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    1 3

    Jadelson P. Andrade

    Fausto J. Pinto

    Donna K. Arnett

    Editors

    From Current Evidence

    to Clinical Practice

    Prevention of

    CardiovascularDiseases

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    Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases

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    Jadelson P. Andrade Fausto J. PintoDonna K. Arnett

    Editors

    Prevention of Cardiovascular

    DiseasesFrom Current Evidence to Clinical Practice

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    Originally published in PortugueseWith the title Tratado de Preveno Cardiovascular Um Desafio GlobalPublished by Atheneu, 2014

    ISBN 978-3-319-22356-8 ISBN 978-3-319-22357-5 (eBook)DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-22357-5

    Library of Congress Control Number: 2015945957

    Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part ofthe material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or informationstorage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodologynow known or hereafter developed.The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoes not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevantprotective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this bookare believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or theeditors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors

    or omissions that may have been made.

    Printed on acid-free paper

    Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland is part of Springer Science+Business Media(www.springer.com)

    Editors

    Jadelson P. Andrade, M.D.Director, Hospital da BahiaSalvador, Bahia, Brazil

    Donna K. Arnett, M.S.P.H., Ph.D.Professor and Chair of the Department

    of EpidemiologySchool of Public HealthUniversity of Alabama School of MedicineBirmingham, AL, USA

    Fausto J. Pinto, M.D., Ph.D.Head of Cardiology DepartmentUniversity Hospital of Santa Maria

    Faculty of MedicineUniversity of LisbonLisbon, Portugal

    http://www.springer.com/http://www.springer.com/
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    v

    Preface by Jadelson P. Andrade

    According to data released by the World Health Organization (WHO), 56.9 milliondeaths were reported worldwide in 2008, and of these about 17 million were causedby cardiovascular diseases.

    From this alarming reported epidemiological reality, the WHO began to encour-age all countries of the world to embrace the banner of cardiovascular prevention,proposing an alliance between the nations, governments, civil society, and privatesectors to team up in your face.

    The WHO proposal has the primary objective to promote working together to

    modify these serious epidemiological data and the gloomy future outlook projectedfor the following 30 years.

    In line with the WHO global project, the Brazilian Society of Cardiology pro-posed an international partnership with the European Society of Cardiology and theAmerican Heart Association to prepare the book Cardiovascular Prevention AGlobal Challenge. Three editors were invited, Jadelson P. Andrade, DonnaK. Arnett, and Fausto J. Pinto, then president and president-elect of the aforemen-tioned institutions.

    The work was developed in 28 chapters addressing different themes of cardio-

    vascular prevention with the original version in Portuguese and this edition inEnglish with the title: Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases: From CurrentEvidence to Clinical Practice. The authors of the chapters were distributed amongBrazilian, European, and American experts, all with relevant scientific contributionson the subject.

    The ultimate purpose of the editors, in line with the recent proposal from WHO,is to make available to the international medical community a valuable referencetool for proper addressing the alarming epidemiological index.

    Salvador, Brazil Jadelson P. Andrade, MD, FACC, FESC

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    Preface by Fausto J. Pinto

    Cardiovascular diseases represent the main cause of mortality worldwide, accountingfor 36 % of all deaths in the European Union in 2010 according to the latest avail-able statistics published in the last OECD report. They cover a range of diseasesrelated to the circulatory system, including ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cere-bro-vascular disease, which together comprise 60 % of all cardiovascular deaths,and caused more than one-fifth of all deaths in EU member states.

    The occurrence of several risk factors, such as hypertension, diabetes, dyslipid-emia, obesity, smoking, and others, accounts for an increase in the prevalence and

    severity of cardiovascular disease. The uprising of some of these risk factors insome regions more than other may explain partially the differences observed amongthe different regions in the globe and even within the same continent. There areunderlying risk factors, such as diet, which may explain differences in IHD mortal-ity across countries. For instance, on average across EU member states, IHD mortal-ity rates in 2010 were nearly two times greater for men. The disparity was greatestin Cyprus, France, and Luxembourg, with male rates two-to three times higher, andleast in Malta, Romania, and the Slovak Republic, at 60 % higher.

    The success of different strategies in the treatment of cardiovascular disease has

    resulted in a decrease in IHD mortality rates in nearly all countries in Europe andthe USA. The decline has been most remarkable in Denmark, Ireland, theNetherlands, and the United Kingdom. Estonia and Norway also saw IHD mortalityrates cut by one-half or more, although rates in Estonia are still high. Decliningtobacco consumption contributed significantly to reducing the incidence of IHD,and consequently to reducing mortality rates.

    However, the impact of treatment improvement should not undermine the abso-lute need to improve healthy lifestyles and reduce the weight of the different riskfactors, particularly the ones who can be easily prevented if appropriate steps are

    taken (e.g., smoking, overweight-obesity, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia).The relationship of prevention strategies with cardiovascular events and deathrates is clearly established through different scientific studies. Therefore, the effi-cacy of primary prevention programs in patients with recognized, treatable risk fac-tors such as hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, diabetes, and smoking should be a

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    viii

    priority across the different countries. It is also important to recognize the need of atailored approach considering the differences among different countries, whichreinforces the importance of putting in place surveillance systems in place that maybe able to monitor properly the need and implementation of preventable measures.

    This is of crucial importance for a successful fight against inequalities to accessto appropriate health care among the different countries. The role of scientific soci-eties in the dissemination of information as well as in the promotion of differentactivities towards the populations as well as the decision makers can fill in an impor-tant gap in this regard. This Book on Prevention, being a joint enterprise betweenthe Brazilian Society of Cardiology, European Society of Cardiology and AmericanHeart Association, will certainly fit into this common goal of improving Preventionof Cardiovascular Disease worldwide.

    Cardiology Department, CCUL, CAML Fausto J. Pinto, MD, PhD, FESCC, FACCUniversity of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal [email protected]

    Preface by Fausto J. Pinto

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    ix

    Preface by Donna K. Arnett

    For those of us who have devoted our lives to studying and treating cardiovasculardisease (CVD), the idea that CVD prevention is critical is so obvious that furtherexposition on the subject may seem gratuitous. It is decidedly not. The successesthat clinicians and public health practitioners have had in the realm of CVD preven-tion are not only reasons to exult, but also cause for redoubling our efforts withsome assurance that prevention is eminently possible and further progress can bemade. And although some of the more alarming trends observed in some parts of theworld (rising prevalence of obesity, for example) are cause for deep concern, they

    are also cause for increased and improved preventive action. It is precisely thischanging landscape of CVD and its risk factors that makes continued assessmentand discussion of CVD-prevention strategies so critically important. Programs inthe USA such as the Centers for Disease Control and Preventions Million HeartsInitiative and the American Heart Associations 2020 Impact Goal (to improve car-diovascular health by 20 % by 2020 while reducing CVD and stroke mortality by20 %) and analogous efforts in other countries are tangible representations of popu-lation evaluation, goal setting, policy making, and program development that driveprogress in this realm. Each of the chapters in this book represents a primer in CVD

    and its prevention. With its calculated mix of CVD and risk factor fundamentals andtrenchant foresight, this volume will be welcomed by all those around the globewho aim to rise to the challenge of CVD prevention.

    Birmingham, AL, USA Donna K. Arnett, MSPH, PhD

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    Contents

    Global Burden of Non-Communicable, Chronic Diseases.......................... 1Mark D. Huffman and Sidney C. Smith Jr.

    Cardiovascular Disease Worldwide: A Global Challenge........................... 13Jadelson P. Andrade, Marianna D. Andrade, and Luiz Alberto Mattos

    Value of Primordial and Primary Prevention for Cardiovascular

    Diseases: A Global Perspective...................................................................... 21Armin Barekatain, Sandra Weiss, and William S. Weintraub

    How to Estimate Cardiovascular Risk.......................................................... 29Protsio L. da Luz and Renata Caruso Fialdini

    Tobacco and Alcohol Control: Preventable Risk Factors........................... 41Aloyzio Chechella Achutti

    Physical Inactivity: Preventable Risk Factor

    of Cardiovascular Disease.............................................................................. 49Evangelista Rocha

    Diet and Cardiovascular Health: Global Challengesand Opportunities........................................................................................... 59Cheryl A.M. Anderson and Amanda R. Ratigan

    Raised Blood Cholesterol: Preventable Risk Factor

    for Cardiovascular Disease............................................................................. 69Lale Tokgozoglu

    Hypertension: Primary Health Care Approach........................................... 81Evgeny Shlyakhto

    Diabetes: A Primary Health Care Approach............................................... 91Meltem Zeytinoglu and Elbert S. Huang

    Risk Factors in Childhood and Youth........................................................... 101Joep Perk

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    Other Determinants of Cardiovascular Diseases:

    Social, Globalization, and Urbanization....................................................... 109Dalton Bertolim Prcoma, Jorge Ilha Guimares,and Antonio Felipe Simo

    Genetics of Cardiovascular Disease............................................................... 117Steven A. Claas, Stella Aslibekyan, and Donna K. Arnett

    Cardiovascular Disease in Women: An Update........................................... 129Helen C. Huang, Puja K. Mehta, and C. Noel Bairey Merz

    Rheumatic Heart Disease: A Neglected Heart Disease................................ 143Marcia de Melo Barbosa, Maria do Carmo Pereira Nunes,and Regina Mller

    Chagas Disease: A Neglected Disease............................................................ 159Jos Antonio Marin-Neto, Anis Rassi Jr., Andra Silvestre de Sousa,Joo Carlos Pinto Dias, and Anis Rassi

    Prevention and Control of Cardiovascular Diseases:

    Policies, Strategies, and Interventions........................................................... 183lvaro Avezum Jr. and Gabriel Pelegrineti Targueta

    Prevention and Control of Cardiovascular Diseases

    Focusing on Low- and Middle-Income Countries........................................ 195

    Gilson S. FeitosaPrevention and Control of Cardiovascular Diseases: What Works?......... 207Dan Gaita and Laurence Sperling

    Prevention and Control of Cardiovascular Diseases:

    Integrated and Complimentary Strategies................................................... 219Roberto Ferrari, Lina Marcantoni, and Gabriele Guardigli

    Posttraumatic Stress Disorder and Cardiovascular Disease....................... 227Donald Edmondson, David Hiti, and Ian Kronish

    Individual Interventions for Prevention and Control of CVDs.................. 237Pantaleo Giannuzzi

    Social Mobilization for Cardiovascular Disease

    Prevention and Control.................................................................................. 245Carlos Alberto Machado

    Frugal Innovation: Solutions for Sustainable Global

    Cardiovascular Health.................................................................................... 251

    Donna K. Arnett and Steven A. ClaasAtrial Fibrillation and Stroke Prevention..................................................... 261Antonio Carlos Camargo de Carvalho, Renato D. Lopes,and Angelo A.V. de Paola

    Contents

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    A Global Alliance for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention

    in Clinical Practice.......................................................................................... 277David A. Wood

    Priority Areas for CVD Research.................................................................. 289Stephan Gielen

    Evidence for Preventing Cardiovascular Disease........................................ 301Ian M. Graham and Marie-Therese Cooney

    Contents

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    Advisory Board

    Angelo Amato Vincenzo de Paola Full professor and chief of the discipline ofCardiology; chief of the Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology Sector FederalUniversity of So Paulo (UNIFESP), Brazil. President of the Brazilian Society ofCardiology (20142015)

    Antonio Carlos de Carvalho Full professor of Cardiology Federal University ofSo Paulo (UNIFESP)

    Luiz Alberto Piva e Mattos Coordenator of hemodynamics and Cardiovascular

    Intervention Rede DOr Hospitals, Brazil. Professor of the Port-Graduate Programin Tecnology and Intevention in Cardiology Dante Pazzanese Cardiology Institute,So Paulo, Brazil

    Marcia de Melo Barbosa Director of Ecocenter, Hospital Socor Belo Horizonte,Brazil. President of the Interamerican Society of Cardiology. PhD in Cardiology bythe University of So Paulo (USP), Brazil

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    Contributors

    Aloyzio Chechella Achutti, M.D., Ph.D. School of Medicine, Federal Universityfrom Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil

    Department of Social Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University from RioGrande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil

    Cheryl A. M Anderson, M.P.H., Ph.D. University of California San Diego SchoolMedicine, La Jolla, CA, USA

    Marianna D. Andrade, M.D., Ph.D. Intensive Care Unit from the Hospital daBahia, Salvador, Brazil

    Research and Educational Institute from the Hospital da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

    Stella Aslibekyan, Ph.D. Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama atBirmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA

    Alvaro Avezum Jr., M.D., Ph.D. Instituto Dante Pazzanese of Cardiology, SaoPaulo, Brazil

    University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Population Health Research Institute, Mc Master University, Hamilton, ON, Canada

    Armin Barekatain, M.D. Internal Medicine, Houston, TX, USA

    Steven A. Claas, M.S. Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health,University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA

    Marie-Therese Cooney, MB, BCH, NUI, MRCPI, PhD. Department of Age-Related Health Care, St Vincents Hospital, Dublin, Ireland

    Protazio L. da Luz, M.D., Ph.D. CardiologyHeart Institute from the School ofMedicine, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Antonio Carlos Camargo de Carvalho, M.D., Ph.D. Paulista School of Medicine,Federal University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

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    Marcia de Melo Barbosa, M.D., Ph.D. ECO Center, Hospital Socor, BeloHorizonte, Brazil

    Interamerican Society of Cardiology

    Angelo A. V. de Paola, M.D., Ph.D. Paulista School of Medicine, FederalUniversity of So Paulo, So Paulo, Brazil

    Arrhythmia Department of the Paulista School of Medicine, Federal University ofSo Paulo, So Paulo, Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Andra Silvestre de Sousa, M.D., Ph.D. Federal University of Rio de Janeiro,Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Joo Carlos Pinto Dias, M.D., Ph.D. School of Medicine, Federal University ofMinas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

    Neglected Diseases Committee of the World Health Organization, Geneva,Switzerland

    Maria do Carmo Pereira Nunes, M.D. School of Medicine, Federal University ofMinas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

    Donald Edmondson, M.P.H., Ph.D. Center for Behavioral Cardiovascular Health,Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA

    Gilson S. Feitosa, M.D., Ph.D. Bahia School of Medicine and Public Health,Salvador, Brazil

    Hospital Santa Isabel/Santa Casa da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Roberto Ferrari, M.D. Department of Cardiology, LTTA Centre, University

    Hospital of Ferrara and Maria Cecilia Hospital, GVM Care et Research, E. S. HealthScience Foundation, Cotignola, Italy

    Renata Caruso Fialdini, M.D. University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Dan Gaita, M.D. Cardiology inn Romanian, Bucharest, RomaniaRomanian HeartFoundation, Bucharest, Romania

    Pantaleo Giannuzzi, M.D. Cardiac Rehabilitation Department, Salvatori MaugeriFoundationIRCCS, Scientific Institute of Veruno, Veruno, Italy

    Stephan Gielen, M.D. University Hospital, Martin-Luther-University of Halle/Wittenberg, Halle, Germany

    Department of Internal Medicine III, University Hospital, Martin-LutherUniversity of Halle/Wittenberg, Halle, Germany

    Contributors

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    Ian M. Graham, M.D. Cardiovascular Medicine, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin,Ireland

    Cardiology Emeritus, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland

    Gabriele Guardigli, M.D. Department of Cardiology, University Hospital ofFerrara, Ferrara, Italy

    Jorge Ilha Guimares, M.D. Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro,Brazil

    David Hiti, M.D. Columbia University, New York, NY, USA

    Elbert S. Huang, M.P.H., Ph.D. Medicine University of Chicago, Chicago, IL,USA

    Helen C. Huang, M.D. Barbra Streisand Womens Heart Center, Cedars-SinaiHeart Institute, Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Mark D. Huffman, M.P.H., M.D. Department of Preventive Medicine, Feinbergof Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA

    Ian Kronish, M.P.H., M.D. Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY,USA

    Renato D. Lopes, M.D., Ph.D. Division of Cardiology, Duke University Medical

    Center, Durham, NC, USAPaulista School of Medicine, Federal University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Brazilian Institute of Clinical Research, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Carlos Alberto Machado, M.D. Cardiovascular Health Promotion from theBrazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Jos Antonio Marin-Neto, M.D., Ph.D. Cardiology and Pneumology from theUniversity of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Interventional Cardiology from the Hospital das Clinicas, Ribeirao Preto MedicalSchool, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Luiz Alberto Mattos, M.D., Ph.D. Interventional Cardiology from Rede DorHospitals, Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Recife, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Puja K. Mehta, M.D. Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA,USAWomens Heart Center in the Division of Cardiology in the Cedars-Sinai HeartInstitute, Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Lina Mercantoni, M.D. Department of Cardiology, University of Ferrara,Ferrara, Italy

    Contributors

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    C. Noel Bairey Merz, M.D. Barbara Streisand Womens Heart Center, Preventiveand Rehabilitative Cardiac Center, Womens Guild Chair in Womens Health,Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Regina Mller, M.D., Ph.D. Working Group on Rheumatic Fever from the WorldHeart Federation, Geneva, Switzerland

    National Heart Institute of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Joep Perk, M.D., Ph.D. Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden

    Dalton Bertolim Prcoma, M.D., Ph.D. Catholic University of Parana, Curitiba,Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Anis Rassi, M.D., Ph.D. Faculty of Medicine, Federal University of Goias,Goiania, Goias, Brazil

    Anis Rassi Jr. M.D., Ph.D. Anis Rassi Hospital, Goiania, Goias, Brazil

    Amanda R. Ratigan, M.S. Joint Doctoral Program in Public Health Epidemiology,University of California San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, USA

    Department of Defense HIV/AIDS Prevention Program, Naval Research Center,San Diego, CA, USA

    Master of Public Health, Epidemiology, San Diego State University, San Diego,CA, USA

    Evangelista Rocha, M.D., Ph.D. Faculty of Medicine, Institute of PreventiveMedicine and Public Health, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal

    Evgeny Shlyakhto, M.D., Ph.D. Federal Almazov Medical Research Center,Saint-Petersburg, Russia

    Russian Society of Cardiology, Moscow, Russia

    Antonio Felipe Simo, M.D. Institute of Cardiology from Santa Catarina,Florianpolis, Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Sidney C. SmithJr. M.D. Department of Medicine, University of North Carolinaat Chapel Hill School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, USA

    Laurence Sperling, M.D. Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta,GA, USA

    Gabriel Pelegrineti Targueta, M.D. Instituto Dante Pazzanese of Cardiology,Federal University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    Lale Tokgzoglu, M.D. Hacettepe University in Ankara, Ankara, Turkey

    Contributors

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    William S. Weintraub, M.D. Center for Outcomes Research, One of FourResearch Centers Comprising the Value Institute at Christiana Care Health Center,Newark, DE, USA

    Sandra Weiss, M.D. Christiana Care Center for Heart et Vascular Health from theUniversity of Chicago Medical Center, Newark, DE, USA

    David A. Wood, M.D., Ph.D. Foundation Garfield Weston of CardiovascularMedicine, International Centre for Circulatory Health, National Heart and Lung,Imperial College London, London, UK

    Meltem Zeytinoglu, M.D. Endocrinology and Metabolism, Chicago, IL, USA

    Contributors

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    1 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

    J.P. Andrade et al. (eds.), Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases,

    DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-22357-5_1

    Global Burden of Non-Communicable,

    Chronic Diseases

    Mark D. Huffman and Sidney C. Smith Jr.

    Measuring Burden of Disease

    Reliable, contemporary data about the distribution, determinants, and trends in

    global morbidity and mortality are fundamental to understanding and improving

    global health. The estimation of the worlds disease burden in the modern era

    was heralded by the publication of the Global Burden of Disease report in 1990 [1].

    The World Bank initially commissioned the report in collaboration with researchers

    at the Harvard School of Public Health. The Institute for Health Metrics and

    Evaluation at the University of Washington (Seattle, USA) and Imperial College

    London (London, UK) serve as the current host centers for the Global Burden of

    Disease and Metabolic Risk Factors, respectively. The Global Burden of Disease

    underwent periodic updates until the release of its 2010 report in a 2012 Lancet

    series, which represented its most comprehensive overhaul since its inception [2].

    The next generation of the Global Burden of Disease aims to provide annual updates,

    starting with 2013 data that will be published in 2014.

    The study of disease burden initially led to fundamental questions about how

    best to measure burden. Counting numbers of deaths, such as in wartime or epidemics,

    or describing death rates have been common methods that are relatively straightfor-ward to interpret. Researchers within the Global Burden of Disease project

    have measured the cumulative effect of premature deaths through the Years of Life

    M.D. Huffman, MD, MPH (*)

    Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine,

    680 North Lake Shore Drive, Suite 1400, Chicago, IL 60611, USA

    e-mail: [email protected]

    S.C. Smith, Jr., MD

    Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine,

    CB# 7075, 6031 Burnett Womack, 160 Dental Circle, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7075, USA

    e-mail: [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    2

    Lost(YLL) metric, which measures differences from the same potential life length

    across populations to estimate burden, usually taken as the global mean life expec-

    tancy [3]. However, these measures do not account for the age- and sex-characteris-

    tics of different countries. Therefore, age-adjustment or -standardization to a global

    population have been basic strategies to account for a populations age structure to

    improve comparability across populations. Data are usually stratified by sex to

    account for differences in the proportion of men and women among different

    countries.

    However, these approaches do not account for any measure of health during the

    lifecourse. To overcome this limitation, the Global Burden of Disease team devel-

    oped theDisability Adjusted Life Year(DALY) metric, which is equal to the sum of

    Years of Life Lost(YLL) and Years Lived with Disability(YLD), or:

    Disability Adjusted LifeYear Years of Life Lost Years Lived with D= + iisability

    The DALY metric was founded on the principles that: (1) everyone in the world has

    right to best life expectancy, and (2) differences in the rating of a death or disability

    should be due to age and sex and not to income, culture, location, social class.

    It is also important to understand how Years Lived with Disability (YLD) is

    defined, by whom, and at what time in the disease course [4]. First, disability repre-

    sents an objective alteration of behavior or performance at the individual level.

    Disability falls between impairment, which is defined by symptoms at an organ

    level, and handicap, which is defined by changed interactions with others at thesocial or environmental level due to disability. To illustrate, if an individual suffers

    from a stroke, s/he might have symptoms of unilateral arm and leg weakness

    (impairment), which limits her/his ability to walk independently (disability) and

    her/his ability to work in a job that requires walking (handicap). Second, researchers

    have typically surveyed medical professionals and public health experts to rank

    symptom states to quantitatively estimate YLD for myriad disease states. Other

    individuals, including but not limited to patients, families, caregivers, general pub-

    lic, insurance companies, and legal experts, might offer complementary perspec-

    tives on how YLDs should be estimated yet have not been incorporated in theseestimates to date. Third, YLD estimates can be sensitive to the time course of the

    disease, particularly for non-communicable, chronic diseases, which can have long

    periods of minimal to no symptoms followed by acute shocks and gradual recovery

    to or near baseline. In the stroke example, the immediate post-stroke disability can

    be substantially different than 3, 6, or 12 months later and can be dependent upon

    access to rehabilitation and medical therapy. As such, YLD estimates may be sus-

    ceptible to reporting bias by experts based on their previous clinical or health

    experiences.

    Newer estimates of disease burden incorporate costs and financial risk throughmeasures such as catastrophic health spending (based on the proportion of health

    spending relative to non-food expenditures) and distress financing (based on risky

    financial activities to pay for health, including borrowing money or selling assets)

    [5]. These complementary measures of financial protection, or lack thereof, are

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    associated with individuals and families falling into poverty. Because health systems

    are evaluated in terms of quality, access, and financial protection [6], these measures

    of disease burden will likely gain more attention.

    Using the International Classification of Diseases framework, the Global

    Burden of Disease project employed systematic searched published and unpub-

    lished data on causes of death through a variety of sources, including the World

    Health Organization mortality database, national vital registration systems, verbal

    autopsy-based sample registration systems, demographic surveillance systems,

    cancer registers, crime reports, mortuary data, among others [3]. In the case of so-

    called garbage codes that have been deemed implausible causes of death, avail-

    able data were used to reclassify the causes of death [1]. The project team then

    incorporated these best available data into advanced, multi-level statistical models

    and imputation methods to estimate the causes of death among all countries from

    1980 through 2010.The Global Burden of Disease project is not without its critics who express con-

    cern about the complex analytic methods and frequent use of imputation to estimate

    data for countries that do not have accurate, updated mortality data. Some fear that

    the Global Burden of Disease, which is largely funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates

    Foundation, a private non-governmental organization, may lead to reduced public

    investments in vital registration systems, a basic public health function that cur-

    rently covers less than half of the worlds population [7]. Nevertheless, the Global

    Burden of Disease project represents the most comprehensive and accessible sum-

    mary of contemporary global disease burden, including providing estimates fornon-communicable, chronic diseases.

    Global Burden of Non-Communicable, Chronic Diseases

    Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease project, non-communicable,

    chronic diseases (NCDs) accounted for 34.5 million (65.5 % of total) deaths glob-

    ally in 2010, compared with 13.2 million (24.9 % of total) deaths due to maternal,neonatal, and nutritional diseases, and 5.1 (9.6 % of total) deaths due to injuries

    during the same year (Table 1) [3]. While there was an increase of approximately 8

    million deaths due to NCDs (30 % relative increase) since 1990, there was also a

    32 % decrease in the age- and sex-specific death rate from NCDs over the same time

    period from 645.9 (95 % uncertainty interval: 629.9, 662.9) per 100,000 in 1990 to

    520.4 (95 % UI: 499.5, 532.0) per 100,000 in 2010 (19 % decrease). Population

    aging contributed substantially (39 %) to the increases in NCD deaths since 1990,

    which primarily explains this difference between increasing numbers of deaths and

    declining rates [3].Similarly, the number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) for all NCDs

    increased from 1075 million (95 % UI: 1000, 1160) DALYs in 1990 compared with

    1343 million (95 % UI: 1240, 1457) in 2010, which represents a 25 % increase,

    while the rate of DALYs per 100,000 decreased by 3.8 % from 20,283 (95 % UI:

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    18,893, 21,874) per 100,000 in 1990 to 19,502 (95 % UI: 17,997, 21,143) per100,000 in 2010.

    The death and disability burdens of specific NCDs are outlined below with

    supporting data presented in Tables 2and 3.

    Table 1 All-cause and non-communicable, chronic disease (NCD)-specific deaths and death rates

    in 1990 and 2010 estimated by the Global Burden of Disease Study [3]

    All causes NCDs

    1990 deaths 46,511,000 26,560,000

    Deaths expected with 1990 population, 2010 population age structure,

    1990 death rates

    61,307,000 32,647,000

    Deaths expected with 2010 population, 2010 population age structure,

    1990 death rates

    70,316,000 43,062,000

    2010 deaths 52,770,000 34,540,000

    Percentage change from 1990 due to population growth 31.8 % 22.9 %

    Percentage change from 1990 due to population aging 19.4 % 39.2 %

    Percentage change from 1990 due to change in death rates 37.7 % 32.1 %

    Percentage change from 1990 to 2010 13.5 % 30.0 %

    Table 2 Global Burden of Disease 2010 estimates of deaths and age-standardized death rates per

    100,000 in 1990 and 2010 across non-communicable, chronic diseases

    All ages deaths (thousands)

    Age-standardized death rates

    per 100,000

    1990 2010 % change 1990 2010 % change

    All non-

    communicable,

    chronic diseases

    26,560.3

    (25,843.4,

    27,249.3)

    34,539.9

    (33,164.7,

    35,313.0)

    30.0 645.9

    (629.9,

    662.9)

    520.4

    (499.5,

    532.0)

    19.4

    Cardiovascular and

    circulatory diseases

    11,903.7

    (11,329.4,

    12,589.3)

    15,616.1

    (14,542.2,

    16,315.1)

    31.2 298.1

    (283.9,

    314.9)

    234.8

    (218.7,

    245.2)

    21.2

    Neoplasms 5779.1

    (5415.9,

    6201.9)

    7977.9

    (7337.1,

    8403.8)

    38.0 140.8

    (131.9,

    151.4)

    121.4

    (111.6,

    127.9)

    13.8

    Chronic lung

    diseases

    3986.3

    (3914.3,

    4063.8)

    3776.3

    (3648.2,

    3934.1)

    5.3 98.2

    (96.4,

    100.1)

    57.0

    (55.1,

    59.4)

    41.9

    Diabetes 1544.3

    (1420.0,1804.0)

    2726.2

    (2447.1,2999.1)

    76.5 36.1

    (33.4,41.6)

    41.0

    (36.8,45.1)

    13.8

    Mental and

    behavioral disorders

    138.1 (95.2,

    188.0)

    231.9 (176.3,

    329.1)

    68.0 3.2 (2.2,

    4.3)

    3.5 (2.6,

    4.9)

    9.3

    Musculoskeletal

    disorders

    69.5 (46.2,

    89.6)

    153.5 (110.7,

    214.8)

    121.0 1.7 (1.1,

    2.2)

    2.3 (1.7,

    3.2)

    37.8

    Data abstracted from Lozano et al. [3]

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    Cardiovascular Diseases

    Global cardiovascular disease deaths increased from 11.9 million (95 % UI: 11.2,

    12.6) in 1990 to 15.6 million (95 % UI: 14.5, 16.3) in 2010, which represents a 31 %increase. Age- and sex-adjusted rates of cardiovascular disease deaths decreased

    from 298.1 (95 % UI: 283.9, 314.9) per 100,000 in 1990 to 234.8 (95 % UI: 218.7,

    245.2) per 100,000 in 2010, which represents a 21 % decrease [ 3]. Ischemic heart

    disease was the leading cause of cardiovascular deaths during both time periods.

    The number of deaths increased from 5.2 million (95 % UI: 5.0, 5.6) ischemic heart

    disease deaths in 1990 to 7.0 million (95 % UI: 6.6, 7.4), which represents a 35 %

    increase. Age- and sex-adjusted death rates due to ischemic heart disease decreased

    from 131.3 (95 % UI: 126.4, 142.2) per 100,000 to 105.7 (95 % UI: 98.8, 111.9) per

    100,000 in 2010, which represents a 20 % decrease.The number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) due to cardiovascular

    diseases increased from 240,667 (95 % UI: 227,084, 257,718) DALYs in 1990 com-

    pared with 295,036 (95 % UI: 273,061, 309,562) in 2010, which represents a 23 %

    Table 3 Global Burden of Disease 2010 estimates of disability adjusted life years and disability

    adjusted life years lost per 100,000 in 1990 and 2010 across non-communicable, chronic diseases

    All disability adjusted life years

    (thousands)

    Disability adjusted life years per

    100,000

    1990 2010 % change 1990 2010 % change

    All non-

    communicable,

    chronic diseases

    1,075,297

    (1,001,607,

    1,159,673)

    1,343,973

    (1,239,973,

    1,456,773)

    25.0 20,283

    (18,893,

    21,874)

    19,502

    (17,997,

    21,143)

    3.8

    Cardiovascular

    and circulatory

    diseases

    240,667

    (227,084,

    257,718)

    295,036

    (273,061,

    309,562)

    22.6 4540

    (4283,

    4861)

    4282

    (3963,

    4493)

    5.7

    Neoplasms 148,078

    (136,775,

    158,256)

    188,487

    (174,452,

    199,037)

    27.3 2793

    (2580,

    2985)

    2736

    (2532,

    2889)

    2.1

    Chronic lungdiseases

    119,153(107,917,

    132,391)

    117,945(102,924,

    135,608)

    1.0 2248(2036,

    2497)

    1712(1494,

    1968)

    23.8

    Diabetes 85,084

    (73,638,

    102,489)

    122,437

    (107,437,

    143,387)

    43.9 1605

    (1389,

    1933)

    1777

    (1559,

    2081)

    10.7

    Mental and

    behavioral

    disorders

    134,598

    (112,138,

    159,316)

    185,190

    (154,647,

    218,496)

    37.6 2539

    (2115,

    3005)

    2668

    (2245,

    3171)

    5.9

    Musculoskeletal

    disorders

    116,554

    (88,684,147,285)

    169,624

    (129,771,212,734)

    45.5 2198

    (1673,2778)

    2462

    (1883,3088)

    12.0

    Data abstracted from Murray et al. [2]

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    increase, while the rate of DALYs per 100,000 due to cardiovascular diseases

    decreased by 6 % from 4540 (95 % UI: 4283, 4861) per 100,000 in 1990 to 4282

    (95 % UI: 3963, 4493) per 100,000 in 2010.

    Cancer

    Global cancer deaths increased from 5.8 million (95 % UI: 5.4, 6.2) in 1990 to 8.0 mil-

    lion (95 % UI: 7.3, 8.4) in 2010, which represents a 38 % increase. Similar to other

    cardiovascular diseases, age- and sex-adjusted rates of cancer deaths decreased from

    140.8 (95 % UI: 131.0, 151.5) per 100,000 in 1990 to 121.4 (95 % UI: 111.6, 127.9)

    per 100,000 in 2010, which represents a 14 % decrease [3]. Cancers of the trachea,

    bronchus, and lungs were the leading cause of cancer deaths during both time periods.The number of deaths increased from 1.0 million (95 % UI: 0.8, 1.3) cancers of the

    trachea, bronchus, and lung in 1990 to 1.5 million (95 % UI: 1.1, 1.8), which represents

    a 47 % increase. Age- and sex-adjusted death rates due to cancers of the trachea,

    bronchus, and lung modestly decreased from 25.5 (95 % UI: 20.4. 32.4) per 100,000 to

    23.4 (95 % UI: 17.3, 27.3) per 100,000 in 2010, which represents an 8 % decrease.

    The number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) due to cancer increased from

    148,078 (95 % UI: 136,775, 158,256) DALYs in 1990 compared with 188,487 (95 %

    UI: 174,452, 199,037) in 2010, which represents a 27 % increase, while the rate of

    DALYs per 100,000 due to cancer decreased by 2 % from 2793 (95 % UI: 2580, 2985)per 100,000 in 1990 to 2736 (95 % UI: 2532, 2889) per 100,000 in 2010.

    Chronic Lung Diseases

    Global chronic lung disease deaths decreased from 4.0 million (95 % UI: 3.9, 4.1)

    in 1990 to 3.8 million (95 % UI: 3.6, 3.9) in 2010, which represents a 5 % decrease.

    Age- and sex-adjusted rates of chronic lung disease deaths increased from 98.2

    (95 % UI: 96.4, 100.1) per 100,000 in 1990 to 57.0 (95 % UI: 55.1, 59.4) per100,000 in 2010, which represents a 42 % decrease [3].

    The number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) due to chronic lung diseases

    was similar at 119,153 (95 % UI: 107,917, 132,391) DALYs in 1990 compared with

    117,945 (95 % UI: 102,924, 135,608) in 2010, while the rate of DALYs per 100,000

    due to chronic lung diseases decreased by 24 % from 2248 (95 % UI: 2036, 2497) per

    100,000 in 1990 to 1712 (95 % UI: 1494, 1968) per 100,000 in 2010.

    Diabetes

    Global diabetes deaths increased from 665,000 (95 % UI: 593,300, 757,500) in

    1990 to 1.3 million (95 % UI: 1.1, 1.3) in 2010, which represents a 93 % increase.

    Unlike cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and chronic lung disease, age- and

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    sex-adjusted rates of diabetes deaths increased from 16.3 (95 % UI: 14.5, 18.6)

    per 100,000 in 1990 to 19.5 (95 % UI: 16.2, 20.5) per 100,000 in 2010, which

    represents a 20 % increase.

    The number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) due to diabetes increased

    from 85,084 (95 % UI: 73,638, 102,489) DALYs in 1990 compared with 122,437

    (95 % UI: 107,437, 143,387) in 2010, which represents a 44 % increase, while the rate

    of DALYs per 100,000 due to diabetes increased by 11 % from 1605 (95 % UI: 1389,

    1933) per 100,000 in 1990 to 1777 (95 % UI: 1559, 2081) per 100,000 in 2010.

    Mental and Behavioral Disorders

    Global mental and behavioral disorder related deaths increased from 138,100 (95 %UI: 95,200, 188,000) in 1990 to 231,900 (95 % UI: 176,300, 329,100) in 2010, which

    represents a 68 % increase. Age- and sex-adjusted rates of mental and behavioral

    disorder related deaths increased from 3.2 (95 % UI: 2.2, 4.3) per 100,000 in 1990 to

    3.5 (95 % UI: 2.6, 4.9) per 100,000 in 2010, which represents a 9 % increase [3].

    The number of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) due to mental and behavioral

    disorder increased from 138.1 (95 % UI: 95.2, 188.0) DALYs in 1990 compared

    with 231.9 (95 % UI: 176.3, 329.1) in 2010, which represents a 68 % increase, while

    the rate of DALYs per 100,000 due to mental and behavioral disorder increased

    by 9 % from 3.2 (95 % UI: 2.2, 4.3) per 100,000 in 1990 to 3.5 (95 % UI: 2.6, 4.9)per 100,000 in 2010.

    Shared Risk Factors for Non-Communicable,

    Chronic Diseases

    Non-communicable, chronic diseases (NCDs) share causal risk factors, which

    suggests that strategies to reduce the burden of these risk factors will have multipli-

    cative benefits. Common risk factors can be behavioral (tobacco use, unhealthy diet,

    and physical inactivity), physiologic (body mass index, blood pressure, blood cho-

    lesterol, and blood glucose), and social (stress, socioeconomic position). While

    these risk factors are generally considered modifiable, prevention of abnormal risk

    factor development, also known as primordial prevention [8], leads to more favor-

    able health outcomes than even treatment of risk factors. Prevalence estimates and

    attributable burdens of disease for behavioral risk factors are outlined below.

    Tobacco

    Smoking prevalence has decreased from 41 % (95 % UI: 40, 43) in 1980 to 31 %

    (95 % UI: 30, 32) in 2012 for men >15 years and from 11 % (95 % UI: 10, 11) to

    6 % (95 % UI: 6, 6) for women >15 years [9]. However, due to population growth

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    and aging as well as the inherent lag time between tobacco exposure and diseases

    such as cancer, the number of deaths attributable to tobacco increased from 5.3

    million (95 % UI: 4.8, 6.0) in 1990 to 6.3 million (95 % UI: 5.4, 7.0) in 2010 [10].

    If recent trends continue, there will be an estimated 1 billion tobacco-related deaths

    in the twenty-first century, most of which will occur in low- and middle-income

    countries and half of which will occur before age 70 years [11].

    Unhealthy Diet

    Global increases in body mass index from 1980 to 2010 (0.4 mg/kg 2per decade

    (95 % UI: 0.2, 0.6) for men and 0.5 mg/kg2per decade (95 % UI: 0.3, 0.7) for

    women) [12] suggest that access to calories has increased. However, global trendsin diet quality are difficult to assess not only because of the inherent complexity in

    comparing different dietary patterns across the world but also because of the limita-

    tions in instruments for dietary data collection. The Global Burden of Disease proj-

    ect evaluates the effects of 14 dietary variables (fruit intake, vegetable, whole grains,

    nuts and seeds, milk, red meat, processed meat, sugar sweetened beverages, fiber,

    calcium, omega-3 containing seafood, polyunsaturated fats, trans fats, and sodium).

    The investigators estimate the number of attributable deaths due to unhealthy diet

    increased from 8.5 million (95 % UI: 7.9, 9.2) in 1990 to 12.5 million (95 % UI:

    11.7, 13.3) in 2010, with the greatest proportion coming from diets low in fruits (4.9million [95 % UI: 3.8, 5.9]), low in nuts/seeds (2.5 million [95 % UI: 1.6, 3.2]), and

    low in vegetables (1.8 million [95 % UI: 1.2, 2.4]) [10].

    Physical Inactivity

    Major changes in migration, transportation, and mechanization over the past century

    have undoubtedly led to declines in global physical activity [13]. However, like diet,global physical activity estimates and time trends are difficult to obtain because of:

    (1) limited number of global physical inactivity surveys; (2) limitations in survey

    instruments that rely upon self-reporting of physical activity; and (3) historical reli-

    ance on leisure-time physical activity estimates, rather than inclusion of transport,

    occupational, and domestic activity domains, which may overestimate physical

    inactivity prevalence. These limitations notwithstanding, global physical inactivity

    prevalence in 2010 has been estimated to be 28 and 34 % for men and women,

    respectively [14]. In 2010, the Global Burden of Disease project estimated that the

    number of attributable deaths due to physical inactivity was 3.2 million (95 %UI: 2.7, 3.7) [10]. TheLancetsPhysical Activity Series Working Group produced

    a higher estimate of deaths due to inactivity for 2008 (5.3 million, a 65 % higher

    estimate), which reflects the uncertainty in creating such estimates of attributable

    disease burden [15].

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    Future Projections

    Despite reductions in age-adjusted mortality from non-communicable, chronic

    diseases (NCDs) overall, the burden of NCDs will continue to grow in absoluteterms because of the inexorable effects of population growth and aging. For exam-

    ple, if the 2010 death rates due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, chronic lung

    diseases, and diabetes remained unchanged until 2025, the annual numbers of

    deaths would increase from 28.3 million to 38.8 million [16]. To galvanize global

    action and momentum in reducing the burden of NCDs, member states of the World

    Health Organization have adopted nine voluntary targets to reduce the burden of

    NCDs and their risk factors (Box) [17]. The primary, equity-based target is to reduce

    the risk of premature death, between the ages of 30 and 69 years, from NCDs by

    25 % by 2025, or the so-called 25 25 target.

    Kontis et al. estimated the effect of achieving six of the eight risk factor targets

    (tobacco, alcohol, salt intake, obesity, raised blood pressure, raised glucose/diabetes)on the 25 25 mortality target overall and on specific NCD subtypes, stratified by

    sex and country, compared with business as usual trends [16]. These projections

    suggest that, if these six risk factor targets were achieved, the risk of premature

    Box: Nine Voluntary Targets Adopted by Member States of the World

    Health Organization to Reduce the Burden of Non-Communicable,

    Chronic Diseases [17]

    1. 25 % relative reduction in risk of premature mortality from cardiovascular

    diseases, cancer, diabetes, or chronic lung diseases.

    2. At least 10 % relative reduction in the harmful use of alcohol, as appropri-

    ate, within the national context.3. A 10 % relative reduction in the prevalence of insufficient physical

    activity.

    4. A 30 % relative reduction in mean population intake of salt/sodium.

    5. A 30 % relative reduction in prevalence of current tobacco use in persons

    aged 15+ years.

    6. A 25 % relative reduction in the prevalence of raised blood pressure or

    contain the prevalence of raised blood pressure, according to national

    circumstances.

    7. Halt the rise in diabetes and obesity.8. At least 50 % of eligible people receive drug therapy and counseling

    (including glycemic control) to prevent heart attacks and strokes.

    9. An 80 % availability of the affordable basic technologies and essential

    medicines, including generics, required to treat major noncommunicable

    diseases in both public and private facilities.

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    deaths from NCDs would decrease by 22 % for men and 19 % for women between

    2010 and 2025. These estimates compare favorably with projected decreases in the

    risk of premature mortality from NCDs by 11 % for men and 10 % for women under

    the business as usual scenario where recent declines in NCD mortality rates con-

    tinue to 2025. Achieving these six risk factor targets would not only prevent or

    postpone 16.1 million NCD-related deaths among individuals 3069 years old over

    the 15 year period (20102025) but would also prevent or postpone an additional

    21.4 million deaths among individuals 70 years and greater. The majority (70 %) of

    these premature deaths prevented or postponed would be from cardiovascular

    disease (11.4 million), followed by cancer (2.4 million), chronic lung diseases

    (1.2 million) and diabetes (1.1 million). Because low- and middle-income countries

    have a higher burden of NCD-related deaths and death rates compared with high-

    income countries, these countries would experience far greater progress toward the

    25 25 mortality target if the risk factor targets were achieved.

    Conclusions

    Non-communicable chronic diseases (NCDs), including cardiovascular diseases,

    cancer, chronic lung diseases, diabetes, and mental and behavioral disorders, are the

    leading causes of death and disability worldwide. While global age-adjusted death

    rates from NCDs have been falling over the past two decades, population growthand aging have led to absolute and ongoing increases in NCD-related deaths and

    disability adjusted life years (DALYs). Low- and middle-income countries are pro-

    jected to bear even greater proportions of the global burden of NCDs in the coming

    decades due, at least in part to their younger demographics, unless comprehensive,

    sustainable, and intersectoral action is taken to prevent, detect, treat, and control

    NCDs and their shared risk factors.

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    11. Jha P, Peto R. Global effects of smoking, of quitting, and of taxing tobacco. N Engl J Med.

    2013;370(1):608.

    12. Finucane M, Stevens GA, Cowan MJ, Danaei G, Lin JK, Paciorek C, et al. National, regional,

    and global trends in body-mass index since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination

    surveys and epidemiological studies with 960 country-years and 9 1 million participants.

    Lancet. 2011;377(9765):55767.

    13. Yusuf S, Reddy S, Ounpuu S, Anand S. Global burden of cardiovascular diseases: Part I: general

    considerations, the epidemiologic transition, risk factors, and impact of urbanization.

    Circulation. 2001;104(22):274653.

    14. Hallal PC, Andersen LB, Bull FC, Guthold R, Haskell W, Ekelund U, Lancet Physical Activity

    Series Working Group. Global physical activity levels: surveillance progress, pitfalls, and

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    Series Working Group. Effect of physical inactivity on major non-communicable diseases world-

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    16. Kontis V, Mathers CD, Rehm J, Stevens GA, Shield KD, Bonita R, et al. Contribution of six

    risk factors to achieving the 25 25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a

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    Global Burden of Non-Communicable, Chronic Diseases

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    13 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

    J.P. Andrade et al. (eds.), Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases,

    DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-22357-5_2

    Cardiovascular Disease Worldwide: A Global

    Challenge

    Jadelson P. Andrade, Marianna D. Andrade, and Luiz Alberto Mattos

    At the beginning of this century, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) showed an

    epidemiological behavior very similar to those of the great endemics of past centu-

    ries and were responsible for high mortality rates worldwide.

    This current epidemiological profile of CVD is evident in data from the World

    Health Organization (WHO), which show that of the 56.9 million total deaths

    reported worldwide, approximately 30.5 % or 17 million people had CVD listed as

    the cause of death [1, 2].

    An important epidemiological fact that needs to be considered is the uneven

    geographic distribution of CVD deaths. Lower mortality rates are observed in devel-oped countries and much of Latin America, and higher rates are observed in lower

    income countries, such as Eastern European countries [1].

    Data released by the WHO in 2008 indicate that of the total number of CVD

    deaths worldwide, approximately 80.1 % occurred in low- and middle-income

    countries, and only 19.9 % occurred in high-income countries.

    If this global scenario is already alarming at the beginning of this new century,

    the expectations for the future are even more troubling; it is estimated that if concrete

    J.P. Andrade, M.D. (*)

    Hospital da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

    Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    e-mail:[email protected]

    M.D. Andrade, M.D., Ph.D.

    Intensive Care Unit from the Hospital da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

    Research and Educational Institute from the Hospital da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil

    e-mail: [email protected]

    L.A. Mattos, M.D., Ph.D.Brazilian Society of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Interventional Cardiology from Rede Dor Hospitals, Sao Paulo,

    Rio de Janeiro and Recife, Sao Paulo, Brazil

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    14

    actions are not implemented, by the year 2030, seven out of ten deaths will be due

    to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and CVD will account for the highest

    percentage of these deaths [1, 3].

    However, although the CVD mortality rates in developed countries have been

    declining in recent decades, as previously mentioned, the rates in most developing

    countries are still increasing. This is due, among other factors, to the increased eco-

    nomic power of developing countries. Rising incomes per capita have led to

    improvement in the health and basic living conditions of these populations, resulting

    in a significant reduction in the incidence of and mortality from infectious and para-

    sitic diseases, with a proportional increase in the number of deaths caused by NCDs.

    In addition, the lifestyle adopted by urban populations in developing countries has

    significantly increased the prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular diseases

    such as obesity, physical inactivity, tobacco use, high blood pressure, excessive salt

    intake, dyslipidemia, and diabetes [4, 5].

    Risk Factors for CVD

    At the end of the 1940s, important epidemiological studies, such as the pioneering

    study by Framingham, began to identify predictive risk factors for the development

    of CVD. The primary factors listed were systemic hypertension, dyslipidemia,

    tobacco use, obesity, physical inactivity, excessive salt intake, and mental/emotionalstress [6, 7]. The identification of these and other risk factors in populations in both

    developed and developing countries indicated the steps that should be followed to

    counter this epidemiological challenge.

    At first, population programs were developed and applied in developed countries,

    including some European countries, the USA, Canada, Australia, and Japan. These

    programs were designed to establish some type of epidemiological control over

    these risk factors in their populations. Analyses of the results of these programs

    have shown a significant reduction in CVD mortality rates where and when they

    were applied. The Framingham Heart Study, the North Karelia Project, and the

    Stanford Project are some of the more notable programs implemented [5, 7, 8].

    In Finland, for example, efforts to implement well-organized cardiovascular

    prevention programs have been rewarded with a reduction in CVD risk factors and

    CVD mortality rates. The combined efforts of governments, health professionals,

    food companies, universities, and non-governmental organizations have resulted in

    effective actions [8]. The results of these actions have led to the consumption of

    healthier diets with reduced levels of sodium and saturated fats and adecreased preva-

    lence of tobacco use and physical inactivity. Between 1972 and 2007, in Finland, there

    was a significant reduction in cholesterol levels by approximately 21 %, systolic blood

    pressure by 10.1 mmHg, and the prevalence of tobacco use by 51 % [9].

    The implementation of this program model would surely bring potential benefits

    to developing countries such as Brazil, which has a high CVD mortality rate.

    According to data published by the Ministry of Health (Ministrio da SadeMS)

    of Brazil and obtained from a telephone survey conducted in 2010 in major Brazilian

    J.P. Andrade et al.

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    cities (Surveillance of Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases Telephone

    SurveyVIGITEL), 15 % of adults 18 years and older are smokers, only 30 %

    regularly consume fruits and vegetables, whereas 34 % reported consuming meat

    with excess fat, and only 30 % practice physical activity regularly (including leisure

    activities and commuting to work) [10, 11].

    According to the 2012 European Guidelines on Cardiovascular Prevention, there

    are eight reasons to promote cardiovascular prevention [12]:

    1. Atherosclerotic CVD, especially coronary artery disease, is the leading cause of

    premature death worldwide;

    2. CVD affects men and women equally;

    3. CVD mortality rates are declining in many European countries but remain high

    in Eastern Europe;

    4. More than half of the observed decrease in the CVD rate is related to changes inrisk factors, and 40 % is due to improved treatments;

    5. Preventive efforts should be applied throughout life, from birth to old age;

    6. Preventive approaches limited to high-risk individuals are less effective, and

    education programs for the entire population are needed;

    7. Despite gaps in knowledge, there is ample evidence to justify intensive efforts

    related to public health and individual prevention;

    8. There is still room for improvement in the control of risk factors, even in high-risk

    individuals.

    Prevention of Risk Factors, Early Diagnosis

    and Treatment of CVD

    The evolution and improvement of diagnostic methods and the therapeutic arsenal

    for CVD have created a valuable tool for reducing cardiovascular mortality. Some

    epidemiological studies still attribute a greater impact on reducing cardiovascular

    morbidity and mortality to treatment rather than to prevention. More recent studies,however, reveal a balance between preventive and therapeutic actions in the fight

    against CVD. In 2007, an epidemiological analysis was published that used the vali-

    dated IMPACT mortality model, and it showed a significant decrease in mortality

    rates due to coronary heart disease in both men and women in the USA between

    1980 and 2000. Furthermore, the authors concluded that approximately 44 % of this

    decrease was due to the control of several cardiovascular risk factors, while 47 %

    resulted from therapeutic actions. Preventive actions that contributed to this result

    included reductions in total cholesterol (24 %), systolic blood pressure (24 %), the

    prevalence of tobacco use (12 %) and physical inactivity (5 %) [13, 14]. This result

    was counterbalanced by the significant increase in the prevalence of obesity and

    diabetes in this population.

    Figure 1summarizes the main epidemiological studies that have been published

    in recent decades evaluating the impact of treatments and preventive actions on

    reducing cardiovascular mortality.

    Cardiovascular Disease Worldwide: A Global Challenge

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    16

    Global Targets for the Prevention and Control of CVD

    The data presented here reinforce the importance of a new strategy for combating

    CVD, which will require a combination of cardiovascular prevention actions and

    earlier and more accurate diagnosis methods, as well as increased availability of

    effective treatments. The balance of these actions will result in significant reductions

    in the current epidemiological indices and also a change in future prospects.

    During the World Health Assembly in 2012, the WHO initiated the campaign

    Unite in the Fight against NCDs, setting a global target to reduce premature

    mortality rates due to NCDs by 25 % by the year 2025 [15]. The campaign was

    based on well-defined principles and supported by all recent scientific evidencerelated to the prevention of NCDs. The pillars of this campaign are the following:

    Accelerate tobacco control;

    Reduce salt intake;

    Implement appropriate treatment of high-risk CVD;

    Reduce alcohol consumption;

    Reduce physical inactivity.

    The WHO has encouraged all countries to unite around this banner of cardio-

    vascular disease prevention, proposing an alliance between the United Nations,governments, civil society, and private sectors.

    The goal of the WHO is to promote a collaborative effort to change the serious

    epidemiological reality of CVD and the future prospects that have been projected

    for the next 30 years [15, 16].

    Treatments Risk factors No Explication

    United States 68-76 40 54 6

    New Zealand 74-81 40 60

    Netherlands 78-85 46 44 10

    United States 80-90 43 50 7

    Finland 72-92 24 76

    IMPACT New Zealand 82-93 35 60 5

    IMPACT Scotland 75-94 35 55 10

    IMPACT England and Wales 81-00 38 52 10

    IMPACT Italy 80-00 40 55 5

    IMPACT United States 80-00 47 44 9

    IMPACT Finland 82-97 23 53 24

    IMPACT Sweden 86-02 36 55 9

    0% 50% 100%

    Fig. 1 Percent decrease in the number of deaths from coronary heart disease attributed to changes

    in treatment and risk factors in different populations. (Adapted from Di Chiara and Vanuzzo [ 13])

    J.P. Andrade et al.

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    The Letter from Rio de Janeiro

    In line with the WHO proposal, the Brazilian Society of Cardiology (Sociedade

    Brasileira de CardiologiaSBC) gathered a committee formed by the presidents offive of the most important cardiology societies in the world in 2013 in the city of

    Rio de Janeiro: the World Heart Federation, American Heart Association, European

    Society of Cardiology, Interamerican Society of Cardiology, and Brazilian Society

    of Cardiology. In conjunction with specialists in global cardiovascular prevention, a

    document was prepared containing targets for the prevention and control of NCDs

    [16]. The document, called the Letter from Rio, was ratified by the presidents of

    the participating societies and aims to provide an overall view of CVD and propose

    strategic actions to reduce the prevalence of the risk factors contributing to the high

    CVD mortality [17, 18]. The letter confirms the global target of a 25 % reduction inearly mortality due to NCDs by the year 2025. The following are included in the

    resolutions contained in the Letter from Rio:

    Work together in defense of global targets for achieving a 25 % reduction in

    mortality from NCDs by the year 2025;

    Implement public policies for the prevention and control of NCDs in the general

    population and specific groups;

    Act on social determinants that contribute to the occurrence of CVD through

    government policies;

    Interact with health policy makers to develop cardiovascular prevention programsand methods for evaluating their results;

    Mobilize the media to continuously disseminate information on the importance

    of CVD, its major risk factors, and means of prevention.

    Targets from the Letter from Rio for the Prevention and Control of NCDs

    25 % reduction in mortality rates from NCDs;

    10 % reduction in the prevalence of physical inactivity among adults;

    25 % reduction in the prevalence of hypertension (defined as a systolicblood pressure 140 mmHg and a diastolic pressure 90 mmHg);

    Reduction in the average intake of salt in the adult population to 5 g/day

    (2000 mg sodium);

    30 % reduction in the prevalence of tobacco use;

    15 % reduction in the intake of saturated fatty acids to achieve the recom-

    mended level of

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    Conclusion

    The recognition that CVD is responsible for 30 % of all deaths worldwide, together

    with the alarming projections for the coming years, indicate that CVD should bethe target of actions against it that involve governments, trade associations, and

    civil society.

    The identification of the main factors responsible for the occurrence of CVD

    and the significant technological and scientific advancements in the diagnostic and

    therapeutic arsenal against NCDs have created valuable tools for intervention in this

    context. An analysis of the results of cardiovascular prevention programs imple-

    mented in some developed countries, using the triad of reduction of cardiovascular

    risk factors, early diagnosis, and proper treatment, has shown significant reductions

    in CVD mortality and has indicated the paths to be followed in the future.

    References

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    13. Di Chiara A, Vanuzzo D. Does surveillance impact on cardiovascular prevention? Eur Heart

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    14. Ford ES, Ajani UA, Croft JB, Critchley JA, Labarthe DR, Kottke TE, et al. Explaining the

    decrease in U.S. deaths from coronary disease, 19802000. Explaining the decrease in U.S.

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    Cardiovascular Disease Worldwide: A Global Challenge

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    21 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015J.P. Andrade et al. (eds.), Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases,DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-22357-5_3

    Value of Primordial and Primary Prevention

    for Cardiovascular Diseases: A Global

    Perspective

    Armin Barekatain, Sandra Weiss, and William S. Weintraub

    Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease

    Worldwide, cardiovascular disease (CVD) is estimated to be the leading cause of

    death and loss of disability-adjusted life years. Although age-adjusted cardiovascular

    death rates have declined in several developed countries in past decades, rates of

    cardiovascular disease have risen greatly in low-income and middle-income coun-

    tries [1]. CVD is now the leading cause of death in all developing regions, with the

    exception of sub-Saharan Africa [1]. It causes twice as many deaths as HIV, malaria,

    and tuberculosis combined. Furthermore, due to the increasing prevalence of risk

    factors and lack of appropriate preventive measures, a relatively younger population

    is affected by CVD in these countries [2]. This leads to the loss of many potential

    years of productive life and places a huge economic burden on these countries.

    Hence, efforts to produce even modest reductions in age-specific disease rates could

    have a very large economic impact.

    A. Barekatain, M.D. (*)Internal Medicine, Houston, Texas, USAe-mail: [email protected]

    S. Weiss, M.D.Christiana Care Center for Heart et Vascular Health from the University of ChicagoMedical Center, Newark, DE, USAe-mail: [email protected]

    W.S. Weintraub, M.D.Center for Outcomes Research, One of Four Research Centers Comprising the Value Institute

    at Christiana Care Health Center, Newark, DE, USAe-mail: [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Disease

    Epidemiologic research findings from the Framingham Heart Study and many others

    have established high blood pressure, high blood cholesterol, smoking, obesity,diabetes, and physical inactivity as major risk factors for CVD [3]. These risk factors

    have been shown in other studies to apply almost universally among racial and

    ethnic groups [4]. In INTERHEART, a casecontrol study of 19,470 people from

    52 countries, nine modifiable risk factors were found to have a globally consistent

    association with myocardial infarction (MI) in both sexes and at all ages and in all

    regions: abnormal lipids, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, abdominal obesity,

    psychosocial factors, dietary factors, physical exercise, and alcohol consumption,

    with the two most important risk factors being smoking and abnormal lipids [5].

    The levels of these risk factors have increased in most non-Western countriesover the past two decades [1]. Social and economic changes have driven these

    trends. The epidemiologic transition is a term used to describe the observation that

    people are living longer, and those who live longer have greater exposure to risk

    factors. Westernized diets and patterns of physical inactivity result in elevations in

    blood pressure, body weight, blood sugar levels, and lipid concentrations. Moreover,

    the global expansion of the tobacco trade has led to large increases in the rate of

    smoking [6].

    Is Cardiovascular Disease Preventable?

    While clinical trials have provided us with evidence that treatment of people with

    elevated risk factors is efficacious in preventing CVD, it is less well known that low-

    ering the levels of or eliminating risk factors in communities is effective in reducing

    the rate of CVD at the population level. The first line of evidence that CVD can be

    prevented at the population level comes from studying its trends in several high-

    income countries. For example, in the United States, the CVD mortality rate peaked

    during the 1960s then reversed direction and has generally steadily fallen since then.

    Reduction in the CVD mortality rate started before powerful modern medical treat-

    ments entered mainstream medical practice [7]. In addition, modeling studies have

    demonstrated that almost half of the decline in the rate of coronary heart disease in

    the US between 1980 and 2000 is attributable to the reductions in major risk factors.

    These signify that improvements in risk factors, primarily smoking, total cholesterol,

    and blood pressure, were key elements to initiate the decline [8].

    Another line of evidence that population-based interventions can be effective in

    lowering the burden of CVD in the community comes from several epidemiologic

    studies, as mentioned bellow.

    The Stanford Three-Community Study began in 1972 and studied the effects of

    mass-media educational campaigns to promote knowledge and awareness of

    CVD and their risk factors as well as the specific measures which may reduce

    A. Barekatain et al.

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    23

    risk. A statistically significant reduction of 2530 % was achieved in the com-

    posite risk score for cardiovascular disease as a result of significant declines in

    blood pressure, smoking, and cholesterol levels [9].

    In the Stanford Five-City Project, a reduction in cholesterol level (about 2 %),

    blood pressure (about 4 %), and smoking rate (13 %) was achieved in a 5-year,

    low-cost, comprehensive educational and organizational programs by utilizing

    about 26 h of exposure to multichannel and multifactor education. These risk

    factor changes resulted in important decreases in composite total mortality risk

    scores (15 %) and coronary heart disease risk scores (16 %) [10].

    The North Karelia project offers a powerful lesson in successful population-

    based interventions. This project was launched in 1972 to lower CVD rates by

    improving the three cardinal risk factors for CHD: smoking, total cholesterol,

    and blood pressure. Information was obtained about socioeconomic status, medi-

    cal history, smoking, diet, alcohol consumption, physical activity, as well asheight, weight, skinfold thicknesses, blood pressure, and serum cholesterol.

    Practical means were developed to modify risk factors by mass media, by train-

    ing volunteers and community leaders, and through environmental changes such

    as smoking restrictions, use of low-fat dairy and meat products. These interven-

    tions resulted in reduced rates of smoking, high total cholesterol and high blood

    pressure. As a result, the CHD mortality rate among males aged 3564 years in

    North Karelia decreased by 2.9 % per year between 1969 and 1978, significantly

    more than the national mortality rate (1.0 % per year) [11]. These experiences

    suggest that population-based approaches to reduce risk factors could be effectiveeven in the absence of extensive medical treatments.

    Primordial and Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

    Primordial prevention is defined as prevention of the development of risk factors in

    the first place, and primary prevention are defined as interventions designed to mod-

    ify adverse levels of risk factors once present with the goal of preventing an initialCVD event. Although no multi-decade, population-based, longitudinal studies have

    been conducted linking absolute levels of risk factors in childhood to incident clini-

    cal CVD events in adult life, several lin