June 2012
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Transcript of June 2012
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Pending Home Sales
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
NAR 5/2012
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Existing Home Sales
12,658 HomesSell Every Dayand 8,987 Buyers Receive a Mortgage
NAR 5/2012
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Return on Investment
MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
14.3
5.8
-28
34.2
-50
-30
-10
10
30
50
Dow S&P NASDAQ Real Estate
January 2000 – June 2012
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Housing Wire 5/9/2012
“Until house prices are consistently rising, the economic recovery won’t fully engage.”
-Mark Zandi, Chief Economist for Moody’s Analytics
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3.75
4
4.25
4.5
4.75
5
5.25
Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed
Federal Reserve
1/01/2011 Today
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“In the chart, the red line shows the mortgage payment you’d have to make if you took out a standard 30-year mortgage for the median asking sales price for vacant sale units… That number is now lower than the median national rental price. This is the first time that’s happened since 1988, and probably for quite some time before that, too.”
Rent vs. Buy
Reuters-Felix Salmon 5/8/2012
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A Home Buyer Poll released recently by TD Bank revealed aspirations of homeownership are still very much alive.
The majority (84%) of today's younger renting generation (ages 18-34) responded that they intend to buy a home.
Young Renters Plan to Buy a Home
84%
16%
Young Renters
Plan to Buy Don't
TD Bank 5/21/2012
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Non-Financial Value of Homeownership
“We’re seeing a psychological shift. Instead of looking at homes through the eyes of an economist, we’re realizing that a home doesn’t solely equate to a financial return…Instead the home is the emotional center of our lives, and it remains a critical component of who we are…The feeling you get when you step through your front door or pull into your driveway is indescribable and priceless and the same holds true for our children who crave stability.”
- Psychotherapist Dr. Robi Ludwig DS News 5/31/2012
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Supply & Demand
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http://web.realestateconsulting.com/us-housing-summary-2012/Default.aspx
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Month’s Inventory of Homes for Sale
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
NAR
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“As lenders begin processing their distressed inventories and releasing them for sale at the local level, we look to them to move carefully and monitor conditions so recently gained home values aren't diminished.“
- Move.com
Impact of Coming Foreclosures
Move, Inc. 5/30/2012
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“Foreclosure-related sales picked up in the first quarter, particularly pre-foreclosure sales where a distressed homeowner is selling to avoid foreclosure - typically via short sale. Those pre-foreclosure sales hit a three-year high in the first quarter (up 25%). Lenders are approving more aggressively priced short sales, which in turn is resulting in more successful short sales.”
- Brandon Moore, CEO of RealtyTrac
Short Sales Skyrocketing
RealtyTrac 5/29/2012
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Resources
KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
Slide Slide Title Link
2, 3, 4 Reuters Quoteshttp://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/31/housing-data-tealeaves-idUSL1E8GU54520120531
6, 8 Pending Home Sales, Existing Sales Report http://www.realtor.org
9 S&P Case Shiller Home Price Indices http://www.standardandpoors.com
11 Mark Zandi Quotehttp://housingwire.com/news/zandi-foreclosure-crisis-biggest-impediment-full-us-employment
13 Mortgage Rates – 30 Year Fixed http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
14 Rent vs. Buy http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/05/08/chart-of-the-day-lets-go-buy-a-house
15 Young Renters Plan to Buy a Homehttp://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-homeownership-aspirations-arent-dead-owning-a-home-remains-a-defining-element-of-the-american-dream-2012-05-21
16 Non-Financial Value of Homeownershiphttp://www.dsnews.com/articles/homeownership-still-holds-high-emotional-value-2012-05-31
19 Month’s Inventory of Home Sales http://www.realtor.org
20 Continued Pressure on Prices http://www.radarlogic.com/rlresearch
21,22 Percentage of Distressed Property Sales http://www.realtor.org
23 Foreclosure Inventory in Judicial States http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/NewsRoom/Pages/default.aspx
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Resources
KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
Slide Slide Title Link
25 Judicial and Non-Judicial States http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/researchtrends/asset_upload_file896_15255.pdf
26 Judicial and Non-Judicial Stateshttp://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/05/freddie-mac-lower-reo-expense-in-q1-due.html
27 Impact of Coming Foreclosures http://news.move.com/index.php?s=11609&item=128978
28 Short Sales Skyrocketinghttp://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report/q1-2012-us-foreclosure-sales-report-7213
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