J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD...

23
J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE New York City, New York June 26, 2017

Transcript of J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD...

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J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

New York City, New York

June 26, 2017

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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

2

This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities

Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are statements other than statements of historical fact. They include statements that give our current

expectations, guidance or forecasts of future events, production and well connection forecasts, estimates of operating costs, anticipated capital and operational

efficiencies, planned development drilling and expected drilling cost reductions, general and administrative expenses, capital expenditures, the timing of anticipated

noncore asset sales and proceeds to be received therefrom, projected cash flow and liquidity, our ability to enhance our cash flow and financial flexibility, plans and

objectives for future operations (including our ability to optimize base production and execute gas gathering, processing and transportation commitments), the

ability of our employees, portfolio strength and operational leadership to create long-term value, and the assumptions on which such statements are based.

Although we believe the expectations and forecasts reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance they will prove to have

been correct. They can be affected by inaccurate or changed assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include those described under “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of our annual report on

Form 10-K and any updates to those factors set forth in Chesapeake’s subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or current reports on Form 8-K (available at

http://www.chk.com/investors/sec-filings). These risk factors include: the volatility of oil, natural gas and NGL prices; the limitations our level of indebtedness may

have on our financial flexibility; our inability to access the capital markets on favorable terms; the availability of cash flows from operations and other funds to

finance reserve replacement costs or satisfy our debt obligations; our credit rating requiring us to post more collateral under certain commercial arrangements;

write-downs of our oil and natural gas asset carrying values due to low commodity prices; our ability to replace reserves and sustain production; uncertainties

inherent in estimating quantities of oil, natural gas and NGL reserves and projecting future rates of production and the amount and timing of development

expenditures; our ability to generate profits or achieve targeted results in drilling and well operations; leasehold terms expiring before production can be

established; commodity derivative activities resulting in lower prices realized on oil, natural gas and NGL sales; the need to secure derivative liabilities and the

inability of counterparties to satisfy their obligations; adverse developments or losses from pending or future litigation and regulatory proceedings, including royalty

claims; charges incurred in response to market conditions and in connection with our ongoing actions to reduce financial leverage and complexity; drilling and

operating risks and resulting liabilities; effects of environmental protection laws and regulation on our business; legislative and regulatory initiatives further

regulating hydraulic fracturing; our need to secure adequate supplies of water for our drilling operations and to dispose of or recycle the water used; impacts of

potential legislative and regulatory actions addressing climate change; federal and state tax proposals affecting our industry; potential OTC derivatives regulation

limiting our ability to hedge against commodity price fluctuations; competition in the oil and gas exploration and production industry; a deterioration in general

economic, business or industry conditions; negative public perceptions of our industry; limited control over properties we do not operate; pipeline and gathering

system capacity constraints and transportation interruptions; terrorist activities and/or cyber-attacks adversely impacting our operations; potential challenges by

SSE’s former creditors of our spin-off of in connection with SSE’s recently completed bankruptcy under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code; an interruption in

operations at our headquarters due to a catastrophic event; the continuation of suspended dividend payments on our common stock; the effectiveness of our

remediation plan for a material weakness; certain anti-takeover provisions that affect shareholder rights; and our inability to increase or maintain our liquidity

through debt repurchases, capital exchanges, asset sales, joint ventures, farmouts or other means.

In addition, disclosures concerning the estimated contribution of derivative contracts to our future results of operations are based upon market information as of a

specific date. These market prices are subject to significant volatility. Our production forecasts are also dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of

production decline rates from existing wells and the outcome of future drilling activity. Expected asset sales may not be completed in the time frame anticipated or

at all. We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no

obligation to update any of the information provided in this presentation, except as required by applicable law. In addition, this presentation contains time-sensitive

information that reflects management’s best judgment only as of the date of this presentation.

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

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Where we are today

OUR STRATEGY STRONG THROUGH COMMODITY PRICE CYCLES

PRB ~ $35/bbl

Eagle Ford ~ $40/bbl

Mid-Continent ~ $40/bbl

(1) Breakeven is PV10 with oil held flat at $50/bbl and gas held flat at $3/mcf. PRB is Sussex and Turner formations. Eagle Ford

is the Lower Eagle Ford formation. Mid-Continent is the Oswego and Meramec formations. Utica is Utica dry gas formation.

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 3

BUSINESS STRATEGIES:

Financial Discipline

Business

Development

Profitable and

Efficient Growth from

Captured Resources

Exploration

Marcellus ~ $2.10/mcf

Haynesville ~ $2.50/mcf

Utica ~ $2.50/mcf

Robust portfolio – on track at low breakeven prices (1)

Ample liquidity – greater than $3.0 billion

Revolver – Re-affirmed at ~$3.8 billion

Asset sales – ~$350 million under PSA

Capital allocation – continuously reviewing 2017 plans

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2017 CAPITAL ALLOCATION FLEXIBLE PROGRAM – VALUE FOCUSED

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 4

Eagle Ford Shale 7 Rigs / 4 Frac Crews

175 – 195 Spuds

155 – 175 TILS

South Texas

˃ Oil production growth engine

˃ Longer laterals driving value

˃ Enhanced completions

yielding encouraging results

Page 5: J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6 +1,000

SOUTH TEXAS OVERVIEW UNDRILLED ACREAGE, POSITIONED FOR GROWTH

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 5

(1) Assumes drilling 185 wells per year

Locations

Remaining

Development

73%

Drilled

27%

>2.0 bboe Estimated net undeveloped resources

25+ years of drilling (1)

Estimated gross undeveloped resources

~10% oil growth From 4Q’16 vs. 4Q’17

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SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6

+1,000 boe/d IP30 Average 2017 program projection

Uplift results scalable

with lateral length Longer laterals are improving economics

16,926' lateral Company and basin drilling record in 2Q’17

Driving value with longer laterals

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200

Norm

aliz

ed A

vg.

Cum

Oil

(mbo/$

mm

)

Days

2013 - 2016

2017

$21

$15 $17

$11 $9

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

South Texas F&D Cost

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0

500

1000

1500

2000

0 10 20 30 40

Daily

P

roduction (

boe

/d)

Days on Production

Upper Eagle Ford Test

Total daily production(boe/d)

SOUTH TEXAS – MULTIZONE POTENTIAL ACCELERATED TESTING OF UPPER EAGLE FORD AND AUSTIN CHALK

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 7

Austin Chalk

Upper Eagle Ford

Spud 3/17

Spud 6/17

5/17 TIL 4Q’/17

Pad Level Co-development test

w/LEFG & UEFG TIL

3Q’/17

Pad Level Co-development Test w/LEFG

1Q’/18

1Q’/18 2Q’/18

1/17 Spud

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SOUTH TEXAS UPPER EAGLE FORD UPDATE ENCOURAGING APPRAISAL RESULTS

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 8

(1) Data from IHS monthly volumes for Upper Eagle Ford production

>1,900 boe/d Upper Eagle Ford initial rate

80% oil, 11,300' lateral

120,000 acres In the Upper Eagle Ford core

~1,000 locations

Enhanced completions and co-development

unlock multizone development potential

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Powder River Basin

˃ Hotspot advantage

˃ Stacked pay opportunities

˃ Significant resource potential

2017 CAPITAL ALLOCATION FLEXIBLE PROGRAM – VALUE FOCUSED

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 9

Powder River Basin 2 Rigs / 1 Frac Crew

25 – 30 Spuds

28 – 33 TILS

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POWDER RIVER BASIN – TURNER UPDATE OUTSTANDING INITIAL RESULTS

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

0 1 2 3 4

Cum

ula

tive B

OE

Months on Production

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 10

Turner – 1st well TIL 3/16/2017 – 7,100' lateral

Peak rate – 2,560 boe/d (80% oil)

30-day cumulative – 36 mbo, 58 mmcf

Turner – 2nd well TIL 5/17/2017 – 4,500' lateral

Peak rate – 2,886 boe/d (51% oil)

30-day cumulative – 33 mbo, 210 mmcf

Rankin 5 A TR 1H

Peak Rate: 2,886 boe/d CHK Drilled

CHK 2017

Planned

Industry

Industry Turner Offsets Sundquist 9 A TR 13H

Peak Rate: 2,560 boe/d

CHK Rankin

CHK Sundquist

Industry Offsets

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POWDER RIVER BASIN – SUSSEX SANDSTONE MOVING TO DEVELOPMENT MODE

• Targeted development

˃ Single-well ROR: 30 – 50% (1)

˃ Currently drilling two- and

five-well Sussex pads,

10 total TILs in Q3 (3 DUCs)

˃ Drilling ~20 wells in 2017

• $28 – $39/bbl oil breakeven (2)

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 11

#1 PRB Sussex well >700 mboe of production in ~3 years

(1) Assumes $3 gas and $50 oil prices flat

(2) PV10 positive breakeven price assuming $3 gas price

53%

12%

35%

Production Mix

Oil NGL Natual Gas

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POWDER RIVER BASIN BEST-IN-BASIN PERFORMANCE

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 12

250 200 150 100 50 0

0 1 2 3 4 5 Producing Months

All CHK Turner All other PRB Turner Horizontals (1)

Sussex Performance Turner Performance

(1) Data from IHS monthly volumes

(1)

All CHK Sussex All other PRB Turner Horizontals (1)

Page 13: J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6 +1,000

15%

21% 64%

Production Mix

Oil NGL Natural Gas

POWDER RIVER BASIN – MOWRY SHALE HIDDEN RESOURCE GIANT

• World-class source rock

˃ Over pressured confirmed

˃ Multiple cores acquired

• Leveraging completion technology

from across company

˃ Strong relationship between frac

size and EUR

• Completing first Mowry well,

4,100' lateral, TIL Q3

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 13

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POWDER RIVER BASIN PROVING THE STACKED-PAY POTENTIAL

2017 Pending Tests

14

More Turner and Sussex

results coming

˃ Q3 and Q4 TILs to provide

additional oil growth

First Mowry test in Q3

˃ Currently completing

~150 permits in hand

˃ 100 permits in the process

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

175 mmboe resource base

200+ undrilled locations

2,640' spacing

375 mmboe resource base

300+ undrilled locations

2,640' spacing

150 mmboe resource base

150+ undrilled locations

1,320' spacing

470 mmboe resource base

575+ undrilled locations

1,100' – 1,320' spacing

1,450 mmboe resource base

550+ undrilled locations

1,320' spacing

˃ Parkman

˃ Sussex

˃ Niobrara

˃ Turner

˃ Mowry

Other future potential formations:

Teapot, Surrey and Frontier

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Mid-Continent

˃ Oswego results continue

to improve

˃ Northern Meramec

development

˃ Chester potential

2017 CAPITAL ALLOCATION FLEXIBLE PROGRAM – VALUE FOCUSED

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 15

Mid-Continent 5 Rigs / 2 Frac Crews

100 – 120 Spuds

95 – 115 TILS

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MID-CONTINENT MERAMEC DEVELOPING A CORE POSITION

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 16

500+ locations Across Meramec play in Major and

Woodward counties

Strong well results Average IP 30 = ~1,100 boe/d, ~60% oil

~90 locations in a focus area covering

~22,000 net acres

Willamette 1H (2-mile)

Meramec (St. Genevieve)

IP 30 = 1,367 boe/d, 62% oil

Schoeppel 1H Meramec (St. Genevieve)

IP 30 = 983 boe/d, 46% oil

Hoskins 2H Meramec (St. Genevieve)

IP 30 = 1,126 boe/d, 65% oil

Hoskins 1H Meramec (St. Genevieve)

IP 30 = 1,185 boe/d, 62% oil

Mosaic 1H (2-mile)

Meramec (St. Genevieve)

IP 30 = 912 boe/d, 50% oil

Osmus 1H (2-mile)

Meramec (St. Genevieve)

TIL 7/1/2017

Page 17: J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6 +1,000

CHESAPEAKE OPERATING PERFORMANCE RELENTLESS FOCUS ON COST MANAGEMENT

17

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

CHK A B C D E F G H I J K

$/b

oe

2016 Production Expense (1)

$2.50 – $2.70/boe 2017 production expense guidance

~15% improvement YOY

(1) Production expense defined as the total of lease operating expenses, ad valorem taxes and other production expenses

Peer Group includes: APC, APA, COP, DVN, ECA, EOG, HES, MRO, MUR, NBL and OXY

$3.05/boe 2016 production expense

CHK

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

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CHESAPEAKE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY RELENTLESS FOCUS ON CAPITAL DEPLOYED

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 18

$-

$10.00

$20.00

$30.00

$40.00

$50.00

$60.00

$70.00

CHK A B C D E F G H I J K

$/b

oe

2016 Proved F&D Costs (1)

15 mcf to 1 boe

$-

$10.00

$20.00

$30.00

$40.00

$50.00

$60.00

CHK A B C D E F G H I J K

$/b

oe

2016 Proved F&D Costs (1)

6 mcf to 1 boe

(1) Source: 2016 10-K filings. Proved reserve F&D costs defined as the sum of the development and exploration costs divided by proved reserves added by extensions, additions and discoveries.

Peer Group includes: APC, APA, COP, DVN, ECA, EOG, HES, MRO, MUR, NBL and OXY

Operational leadership and technical capabilities

provide peer-leading cost management

~$2.35/boe

~$3.40/boe

CHK CHK

Page 19: J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6 +1,000

UNRECOGNIZED VALUE, UNLOCKED POTENTIAL

Investment Thesis

Resilient, strong, diverse portfolio

Eagle Ford – Ebitda engine

Haynesville – Improved cash cycle time

PRB – Stacked oil growth opportunities

Mid-Continent – Oswego and Wedge play

Marcellus – FCF machine, high-quality rock

Utica – Resource optionality

Oil growth on track – margin growth to follow

Cost leadership

Balance sheet improvement

19 J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

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20 J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

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Oil Apr – Dec 2017 (1)

64%

Swaps $50.25/bbl

NGL Apr – Dec 2017 (1)

4%

Ethane Swaps $0.28/gal

Natural Gas Apr – Dec 2017 (1)

75%

71% Swaps

4% Collars $3.25/$3.68/mcf

NYMEX

$3.04/mcf NYMEX

HEDGING POSITION

(1) As of 5/19/17, using midpoints of total production from 5/3/2017 Outlook

21

~298 bcf hedged in 2018 with swaps at an average price of $3.16

~47 bcf hedged in 2018 with collars at an average price of $3.00/$3.25

~1.8 mmbbl of oil hedged in 2018 with swaps at an average price of $51.43

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE

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REDUCED DEBT AND PUSHED BACK MATURITIES

J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 22

(1) Based on EUR:USD exchange rate of €1.1177 to $1.0 as of 9/30/15

$11.7 billion Principal balance at 9/30/2015 (1)

$9.1 billion Principal balance at 3/31/2017

$2,213

$1,015

$1,500

$2,196

$1,700

$1,500

$1,100

$15 $55

$380

$854

$2,320

$2,870

$338

$1,000

$1,250

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026

mill

ions

9/30/2015

3/31/2017

(1)

$2.6 billion debt reduction over 18 months

Page 23: J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE JP Morgan - Final.pdf · SOUTH TEXAS – EAGLE FORD ACCELERATING VALUE WITH LONGER LATERALS J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE 6 +1,000

CORPORATE INFORMATION

HEADQUARTERS

6100 N. Western Avenue

Oklahoma City, OK 73118

WEBSITE: www.chk.com

CORPORATE CONTACTS

BRAD SYLVESTER, CFA

Vice President – Investor Relations

and Communications

DOMENIC J. DELL’OSSO, JR.

Executive Vice President and

Chief Financial Officer

Investor Relations department

can be reached at [email protected]

PUBLICLY TRADED SECURITIES CUSIP TICKER

7.25% Senior Notes due 2018 #165167CC9 CHK18A

3mL + 3.25% Senior Notes due 2019 #165167CM7 CHK19

6.625% Senior Notes due 2020 #165167CF2 CHK20A

6.875% Senior Notes due 2020 #165167BU0 CHK20

6.125% Senior Notes due 2021 #165167CG0 CHK21

5.375% Senior Notes due 2021 #165167CK21 CHK21A

8.00% Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due 2022 #165167CQ8 N/A

#U16450AT2 N/A

4.875% Senior Notes due 2022 #165167CN5 CHK22

5.75% Senior Notes due 2023 #165167CL9 CHK23

8.00% Senior Notes due 2025 #165167CT2 N/A

#U16450AU99 N/A

5.50% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 #165167CR6 N/A

2.75% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2035 #165167BW6 CHK35

2.50% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2037 #165167BZ9/

#165167CA3 CHK37/ CHK37A

2.25% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2038 #165167CB1 CHK38

4.5% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock #165167842 CHK PrD

5.0% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series 2005B) #165167834/

N/A #165167826

5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock

#U16450204/

N/A #165167776/

#165167768

5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series A)

#U16450113/

N/A #165167784/

#165167750

Chesapeake Common Stock #165167107 CHK

23 J.P. MORGAN 2017 ENERGY EQUITY CONFERENCE