Jaypee IT Sector Update

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Our reports are available on Bloomberg < JAYP >

    Please refer to the disclaimer at the end of the report

    Rating and Recommendations (`)

    Co. Name CMP TP RECO

    Infosys 2906 3300 BUY

    TCS 1164 1315 BUY

    Wipro 450 480 Neutral

    HCL Tech 520 575 BUY

    Patni Comp. 427 470 Neutral

    Persistent 383 450 Neutral

    Mindtree 368 410 Neutral

    KPIT Cummins 164 183 Neutral

    Valuation (on FY12E)

    Co. Name P/E P/BV EV/ Sales

    Infosys 20.7 4.9 4.7

    TCS 21.1 7.5 4.9

    Wipro 19.3 4.3 2.9

    HCL Tech 21.0 4.1 2.3

    Patni Comp. 11.8 1.6 0.9

    Persistent 13.1 2.0 1.1

    Mindtree 10.8 1.7 0.8

    KPIT Cummins 14.4 2.3 0.9

    Vijay Gautam

    [email protected]

    Krupa B Shah

    [email protected]

    Contact No:

    +91 22 43542019

    Q4FY11 results of Indian IT companies were slightly lower than ourexpectations. However, in wake of robust demand environment and

    volume flow, outlook remains robust. The earnings season kick started

    with Infosys reporting surprisingly lower numbers. Streets expectations

    lowered for a while but were raised again with other large caps reporting

    above average results. Large cap IT stocks have remained liquid, while

    midcaps have remained subdued due to tepid results yet again.

    Demand scenario: Apart from Infosys, which reported a decline in revenue

    from US, all companies have reported growth in revenue from US. Infosys

    result seems to be an aberration. Nevertheless, it has given a guidance of

    18-20% growth for FY12, higher than 16-18% growth guidance it gave forFY11 initially. Demand scenario appears intact and robust.

    High performing verticals: Since pent-up demand in BFSI is exhausting, we

    expect BFSI growth rate to subside, but other verticals like retail, healthcare

    and logistics and service lines like Infra Management, Testing and R&D

    should propel growth. We expect Telecom vertical to remain subdued.

    Margins: IT job market remains dynamic and there has been a battle for

    talent. Employee remains a king and often wins salary negotiation rounds.

    Also, the companies are working at high end of utilization. In absence of anylever, margins are expected to remain under pressure and margin recovery

    looks remote possibility. After registering a margin fall of 120 bp in Q4FY11,

    Infosys again guided for a fall of 300 bp and 100 bp for Q1FY12 and FY12.

    Pricing: Pricing scenario is positive, as most companies expect 1-2 percent

    rise in onsite billing rates and 2-4 percent in offshore billing rates. Our

    meetings with Infosys, Wipro and Mindtree confirmed that they are

    expecting positive movement in offshore billing rates.

    High valuation: Large caps are trading at high multiples on back of goodgrowth and margins owing to large end-to-end servicing contracts, project

    efficiencies and managing personnel cost. Midcaps keep trading at low

    multiple given the growth and margin prospects. There is limited comfort in

    terms of valuation as all positive factors already appear priced in. Due to

    valuation factor, we remain NEUTRAL on the sector.

    RESULT REVIEW Q4FY11 IT SECTOR NEUTRAL

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    Infosys

    Infosys reported revenue of $1,602 mn (+1.1% QoQ, 23.6% YoY). Toplinegrew by 25.7% in FY12. EBIT margin declined by 120 bp to 29.0%. EPS stood at

    `31.82 (+2.2% QoQ, +17.1% YoY). Cash and cash equivalents stands at

    `166,660 mn. The company has 130,820 employees on board.

    Revenue by Industry ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    BFSI $572 $574 $451 -0.3% 26.8%

    Banking & FS $457 $441 $351 3.6% 30.0%

    Insurance $115 $133 $100 -13.4% 15.6%

    Manufacturing $327 $311 $262 5.2% 24.8%

    Telecom $191 $230 $198 -17.1% -3.9%

    Retail $232 $198 $168 17.2% 37.9%

    Energy & Utilities $93 $97 $75 -3.9% 23.6%

    Transport & Logistics $34 $29 $23 17.9% 44.2%

    Services $83 $79 $64 5.1% 31.2%

    Others $70 $68 $54 3.4% 29.5%

    Total $1,602 $1,585 $1,296 1.1% 23.6%

    Revenue by Business ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    ADM $610 $604 $513 1.1% 18.9%

    Application Development $258 $247 $218 4.3% 18.5%

    Application Maintenance $352 $357 $295 -1.2% 19.3%

    Business Process Mgmt $90 $89 $80 1.1% 11.6%Consulting & Pkg. Impl. $407 $411 $337 -0.9% 20.8%

    Infra Management $98 $95 $93 2.8% 4.7%

    Product Engineering $38 $41 $23 -6.7% 64.8%

    System Integration $98 $89 $58 10.1% 67.6%

    Testing Services $117 $120 $86 -2.9% 36.7%

    Others $58 $52 $40 10.3% 43.5%

    Total services $1,515 $1,501 $1,231 1.0% 23.1%

    Product revenues $87 $84 $65 3.0% 33.5%

    Total $1,602 $1,585 $1,296 1.1% 23.6%

    Revenue by geography ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    North America 1,020$ 1,025$ 857$ -0.5% 19.1%Europe 354$ 346$ 292$ 2.5% 21.4%

    India 43$ 35$ 18$ 24.0% 138.4%

    Rest of the World 184$ 179$ 130$ 2.9% 42.2%

    Total 1,602$ 1,585$ 1,296$ 1.1% 23.6%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value Infosys at 20x FY13E EPS and arrive at target price of`3,300.

    Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    EBIT margin 31.1% 30.1% 28.3% 30.2% 30.2% 29.0%

    movement (bp) 76 (98) (178) 188 1 (122)

    Utilization Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11

    Incl. trainees 68.8% 69.3% 73.0% 74.3% 72.6% 68.4%

    Excl. trainees 76.2% 77.1% 78.7% 81.2% 80.7% 75.4%

    Client matrix Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10

    Number of active clients 620 612 575

    $1mn+ clients 366 350 338

    $10mn+ clients 126 121 97

    $20mn+ clients 73 68 59

    $50mn+ clients 28 29 26

    $100mn+ clients 11 11 6

    Top client contribution 4.7% 6.9% 4.6%

    Top 5 client contribution 15.4% 15.4% 15.8%

    Top 10 client contribution 24.9% 25.7% 25.8%

    % Repeat business 97.0% 97.6% 95.4%

    DSO 63 62 59

    2.00%

    -0.58%

    1.13%

    3.14%

    1.39%0.73%0.74%

    -2.63%

    -4.06%

    0.24%

    2.61%

    3.61%

    -5%

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    QoQ Growth in Billing Rates

    Onsite Offshore

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    TCS

    TCS reported revenue of $2.2 bn (+4.7% QoQ, +33.2% YoY). ). Operatingmargin declined by 6 bp to 28.0%. EPS stood at `13.41 (+11% QoQ). Cash and

    cash equivalents stands at `47,401 mn and employee strength is 198,614.

    Revenue by industry ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    BFSI 994$ 956$ 748$ 4.0% 32.9%

    Telecom 272$ 255$ 204$ 6.5% 33.2%

    Retail & Distribution 247$ 234$ 207$ 5.7% 19.1%

    Manufacturing 166$ 154$ 140$ 7.6% 18.7%

    Hi-Tech 110$ 107$ 86$ 2.6% 27.9%

    Life Science & Healthcare 117$ 111$ 103$ 4.7% 13.5%

    Transportation 76$ 73$ 59$ 4.7% 29.4%

    Energy & Utilities 94$ 94$ 56$ -0.1% 69.5%

    Media and Entertainment 47$ 49$ 35$ -4.4% 33.2%

    Others 121$ 109$ 47$ 10.9% 156.8%

    Revenue by services ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    ADM 1,044$ 965$ 802$ 8.2% 30.1%

    Business Intelligence 119$ 114$ 91$ 4.7% 30.7%

    Enterprise Solutions 227$ 206$ 170$ 10.1% 33.2%

    Assurance Services 153$ 152$ 98$ 0.3% 56.1%

    Engineering & Industrial Services 108$ 103$ 81$ 4.7% 33.2%

    Infrastructure Services 211$ 225$ 140$ -6.3% 50.8%

    Global Consulting 49$ 49$ 42$ 0.1% 17.2%

    Asset Leveraged Solutions 81$ 86$ 67$ -5.8% 19.8%

    BPO 254$ 244$ 194$ 3.8% 30.8%

    Revenue by Geography ($mn) Q3FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY10 QoQ YoY

    North America 1,210$ 1,147$ 910$ 5.5% 32.9%

    Latin America 81$ 66$ 74$ 21.6% 8.9%

    UK 348$ 343$ 256$ 1.4% 35.8%

    Continental Europe 209$ 199$ 169$ 4.7% 23.8%

    India 207$ 197$ 150$ 4.7% 37.6%

    Asia Pacific 148$ 148$ 94$ 0.1% 56.9%

    Middle East and North Africa 43$ 43$ 32$ -0.5% 33.2%

    Margins Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    Operating Margin 27.3% 27.5% 27.1% 28.0% 28.1% 28.0%

    Net Margin 23.5% 25.0% 22.4% 22.7% 24.1% 23.6%

    Utilization Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    Incl. trainees 77.2% 74.3% 74.8% 77.7% 77.1% 75.1%

    Excl. trainees 81.1% 81.8% 82.6% 83.8% 83.8% 82.4%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value TCS at 21x FY13E EPS of`62.60 to arrive at target price of`1,315.

    Wipro

    Revenue for IT Services grew to $1,400 mn (+4.2%QoQ, +20.1% YoY). EBIT

    margin for IT Services is 22.1%, flat for the quarter. EPS stood at `5.60 (-2.4%

    QoQ). Cash and cash equivalents stands at `61,141 mn. The company has

    283,153 employees on board.

    Client matrix Q4 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY10

    Active Clients 969 959 917

    $1 mn+ clients 458 434 409$10 mn+ clients 143 139 118

    $20 mn+ clients 81 76 63

    $50 mn+ clients 27 25 23

    $100 mn+ clients 8 9 7

    Repeat Business 97.1% 97.6% 95.7%

    Top client 7.4% 7.7% 8.2%

    Top 5 clients 21.4% 21.9% 21.8%

    Top 10 clients 29.6% 30.1% 30.2%

    Revenue by Industry ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    Technology 102.2$ 100.8$ 100.6$ 1.4% 1.6%

    Telecom 121.8$ 110.2$ 95.9$ 10.5% 27.0%

    Communication & Media 120.4$ 118.3$ 103.0$ 1.8% 16.9%

    Financial Services 373.8$ 366.9$ 305.4$ 1.9% 22.4%

    Manufacturing 210.0$ 200.3$ 173.2$ 4.9% 21.3%

    Healthcare & Services 110.6$ 107.5$ 107.6$ 2.9% 2.7%

    Retail & Transportation 218.4$ 207.0$ 172.0$ 5.5% 27.0%

    Energy & Utilities 142.8$ 133.1$ 112.3$ 7.3% 27.1%

    Revenue by Business ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    Infrastructure Services 302.4$ 287.6$ 252.7$ 5.1% 19.7%

    Testing services 148.4$ 147.8$ 136.9$ 0.4% 8.4%

    Package Implementation 186.2$ 177.4$ 148.6$ 5.0% 25.3%

    BPO 137.2$ 125.0$ 127.5$ 9.8% 7.6%

    Product Engineering 68.6$ 64.5$ 48.0$ 6.3% 43.0%

    ADM 557.2$ 541.6$ 456.3$ 2.9% 22.1%Total 1,400.0$ 1,344.0$ 1,170.0$ 4.2% 19.7%

    Consulting 43.4$ 41.7$ 31.6$ 4.2% 37.4%

    R&D Business 182.0$ 181.4$ 31.6$ 0.3% 476.1%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value the stock at 18x FY13E EPS of`26.67 to arrive at price target of`480.

    Revenue by Geography ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    US 754.6$ 728.4$ 663.4$ 3.6% 13.7%

    Europe 392.0$ 380.4$ 307.7$ 3.1% 27.4%

    Japan 21.0$ 20.2$ 17.6$ 4.2% 19.7%

    India & Middle East 127.4$ 119.6$ 103.0$ 6.5% 23.7%

    APAC & Other EM 105.0$ 95.4$ 78.4$ 10.0% 33.9%

    Margins Q3FY10 Q4FY10 Q1FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11

    Operating Margin 19.5% 19.2% 20.2% 18.1% 18.4% 17.9%

    Net Margin 17.4% 17.4% 18.4% 16.7% 17.0% 16.7%

    Utilization Q3FY10 Q4FY10 Q1FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11

    Incl. trainees 80.7% 79.3% 78.4% 78.0% 75.6% 76.1%

    Excl. trainees 84.5% 83.0% 81.6% 82.4% 79.9% 79.1%

    Attrition Q3FY10 Q4FY10 Q1FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11Voluntary 13.4% 17.1% 23.0% 23.5% 21.7% 20.9%

    Involuntary 3.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5%

    BPO 15.0% 17.0% 16.0% 14.2% 14.2% 15.5%

    Client Pyramid Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10

    Active Clients 904 880 845

    New Clients 68 36 27

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

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    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    HCL Tech

    The company reported revenue of $915 mn (+5.8% QoQ, +33.5% YoY). EBITmargins increased by 130bp to 14.4%. EPS stood at `6.67 (+16.6% QoQ). Cash

    and cash equivalents stands at `4,943 mn and employee strength is 73,420.

    Revenue by Industry vertical ($mn) Q3FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY10 QoQ YoY

    Financial Services 239.6$ 213.4$ 174.7$ 12.3% 37.1%

    Manufacturing 249.7$ 234.2$ 182.9$ 6.6% 36.5%

    Telecom 94.2$ 93.3$ 79.5$ 0.9% 18.5%

    Retail & CPG 79.6$ 79.5$ 51.4$ 0.1% 54.8%

    Media Publishing & Entertainment 60.4$ 58.8$ 54.1$ 2.7% 11.5%

    Healthcare & Life Sciences 73.2$ 72.6$ 51.4$ 0.8% 42.4%

    Energy-Utilities-Public Sector 66.8$ 62.2$ 48.0$ 7.3% 39.2%

    Others 51.2$ 50.1$ 43.2$ 2.2% 18.6%

    Total 914.5$ 864.1$ 685.2$ 5.8% 33.5%

    Revenue by Business ($mn) Q3FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY10 QoQ YoY

    Enterprise applications services 195.7$ 184.1$ 146.6$ 6.3% 33.5%

    Engineering and R&D services 161.9$ 159.9$ 130.2$ 1.3% 24.3%

    Custom applications (industry solutions) 292.6$ 274.8$ 204.9$ 6.5% 42.8%

    Infrastructure Management services 214.0$ 197.0$ 152.1$ 8.6% 40.7%

    BPO services 49.4$ 48.4$ 52.1$ 2.1% -5.2%

    Total 913.6$ 864.1$ 685.9$ 5.7% 33.2%

    Revenue by Geography ($mn) Q3FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY10 QoQ YoY

    USA 496.6$ 493.4$ 407.7$ 0.6% 21.8%

    Europe 246.9$ 229.9$ 182.9$ 7.4% 35.0%

    Rest of the World 171.0$ 140.8$ 94.6$ 21.4% 80.9%

    Total 914.5$ 864.1$ 685.2$ 5.8% 33.5%

    Margins Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11

    EBIT Margin 16.6% 16.2% 15.3% 12.9% 13.1% 14.4%

    Net Margin 9.8% 11.2% 10.0% 8.9% 10.3% 11.3%

    Utilization Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11

    Incl. trainees 76.4% 76.2% 72.9% 70.1% 70.1% 71.9%

    Excl. trainees 77.9% 79.0% 77.0% 74.1% 75.0% 76.3%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value HCL Tech at 20x its FY12E EPS of`32.0 to arrive at target price of

    `575.

    Patni Computers

    Revenues stood at $190.3 mn (+4% QoQ, +10.4% YoY). EBIT margin at 16.9%

    was down by 120 bp QoQ. EPS stood at `8.75 (-33.3% QoQ). Employee

    strength is 17,739.

    Client Matrix Q3FY11 Q2FY11 Q3FY10

    Active clients 453 434 404

    $1 mn+ clients 324 312 281$10 mn+ clients 70 67 55

    $20 mn+ clients 31 28 22

    $50 mn+ clients 8 7 5

    $100 mn+ clients 1 1 1

    Top 5 clients 16.2% 16.8% 17.8%

    Top 10 clients 25.2% 25.6% 25.8%

    Top 20 clients 36.2% 36.6% 36.6%

    Repeat Business 94.5% 94.3% 93.4%

    DSO 55 61 84

    Revenue by Industry ($mn) Q1CY11 Q4CY10 Q1CY10 QoQ YoY

    Insurance 55.2$ 57.3$ 50.0$ -3.7% 10.4%

    Manuf., Retail & Dist. 58.2$ 56.0$ 53.1$ 4.0% 9.7%Financial Services 21.1$ 21.0$ 20.2$ 0.4% 4.8%

    Product Engineering 32.9$ 30.9$ 28.1$ 6.5% 17.2%

    Communication & Media 22.8$ 17.8$ 21.0$ 28.6% 8.6%

    Total 190.3$ 183.0$ 172.3$ 4.0% 10.4%

    Revenue by Business ($mn) Q1CY11 Q4CY10 Q1CY10 QoQ YoY

    ADM 111.3$ 112.0$ 111.3$ -0.6% 0.0%

    Packaged software 25.5$ 21.0$ 23.1$ 21.2% 10.4%

    Product Engineering 24.2$ 22.9$ 20.8$ 5.7% 15.9%

    Infra Management 9.9$ 9.0$ 8.6$ 10.4% 14.9%

    BPO 19.4$ 18.1$ 8.4$ 7.1% 129.9%

    Total 190.3$ 183.0$ 172.3$ 4.0% 10.4%

    Revenue by Geography ($mn) Q1CY11 Q4CY10 Q1CY10 QoQ YoY

    Americas 148.4$ 149.7$ 137.5$ -0.8% 8.0%

    Europe 27.8$ 20.7$ 23.1$ 34.4% 20.3%

    Asia-Pacific 14.1$ 12.6$ 11.7$ 11.5% 20.2%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

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    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value Patni at 10.5x CY12E EPS of`44.4 to arrive at the target price of

    `470.

    Persistent SystemsRevenue has been $47.02 (+8.8% QoQ, +25.9% YoY). EBIT margins fell by 380

    bp to stand at 15.7%. EPS stood at `8.28. Cash and cash equivalents stands at

    `1,000 mn and employee strength is 6,370.

    Margins Q4 CY09 Q1 CY10 Q2 CY10 Q3 CY10 Q4 CY10 Q1 CY11

    Operating 19.5% 21.0% 18.8% 18.0% 18.1% 16.8%

    Net 23.8% 19.3% 18.9% 16.1% 21.5% 13.9%

    Q4 CY09 Q1 CY10 Q2 CY10 Q3 CY10 Q4 CY10 Q1 CY11

    Utlization 77.4% 79.9% 75.0% 74.0% 72.4% 70.0%

    Client Pyramid Q1 CY11 Q4 CY10 Q1 CY10

    Active 299 297 260

    New 14 19 9

    $1-$5mn 67 71 65

    $5-$10 mn 14 12 11

    $10-$50 mn 12 13 13

    $50 mn+ 3 3 3

    %

    Repeat business 95.8% 95.6% 92.5%

    Top client 10.5% 11.5% 11.7%

    Top 5 clients 33.7% 35.9% 36.4%

    Top 10 clients 45.7% 48.8% 48.7%

    Revenue by Industry ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    Telecom 9.65$ 9.94$ 7.58$ -3% 27%

    Infra & Systems 32.12$ 28.26$ 26.02$ 14% 23%

    Life Sciences 5.25$ 5.01$ 3.73$ 5% 41%

    Revenue by Geography ($mn) Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10 QoQ YoY

    North America 40.58$ 36.90$ 32.49$ 10.0% 24.9%Europe 2.74$ 2.29$ 2.39$ 19.5% 14.5%

    Asia-Pacific 3.70$ 4.02$ 2.45$ -7.8% 51.2%

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    IT Sector Review02 May 2011

    Jaypee Research De

    www.jaypeeindia.co

    www.jaypeeusa.com

    Service offerings:

    Research & Advisory

    Execution

    Corporate Access & Events

    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value the stock at 12x FY13E EPS of`37.5 to arrive at target price of`450.

    Mindtree

    Revenue was $86.26 mn (+1.2% QoQ, +15.9% YoY). EBIT margin improved to

    9.1% (+50 bp QoQ, +160 bp YoY). EPS stood at `7.81 (+4.7% QoQ). Cash andcash equivalents stand at `459 mn and total mindtree minds are 9,547.

    Margin Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    EBIT margin 20.7% 22.7% 19.2% 20.2% 19.5% 15.7%

    Net margin 19.1% 21.6% 17.8% 18.6% 17.9% 15.0%

    Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    Utilization 72.6% 76.5% 76.8% 72.9% 73.2% 73.0%

    Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    Attrition 10.8% 13.7% 16.3% 18.6% 21.5% 19.6%

    Client Pyramid Q4 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY10

    Total clients 229 207 195

    > $3 mn 9 9 8

    $1 mn - $3 mn 26 29 23

    < $1 mn 194 169 164Top client 17.0% 14.4% 14.7%

    Top 5 clients 39.0% 36.8% 41.5%

    Top 10 clients 51.2% 48.0% 51.7%

    Rev. by Business ($mn) Q4 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY10 QoQ YoY

    IT Services 53.4$ 50.6$ 39.7$ 5.6% 34.6%

    Prod. Engg/ R&D 32.9$ 34.7$ 34.8$ -5.3% -5.5%

    Rev. by Geography ($mn) Q4 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY10 QoQ YoY

    US 51.8$ 51.5$ 47.8$ 0.5% 8.3%

    Europe 18.9$ 16.5$ 12.9$ 14.4% 47.1%

    India 7.8$ 7.2$ 5.2$ 8.2% 48.1%

    APAC & other EM 7.8$ 10.0$ 8.6$ -22.0% -8.6%

    Margins Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11

    EBIT margin 28.3% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 8.6% 9.1%

    Net margin 24.6% 3.4% 4.5% 6.0% 7.7% 8.1%

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    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value the stock at 9.5x FY13 EPS of`43.20 to arrive at target price of

    `410.

    KPIT Cummins

    Revenue was $67.92 mn (+12.5% QoQ, +59.2% YoY). Operating margin

    declined by 720 bp YoY to 10.7%. EPS stood at `3.00 (-1.6% QoQ). Cash and

    cash equivalents stand at `2,096 mn and employee strength is 6,514.

    Client Matrix Q4 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY10

    Active clients 277 269 258

    New clients added 39 30 27$10 mn+ clients 6 5 5

    $5-10 mn clients 8 9 8

    $1-5 mn clients 53 49 47

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    [Source: Company, Jaypee Research]

    We value the stock at 13x FY13E EPS of`15.27 to arrive at target price of

    `183.

    Client Matrix Q4FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY10

    No. of active customers 155 152 141

    No. of customers added 3 5 2No. of star customers 28 28 28

    $1 mn+ clients 40 40 32

    Top client (Cummins) 20.4% 24.1% 24.9%

    Star Customers- Non Cummins 34.8% 35.2% 39.5%

    Top 10 clients 51.2% 51.2% 48.5%

    Repeat Business 90%+ 90%+ 90%+

    Days of Debtors 65 64 66

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