June 8 2017 Panel 3 Rafael Cayuela
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Transcript of June 8 2017 Panel 3 Rafael Cayuela
The Dow Chemical Company
Post-2020 Global Chemicals Supply Chains What will be the drivers for market supply and demand and will chemicals product safety emerge as a winner or loser?
Rafael CayuelaCorporate & Strategy Development
Author, Director, Chief Economist
© 2017 The Dow Chemical Company All rights reserved. This communication is DOW CONFIDENTIAL
The content of this communication is intended for Dow internal use only. Any other dissemination is a violation of Dow Policy
DOW CONFIDENTIAL - Do not share without permission 120th Young Anniversary
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Caution: “A World Poised for Disruption”
2
No thanks!We are TOO busy
4th Industrial Revolution“Sustainable, Digital, Citizens”
Innovations are usually not quickly understood and accepted…Dual Horizons Needed!
2017 – 2018Slow Growth Environment
September 2016DOW CONFIDENTIAL - Do not share without permission 120th Young Anniversary
Sustainable Revolution* Bioeconomy * Biomimicry* Circular Economy Future of NanoDesign
Robots, AI, IOT, Big Data Additive Manufacturing*
Plastics from C02 * & Algae The Future of Work? *Future of AutomotiveCitizens Revolution
Future of Laboratories *
Future of Agriculture
Digital Revolution*
Dis
rup
tio
n1
Dis
rup
tio
n 2
Dis
rup
tio
n 3
3D Printing : Plastic / Metals*
Exciting Times : Multiples Disruptions
DOW CONFIDENTIAL - Do not share without permission 120th Young Anniversary
Exponential Innovation
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100
Innovation
2nd & 3rd INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTIONFossil Fuel, Computer and Internet Based
1,2 1,7 2,5 6.0 9,2 12 Billion people
Chemical Industry R&D btw. 2010-15 • 25% new chemistry• 75% in incremental innovationSource: McKinsey
1,000 Grams CO2 Capita /Day
4,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
6,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
12,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
4th INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION“The Sustainable, Digital, Citizens One”
Tech. ConvergenceCollaboration
13,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
4,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
1,000 Grams CO2 Capita/Day
Operational Efficiency
2100
IOT, AI, 4D, Big Data Blockchain, AR, Drones Robots, Quantum, AI,
2025
Innovation Drivers for Chemical Industry
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1900 1950 2000 2050
Chemical Molecules
Applications
Technological Convergence
Science Intersections
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“13th Five-Year Plan - FYP” China Petroleum and Chemical Industry
Objective: From a big country of Petroleum and Chemical Industry (world largest) to a great “power”. From “following the lead” to “taking the lead”
Industry - Handling / Upgrading Overcapacity
1) Subtraction” & “Enhancement” – M&A2) Rapid Technological Upgrade - Sustainability3) Develop Strategic on Emerging Industries
3.1 R&D on New Materials 3.2 New Energy / Feedstock
a) New Shale gas Industryb) New Biomass Industryc) Modern coal chemical industry d) Energy Savings & Environment Protectione) Producer Services – Industrial Parks
4) Implementation “One Road - One Belt Strategy”
Source : CPCIF China
Source : Corporate Strategy, CEFIC, ACC, McKinsey
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Chemical Ind. Playground : China
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Innovation and Integration
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Dow 2025 Sustainability Goals
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Innovation - High-throughput Experimentation
• 2 million experiments a year
• Most powerful innovation engine
• 754 U.S. patent grants
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Historic Merger
Agriculture Co.
Specialty
Products Co.
*T he post-merger Materials Science Company is expected to be the first spin-off, assuming such sequencing would allow for the completion of all intended spin-offs within 18 months of merger closing and would not adversely impact the value of the intended spin -offs.
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The New Dow – Integration!
Ethylene
Propylene
High-Throughput
Research
Polymer Science
Material Science
Formulation
Sciences
Process Engineering
NARROWER, DEEPEREND-MARKET PRESENCE
ADVANTAGED BACK-INTEGRATION
WORLD-CLASS SCIENCE ANDENGINEERING CAPABILITIES
Platform
sHigh-Performance
Computer Modeling
Packaging
Transportation
Consumer Care
Infrastructure
Solu
tion
s
Bu
ild
ing B
locks
Catalyst Discovery
& Ligand Synthesis
Application Development
Silicones
Excludes Electronic Materials, Agricultural Sciences, and Includes Dow Corning Silicones
INNOVATION & INTEGRATION
~ 90% of
Revenue
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Silicones
Ethylene plant
construction is
complete
Dow’s long-term commitment to making products for world markets
Louisiana
expansion
US Gulf Coast
Powerful Growth Drivers
Plastics franchisehas been
commercialized
26 integrated
world-scale
manufacturing
plants
Remaining units are schedule to
start-up throughout 2017
18 units in
operating or
startup
mode
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Next Phase of Growth Investments
• Make a series of investments in our
polyurethanes franchise
• Expand our new Texas-9 cracker
– world’s largest ethylene facility
• Construct world-scale polyethylene units –USGC and Western Europe
Double Dow’s growth investments to more $12 billion over a 10-year period
• Embark on $400-million
transformation of Midland-based manufacturing operations
• Building a new world-class
Innovation Center in Michigan – a $100-million hub for global R&D
• Build new catalyst production unit to enhance Univation licensing model
• Unleash an additional 350,000 metric
tons of polyethylene from our existing asset network
INNOVATION & INTEGRATION
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Thanks for your attention!
© 2017 The Dow Chemical Company All rights reserved. This communication is DOW CONFIDENTIAL
The content of this communication is intended for Dow internal use only. Any other dissemination is a violation of Dow Policy
DOW CONFIDENTIAL - Do not share without permission
120th Young Anniversary
120th Young Anniversary