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Transcript of Keri Kozlowski J.D., M.P.H. - fappo.org Kozlowski - Presentation.pdf · BATNA Reservation Prices...
THE POWER OF PERFORMANCE
51TH ANNUAL CONFERENCE
MAY 22-25, 2018
ORLANDO, FLORIDA
Conducting a Successful Negotiation
Keri Kozlowski J.D., M.P.H.
ABOUT ME
Attorney
Chief Performance Officer
UCF College of Business Faculty
Executive Coach, Leadership Development
Speaker, & Mediator
NEGOTIATION
A discussion between two or more parties
(each with its own aims, needs, and viewpoints)
seeking to discover common ground and
reach an agreement on a matter of mutual
concern or to resolve a conflict.
NEGOTIATION
We begin negotiating when we are very young
People negotiate every day
Every time you ask for something you are
actually negotiating
WHY DO PEOPLE NEGOTIATE?
To resolve a problem / dispute between
parties
To agree on how to share / divide a limited
resource
To create something new that neither party
could attain on his or her own
When we believe we can achieve more
cooperating with others then without
NEGOTIATION MYTHS AND FACTS
Myths
1. Good negotiators
are born
2. Good negotiators
take risks
3. Good negotiators
rely on intuition
Facts
1. They are self-made
2. They carefully consider
risks & potential benefits
3. They rely on preparation
NEGOTIATION MYTHS AND FACTS
4. Negotiations are
always win-lose
5. The only negotiations
are formal or explicit
negotiations
4. A vast majority can
be win-win
5. Far more negotiations
take place informally
every day
NEGOTIATOR SHORTAGE
• Many Master Contract Negotiators in both the
public and private sectors have retired or became
retirement eligible in 2012
• During the past 10 years, there has been an
increase in the complexity of contracts, making
it harder to negotiate a good deal at a fair price
• U.S. Government Procurement Policies are placing
more financial risk on government prime
contracts and subcontractors
• In the next 3-5 years, “Negotiation Skills” will grow
as a key personnel performance indicator
SUCCESSFUL CONTRACT NEGOTIATORS:
• Master the art and science, or soft and hard skills,
required to become a master negotiator
• Are able to and adapt strategies, tactics, and counter
tactics in a dynamic environment
• Communicate ideas clearly and effectively
• Understand their own negotiation style (and others)
• Know their products and services, desired terms and
conditions, and pricing strategy
• Can successfully lead a diverse multi-functional team
• Calmly and deal with high stress situations
46% of contract managers enter negotiations not knowing what they really want.
No clear objectives set
Don’t understand strengths and weaknesses of own and other position (can’t develop persuasive arguments)
Don’t explore opportunities for value creation
Depend on being “quick and clever”
PLANNING FAILURES
THE ESSENCE OF PREPARATION
The foundation for negotiating
Adequate preparation leads to beneficial
outcomes
Preparation & the 80-20 rule:
80% of your efforts should be devoted to
preparation
20% should be devoted to the actual negotiation
THE PREPARATION PROCESS
1 • What do you want or need?
2 • How do you intend to get it?
3 • What are your alternatives if no acceptable agreement
is reached?
4 • What does the other party want or need?
5 • What alternatives do the other side(s) have if no
acceptable agreement is reached?
THE PREPARATION PROCESS
Bargaining Mix
BATNA
Reservation Prices
Bargaining Power
Analyzing the Other Party
THE BARGAINING MIX
The bargaining mix is the package of issues up
for negotiation. Each item in the bargaining
mix, can have its own starting, target and
resistance point.
Prioritize Issues !!
DEFINING THE SITUATION
What will you be negotiating?
All of the issues that must be addressed to
produce the desired outcome
Your goals/objectives
ESTABLISHING GOALS
What do you want?
What the other party wants?
Goals can be:
Substantive
Price, terms,
contract language, …
Relationship
Short vs. long term !!
TARGET POINTS
What you realistically hope to achieve for each
issue
Determining target points
What is required to satisfy your interests
and set that as your target
Setting targets should be based on research
Justify and quantify
BEST ALTERNATIVE TO A NEGOTIATED
AGREEMENT (BATNA)
The basic test of any proposed agreement
Whether it offers greater value than your
best course of action without the other
party
When preparing to negotiate
Identify and analyze your best no-agreement
alternatives
“What would be my best course of action if I can’t
reach an agreement?”
WHY BATNA IS IMPORTANT?
The goal of a negotiation is NOT to make any
deal
The goal of a negotiation is to make a “good”
deal: One that is better than each party’s
respective BATNA
Assessment requires three steps:
Identify all the plausible alternative options you
might pursue if you are unable to reach an agreement
with the other party
Estimate the value associated with each alternative
Select the BEST alternative—this is your BATNA
BATNA
Your reservation price is your walk-away point; the
point at which you pursue other options (i.e. your
breakeven point)
Define your reservation price before negotiating
Learn your opponents’ reservation price, if possible
CALCULATE RESERVATION PRICE (RP)
ZONE OF POSSIBLE AGREEMENT
Seller Settlement Range
Buyer Settlement Range
Seller’s Resistance Price
Buyer’s Resistance Price
ZOPA
ZOPA is Positive
Positive Bargaining Zone Exists
Seller’s Target Price
Buyer’s Target Price
ZONE OF POSSIBLE AGREEMENT
Seller Settlement Range
Buyer Settlement Range
Seller’s Resistance Price
Buyer’s Resistance Price
ZOPA
Seller’s Target Price
Buyer’s Target Price
ZOPA is Negative
No Possible Agreement
LEARN ABOUT OPPONENTS’ RP
Estimate the other party’s:
Definition of the situation
Goals, issues, interests
BATNA, reservation prices
Exhaust pre-negotiation sources of
information
Consulting company reports (e.g. Hoovers)
News Article, Press Releases, Job Boards
Contact your sources within that industry
Determine their strategic goals
See what you can learn from any member of
the negotiating team though informal
discussions or slips of the tongue at the table
Examine your assumptions
Ask direct questions; watch for non-responses
LEARN ABOUT OPPONENTS’ RP
Often people have a singular goal of convincing
other side to accept a certain kind of deal or
demand
Prepare by: Determining what I want and
identifying a host of reasons why the other
side should agree to give it to me.
What we learn is limited by what we allow
ourselves to learn. We often erect barriers to
learning simply by the way we negotiate.
LEARN ABOUT OPPONENTS’ RP
RAPPORT BUILDING
Negotiators who chat for 5-10 min, even about
unrelated issues:
Share more information
Make fewer threats
Develop more trust and respect than pairs
who do not
Efforts to analyze the other party involve making
estimates, assumptions, educated guesses or
even hunches
ANALYZING THE OTHER PARTY
The dilemma of trust
The other party may take advantage if you believe
too much of what he or she tells you
But you may not be able to reach an agreement if you
believe too little
The dilemma of honesty
The other party may take advantage if you share too
much information
But you may not be able to reach an agreement if you
share too little
You need to prepare in advance for tough
questions.
Helps you avoid lying
Helps you avoid giving up too much information
Helps you reclaim control of the conversation (and
framing)
WHAT IF THEY ASK TOUGH QUESTIONS?
VALUE CLAIMING AND VALUE CREATION
Value differences that exist between negotiators
include:
Differences in interest
Differences in judgments about the future
Differences in risk tolerance
Differences in time preferences
NEGOTIATION STRATEGIES
Characteristics Distributive Integrative
Available resources Fixed amount of
resources to be divided
Variable amount of
resources to be divided
Primary MINDSET I win, you lose
I win, you win
Primary interests Opposed to each other
Convergent
with each other
View of relationships Short term
Long term
DISTRIBUTIVE BARGAINING
Positions (not issues) are the primary focus
Reservation prices / resistance points set limits
Target points are what you realistically hope to
achieve
Offers & counteroffers define the process
Alternatives (BATNAs) define your resistance points
and your power
TACTICS OF DISTRIBUTIVE BARGAINING
Tactic 1: Planning: Assess your BATNA and improve it
Tactic 2: Planning: Determine your resistance point, DO NOT
reveal it
Tactic 3: Estimate the other party’s BATNA and their resistance
point
Tactic 4: Set your targets high
Tactic 5: Make the first offer (if you are prepared)
Tactic 6: Immediately re-anchor if the other party opens first
Tactic 7: Plan your concessions & counter offers
Tactic 8: Provide objective support and explanations for your
offers
Tactic 9: Appeal to norms of fairness
Tactic
10:
Do not fall for the “even split” ploy / Dirty Tactics
IMPROVE YOUR BATNA
If the parties believe your BATNA is inferior to
the other party’s BATNA:
Keep your BATNA concealed, increase its
perceived strength
Weaken the other party’s BATNA – thus
balance the seesaw
Team up with other parties to increase your
BATNA
Seek a third party opinion
TACTIC 2:
DETERMINE YOUR RESERVATION PRICES
Reservation prices or resistance points set
limits & define ZOPA
Should you reveal your reservation prices?
Seller’s
Resistance
Price
Buyer’s
Resistance
Price
ZOPA
= B
= S
ZOPA = B - S > 0
Positive Bargaining Zone Exists
Push for settlement near other’s resistance
point
Convince other party to change their
resistance point
Create a positive settlement range (ZOPA>0)
Convince the other side it is the best deal
Tactic 3:
Estimate Other Party’s RPs
ESTIMATE OTHER PARTY’S RP
Factors affecting the other party’s resistance points:
Other’s party’s
lower value of
a particular
issue
Other’s party’s
perception of
how much you
value an issue
Other’s vs. your
cost to delay/stop
negotiations
Other party’s resistance point
+ +/-
+/-
TACTIC 4:
SET HIGH ASPIRATIONS / TARGETS
Be realistic but optimistic (not outrageous)
Negotiators who set high aspirations end up
with more of the pie than those who set lower
aspirations
PLAN YOUR SIDE &
GUESS OTHER PARTY’S SIDE
Target
Prices /
Aspiration
Points
Reservation
Prices /
Resistance
Points
BATNA Opening
Offer
Your side
Other Party’s
Side
WHO SHOULD MAKE THE FIRST OFFER?
If your understanding is Inferior
Will have trouble anchoring effectively
If your understanding is Superior
You have a better understanding of ZOPA
Take advantage and make an optimistic offer
If both parties understand the ZOPA well
Making the first offer is of little consequence
Parties are concerned about fairness
If neither parties understand the ZOPA
Can run the risk of being too concessionary or too
demanding
HIGH OPENING OFFERS
Advantages
Gives you room to
maneuver as more
information becomes
available
Sends a strong
message that:
There is a long way
to go to a settlement
More concessions
than the opponent had
planned may be
necessary
Risks
You may alienate the
opponent to the point
they say "Get lost!"
It may damage future
negotiations between
the parties
If you choose to open
high, be certain to have
a contingency plan
to deal with rejection
RESPONSES TO AN “EXTREME” OPENING
OFFER
How do you respond to an “Extreme” Opening
Offer?
Ignore
Ask them to justify—but be careful!
Make an anchored counter, then propose
moderation.
Give the other side an opportunity to moderate—
without losing face.
Avoid making unilateral concessions
Label your concessions
Be explicit about expectations of reciprocity
Make contingent concessions
Diminishing pattern in concessions
Be comfortable with silence
Don’t lose track of the number of size
concessions made by both parties
TACTIC 7:
CONCESSIONS
EXAMPLE: PATTERN OF CONCESSIONS
100
500
300
200
400
5 4 3 2 1
Concession Number
Siz
e o
f C
on
cessio
ns (
in d
oll
ars
)
0
=Texas Couple concessions
= Chris’s concessions
BRACKETING
Buyer’s Opening
Offer
Seller’s Opening
Offer
X = Negotiated price
S = seller’s reservation price (min. price)
B = buyer’s reservation price (max. price)
$19,500
$20K $21K $52K
$52,500
$500 $500
$51K
X
$1,000 $1,000
$41K
$10,000
$31K
$10,000
TACTIC 8:
PROVIDE OBJECTIVE SUPPORT AND EXPLANATIONS
Skilled negotiators utilize information / objective
criteria to support their offers or diffuse other offers
TACTIC 9:
APPEAL TO NORMS OF FAIRNESS
Norm Negotiator Utilizing the Norm
Equality • Outcomes are distributed without regard to inputs, and
everyone benefits (or suffers) equally
• Evenly splits the difference between offers; 50-50
Equity Splits the difference between offers based on proportional
inputs of the parties
Need Splits the difference between offers based on proportional
needs of the parties
THE EVEN SPLIT
Earlier concessions may have been different in
terms of magnitude or pattern, making the bases
to split potentially unfair
Often the person who suggests the even split is in
an advantageous position
Ok when dealing with smaller amounts
HARDBALL TACTICS AND DIRTY TRICKS
Hardball Tactic Brief Description How to Counter
Bogey Pretend unimportant
issue is important Good preparation
Good Guy/Bad guy Use two negotiators Openly describe tactic
Intimidation and
Other Aggressive
Behavior
Fear, anger, guilt,
appearing legitimate
Ignore, halt the
negotiation to discuss
process
Lowball/Highball Extreme opening offers Good preparation
Nibble Include a small issue late
in negotiation What else do you what?
Snow Job Overwhelm other with
info
Ask questions, listen
carefully, use tech.
experts
Selective, Deceiving,
or Distorted Info.
Relentlessly push for
concessions Document
FINAL OFFER
At some point in your negotiations, you will reach
a point beyond which you are unwilling or unable
to go
When you get there, make your final offer
HIPAA COMPLIANCE EXAMPLE
Tactic 1: Planning: Assess your BATNA and improve it
Tactic 2: Planning: Determine your resistance point, DO NOT
reveal it
Tactic 3: Estimate the other party’s BATNA and their resistance
point
Tactic 4: Set your targets high
Tactic 5: Make the first offer (if you are prepared)
Tactic 6: Immediately re-anchor if the other party opens first
Tactic 7: Plan your concessions & counter offers
Tactic 8: Provide objective support and explanations for your offers
Tactic 9: Appeal to norms of fairness
Tactic
10:
Do not fall for the “even split” ploy / Dirty Tactics
INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATION
Focus on commonalities not differences
Address needs and interests, not positions
Commit to meeting the needs of all parties
Exchange information and ideas
Invent options for mutual gain
Use objective criteria to set standards
CREATING VALUE
Expanding the resources from which the
parties are drawing
Goal is to have both parties do well
Its is not compromising
Positions may be incompatible, but interests
may be compatible
CREATING VALUE
EXPAND THE PIE
Changing the number of considerations & the amount of each (adding resources)
EXPANDING THE PIE:
JOB OFFER NEGOTIATION
The employee requests a $75,000 salary
Employer offers $52,500
Employer’s
OO
Employee’s OO
$52,500
$75,000 $60,000 $65,000
$62,500
Employee’s RS
Employee’s TS
Employer’s TS
Employer’s RS
$57,500
EXPANDING THE PIE:
JOB OFFER NEGOTIATION
A sign-on bonus
Performance bonuses
Relocation expenses
Stock options
Increased vacation time
Working conditions or
location
Working at home or
flexible hours
Title
Timed salary increases
A car lease or purchase
Parking Space
Additional unpaid leave
Health insurance:
dental, medical, optical
Long-Term Care /
Disability Insurance
Retirement Funds
Tuition reimbursement
INTEGRATIVE BARGAINING TACTICS
Identify and Define the Problem (Issues)
Separate the Person from the Problem
Focus on Interests Not Positions
Invent Options for Mutual Gain
Use Objective Criteria to Evaluate Options
III. SEPARATE THE PERSON FROM THE PROBLEM
Being soft on people but hard on the problem
Challenges:
Managing emotions
Managing perceptions
Effective communications
THE ROLE OF EMOTION
Conflict is expressed through our emotions:
Anger
Fear
Disappointment
Frustration
Hostility
Depression
THE ROLE OF EMOTION
Negative emotions cause negotiators to:
Pay less attention to the other party’s interests
Diminish the accuracy of judgments about
interests
Use of less cooperative strategies
Less interested in having future interactions
Can bring a negotiation to an impasse or an end
“WHENEVER YOU'RE IN
CONFLICT WITH SOMEONE,
THERE IS ONE FACTOR THAT
CAN MAKE THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN DAMAGING YOUR
RELATIONSHIP AND
DEEPENING IT. THAT FACTOR
IS ATTITUDE.” –WILLIAM JAMES
STRATEGIES FOR TREATING PERCEPTION
1. See the situation from
your opponent's
perspective
2. Avoid blaming your
opponent for the
problem
3. Discuss each other's
perceptions
4. Try to disappoint your
opponent's worst
beliefs and
expectations about
you (be kind!)
5. Give your opponent
a stake in the
outcome by making
sure they participate
in the negotiation
process
6. Make your proposals
consistent with the
principles and self-
image of your
opponent
WARM BUT LEADING QUESTIONS
“Hey, I know what you best looks
like and I don’t think this is it, is
the best that you can do?”
ACTIVE LISTENING
• Focus on what
the other
person is
saying,
understanding
both the
content and
emotion
IV. FOCUS ON INTERESTS NOT POSITIONS
Interests:
Why do you want what you want? Why do you
have the goal you have?
Positions: What you want
No reasons, no justification, just a demand
Positions are what you want, interests are
why you want it.
IDENTIFYING INTERESTS
Why do I want the position I demanded?
How will it help me?
What purposes will it serve for me?
What will happen if the other party says no to my
demand?
What will happen if the other party says yes to my
demand?
V. INVENT OPTIONS FOR MUTUAL GAIN
To invent creative options:
Think up possible decisions first ; Decide later
Broaden the options on the table rather than look
for a single answer
Search for mutual gains
Look through the eyes of different experts
How would each expert diagnose the situation &
what kinds of approaches they may suggest
INVENT OPTIONS FOR MUTUAL GAIN
Broaden your
Options
Trap: The tendency to
search for the single
best answer
Mythical fixed pie
VI. USE OBJECTIVE CRITERIA
TO EVALUATE OPTIONS
Search for a standard such as market value, expert
opinion, law
This way, neither party is “giving in” to the other
and a fair agreement is possible
Explanations are helpful in persuading the other side
to agree
We are asking for $50,000 in fees
How did you arrive at that figure?
Is it supported by market data?
EXPANDING THE PIE
Build trust and share information
Ask questions regarding interests & priorities
Provide information
Unbundle issues to create potential for tradeoffs
Negotiate multiple issues simultaneously
Make offers in packages
Make multiple offers at the same time
DIFFICULT NEGOTIATOR TIPS
Pre-decide what you will and will not give up for
the sake of the relationship
Prepare emotionally, tell yourself “this is
temporary”
Ask factual questions… “How did you get to those
numbers?” “You said that was illegal, have you
spoken to an attorney? Do you need time to speak to
an attorney?”
If you disagree, start out with “I might be wrong
but…” then name the parts you disagree with. Or
“What you say could be correct, but my boss will
raise the following concerns…”
Stand your ground. “Please let me finish” or “Of
course you would expect me to take these numbers
back to my people for verification.”
RECOMMENDED READING
Getting to Yes: Negotiating Agreement
Without Giving In by Roger Fisher & William
Ury
Crucial Conversations Tools for Talking
When Stakes Are High, 2nd Edition by Kerry
Patterson, Joseph Grenny, Ron McMillan & Al
Switzler
Contract Negotiations by Gregory A. Garrett
The Five Dysfunctions of a Team: A
Leadership Fable by Patrick Lencioni