIKELIHOOD TO RE-ELECT THE MPS BY SUB COUNTY
Do you plan to re –elect your current Member of National Assembly? N=1200
LIKELIHOOD TO RE-ELECT THE MCAs
Do you plan to re –elect your current Member of County Assembly?
25.0%
54.2%
18.4%
2.4%
Yes No Don’t know/Undecided Refused to answer
N=1200
10.9%
.1%
.2%
.2%
.6%
3.5%
84.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
I don’t want to disclose
Amani National Congress (ANC)
Wiper Democratic Movement Kenya (WDM - K)
Maendeleo Chap Chap Party
Party of National Unity (PNU)
Orange Democratic Movement (ODM)
Jubilee Party
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY
Could you please tell me which political party you feel closest to?
N=1200
.9%
2.9%
6.1%
3.9%
86.2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Don’t know/Undecided
I don’t want to disclose
None
National Super Alliance (NASA)
Jubilee
POLITICAL COALITION POPULARITY
Could you please tell me which coalition of political parties you feel closest to?
N=1200
SURVEY DEMOGRAPHICS
17.5% 15.1%
48.9%
18.2%
.2% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Male
51%
Female
49%
Employment
4.3%
17.3%
20.7%
18.0%
14.2%
8.7% 7.2%
1.6%
8.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Age Gender
Demographics
Level of Education
18.9%
78.4%
1.5% 1.3% 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
17.9%
45.5%
20.7% 14.9%
1.0% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Marital Status Religion
33.9%
64.2%
.4% 1.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%