Jari Rosendal, President and CEO Petri Castrén, CFO April ......Industry & Water chemicals FY2016...
Transcript of Jari Rosendal, President and CEO Petri Castrén, CFO April ......Industry & Water chemicals FY2016...
Revenue grew in all segments while profitability was under pressure
January-March 2017
Jari Rosendal, President and CEO
Petri Castrén, CFO
April 26, 2017
Our strategy for profitable growth
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 2
Above-the-market
revenue growth
& operative
EBITDA margin
of 14-16%
Growth• Investments in
capacity expansions
• Seize opportunities
in growth pockets
• Recovery of shale
oil & gas business
• CEOR and oil sands
• R&D, new products
AcquisitionsVery selective
approach
• Strategic fit
• Accretive to
profitability
• Modest valuation
Efficiency• Site footprint
optimisation
• BOOST
• Organizational
efficiencies with
new structure
Cost disciplinePrudent cost culture
Financial highlights Q1 2017
Q1 2017
• Revenue increased 5%
– Organic growth 2%, Oil & Mining +16%
• Operative EBITDA was under pressure
– Sales volumes at good level but sales prices
below prior year level
– Sudden increases in ethylene and propylene
leading to higher raw material prices
– Supply distractions resulting in higher costs and
asset under-utilization
• Earnings per share EUR 0.12
– EPS impacted by lower profitability but also by
higher items affecting comparability and finance
costs
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 3
EUR million (except ratios)
Q1
2017
Q1
2016 Δ%
Revenue 610 583 +5
Operative EBITDA 69 73 -5
of which margin, % 11.3 12.5
Operative EBIT 35 41 -15
of which margin, % 5.7 7.0
Net profit to equity owners 18 25 -26
EPS, EUR 0.12 0.16 -26
• Stable market environment on broad scale
– APAC and South America driving growth, North America
sluggish while EMEA stable
– Supply shortage of chlorinated fatty acid hindering growth in
APAC
• Synergy capture from AkzoNobel’s paper chemicals
acquisition on track
– Two major manufacturing agreements left to terminate in Q2
– EUR 20 million synergy run-rate to be reached by the end of
year
• Largest investments have proceeded well
– New bleaching chemical plant in Brazil up and running flat out
– Expansion of sodium chlorate in Finland on schedule, expected
to be operational in Q4 2017
Pulp & Paper – Volume growth continued
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 4
Oil & Mining – Shale oil & gas market has rebounded
• Shale oil & gas fracking activity
continued to recover
– Volumes for polymers used in fracking
have doubled from the bottom
– Profitability remains under pressure due to
lower sales prices, product mix and higher
raw material prices
• Revenue for oil sands increasing,
business ramping up based on new
contracts
• CEOR field trial ongoing with one major
oil company
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 5
0
30
60
90
120
150
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
March 31: 824
9/2014: 1,931
5/2016: 404
US Oil & Gas Rotary Rigs WTI Oil Price ($/bbl)
2013 2014 2015 2016 1-3/17
Avg 1,761 1,862 978 509 742
Y-o-Y -8% +6% -47% -48% +46%
• With 6,000 municipal and 3,000 industrial customers stable
business to operate
• Volume growth of 3%, sales prices under pressure
• North American business improved performance due to
revenue growth and improved cost control
• Fire at Huntsman Pigments in Pori, Finland impacting
Kemira
– Raw material supplier to Municipal & Industrial for iron coagulant
production
– Sizeable customer to Pulp & Paper, main products electricity,
steam, caustic soda, and hydrochloric acid
Municipal & Industrial – Stable revenue development
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 6
Kemira to streamline segments and organisational structure
Oil & Mining and Municipal &
Industrial will merge into Industry
& Water as of June 1, 2017
Our focus continues to be on
pulp & paper, oil & gas, mining
and water treatment and we are
dedicated in serving these
customer industries
Cost savings of EUR 15-20
million with full run-rate by the
end of 2017
Revenue for oil & gas business
will be disclosed separately
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 7
Pulp & Paper
Operative
EBITDA13.4%
Industry & Water
11.8%
In bleaching, process and
functional chemicals#1
In water treatment chemicals in
Europe and North America#1
#2 In dry and emulsion
polyacrylamides
Operative
EBITDA
EUR 1,457 million
revenue
EUR 906 million
revenue
Segment figures as of FY2016
Industry & Water chemicalsFY2016 financials: Revenue EUR 906 million, Operative EBITDA EUR 107 million, margin 11.8%
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 8
Geographies
40%Americas
55%EMEA
5%APAC Products 45%
Coagulants
35%Polymers
20%Other products
such as defoamers
and biocides
10%Other applications
75%Water treatment
Application
split
15%Oil & Gas
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
London
Frankfurt
New York City
Shanghai
Singapore
Los Angeles
Montreal
Toronto
MiamiMelbourne
Amsterdam
Barcelona
Washington DC
Berlin
Paris
Stockholm
Oslo
Las Vegas
Municipal (40%), customer examples
Industrial (60%), customer examples
Summary – Q1 2017
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 9
Strong revenue, profitability disappointing but we
are working on to improve profitability
BOOST moving forward with the roll-out of road
transportation
Major investments proceeding according to plans
Execution of new organisation underway –
operational as of 1 June
Outlook for 2017
Kemira expects its operative
EBITDA to increase from the prior
year (2016: EUR 302.5 million).
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 10
EUR million 2014 2015 2016
2017
outlook
Operative
EBITDA
253 287 303 ”Increase”
Financials Q1 2017
Petri Castrén, CFO
April 26, 2017
400
450
500
550
600
650
Group’s organic revenue grew driven by Oil & Mining
Q1 2017 Results
Q1 2017
• Group’s organic growth 2%, volume growth increased to 5%
• Sales volumes grew in Oil & Mining more than 20%
• Operative EBITDA -5% to EUR 69 million due to lower sales prices and higher costs
• Fire at Huntsman Pigments in Finland impacting our financials in Q1 and in the future
66.474.7 78.2
68.072.8
78.9 80.8
70.0 69.0
12.0%
12.6%
12.5%11.3%
12.5%
13.4% 13.6%11.7% 11.3%
0
20
40
60
80
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Kemira Group revenue bridge Q1 2017EUR million
Operative EBITDA and operative EBITDA margin trendEUR million
Q1
2016
Q1
2017
M&ACurrency
impact
Sales
prices
Sales
volumes
583 +5% +2% 0% 610-3%
12April 26, 2017
315351
379 372 362 361 365 369 372
0
100
200
300
400
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Pulp & Paper – Revenue growth impacted by supply constraint and force majeure
Q1 2017 Results
• Force majeure, lower sales prices and chlorinated fatty acid shortage hindering revenue growth
• Profitability below prior year level due to lower sales prices and higher fixed costs
• Organic growth in APAC bounced back to good level despite the raw material supply issue,
South America also at mid-single digit growth
36.141.3
46.7 46.9 47.9 49.3 51.846.3 46.0
11.5% 11.8% 12.3% 12.6%13.2% 13.7% 14.2%
12.6% 12.4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Revenue and organic revenue growth (y-on-y)EUR million
Operative EBITDA and operative EBITDA margin trendEUR million
+4% +5% +3% +2% +3% +1%
13
-4% -2%
April 26, 2017
0%
Oil & Mining – Strong demand in shale lifted revenue
94 90 9076 76 73
80 8290
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Q1 2017 Results
• Oil & Gas driving the segment’s revenue organic growth to 16%
– The improvement is mainly driven by higher sales volumes in shale oil & gas business
• Sales volumes in Mining grew at low double-digit rate
• Disappointing profitability caused primarily by delay in passing rising input costs to
sales prices
11.1 11.4
7.4
3.6
6.5
4.5 4.23.2
5.311.8%
12.7%
8.2%
4.7%
8.6%
6.2%5.3%
3.9%
5.9%
0
4
8
12
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Revenue and organic revenue growth (y-on-y) EUR million
Operative EBITDA and operative EBITDA margin trendEUR million
-11% -20% -15% -25% -19% -17%
14
-12%
April 26, 2017
+5% +16%
Municipal & Industrial – Stable revenue development
145 154 156 152 145 154 151 146 148
0
40
80
120
160
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Q1 2017 Results
• Organic growth bounced back to growth driven by sales volume growth of 3%
• Profitability impacted by lower sales prices, currencies and higher fixed costs had
negative impact as well
• Solid cash flow generation continued
19.222.0
24.1
17.5 18.4
25.1 24.8
20.517.6
13.3%14.3%
15.5%
11.6%12.7%
16.3% 16.4%
14.0%11.9%
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017
Revenue and organic revenue growth (y-on-y)EUR million
Operative EBITDA and operative EBITDA margin trendEUR million
-1% +3% +2% +2% +1% +2%
15
-2%
April 26, 2017
-3% +1%
Input cost increase now visible
Changes in oil, propylene and ethylene pricesMarch 2017 vs. December 2016
Variable cost vs sales price trend
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 16
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
12%
19%
-4%
-7%
68%
-5%
Ethylene
Propylene
Oil (Brent)
Ethylene
Propylene
Oil (WTI)
Euro
pe
US
Source: IHS and ICIS
• On January 30, 2017 an extensive fire occurred at Huntsman
Pigments’ plant in Pori, Finland
• Huntsman is a key raw material supplier and customer for Kemira
• Huntsman has officially commented on the situation and expects to
be fully operational around year end 2018, with around 40%
capacity within the second quarter of 2018
• Kemira estimates that revenue loss is approximately EUR 20 million
in 2017
– Negative EBITDA impact (before insurance coverage) is expected to be up
to EUR 3-4 million per quarter due to increased costs and loss of revenue
– Kemira has business interruption insurance limit of EUR 10 million per
occurrence for critical suppliers, and Kemira expects to receive
compensation for most of the gross margin loss in 2017
– During Q1 the negative EBITDA impact was around EUR 1 million and
Kemira did not yet receive any insurance compensation
Huntsman force majeure impacting Kemira
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 17
Investments into growth
Largest investments in 2015-2017
• New chlorate plant in Brazil
• New chlorate line in Joutseno, Finland
• Capacity additions due to acquisition of
AkzoNobel paper chemicals business
• Polymer capacity additions in Italy and UK
Capital expenditure excluding
acquisitionsEUR million
In 2017 capital expenditure is expected to be approximately EUR 200 million
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 18
182
213
31 37
2015 2016 Q1 2016 Q1 2017
CAPEX
split in
2015-201644%Expansion
28%Improvement
28%Maintenance
Q1 2017
Appendix
Agenda (UK time):
11.00 Registration and light breakfast11.30 Presentations13.00 Lunch13.35 Presentations14.40 Break14.50 Breakout sessions16.05 Cocktails
A formal invitation, including the detailed program and registration details, will follow.
We look forward to seeing you in September!
Kemira’s Capital Markets Day 2017Haberdhasers’ Hall, September 21, 2017
18 West Smithfield, London EC1A 9HQ
Geographies
Customers, examples
Pulp & Paper chemicalsFY2016: Revenue EUR 1,457 billion, Operative EBITDA EUR 195 million, margin 13.4%
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 21
35%Americas
50%EMEA
15%APAC
Customer
mills40%Board & tissue
production
40%Pulp production
Products
35%Bleaching and
pulping
25%Sizing &
strength
20%Defoamers,
dispersants,
biocides and other
process chemicals
10%Polymers
10%Other
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
20%Paper production
Financials
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 22
EUR million (except ratios)
Q1
2017
Q1
2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ%
Revenue 610.0 582.7 +5 2,363.3 2,373.1 0
Operative EBITDA 69.0 72.8 -5 302.5 287.3 +5
of which margin, % 11.3% 12.5 - 12.8% 12.1% -
Operative EBIT 34.9 40.9 -15 170.1 163.1 +4
of which margin, % 5.7% 7.0% - 7.2% 6.9% -
Items affecting
comparability in EBIT-2.3 -1.7 - -23.1 -30.5 -
Finance costs, net -6.7 -6.0 - -19.1 -30.8 -
Income taxes -6.3 -7.6 - -30.1 -24.9 +21
Net profit (parent company) 18.3 24.5 -26 91.8 71.0 +29
Earnings per share, EUR 0.12 0.16 -26 0.60 0.47 +28
54% 54%
59%
2015 2016 Q1 2017
Solid balance sheet
• Net debt decreased to EUR 661 million
with average cost of debt 2.0%
• Debt portfolio well diversified
– Bonds EUR 350 million
– Bank loans EUR 327 million
– Other EUR 115 million
– Undrawn facilities EUR 400 million
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 23
2.1
Net debt / operative EBITDA and Gearing
Net debt maturity profile, end of Q1 2017 EUR million
-300
-200
-100
0
100
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2.2
Net debt
642m
Net debt
661m
Net debt
634m
2.2
Cash flow
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 24
EUR million
Q1
2017
Q1
2016 2016 2015
Operative EBITDA 69 73 303 287
Reported EBITDA 67 71 284 264
Change in NWC -42 -34 29 21
FX gains and losses -2 5 2 -5
Financing items -2 -5 -22 -22
Taxes paid -7 -4 -23 -12
Other items -2 -8 1 2
Cash flow from operations 12 26 271 248
Free cash flow -25 -2 98 -54
Revenue and operative EBITDA split
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 25
EUR 303 millionEUR 69 million
25%62%
13%
Pulp & Paper Oil & Mining Municipal & Industrial
24%61%
15%
29% 65%
6%
25%
67%
8%
Q1 2017 20162016 Q1 2017
Revenue split Operative EBITDA
EUR 2,363 millionEUR 610 million
Revenue split 2016
Pulp & Paper Oil & Mining Municipal & Industrial
Q1 2017 Results
EUR xx
million
EUR xxx
million
Municipal
water treatment
Chemical,
mechanical
and recycled
pulp
Packaging,
board and
tissue grades
Mining
Paper grades
Industrial
water treatment
Oil & Gas applications (shale,
conventional oil, CEOR* and
oil sands)
Process
chemicals
to other
industries
* CEOR = Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
26
EUR 1,457
million
EUR 310
million
EUR 596
million
40% 40%
20%
35% 25%
40%
40%
60%
April 26, 2017
Revenue and cost distribution per currency
• Currency exchange rates had EUR +1.6 million impact on the operative EBITDA in Q1 2017.
• Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 10 million
impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis
EUR
42%
USD
36%
CAD 4%
BRL 3%
CNY 3%
Others 12%
EUR
40%
USD
31%
CAD 5%
SEK 8%
CNY 5%
Others 11%
Kemira revenue distribution Q1 2017 Kemira cost distribution Q1 2017
Q1 2017 Results 27April 26, 2017
Key figures
EUR million Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ%
Revenue 610.0 582.7 +5 2,363.3 2,373.1 0
Operative EBITDA 69.0 72.8 -5 302.5 287.3 +5
margin 11.3% 12.5% - 12.8% 12.1% -
Operative EBIT 34.9 40.9 -15 170.1 163.1 +4
margin 5.7% 7.0% - 7.2% 6.9% -
Finance costs, net -6.7 -6.0 -12 -19.1 -30.8 -
Earnings per share, EUR 0.12 0.16 -26 0.60 0.47 +28
Cash flow from operations 12.2 26.2 -53 270.6 247.6 +9
Capex excl. acquisitions 36.9 31.4 +18 212.6 181.7 +17
Net debt 660.9 644.1 +3 634.0 642.1 -1
Gearing, % at period-end 59 60 - 54 54 -
Inventories 230.2 215.4 +7 216.9 207.0 +5
Personnel at period-end 4,771 4,711 +1 4,818 4,685 +3
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 28
Pulp & Paper
EUR million Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ%
Revenue 372.2 362.4 +3 1,457.3 1,417.3 +3
Operative EBITDA 46.0 47.9 -4 195.3 171.0 +14
margin 12.4% 13.2% - 13.4% 12.1% -
Operative EBIT 23.8 28.2 -16 111.6 96.8 +15
margin 6.4% 7.8% - 7.7% 6.8% -
Capital expenditure 29.8 14.8 101 125.1 240.1 -48
Cash flow after investing activities -22.9 -0.7 - 105.7 -63.2 -
Key financials
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 29
Oil & Mining
EUR million Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ%
Revenue 90.0 75.5 +19 309.5 350.1 -12
Operative EBITDA 5.3 6.5 -18 18.4 33.5 -45
margin 5.9% 8.6% - 5.9% 9.6% -
Operative EBIT 0.1 0.8 -88 -3.8 11.1 -
margin 0.1% 1.1% - -1.2% 3.2% -
Capital expenditure 3.5 5.7 -39 38.0 30.7 +24
Cash flow after investing activities -5.2 -6.2 - -19.9 10.7 -
Key financials
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 30
Municipal & Industrial
EUR million Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ%
Revenue 147.9 144.8 +2 596.5 605.7 -2
Operative EBITDA 17.6 18.4 -4 88.8 82.8 +7
margin 11.9% 12.7% - 14.9% 13.7% -
Operative EBIT 11.0 11.9 -8 62.3 55.2 +13
margin 7.5% 8.2% - 10.4% 9.1% -
Capital expenditure 3.6 9.0 -60 47.5 34.2 +39
Cash flow after investing activities 14.4 7.7 +87 55.6 38.2 +46
Key financials
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 31
Financial summary
Revenue EUR million
2,241 2,229
2,137
2,373 2,363 2,391
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTMQ2/16 -Q1/17
Operative EBITDAEUR million
249 252 253
287303 299
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTMQ2/16-Q1/17
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 32
11.1% 11.3% 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5%
Revenue split by countryQ1 2017
Q1 2017 Results 33
AMERICAS
APAC
EMEA
USA 27%
Canada 5%
Brazil 4%
Uruguay 2%
Other Americas 2%
Finland 14%Germany 5%
Sweden 6%
Poland 3%
UK 3%
Spain 2%
Other APAC 4%Indonesia 1%
China 4%
Other EMEA 8%
Norway 2%
Russia 2%
Netherlands 2%
France 2%
Italy 2%
April 26, 2017
Important information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance
measures) on non-GAAP basis. Kemira Group believes that alternative performance
measures, like operative EBITDA and operative EBIT, followed by Kemira management,
provide useful and more comparable information of its operative business performance.
Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the
equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in
conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the
alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures at
www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information.
April 26, 2017Q1 2017 Results 34