Joint analysis of individual participants data from 17...

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE Joint analysis of individual participants’ data from 17 studies on the association of the IL6 variant -174G C with circulating glucose levels, interleukin-6 levels, and body mass index CORNELIA HUTH 1,2 , THOMAS ILLIG 1 , CHRISTIAN HERDER 3 , CHRISTIAN GIEGER 1,2 , HARALD GRALLERT 1 , CAREN VOLLMERT 1,4 , WOLFGANG RATHMANN 3 , YASMIN H. HAMID 5 , OLUF PEDERSEN 5 , TORBEN HANSEN 5 , BARBARA THORAND 1 , CHRISTA MEISINGER 1 , ANGELA DO ¨ RING 1 , NORMAN KLOPP 1 , HENNING GOHLKE 1 , WOLFGANG LIEB 6 , CHRISTIAN HENGSTENBERG 7 , VALERIYA LYSSENKO 8 , LEIF GROOP 8 , HELEN IRELAND 9 , JEFFREY W. STEPHENS 10 , INGRID WERNSTEDT ASTERHOLM 11 , JOHN-OLOV JANSSON 11 , HEINER BOEING 12 , MATTHIAS MO ¨ HLIG 13 , HEATHER M. STRINGHAM 14 , MICHAEL BOEHNKE 14 , JAAKKO TUOMILEHTO 1517 , JOSE-MANUEL FERNANDEZ-REAL 18 , ABEL LOPEZ-BERMEJO 18 , LUIS GALLART 19 , JOAN VENDRELL 19 , STEVE E. HUMPHRIES 9 , FLORIAN KRONENBERG 20 , H.-ERICH WICHMANN 1,2 & IRIS M. HEID 1,2 1 Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum Mu ¨nchen, Neuherberg, Germany, 2 Institute of Biometry and Epidemiology, University of Munich, Germany, 3 German Diabetes Center, Leibniz Institute at Heinrich Heine University Du ¨sseldorf, Germany, 4 Sequenom GmbH, Hamburg, Germany, 5 Steno Diabetes Center, Copenhagen, Denmark, 6 Clinic and Policlinic for Internal Medicine II and Institute of Human Genetics, University of Lu ¨beck, Germany, 7 Clinic and Policlinic for Internal Medicine II, University of Regensburg, Germany, 8 Department of Clinical Sciences, University Hospital Malmo ¨, Sweden, 9 Centre for Cardiovascular Genetics, Royal Free and University College Medical School, London, UK, 10 Medical School, University of Wales, Swansea, UK, 11 Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Sahlgrenska Academy at Gothenborg University, Sweden, 12 Department of Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Germany, 13 Department of Clinical Nutrition, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Germany, 14 Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, USA, 15 Diabetes Unit, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland, 16 Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Finland, 17 South Ostrobothnia Central Hospital, Seina ¨joki, Finland, 18 Section of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Nutrition, University Hospital of Girona Dr Josep Trueta and ‘CIBER Fisiopatologı ´a de la Obesidad y Nutricio ´n’, Girona, Spain, 19 Research Unit, University Hospital Joan XXIII, Pere Virgili Institute and CIBERDEM, Tarragona, Spain, and 20 Division of Genetic Epidemiology, Innsbruck Medical University, Austria Abstract Background. Several studies have investigated associations between the -174G C single nucleotide polymorphism (rs1800795) of the IL6 gene and phenotypes related to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) but presented inconsistent results. Aims. This joint analysis aimed to clarify whether IL6 -174G C was associated with glucose and circulating interleukin-6 concentrations as well as body mass index (BMI). Correspondence: Iris M. Heid, Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum Mu ¨ nchen*German Research Center for Environmental Health, Ingolsta ¨dter Landstrasse 1, D-85764 Neuherberg, Germany. Fax: 49 89 3187 3380. E-mail: [email protected] (Received 19 February 2008; revised 27 May 2008; accepted 9 July 2008) Annals of Medicine. 2009; 41: 128138 ISSN 0785-3890 print/ISSN 1365-2060 online # 2009 Informa UK Ltd. (Informa Healthcare, Taylor & Francis AS) DOI: 10.1080/07853890802337037 Ann Med Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Michigan Health System For personal use only.

Transcript of Joint analysis of individual participants data from 17...

  • ORIGINAL ARTICLE

    Joint analysis of individual participants’ data from 17 studies on theassociation of the IL6 variant -174G�C with circulating glucoselevels, interleukin-6 levels, and body mass index

    CORNELIA HUTH1,2, THOMAS ILLIG1, CHRISTIAN HERDER3,

    CHRISTIAN GIEGER1,2, HARALD GRALLERT1, CAREN VOLLMERT1,4,

    WOLFGANG RATHMANN3, YASMIN H. HAMID5, OLUF PEDERSEN5,

    TORBEN HANSEN5, BARBARA THORAND1, CHRISTA MEISINGER1,

    ANGELA DÖRING1, NORMAN KLOPP1, HENNING GOHLKE1, WOLFGANG LIEB6,

    CHRISTIAN HENGSTENBERG7, VALERIYA LYSSENKO8, LEIF GROOP8,

    HELEN IRELAND9, JEFFREY W. STEPHENS10, INGRID WERNSTEDT ASTERHOLM11,

    JOHN-OLOV JANSSON11, HEINER BOEING12, MATTHIAS MÖHLIG13,

    HEATHER M. STRINGHAM14, MICHAEL BOEHNKE14, JAAKKO TUOMILEHTO15�17,

    JOSE-MANUEL FERNANDEZ-REAL18, ABEL LOPEZ-BERMEJO18, LUIS GALLART19,

    JOAN VENDRELL19, STEVE E. HUMPHRIES9, FLORIAN KRONENBERG20,

    H.-ERICH WICHMANN1,2 & IRIS M. HEID1,2

    1Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, Neuherberg, Germany, 2Institute of Biometry and Epidemiology,

    University of Munich, Germany, 3German Diabetes Center, Leibniz Institute at Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf,

    Germany, 4Sequenom GmbH, Hamburg, Germany, 5Steno Diabetes Center, Copenhagen, Denmark, 6Clinic and Policlinic

    for Internal Medicine II and Institute of Human Genetics, University of Lübeck, Germany, 7Clinic and Policlinic for Internal

    Medicine II, University of Regensburg, Germany, 8Department of Clinical Sciences, University Hospital Malmö, Sweden,9Centre for Cardiovascular Genetics, Royal Free and University College Medical School, London, UK, 10Medical School,

    University of Wales, Swansea, UK, 11Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Sahlgrenska Academy at Gothenborg

    University, Sweden, 12Department of Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Germany,13Department of Clinical Nutrition, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Germany, 14Department of

    Biostatistics, University of Michigan, USA, 15Diabetes Unit, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland,16Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Finland, 17South Ostrobothnia Central Hospital, Seinäjoki, Finland,18Section of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Nutrition, University Hospital of Girona Dr Josep Trueta and ‘CIBER

    Fisiopatologı́a de la Obesidad y Nutrición’, Girona, Spain, 19Research Unit, University Hospital Joan XXIII, Pere Virgili

    Institute and CIBERDEM, Tarragona, Spain, and 20Division of Genetic Epidemiology, Innsbruck Medical University,

    Austria

    AbstractBackground. Several studies have investigated associations between the -174G�C single nucleotide polymorphism(rs1800795) of the IL6 gene and phenotypes related to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) but presented inconsistent results.Aims. This joint analysis aimed to clarify whether IL6 -174G�C was associated with glucose and circulating interleukin-6concentrations as well as body mass index (BMI).

    Correspondence: Iris M. Heid, Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München*German Research Center for Environmental Health, IngolstädterLandstrasse 1, D-85764 Neuherberg, Germany. Fax: �49 89 3187 3380. E-mail: [email protected]

    (Received 19 February 2008; revised 27 May 2008; accepted 9 July 2008)

    Annals of Medicine. 2009; 41: 128�138

    ISSN 0785-3890 print/ISSN 1365-2060 online # 2009 Informa UK Ltd. (Informa Healthcare, Taylor & Francis AS)DOI: 10.1080/07853890802337037

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  • Methods. Individual-level data from all studies of the IL6-T2DM consortium on Caucasian subjects with available BMI werecollected. As study-specific estimates did not show heterogeneity (P�0.1), they were combined by using the inverse-variance fixed-effect model.Results. The main analysis included 9440, 7398, 24,117, or 5659 non-diabetic and manifest T2DM subjects for fastingglucose, 2-hour glucose, BMI, or circulating interleukin-6 levels, respectively. IL6 -174 C-allele carriers had significantlylower fasting glucose (�0.091 mmol/L, P�0.014). There was no evidence for association between IL6 -174G�C andBMI or interleukin-6 levels, except in some subgroups.Conclusions. Our data suggest that C-allele carriers of the IL6 -174G�C polymorphism have lower fasting glucose levels onaverage, which substantiates previous findings of decreased T2DM risk of these subjects.

    Key words: Blood glucose, body mass index, diabetes mellitus type 2, genes, inflammation mediators, interleukin-6,intermediate phenotype, meta-analysis, molecular epidemiology, single nucleotide polymorphism

    Introduction

    Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a public health

    problem of pandemic proportions. Conservative

    estimates indicate that there are 171 million people

    in the world with symptomatic or asymptomatic

    diabetes mellitus and that this global prevalence will

    double by 2030 to 366 million people (1). The

    spread of the disease is also alarming in Europe, even

    though Caucasians have a low to moderate preva-

    lence of T2DM compared with most other ethnic

    groups worldwide (2).

    Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a multifactorial

    disease. While a lot is known about environmental

    risk factors for T2DM, identification of the genetic

    etiology of T2DM has proven to be challenging (3).

    An interesting candidate variant for T2DM is the

    -174G�C polymorphism (rs1800795) of the IL6gene that codes for the cytokine interleukin-6 (IL-6).

    Interleukin-6 exerts pleiotropic biological functions

    in the regulation of the acute-phase reaction and

    immune responses, and is associated with T2DM

    and related diseases (4�7). The promoter poly-morphism IL6 -174G�C, which has been shownto affect IL6 promoter activity (8,9), was reported to

    be associated with circulating IL-6 levels (8,10�14),T2DM (15), insulin resistance (16), obesity (17�20), coronary heart disease (CHD) (21), cholesterol

    levels (6), and metabolic syndrome (22). However,

    association estimates pointed in inconclusive direc-

    tions, while other studies of these traits did not find

    any association.

    At the start of our project, meta-analyses on

    association between IL6 -174G�C and two differentoutcomes had been reported: 1) Sie et al. did not find

    statistically significant evidence for an association

    with CHD in 19,798 individuals (23). Having large

    heterogeneity between association estimates, Qi et al.

    did not detect a statistically significant association

    with T2DM in 17,452 individuals of mainly pub-

    lished studies (24). We established an international

    IL6-T2DM consortium on individual-level published

    and unpublished data and showed an almost 9%

    reduced T2DM risk for C-allele carriers in 20,976

    individuals (25). However, it was not clear yet

    whether the IL6 -174G�C polymorphism impactsIL-6 levels which together with the T2DM associa-

    tion would support a causal role of IL-6 levels in

    T2DM. Moreover, studies on genetic association

    with obesity pointed in a direction that was opposite

    to the T2DM association (17,18). Finally, analyzing

    the dichotomous trait T2DM is a substantial restric-

    tion of information, which can be overcome by

    analyzing the quantitative trait circulating plasma or

    serum glucose in the fasting state or after an oral

    Key messages

    . Several studies have investigated associa-tions between the -174G�C polymorph-ism (rs1800795) of the IL6 gene but

    presented inconsistent results. For all ana-

    lyzed phenotypes, our joint analysis repre-

    sents the largest study on individual-level

    data conducted to date to address the role

    of IL6 -174G�C.. We were able to reveal lower fasting glucose

    levels in carriers of the IL6 -174 C-allele.

    There was no evidence for association

    between IL6 -174G�C and BMI or circu-lating interleukin-6 levels, except in some

    subgroups.

    Abbreviations

    BMI body mass index

    CHD coronary heart disease

    HWE Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium

    IL-6 interleukin-6

    IL6 interleukin-6 gene

    OR odds ratio

    T2DM type 2 diabetes mellitus

    2-h 2-hour

    95% CI 95% confidence interval

    IL6*174G�C and quantitative phenotypes 129

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  • glucose load. This is of special importance because

    the T2DM finding was borderline statistically sig-

    nificant (P�0.037) (25), and a consistent glucoseassociation would greatly underscore this finding.

    The objective of the present study was to clarify

    the epidemiological evidence for the association of

    IL6 -174G�C polymorphism with circulating glu-cose levels, body mass index (BMI), and IL-6 levels as

    intermediate phenotypes on the way to T2DM. We

    used by far the largest individual-level data set on this

    polymorphism in relation to quantitative phenotypes

    to date. It is important to note that earlier studies

    detected associations between -174G�C and IL-6levels or obesity mostly in the presence of an

    inflammatory stimulus (10,11) or in subjects having

    a chronic subclinical (19), or an acute (12,14)

    inflammatory state. The inclusion of T2DM studies

    in our joint analysis was essential to investigate

    whether the impact of IL6 -174G�C indeed differedby the subclinical inflammatory state observed in type

    2 diabetic individuals, as opposed to healthy subjects.

    Subjects and methods

    All studies of the IL6-T2DM consortium on Cau-

    casian subjects with available BMI were included in

    this joint analysis of quantitative traits. Information

    on the inclusion criteria, the search strategy and

    recruitment of the studies, data cleaning, and

    genotyping methods is provided in the online

    appendix.

    Definition of analyzed samples and data collection

    Because the majority of included studies were cross-

    sectional population-based or T2DM case-control

    studies, our main analysis focused on a combined

    sample of non-diabetic and prevalent T2DM sub-

    jects. We included the baseline examination of the

    two longitudinal cohort studies excluding subjects

    that developed T2DM during follow-up for this

    main analysis. All analyses were confined to Cauca-

    sian adults who were at least 18 years old with data

    on the genotype of the IL6 -174G�C polymorph-ism, age, sex, BMI, and T2DM status. When

    known, type 1 diabetic individuals were excluded.

    In family studies, only the sibling generation was

    used. Data on circulating fasting and 2-hour plasma

    or serum glucose (measured two hours after con-

    sumption of 75 g glucose) and plasma or serum IL-6

    levels were collected where available.

    All participating studies have been conducted

    according to the principles expressed in the Declara-

    tion of Helsinki. Individual studies had either written

    informed consent for all subjects for genetic analyses

    or approval from their institutional review commit-

    tee for genetic analyses. Further details on design of

    individual studies and use in this joint analysis are

    presented in the online appendix Table A-II.

    Statistical analyses

    Study-specific b-coefficients for the association be-tween IL6 -174G�C and the quantitative traitswere estimated by linear regression, using SAS

    PROC GLM for studies with unrelated individuals

    and SAS PROC MIXED for family studies. All

    analyses were adjusted for age and sex. Primary

    analyses were performed including all subjects (full

    data analyses) additionally adjusting for T2DM

    status when analyzing BMI or IL-6 levels. Secondary

    analyses were conducted separately for the non-

    diabetic and the prevalent T2DM subjects (T2DM

    status-specific analyses), additionally adjusting for

    BMI when analyzing fasting, 2-hour glucose, or IL-6

    levels. If a study featured less than 50 participants

    for a specific analysis, this study was not included in

    the joint analysis. Studies with fasting glucose only

    on either T2DM cases or controls (EDSC, EPIC-

    POTSDAM_nCC-T2DM, and MONICA-S3) were

    excluded from the full data glucose analysis to assure

    a full range of glucose levels.

    IL6 -174G�C genotypes were analyzed model-free, comparing CC- or GC-genotype with the wild-

    type GG, and additionally by applying a dominant

    genetic model for the C-allele, which was the model

    reported previously for the T2DM association (25).

    Heterogeneity between study-specific b-coefficientswas tested by the chi-square-based Q-statistic, and

    its impact was quantified by I2 (26). As the hetero-

    geneity between study-specific b-coefficients wasnon-significant in all analyses (P�0.10), the b-coefficients were combined using the inverse-var-

    iance fixed-effect model (27). As recommended,

    summary association estimates of all studies with

    the genotype frequencies of non-diabetic subjects

    being in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) were

    reported as main results (28).

    A conservative Bonferroni-corrected significance

    level of 0.017 (�0.05/3) was applied to account forthe testing of the three phenotypes (glucose, BMI,

    and IL-6) in the primary (full data) analyses. Note

    that the phenotypes fasting and 2-hour postprandial

    glucose levels were highly correlated and thus not

    counted as two independent phenotypes here. In the

    secondary analyses, the significance level was further

    corrected for the two investigated subgroups yielding

    a significance level of 0.008 (0.05/6). More detailed

    information on statistical procedures is given in the

    online appendix.

    130 C. Huth et al.

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  • Analysis in incident T2DM patients

    In an additional exploratory analysis, we combined

    the linear regression estimates of baseline data from

    the incident T2DM cases of the two cohort studies

    to obtain estimates of the IL6 -174G�C associationwith BMI and IL-6 levels (glucose not available)

    among future T2DM subjects before they became

    cases (‘prediabetic subjects’).

    Results

    Study recruitment

    Seventeen studies with 25,635 participants met the

    study and subject inclusion criteria and were in-

    cluded in the joint analyses (see Table I for an

    overview). Online appendix Table A-III shows for

    which outcome the respective study qualified for

    analysis; online appendix Table A-IV presents the

    number of participants per study included in the

    analyses of the respective quantitative trait. All 17

    studies with 25,635 subjects were analyzed for the

    outcome BMI. Association analyses with BMI as

    main outcome had been unpublished in 12 studies at

    the time of study recruitment (called ‘unpublished

    for BMI’ in the following). Eight studies with 10,725

    participants were analyzed for fasting glucose, seven

    of them unpublished for this trait; seven studies with

    8399 participants were analyzed for 2-hour glucose

    (all unpublished). For the outcome circulating IL-6

    levels, data from seven studies with 5659 partici-

    pants were analyzed, six of them unpublished for IL-

    6 levels.

    Study-specific statistics

    Detailed characteristics of included studies and

    participants are summarized in online appendix

    Table A-V. All studies had been conducted in

    European populations. Genotype frequencies of

    non-diabetic subjects were in HWE for all studies,

    except for the BOTNIA and the TGN study, which

    were thus excluded from the main analyses. This left

    9440, 7398, 24,117, and 5659 subjects for the

    analysis of fasting glucose, 2-hour glucose, BMI,

    and circulating IL-6, respectively (see online appen-

    dix Table A-IV). The IL6 -174 C-allele frequency of

    non-diabetic subjects with genotype frequencies in

    HWE ranged from 41.1% (95% CI�38.3�43.8) inthe KORA-MIFAM study to 55.0% (95% CI�51.4�58.6) in the FUSION 1 study.

    IL6 -174G�C and circulating glucose

    The outcome fasting glucose was investigated

    as full data main analysis for the seven studies

    where the genotype frequencies of non-diabetic

    Table I. Characteristics of included studies.

    Studya Full study name Countryb n T2DM/non-diabetic subjectsc

    BOTNIA Botnia Study SF 731/557

    CAPPP Captopril Prevention Project S 42/424

    DANISH Danish Study DK 1212/4399

    EDSC Ealing Diabetes Study of Coagulation UK 299/0

    EPIC-POTSDAM European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

    Potsdam (EPIC-Potsdam)

    D 0/348

    FUSION 1 The Finland-United States Investigation of NIDDM Genetics,

    1st sampling wave

    SF 508/367

    FUSION 2 The Finland-United States Investigation of NIDDM Genetics,

    2nd sampling wave

    SF 437/201

    GIRONA Girona Genetics of Diabetes Study E 42/123

    KORA-MIFAM KORA MI Family Study D 95/881

    KORA-S4 KORA Survey S4 D 225/1190

    KORA-T2DMFAM KORA T2DM Family Study D 776/513

    MONICA/KORA-BASE MONICA/KORA Case Cohort Study S123

    (MONICA/KORA-S123)

    D 101/1744

    MONICA-S3 MONICA/KORA Survey S3 D 151/3551

    NPHS II Second Northwick Park Heart Study UK 0/2652

    RMIFAM Regensburg Ml Family Study D 662/2614

    TGN Tarraco Study E 166/64

    UDACS University College Diabetes and Cardiovascular Study UK 560/0

    aAbbreviated study name used in the present publication.bCountry of recruitment: D�Germany, DK�Denmark, E�Spain, SF�Finland, S�Sweden, UK�United Kingdom.cNumber of type 2 diabetic/non-diabetic subjects included in analyses of the outcome BMI.

    MI�myocardial infarction; NIDDM�non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus.

    IL6*174G�C and quantitative phenotypes 131

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  • subjects were in HWE, including 9440 subjects.

    Figure 1 shows the study-specific and the summary

    b-coefficients, using a dominant model for theC-allele. Most studies exhibited a reduction of

    fasting glucose levels, though not significant in

    each study separately. The summary estimate

    provided a statistically significant decrease of

    �0.091 mmol/L (95% CI�(�0.163)�(�0.018),P�0.014), corresponding to a decrease of about1.5% for subjects with GC- or CC-genotypes

    compared to GG. T2DM status-specific analyses

    showed a more pronounced reduction of �0.317mmol/L (95% CI�(�0.584)�(�0.049), P�0.020)among T2DM subjects.

    Table II provides model-free summary estimates,

    indicating that the dominant genetic model was

    consistent with the data.

    The full data main analysis of 2-hour glucose

    included six studies with 7398 subjects. There was

    no statistically significant association between IL6

    -174G�C and 2-hour glucose (C-allele dominantmodel for full data analysis: b��0.075 mmol/L,95% CI�(�0.201)�(0.051), P�0.243) (Table II).

    IL6 -174G�C and body mass index

    The full data main analysis of the outcome BMI

    included 15 studies with 24,117 subjects. Figure 2

    Study Association Estimate ß [95% CI] Weight [%]

    (A) Full Data Analysis GIRONA 1.33 -0.58 [-1.20, 0.05] FUSION 2 1.40 -0.53 [-1.14, 0.08] FUSION 1 1.57 -0.50 [-1.07, 0.08] CAPPP 2.55 -0.03 [-0.48, 0.42] KORA-T2DMFAM 11.78 0.11 [-0.10, 0.32] DANISH 38.92 -0.08 [-0.20, 0.03] KORA-S4 42.43 -0.11 [-0.22, 0.00]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 -0.09 [-0.16, -0.02]Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 9.79, df = 6 (P = 0.13), I² = 38.7%Test for overall effect: Z = 2.45 (P = 0.01)

    (B) Nondiabetic Individuals EPIC-POTSDAM 0.24 0.29 [-0.13, 0.71] GIRONA 0.78 -0.16 [-0.40, 0.07] CAPPP 0.93 -0.14 [-0.35, 0.08] FUSION 2 1.20 0.04 [-0.15, 0.23] MONICA-S3 2.14 -0.02 [-0.16, 0.12] FUSION 1 2.78 -0.01 [-0.13, 0.12] KORA-T2DMFAM 5.47 0.05 [-0.03, 0.14] KORA-S4 11.40 -0.01 [-0.07, 0.05] DANISH 75.06 0.01 [-0.01, 0.03]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 0.01 [-0.01, 0.03] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 7.28, df = 8 (P = 0.51), I² = 0%Test for overall effect: Z = 0.67 (P = 0.50)

    (C) Type 2 Diabetic Individuals EDSC 2.30 0.78 [-0.98, 2.55] FUSION 2 13.05 -0.55 [-1.29, 0.19] FUSION 1 14.09 -0.42 [-1.13, 0.30] KORA-T2DMFAM 17.03 0.31 [-0.34, 0.95] KORA-S4 17.08 -0.87 [-1.51, -0.22] DANISH 36.45 -0.30 [-0.74, 0.14]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 -0.32 [-0.58, -0.05] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 8.26, df = 5 (P = 0.14), I² = 39.5%Test for overall effect: Z = 2.32 (P = 0.02)

    -2 -1 0 1 2 CC+GC lower glucose CC+GC higher glucose

    Association Estimate ß [95% CI]

    (mmol/L)

    Figure 1. Forest plot, illustrating the study-specific b-coefficients with 95% CIs for the association between IL6 -174G�C, dominantmodel for the C-allele, and fasting glucose in (A) the full data analysis (combined group of non-diabetic and prevalent type 2 diabetes

    mellitus (T2DM) subjects), (B) only in non-diabetic subjects, and (C) only in prevalent T2DM subjects, adjusted for age, sex, and body

    mass index (BMI). Additionally, the summary fixed-effect ß-coefficient is shown. I2 measures the impact of inconsistency across studies and

    can range between 0% and 100%.

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  • shows the study-specific and the summary b-coeffi-cients applying the dominant model for the C-allele.

    There was no statistically significant evidence for an

    association between IL6 -174G�C and BMI in thefull data (b�0.088, 95% CI�(�0.023)�(0.200),P�0.120) or the T2DM status-specific analyses(P�0.10) (Table II).

    IL6 -174G�C and circulating interleukin-6 levels

    There was no evidence in the full data joint analysis

    including 5659 subjects of seven studies for an

    association between IL6 -174G�C and circulatingIL-6 levels (Table II and Figure 3). Likewise, there

    was no statistically significant IL-6 level association

    among the 4621 non-diabetic subjects of six studies

    or among the 966 prevalent T2DM subjects of four

    studies.

    Analysis of BMI and IL-6 levels in incident T2DM cases

    before they became cases

    Among the 641 incident T2DM subjects before they

    became type 2 diabetic, there was no association

    with BMI (P�0.10). Regarding circulating IL-6, theIL6 -174G�C showed no association in the domi-nant model, but higher levels for the homozygous

    CC-genotype (bCCvsGG�0.266, 95% CI�0.085�0.448, P�0.004) compared to the GG-genotype.

    Sensitivity analyses

    Regarding fasting glucose, 2-hour glucose, or IL-6

    levels, there was no evidence for publication bias: the

    Egger’s regression test was non-significant (P�0.10), and excluding published studies would not

    change the main findings (online appendix Table A-

    VI). Regarding BMI, there was some evidence for

    publication bias. In the five published studies with

    10,704 subjects, the IL6 -174 C-allele was statisti-

    cally significantly associated with higher BMI (b�0.190, 95% CI�0.023�0.358). In contrast,there was no association in the ten unpublished

    studies with 13,413 subjects (b�0.007, 95% CI�(�0.142)�(0.157)). Moreover, the funnel plot (on-line appendix Figure A-1) and the Egger’s regression

    test (P�0.06) showed some evidence for publica-tion bias of the summary BMI estimate when

    including all 15 studies, but none when restricting

    to the ten unpublished studies (P�0.27).Including studies with genotype HWE violation

    (online appendix Table A-VII) or omitting adjust-

    ment for BMI or T2DM status (data not shown)

    would not change our main findings. Furthermore,

    there were no large differences between associationTable

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    IL6*174G�C and quantitative phenotypes 133

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  • GIRONA 0.57 -0.52 [-2.00, 0.96]EDSC 0.71 1.03 [-0.30, 2.35]UDACS 1.50 0.86 [-0.05, 1.77]EPIC-POTSDAM 1.76 0.16 [-0.69, 1.00]FUSION 2 2.09 0.19 [-0.58, 0.96]CAPPP 2.10 1.03 [0.26, 1.80]FUSION 1 2.59 0.36 [-0.33, 1.05]KORA-T2DMFAM 3.11 -0.16 [-0.79, 0.47]KORA-MIFAM 4.14 0.21 [-0.34, 0.76]KORA-S4 5.60 0.13 [-0.35, 0.60]MONICA/KORA-BASE 9.22 -0.14 [-0.50, 0.23]MONICA-S3 14.88 0.15 [-0.14, 0.44]NPHS II 15.93 0.22 [-0.06, 0.50]RMIFAM 16.55 -0.18 [-0.45, 0.10]DANISH 19.25 0.04 [-0.22, 0.29]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 0.09 [-0.02, 0.20]Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 18.90, df = 14 (P = 0.17), I² = 25.9%Test for overall effect: Z = 1.55 (P = 0.12)

    (B) Nondiabetic individuals GIRONA 0.50 0.23 [-1.46, 1.91]FUSION 2 1.02 0.13 [-1.05, 1.30]FUSION 1 1.32 0.48 [-0.55, 1.52]KORA-T2DMFAM 1.78 0.32 [-0.57, 1.22]EPIC-POTSDAM 2.00 0.16 [-0.69, 1.00]CAPPP 2.19 0.98 [0.18, 1.79]KORA-MIFAM 4.44 0.30 [-0.27, 0.86]KORA-S4 5.55 0.15 [-0.35, 0.66]MONICA/KORA-BASE 10.17 -0.19 [-0.56, 0.19]RMIFAM 16.08 -0.21 [-0.51, 0.09]MONICA-S3 16.36 0.15 [-0.14, 0.45]NPHS II 18.13 0.22 [-0.06, 0.50]DANISH 20.44 -0.01 [-0.28, 0.25]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 0.07 [-0.05, 0.19] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 13.76, df = 12 (P = 0.32), I² = 12.8%Test for overall effect: Z = 1.17 (P = 0.24)

    (C) Type 2 Diabetic Individuals KORA-MIFAM 1.92 -0.87 [-2.92, 1.19]MONICA/KORA-BASE 2.31 1.05 [-0.82, 2.93]MONICA-S3 3.45 -0.13 [-1.67, 1.40]EDSC 4.62 1.03 [-0.30, 2.35]KORA-S4 5.23 0.01 [-1.24, 1.26]FUSION 1 9.45 0.30 [-0.62, 1.23]UDACS 9.81 0.86 [-0.05, 1.77]FUSION 2 10.59 0.22 [-0.66, 1.09]KORA-T2DMFAM 12.36 -0.34 [-1.15, 0.47]DANISH 18.40 0.32 [-0.34, 0.99]RMIFAM 21.86 -0.13 [-0.74, 0.48]

    Summary Association Estimate β β 100.00 0.18 [-0.11, 0.46] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 8.62, df = 10 (P = 0.57), I² = 0%Test for overall effect: Z = 1.21 (P = 0.23)

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    CC+GC lower BMI CC+GC higher BMI

    Study Association Estimate ß [95% CI] Weight [%] Association Estimate ß [95% CI]

    (A) Full Data Analysis

    (kg/m²)

    Figure 2. Forest plot, illustrating the study-specific ß-coefficients with 95% CIs for the association between IL6 -174G�C, dominantmodel for the C-allele, and body mass index (BMI) of (A) the full data analysis, (B) only non-diabetic subjects, and (C) only prevalent type

    2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) subjects, adjusted for age, sex, and T2DM status (A). Please refer to Figure 1 legend for more details.

    134 C. Huth et al.

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  • estimates of men and women in sex-stratified

    analyses (data not shown).

    Sensitivity analyses using ln-transformed fasting

    glucose levels, ln-transformed BMI levels, or age- and

    sex-preadjusted standard z-scores (all outcomes) to

    obtain phenotype distributions which are closer to

    normal yielded results which were very similar to the

    main analyses. Likewise, exclusion of outliers (fasting

    glucose B2.78 or �20.00 mmol/L, full data analysis:n�47; BMI B16.0 or �50.0 kg/m2, full dataanalysis: n�28; IL-6 levels B0.20 or �20.0 pg/mL,full data analysis: n�250, prevalent T2DM subjects:n�30) did not change the main results, except for astronger association between IL-6 levels (natural

    logarithm) and the IL6 -174 CC- versus GG-geno-

    type (b�0.226, 95% CI: 0.098�0.355, P�0.0006).Pooling the individual data rather than using a meta-

    analysis approach yielded very similar results for all

    analyses. Interestingly, a subgroup analysis with

    exclusion of the two studies (DANISH and RMI-

    FAM) with self-reported BMI data increased the

    BMI association estimate (C-allele dominant model:

    b�0.172 kg/m2, 95% CI: 0.033�0.312, P�0.015).

    Discussion

    Major findings

    In this joint analysis of individual-level data from

    9440 study participants, C-allele carriers of the IL6

    -174G�C polymorphism had lower fasting glucoselevels (�0.091 mmol/L, P�0.014) independently ofBMI. No association was found with BMI in 24,117

    subjects or with IL-6 levels in 5659 subjects. The

    estimates were robust against exclusion of outliers,

    various transformations of variables including use of

    GIRONA 1.17 -0.05 [-0.65, 0.54]EPIC-POTSDAM 7.23 -0.12 [-0.36, 0.12]CAPPP 10.17 -0.15 [-0.35, 0.05]UDACS 11.66 0.19 [0.01, 0.38]KORA-S4 14.54 0.03 [-0.14, 0.20]MONICA/KORA-BASE 22.16 0.11 [-0.02, 0.25]KORA-MIFAM 33.06 0.02 [-0.09, 0.13]

    100.00 0.03 [-0.03, 0.10] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 8.90, df = 6 (P = 0.18), I² = 32.6%Test for overall effect: Z = 1.05 (P = 0.29)

    GIRONA 1.01 0.00 [-0.71, 0.71] EPIC-POTSDAM 8.87 -0.12 [-0.36, 0.12] CAPPP 11.04 -0.18 [-0.39, 0.04] KORA-S4 16.19 -0.03 [-0.20, 0.15] MONICA/KORA-BASE 25.00 0.12 [-0.02, 0.26] KORA-MIFAM 37.88 0.01 [-0.10, 0.13]

    100.00 0.00 [-0.07, 0.07] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 6.49, df = 5 (P = 0.26), I² = 22.9%Test for overall effect: Z = 0.04 (P = 0.97)

    KORA-S4 9.33 0.35 [-0.15, 0.86]KORA-MIFAM 10.29 0.03 [-0.45, 0.51]MONICA/KORA-BASE 12.52 -0.07 [-0.50, 0.37]UDACS 67.85 0.19 [0.01, 0.38]

    100.00 0.16 [0.00, 0.31] Test for heterogeneity: Chi² = 2.00, df = 3 (P = 0.57), I² = 0%Test for overall effect: Z = 2.01 (P = 0.04)

    -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1CC versus GG lower IL-6 CC versus GG higher IL-6

    Study Association Estimate ß [95% CI] Weight [%] Association Estimate ß [95% CI]

    (A) Full Data Analysis

    Summary Association Estimate β β

    (B) Nondiabetic Individuals

    Summary Association Estimate β β

    (C) Type 2 Diabetic Individuals

    Summary Association Estimate β β

    ln of (pg/mL)

    Figure 3. Forest plot, illustrating the study-specific ß-coefficients with 95% CIs for the association between IL6 -174 CC versus GG and

    natural logarithm of circulating interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels of (A) the full data analysis, (B) only non-diabetic subjects, and (C) only

    prevalent type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) subjects, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and T2DM status (A). Please refer to

    Figure 1 legend for more details.

    IL6*174G�C and quantitative phenotypes 135

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  • standardized z-scores, or when applying different

    meta-analysis methodology.

    IL6 -174G�C and circulating glucose

    The present analysis results of the IL6 -174G�Cwith fasting glucose was in line with our previous

    joint analysis on T2DM, which had shown that

    individuals carrying the IL6 -174 C-allele had 9%

    lower odds for T2DM compared to individuals with

    the GG-genotype (P�0.037) (25). We also con-firmed the dominant genetic model. Our previous

    T2DM analysis had included a larger number of

    subjects; when restricting to the seven studies with

    fasting glucose data, a T2DM summary odds ratio

    (OR) of 0.89 (95% CI�0.78�1.02) with a non-significant P-value of 0.09 would have been yielded,

    which impressively demonstrates the gain from

    additional information by using glucose as a quanti-

    tative variable.

    The recent finding of an association between the

    IL6 -174 C-allele and T2DM (OR C-allele domi-

    nant model�0.75 (95% CI�0.57�0.98)) in theFrench D.E.S.I.R. study including 307 T2DM cases

    and 2919 normoglycemic controls (29) adds

    strength to our hypothesis that IL6 -174G�C trulyhas an impact on individual T2DM risk.

    IL6 -174G�C and body mass index

    Several lines of evidence suggest that the cytokine

    IL-6 plays a role in the regulation of body composi-

    tion, probably by acting in a catabolic manner (30�32). To date, association between IL6 -174G�Cand obesity has been investigated by several com-

    parably small studies with inconsistent results

    (17,18,20,21,33). Qi et al. recently conducted a

    large meta-analysis of mainly published studies

    including 26,944 subjects and found statistically

    significant heterogeneity between study-specific as-

    sociation estimates. Applying a random effects

    model in consequence, there was no evidence for

    an association between IL6 -174G�C and BMI(34). Our joint analysis of 24,117 subjects also did

    not find an association between IL6 -174G�C andBMI and added to the previous meta-analysis by sole

    inclusion of individual-level data which enabled

    application of completely standardized analysis

    methods resulting in low between-study heterogene-

    ity and by inclusion of mostly unpublished studies

    (56% of the analyzed study participants). There was

    only a small study overlap of 6631 subjects (27%)

    between the present joint analysis and the Qi et al.

    meta-analysis. Our power to detect a BMI difference

    of 0.2 kg/m2 or 0.3 kg/m2 between IL6 -174 C-allele

    carriers and non-carriers was more than 80% or

    nearly 100%, respectively, given the type 1 error

    probability of 0.050/3�0.017, a GG-genotype fre-quency of 31.2%, and a BMI standard deviation of

    4.2 kg/m2.

    IL6 -174G�C and circulating interleukin-6 levels

    The current literature on the association between the

    IL6 -174G�C and circulating IL-6 levels is incon-clusive. Several studies, with the largest including

    641�1526 Caucasians (23,24,35�37), did not findevidence for association. However, other studies

    with the largest being the recently published Cardi-

    ovascular Health Study (CHS) with 4714 elderly

    Caucasians (72 years median age) and a high

    prevalence of T2DM (28%) showed borderline

    significantly higher IL-6 levels for CC-genotype

    subjects compared to GG (P�0.04) (38). In ourjoint analysis of 5659 Caucasians there was no

    evidence for association between IL6 -174G�Cand circulating IL-6 levels including non-diabetic

    and manifest T2DM subjects. Reasons for our non-

    finding of an effect as compared to the CHS study

    might be a smaller power in a joint analysis

    compared to a single study, an effect only present

    in special risk groups, or a true non-existence of the

    effect. Our exploratory analysis of increased IL-6

    levels with the CC-genotype in the 641 incident

    T2DM subjects would be in line with the CHS

    study. In summary, our joint analysis was not able to

    resolve the puzzle whether and how IL-6 levels

    mediate the association between IL6 -174G�Cand T2DM by pin-pointing a direct association

    between the polymorphism and IL-6 levels. Thus,

    even larger studies optimally with a prospective

    design might be warranted.

    Strengths and limitations of this joint analysis

    The large number of subjects analyzed in our

    investigation was a definite strength. For all analyzed

    phenotypes, our study represents the largest study

    on individual-level data conducted to date to address

    the role of IL6 -174G�C. Thus, we were able toreveal small associations, which nevertheless are of

    importance due to the high prevalence of the genetic

    variant in the general population (41%�55%) andtheir potential to help understand the pathogenesis

    of this severe disease. Our non-finding of an

    association with BMI in this highly powered study

    may also be of great importance to solve to some

    extent the puzzle from contrary reports.

    136 C. Huth et al.

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  • Furthermore, it was a distinctive strength of our

    joint analysis that it was based on individual

    participants’ data allowing for standardized data

    cleaning and analysis, to which the low heterogeneity

    among study-specific estimates may be attributed.

    Finally, our analysis included many unpublished

    studies, which guards against the greatest threats of

    meta-analyses, the publication or selective reporting

    bias. Stratifying for published or unpublished studies

    depicted a potential of some bias for the published

    association studies of IL6 -174G�C and BMI.It may be considered a limitation that all T2DM

    status-specific analyses exhibited truncated glucose

    distributions, which consequently also affected the

    correlated BMI and IL-6 level distributions. In

    addition, no data were available on antidiabetic

    medication for T2DM subjects for the glucose

    analyses or on physical activity before blood extrac-

    tion for the circulating IL-6 level analyses. This

    might have decreased the precision of the estimates

    but is unlikely to have caused false-positive findings.

    Conclusion

    This joint analysis represents by far the largest

    individual participants’ data analysis to date on the

    association of the IL6 promoter polymorphism

    -174G�C with quantitative phenotypes relevantfor T2DM. Our data indicate that C-allele carriers

    of the widely debated IL6 -174G�C polymorphismhave lower fasting glucose levels on average, which

    substantiates previous findings of decreased T2DM

    risk of these subjects. Therefore, our study suggests

    IL6 as a T2DM gene. No statistically significant

    association was found for quantitative BMI or IL-6

    concentrations. In general, we demonstrated that a

    consortium-based approach involving individual

    participants’ data and standardized analysis is well

    suited to investigate genetic variants with small

    effects.

    Acknowledgements

    Funding: British Heart Foundation; Diabetes UK;

    European Foundation for the Study of Diabetes;

    German Diabetes Center; German Federal Ministry

    of Education, Science, Research and Technology/

    National Genome Research Network; German

    Federal Ministry of Health and Social Security;

    German Research Foundation; Helmholtz Zentrum

    München; Ministry of Science and Research of the

    State North Rhine-Westphalia; Munich Center of

    Health Sciences; National Institutes of Health,

    Swedish Research Council (no. K2007-54X-

    09894-16-3), EC FP6 funding (contract no.

    LSHM-CT-2003-503041), Sahlgrenska Center for

    Cardiovascular and Metabolic Research.

    We gratefully acknowledge the participation in the

    original studies of all individuals used in this joint

    analysis.

    Declaration of interest: The authors report no

    conflicts of interest. The authors alone are

    responsible for the content and writing of the paper.

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  • Appendix

    Research design and methods

    Study inclusion criteria, search strategy, and study

    recruitment

    All available published and unpublished studiesfulfilling the following criteria were recruited forthe IL6-T2DM consortium: 1) association studyconducted in humans, 2) polymorphic genotypedata for IL6 -174G�C, 3) T2DM cases and non-diabetic controls, 4) published before September2005 or unpublished, 5) availability of individualparticipants’ data (IPD). Studies were excluded ifthe control group consisted only of individuals withpre-diabetes (one study) (1), or if ethnic admixtureof unrelated study subjects was reported in theoriginal publication (Pima Indian case-control study,reported in (2)).

    Published studies were identified in the PubMeddatabase using the following search terms: (IL-6 ORIL6 OR interleukin-6) AND (diabetes OR T2DMOR NIDDM) AND (gene OR genes OR genet* ORpolymorphism* OR allele*). To further extend thesearch, the reference lists from all identified originalstudies and review articles on this topic wereexamined. Unpublished studies were recruited by acall for participation at the symposium ‘Immunoge-netic Contribution to Type 2 Diabetes and Para-meters of the Metabolic Syndrome’, which was heldin September 2004 at the 40th Annual Meeting ofthe European Association for the Study of Diabetes,and by personally contacting investigators in thefield.

    Data cleaning, phenotyping, and genotyping methods

    The study center at the Helmholtz ZentrumMünchen checked all incoming data for plausibilityand for consistency with information provided by theinvestigators or the published article. Plausible andcorrected data were converted into a standardformat and incorporated into a central database.

    Body mass index was calculated as weight (kg)divided by squared height (m2) from measuredanthropometric data, except for the RMIFAM andDANISH studies where self-reported data wereused. An overview on methods used to quantifycirculating interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels is presented inTable A-I.

    A questionnaire was sent to all principal investi-gators to collect data on genotyping methods andquality. This information is also summarized inTable A-I. As IL6 -174G�C is a G/C-polymorph-ism, and allele G is complementary to allele C, thegenotyping sequences and strands, assessed via thequestionnaire, were compared with a reference toconfirm that the allele labeling was performedconsistently across all studies.

    Further details on the statistical analyses

    Statistical analyses were performed using SAS soft-ware version 9.1 (Cary, NC, USA). IL6 -174G�Callele and genotype frequencies were estimated,accounting for the correlation in family data by useof an exchangeable structure in a generalized esti-mating equations approach (SAS PROC GEN-MOD). Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) wastested in non-diabetic subjects (SAS PROC AL-LELE); for family studies only one randomly drawnsubject per family was included. In order to approx-imate a normal distribution, circulating IL-6 waslogarithmically transformed.

    Publication bias was investigated by visual in-spection of funnel plots and by the Egger’s regres-sion test (3). Funnel and forest plots were preparedusing Review Manager software version 4.2 (Co-chrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, DK).

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  • Figure A-1. (online appendix). Funnel plot for the association between IL6 -174G�C and body mass index (BMI). For each study, the ß-coefficient of the dominant model for the C-allele, adjusted for age, sex, and type 2 diabetes status, is plotted against its standard error as a

    measure of study precision. All studies with IL6 -174G�C genotypes of non-diabetic individuals in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE)are included. Black circles represent BMI published studies, white circles represent BMI unpublished studies. The vertical line marks the

    pooled ß-coefficient (0.09 kg/m2).

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  • Table A-I. (online appendix). Methods used for quantifying circulating interleukin (IL)-6 levels and genotyping IL6 -174G�C (rs1800795according to http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov).

    Study IL-6 level quantification Genotyping method Call rate (%)a

    Botnia Study n.a. Allelic discrimination

    assay-by-design on ABI 7900

    (Applied Biosystems)

    100

    Captopril Prevention Project Sandwich ELISA, R&D Systems,

    Abingdon, UK

    Dynamic allele specific

    hybridization (DASH)

    100

    Danish Study n.a. Chip-based MALDI-TOF MS

    (MassArray, Sequenom)

    96

    Ealing Diabetes Study of

    Coagulation

    n.a. Nla III RFLP, MADGE 97

    European Prospective Investigation

    into Cancer and Nutrition Potsdam

    Sandwich ELISA, R&D Systems,

    Abingdon, UK

    SNuPE, MegaBACE 1000 100

    The Finland-United States

    Investigation of NIDDM Genetics

    n.a. Illumina GoldenGate 98

    Girona Genetics of Diabetes Study Solid-phase, enzyme-labeled,

    chemiluminescent sequential

    immunometric assay, DPC

    DIPESA S.A., Madrid, Spain

    SfaNI RFLP 99

    KORA MI Family Study Sandwich ELISA, R&D Systems,

    Abingdon,

    UK

    Hsp92II RFLP, PAGE 97

    KORA Survey S4 Sandwich ELISA, CLB, Amsterdam,

    Netherlands

    Chip-based MALDI-TOF MS

    (MassArray, Sequenom)

    97

    KORA T2DM Family Study n.a. Chip-based MALDI-TOF MS

    (MassArray, Sequenom)

    98

    MONICA/KORA Case Cohort Study

    S123

    Sandwich ELISA, CLB,

    Amsterdam,

    Netherlands

    Chip-based MALDI-TOF MS

    (MassArray, Sequenom)

    99

    MONICA/KORA Survey S3 n.a. Chip-based MALDI-TOF MS

    (MassArray, Sequenom)

    99

    Regensburg MI Family Study n.a. Hsp92II RFLP, PAGE 97

    Second Northwick Park Heart Study n.a. PCR by MADGE, NIaIII RFLP 99

    Tarraco Study n.a. SfaNI RFLP 99

    University College Diabetes and

    Cardiovascular Study

    Sandwich ELISA, R&D Systems,

    Abingdon, UK

    PCR by MADGE, NIaIII RFLP 99

    aSuccessfully genotyped individuals in percent of all subjects intended for genotyping.

    n.a.�not applicable; NIDDM�non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus; MI�myocardial infarction.

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  • Table A-II. (online appendix). Description of included studies.

    Study name (official abbreviation) Study descriptiona

    Botnia Study The Botnia Study began in 1990 as a family-based study aiming to identify genes increasing susceptibility to T2DM. Type 2

    diabetic subjects from the area of five health care centers in the Botnia region of Western Finland were invited to participate

    together with their family members. For the purpose of this joint analysis, unrelated individuals were genotyped for IL6 -174G�C. According to a priori defined criteria, one type 2 diabetic individual per family was selected. Non-diabetic subjects comprise

    cases’ spouses and unrelated individuals, all being 35 years or older.

    Captopril Prevention Project (CAPPP) CAPPP is a prospective randomized clinical trial conducted in Sweden and Finland during the 1990s. Patients aged 25�66 years,with a measured diastolic blood pressure of 100 mmHg or more on two occasions, were recruited at health centers and randomly

    assigned to captopril or conventional antihypertensive treatment. Exclusion criteria were secondary hypertension, serum

    creatinine concentration of more than 150 mmol/L, and disorders that required treatment with ß-blockers. Cases had T2DM atbase-line or were diagnosed during the follow-up. This joint analysis includes a substudy of the Swedish part of CAPPP, which has

    been genotyped for IL6 -174G�C. This substudy comprises all patients that got myocardial infarction (MI), plus two controlsubjects without MI per patient, matched with respect to gender, age, and smoking. Further details: (4).

    Danish Study The DANISH case-control study of T2DM involves all 4568 subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) from the Inter99

    cohort and 1389 unrelated type 2 diabetic patients recruited from the outpatient clinic at Steno Diabetes Center, Copenhagen and

    the Research Center for Prevention and Health through the Inter99 study. The Inter99 cohort is a population-based randomized

    non-pharmacological intervention study for prevention of cardiovascular disease done at the Research Center for Prevention and

    Health involving 6514 Caucasian subjects (6164 with data from an oral glucose tolerance test). Further details: (5).

    Ealing Diabetes Study of Coagulation (EDSC) The type 2 diabetic individuals of the EDSC study were recruited consecutively from the Ealing Hospital diabetes clinic in

    London, UK. Patients completed a questionnaire with details of age, ethnicity, smoking habit, fasting status, duration of diabetes,

    and other clinical details. Blood was collected for plasma and DNA analysis. Several further parameters, such as BMI, were

    measured. Type 2 diabetic individuals (n�927) comprised primarily three ethnic groups: Indian Asian, n�503; UK white, n�331; black Afro-Caribbean, n�93. Further details: (6). To ensure comparability with the other Caucasian studies, only the whitesubjects were included in this joint analysis.

    European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

    Potsdam (EPIC-Potsdam)

    A nested case-control study was designed within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition Potsdam

    cohort (EPIC-POTSDAM_nCC-T2DM), which is part of the European multicenter, population-based EPIC-study including

    27,548 subjects from the area around Potsdam, Germany (women aged 35�65 years and men aged 40�65 years). Base-lineexamination and blood sampling were conducted between 1994 and 1998. Data presented in this joint analysis are based on the

    first follow-up questionnaires sent to the study participants on average 2.3 years after base-line examination. Further details: (7).

    To ensure comparability with the other cross-sectional studies, only the non-diabetic control subjects were included in this joint

    analysis. Cases were free of T2DM at base-line and developed their incident T2DM during the follow-up. Analyses of their data

    are presented separately.

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  • Table A.II (Continued)

    Study name (official abbreviation) Study descriptiona

    The Finland-United States Investigation of NIDDM Genetics

    (FUSION)

    The index probands in the FUSION study were identified primarily from the National Hospital Discharge Registry (NHDR),

    which includes records since 1970 of all hospitalized patients with diabetes, and from previous studies carried out by the National

    Public Health Institute in Finland. From the NHDR, all patients who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of T2DM in Finland

    during 1987�1993 were identified in the first wave of sampling (FUSION 1). In the second wave of sampling (FUSION 2),patients hospitalized with T2DM during 1994�1995 were identified. Potential families for FUSION 2 also included someidentified during FUSION 1 but not invited to participate at that time due to distance from the study clinics. An index proband

    with his family was eligible for participation in the FUSION study if 1) the proband or another affected sibling was diagnosed with

    T2DM between 35 and 60 years of age, 2) there was no history of type 1 diabetes in first-degree relatives, 3) the proband had one

    or more living full siblings diagnosed with T2DM at any age, and 4) at least one parent was apparently non-diabetic, with

    preference given to families with living parents or parents who had lived a long life without known diabetes. Further details on

    FUSION 1: (8); on FUSION 2: (9). Participants of FUSION 1 and FUSION 2 were analyzed separately. ‘FUSION 1’ in this joint

    analysis comprises one type 2 diabetic individual from each FUSION 1 family, and non-diabetic spouses of type 2 diabetic

    FUSION participants, as well as elderly subjects that were all born in 1925 and were normal glucose tolerant by oral glucose

    tolerance tests (OGTTs) at both ages 65 and 70. ‘FUSION 2’ comprises the sibling generation of the FUSION 2 sampling wave.

    Girona Genetics of Diabetes Study The type 2 diabetic patients of the Girona Genetics of Diabetes Study were consecutively recruited subjects from the diabetes

    clinics at the Hospital of Girona, Spain. The non-diabetic subjects are unrelated healthy Caucasian middle-aged subjects recruited

    from the general population. Further details: (2).

    KORA Studies in chronological order KORA (Cooperative Health Research in the Region Augsburg) is a regional research platform in the German city of Augsburg and

    the two adjacent counties, for population-based studies, subsequent follow-up studies, and family studies in the fields of

    epidemiology, health economics, and health care research. KORA was established in 1996 to expand the WHO (World Health

    Organization) MONICA (Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease) project in Augsburg. In the

    framework of MONICA, three independent cross-sectional population-representative surveys were conducted in 1984/85 (S1),

    1989/90 (S2), and 1994/95 (S3), and a population-based acute myocardial infarction registry was set up. The study subjects of all

    Augsburg MONICA and KORA surveys and the family studies on myocardial infarction and T2DM are of German nationality

    and were studied by physical examination, blood testing, and a standardized interview in KORA study centers. All tests were

    carried out by specially trained personnel. Further details: (10�12). Some individuals were originally recruited for two or morestudies, but were assigned to one of the included KORA studies for the purpose of this joint analysis according to a priori defined

    criteria.

    MONICA/KORA Survey S3 The MONICA/KORA Survey S3 originally investigated 4856 individuals. Study participants that are included in the MONICA/

    KORA Case Cohort Study S123 were eliminated from subjects of the MONICA/KORA Survey S3 for this joint analysis.

    KORA MI Family Study Patients with MI prior to the age of 60 years and their siblings were identified through the acute myocardial infarction registry. The

    diagnosis of MI was established according to the MONICA diagnostic criteria. Of 1254 patients contacted, 609 agreed to

    participate in the study (532 men, aged 56.190.3 years). Moreover, 540 siblings without MI (251 men, aged 54.690.4 years from325 families) were recruited and examined by the same protocol.

    KORA Survey S4 (KORA S4) The KORA S4 studied a population-representative sample of 4261 subjects, 25�74 years old, during the years 1999�2001. Thesample design followed the guidelines of the three previous MONICA Augsburg surveys. In the age-range of 55�74 years, 1653persons participated in an OGTT. These participants were genotyped for IL6 -174G�C and included in this joint analysis.Further details: (13).

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  • Table A.II (Continued)

    Study name (official abbreviation) Study descriptiona

    KORA T2DM Family Study (KORA T2DMFAM) In 2001/2002, 605 nuclear families were enrolled in the KORA T2DM Family Study. Families were ascertained through an index

    proband with known T2DM, who had at least one full sib or both parents willing to participate in the study. All available members

    of the index probands’ nuclear families, i.e. full sibs and parents, were included. Index probands were all from the city or region of

    Augsburg. They were recruited from T2DM patients of the Central Hospital of Augsburg, from earlier MONICA and KORA

    studies, from the acute myocardial infarction registry, or via public relations. All participants were living in Germany, and all were

    of European origin. Most subjects were extensively phenotyped in the KORA study center, some were examined by their family

    doctor, who decided whether or not the subject had T2DM and took blood samples for DNA analyses. Data of the sibling

    generation was included in this joint analysis.

    MONICA/KORA Case Cohort Study S123 All participants of at least one of the three MONICA Augsburg surveys were prospectively followed for the MONICA/KORA Case

    Cohort Study S123. The study was restricted to participants aged 35�74 years at base-line, since the incidence of T2DM is low inyounger subjects. A stratified random sample of the source population, containing 1885 subjects, was selected. A total of 555

    incident cases of T2DM were observed between participants’ study start dates and 31st December 2002. Further details: (14). For

    the purposes of this joint analysis on quantitative phenotypes, the base-line data of the MONICA/KORA Case Cohort Study S123

    (prevalent T2DM and non-diabetic subjects) without the participants who developed their incident T2DM during the follow-up

    were used to ensure comparability with the other cross-sectional studies (MONICA/KORA-BASE). Analyses of the subjects with

    incident T2DM are presented separately.

    Regensburg MI Family Study The kindreds of the Regensburg MI Family Study were ascertained through MI index patients, who were identified by screening

    93,500 patient charts in seven cardiac in-hospital rehabilitation centers distributed throughout Germany. Index patients had all

    suffered from MI before 60 years. If at least one sibling had suffered from MI or had severe coronary artery disease or by-pass

    surgery, the index patient with all available parents and siblings were contacted and invited to participate in the study. All

    participating individuals filled out a standardized questionnaire that focused on cardiovascular risk factors, medical diagnoses, life-

    style and medication. Further details: (15). Data of the sibling generation were included in this joint analysis.

    Second Northwick Park Heart Study (NPHS II) For the NPHS II Study, 3012 unrelated healthy Caucasian middle-aged male subjects were recruited from nine general medical

    practices scattered throughout the UK and prospectively followed from 1989. Sixty-eight subjects with diabetes at base-line were

    excluded from analysis. Further details: (16).

    Tarraco Study For the Tarraco study, 211 unrelated type 2 diabetic subjects were recruited from the outpatient clinic at Hospital Universitari de

    Tarragona ‘Joan XXIII’ during the years 2000�2004. Simultaneously, 118 healthy subjects were recruited from the same hospital.Further details: (2).

    University College Diabetes and Cardiovascular Study

    (UDACS)

    The UDACS Study comprises 1011 consecutive subjects recruited from the diabetes clinic at University College London

    Hospitals NHS Trust (UCLH) between the years 2001 and 2002. Patients completed a questionnaire with details of age, ethnicity,

    smoking habit, fasting status, duration of diabetes, and other clinical details. Blood was collected for plasma and DNA analysis.

    Several further parameters, such as BMI, were measured. No subjects requiring renal dialysis were recruited. Further details: (16).

    aThe numbers of participants presented for the original studies do not always match the numbers used in the analyses of this joint analysis. The reason is that some subjects of the original studies

    were not included in the joint analysis because of study overlap, missing genotype data, or missing phenotype data.

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  • Table A-IV. (online appendix). Overview of studies and numbers of participants included in the analyses of the quantitative traits fasting

    glucose, 2-h glucose, body mass index, and circulating interleukin (IL)-6 levels.

    Fasting glucose 2-h glucose Body mass index Circulating IL-6 levels

    Study Non-diaba T2DMa Fulla Non-diab T2DM Full Non-diab T2DM Full Non-diab T2DM Full

    CAPPP 286 (37)b 323 424 (42)b 466 420 (42)b 462

    DANISH 4397 1139 5536 4396 366 4762 4399 1212 5611

    EDSC 106 299 299

    EPIC-POTSDAM 65 348 348 346 346

    FUSION 1 358 486 844 359 (37)b 396 367 508 875

    FUSION 2 194 397 591 192 78 270 201 437 638

    GIRONA 123 (41)b 164 89 (12)b 101 123 (42)b 165 84 (30)b 114

    KORA-MIFAM 881 95 976 872 94 966

    KORA-S4 1186 132 1318 1190 118 1308 1190 225 1415 1183 222 1405

    KORA-T2DMFAM 512 152 664 505 56 561 513 776 1289

    MONICA/KORA-BASE 1744 101 1845 1716 101 1817

    MONICA-S3 299 3551 151 3702

    NPHS II 2652 2652

    RMIFAM 2614 662 3276

    UDACS 560 560 549 549

    Sum main analyses 7420 2412 9440 6731 618 7398 19007 5026 24117 4621 966 5659

    Studies with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) violation (included in sensitivity analyses):

    BOTNIA 557 728 1285 539 462 1001 557 731 1288

    TGN 52 64 166 230

    Sum all studies 7977 3192 10725 7270 1080 8399 19628 5923 25635 4621 966 5659

    aNumber of ‘Non-diab’�non-diabetic subjects, ‘T2DM’�type 2 diabetic subjects, ‘Full’�non-diabetic and type 2 diabetic subjectscombined (used for full data analysis).bThese type 2 diabetic subjects were not included in the T2DM status-specific analysis because there were less than 50 type 2 diabetic

    subjects in this study with data on the respective outcome.

    Table A-III. (online appendix). References of included studies and overview on analyzed outcomes.

    Study No. T2DM/Non-diaba Outcomeb Fasting glucose 2-h glucose BMI IL-6 Level Referencec

    BOTNIA 731/557 3 3 3 4 n.a.

    CAPPP 42/424 2 4 1 2 (4)

    DANISH 1212/4399 1 3 1 4 (5)

    EDSC 299/0 3 4 3 4 n.a.

    EPIC-POTSDAM 0/348 4 4 2 2 (7)

    FUSION 1 508/367 3 3 3 4 n.a.

    FUSION 2 437/201 3 3 3 4 n.a.

    GIRONA 42/123 3 3 3 3 (2)

    KORA-MIFAM 95/881 4 4 2 2 (17)

    KORA-S4 225/1190 3 3 1 1 (18)

    KORA-T2DMFAM 776/513 3 3 3 4 n.a.

    MONICA/KORA-BASE 101/1744 4 4 3 3 n.a.

    MONICA-S3 151/3551 4 4 2 4 (17)

    NPHS II 0/2652 4 4 1 4 (16)

    RMIFAM 662/2614 4 4 2 4 (17)

    TGN 166/64 4 4 3 4 (2)

    UDACS 560/0 4 4 1 3 (16)

    aNumber of type 2 diabetic (T2DM)/non-diabetic (non-diab) subjects included in analyses of the outcome BMI.bPublication of analyses on association between IL6 -174G�C and outcomes fasting glucose, 2-h glucose, body mass index (BMI), orinterleukin-6 (IL-6) levels 1�as main outcome, 2�as additional outcome; 3�completely unpublished before study recruitment for jointanalysis. 4�No or not enough outcome data available for analysis.cReferences of association studies between IL6 -174G�C and circulating glucose or IL-6 levels, BMI, or T2DM.n.a.�not applicable

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  • Table A-V. (online appendix). Characteristics of study participants in the joint analysis.

    Mean9standard error IL6 -174G�C

    Study Statusa T2DM diagnosisb No.c Male (%) Age (years) BMI (kg/m2) % GC % CC P HWEd

    BOTNIA 1 4, 10 731 53 60910 2995 53 25 0.182 2, 3, 4, 6 557 48 53912 2694 55 24 0.03

    CAPPP 1 5, 7, 10 42 81 5895 3094 45 26 0.552 4 424 72 5797 2794 45 24 0.11

    DANISH 1 3, 4, 5, 6, 10 1212 59 57911 3095 48 23 0.282 5, 7 4399 47 4598 2694 48 23 0.06

    EDSC 1 3, 4, 10 299 63 63914 3096 45 22 0.132 n.a.

    EPIC-POTSDAM 1 n.a.

    2 1, 2 348 59 5597 2794 55 18 0.07FUSION 1 1 3, 4, 5, 6, 10 508 55 6397 3095 47 30 0.15

    2 2, 3, 4, 7 367 41 6696 2794 50 30 1.00FUSION 2 1 3, 4, 5, 6, 10 437 55 6499 3095 49 29 0.89

    2 2, 3, 4, 6 201 38 5899 2794 52 28 0.30GIRONA 1 5, 6, 10 42 76 53910 3195 50 10 0.73

    2 4, 6 123 82 47913 2694 50 24 1.00KORA-MIFAM 1 1, 3, 8 95 85 5896 3095 50 15 0.66

    2 1, 2, 8 881 67 5598 2894 47 17 0.71KORA-S4 1 2, 3, 5, 6, 10 225 59 6595 3195 54 16 0.17

    2 1, 2, 4, 6 1190 51 6495 2894 52 17 0.06KORA-T2DMFAM 1 2, 3, 5, 6, 10 776 58 61910 3195 52 16 0.02

    2 1, 2, 4, 6 513 43 58911 2895 52 16 0.17MONICA/KORA-BASE 1 2, 10 101 66 6297 3094 49 21 0.85

    2 1 1744 53 52910 2794 49 17 0.55MONICA-S3 1 2, 3, 8, 10 151 58 6398 3094 46 23 0.33

    2 1, 2, 8 3551 51 48914 2794 50 19 0.26NPHSII 1 n.a.

    2 1 2652 100 5693 2693 50 18 0.47RMIFAM 1 1, 9 662 70 6197 2894 51 18 0.26

    2 1, 9 2614 68 5899 2793 48 19 0.52TGN 1 1, 4 166 34 60910 2995 50 08 0.16

    2 1, 3, 4, 6 64 41 49914 3095 61 08 0.04UDACS 1 4, 10 560 59 66911 3096 45 13 0.85

    2 n.a.

    a1�type 2 diabetic subjects, 2�non-diabetic subjects.bType of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM)-diagnosis for type 2 diabetic subjects: 1�interview question; 2�interview question withdiabetes confirmation by doctor; 3�diabetes medication; 4�doctor diagnosis; 5�fasting glucose ]7.0 mmol/L; 6�oral glucosetolerance test with 2-hour glucose ]11.1 mmol/L (WHO-OGTT); 7�WHO-OGTT in some participants to confirm diagnosis; 8�random glucose ]11.1 mmol/L; 9�glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) ]6.2%; 10�exclusion of subjects with type 1 diabetes.Type of ‘No T2DM’-diagnosis for non-diabetic subjects: 1�interview question; 2�no diabetes medication; 3�doctor diagnosis; 4�fasting glucoseB7.0 mmol/L; 5�fasting glucose B6.1 mmol/l; 6�oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with 2-hour glucoseB11.1 mmol/L; 7�OGTT with 2-hour glucose B7.8 mmol/L; 8�random glucose B11.1 mmol/L; 9�HbA1c B6.2%.cNumber of individuals included in analyses for association between IL6 -174G�C and body mass index (BMI).dP-value of exact test for Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE), using 10,000 Monte Carlo permutations. In the four family-studies

    FUSION 2, KORA-MIFAM, KORA-T2DMFAM, and RMIFAM, HWE was calculated, including only one randomly drawn type 2

    diabetic, or non-diabetic subject, respectively, per family.

    n.a.�not applicable.

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    Hanson RL, Gruber JD, et al. The interleukin-6 (�174) G/Cpromoter polymorphism is associated with type-2 diabetes

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    Table A-VII. (online appendix). Full data sensitivity analyses, additionally including studies showing Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE)

    violation in non-diabetic subjects (C-allele dominant model).

    Outcome

    Additionally included

    studies Individual n

    Individual b-estimates(95% CI) Su