J-3 TF Nail

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    MISSION ANALYSISBRIEFING

    J3/J5

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    TF-NailTask Organization: JFSOCC CASPIA

    N

    FOB 101 (-) FOB 102

    2/75 IN

    D, 96th CANSWTU-2

    JSOTF-A

    JFSOCC BAKU

    BAKU BOLSHIYE

    JSOAD-N JSOAD-S

    BOLSHIYE NAKICHEVAN

    BOLSHIYE

    QRF

    NAKICHEVANBOLSHIYE BAKU BAKU

    JSOAC

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    TF-NailTask Organization

    CJSOTF

    ARSOF NSWTU-2 JSOAC

    FOB 01 NSWTU-2 (HQ) 352 SOG (HQ)

    1-10 SFGA (-) 2 X SEAL PLT 7 SOS

    FOB 02 1 X Mark-V Det 321 STS

    2-10 SFGA AZ SF Co. 67 SOS

    2-75 RGR 21 SOS

    D-96-CA BN 4 SOS

    99 SOS UCAV

    193 SOW

    88 SOS

    160 SOAR

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    Current ODA Disposition

    ODA 021

    1st AZ Division

    ODA 022 11th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 023 6th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 024 2nd AZ Arty Bde

    ODA 025 7th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 026 12th AZ Mech In Bde

    CST- 17 ODAs

    ODA 011

    5th AZ Mech In BdeODA 012 1st AZ Artillery Bde

    ODA 013 10th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 014 -1st AZ Anti-Armor Bde

    ODA 015 2nd BCT 1AZ ID

    ODA 016 1st BCT 1AZ ID

    ODA 041 16th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 042 14st AZ Artillery Bde

    ODA 043 15th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 044 8th AZ Mech In Bde

    ODA 051 - In Iraq with NILE Tm

    Available- 13 ODAs

    ODA 045- MSN Planning

    ODA 046- MSN Planning

    ODA 052- MSN Planning

    ODA 053- MSN Planning

    ODA 054- MSN Planning

    ODA 055- MSN Planning

    ODA 056- MSN Planning

    ODA 061- MSN PlanningODA 062- MSN Planning

    ODA 063- MSN Planning

    ODA 064- MSN Planning

    ODA 065- MSN Planning

    ODA 066- MSN Planning

    FOB 01

    FOB 02

    FOB 02

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    CJSOTF-A

    p. 152

    CJFSOCC

    CJSOTF

    NSWTU-2

    D-96th CA

    JOA Caspian

    JSOAD-S

    FOB 02

    TF SOAR

    TF RGR

    Nakichevan Airport

    JSOAC

    JSOAD-N

    FOB 01(-)

    Bolshiye Airport

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    Base

    111098 12 13

    7654

    321

    17 18 19161514

    20 21 22 23 24

    25 26 27 28 29

    30 31 32 33

    37 38363534

    39 40 41 42 43 44

    45 46 47 48 49

    50 51 52

    54 55

    53

    FRIENDLY SOF 200001ZMAR13

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailKNOWN FACTS

    Time Zone Delta (Z+4 hrs)

    CJFSOCC located in BAKU commanded by the Deputy Cdr SOCEUR

    CJSOAC located in BOLSHIYE commanded by the 352nd SOG/CC, made upof two JSOADs (North and South) located in BOLSHIYE and NAKICHEVAN

    2/75 INF located in NAKICHEVAN commanded by the BN Cdr serving as

    the strategic reserve for QRF/CBRNE RF. It is supported on a rotationalbasis by both JSOADs rotary-wing assets.

    JSOTF-HQ is located in BAKU and is currently focused on FID withAzerbaijani forces. Individual ODAs are currently performing FID training with AZ Brigades and

    aiding government forces in SAPA intel collection

    All coalition SOF forces have returned to their home countries.

    NILE (Northern Iran Liason Element) in As Sulaymaniyah at PUK HQ hasestablished contacts with The Kurdish Democratic Party of Iran (KDPI) andis working inside Ahuristan.

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailASSUMPTIONS

    Limited Smart weapon supply willrequire Eyes-on atk of trgts and

    immediate BDA.

    Due to German mission in NKSAPA/FKM present min threat

    Atk pri. is (1) SSM, (2) Qazvin

    Qazvin is chemical productionfacilities w/i Ah.

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    CJSOTF OPERATIONS TREE

    AH Atks

    Yes

    NoRegime

    Change

    Conventional

    Unconventional

    Chemical

    Coalition

    Atk

    AH

    Insurgency

    Defend

    COIN

    Preemptive

    Mitigate

    Method of Atk Strategy

    US OBJ

    CST

    CJSOTF MSNs

    SR/DA-TGO

    FID

    CT

    Diplomatic

    SR/DA-TGO

    UW

    Psyops

    CA

    UW

    No Cap

    Effect

    Cord Defense

    Destroy HVTs

    Disrupt LOC

    Disrupt SAPA

    F3 Key Leaders

    Dissuade Sup.

    HCA

    Destroy HVTs

    Disrupt LOC

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailSPECIFIED TASKS

    Defend Azerbaijan

    Destroy Ahurastani Offensive WMD

    Capabilities

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailIMPLIED TASKS

    Conduct Special Operations in JOA Caspian to support JTFcommander

    Establish Coalition Support Teams (CST) to support Azerbaijansdefensive and coordinate US support

    Conduct FID to support Azerbaijans IDAD Program

    Conduct UW to disrupt Ahurastans offensive capability Coordinate CAS for Azerbaijani forces

    Provide ISR support for Air Interdiction

    Provide PSYOPS LNOs to strategic communications working group(SCWG)

    Facilitate coordination of Population Control Measures.

    Conduct SR/DA-TGO to locate and facilitate the destruction ofAhurastans offensive capability

    Conduct Battle Damage Assessment for JTF Caspian on strategicHVTs

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailEssential Task

    Defend Azerbaijan

    Locate and BPT facilitate the

    destruction of Ahurastans WMDcapability.

    Conduct operations to disrupt

    Ahurastans offensive capability

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailCritical Vulnerabilities

    JSOAD-S / FOB 02 / TF Ranger withinrange of AH indirect fires and vulnerableto AH ground attack

    Infiltration into Ahurastan Sustainment of forces infiltrated south of

    AZ/AH border

    Ability to defend Azerbaijan against two

    tank divisions without Coalition Support.

    Limited DECON capabilities

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailCONSTRAINTS

    Requirements (must do) Must support Azerbaijans Defensive

    operations

    Prohibitions (cant do) NGO assets will support earthquake relief 45 days until JTF forces are able to engage the

    enemy

    CDRUSEUCOM is approval for cross border

    operations into Ahurstan Limited Artillery support South of AZ border

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailRISKS TO SOF

    Operational Lack of coalition support during initial AH attack

    Tactical Ahurastans SAM threat during infil

    Chem attack at JSOADs- North & South and SPODs

    Fratricide due to shared AO with AZ and coalition forces(H)use LNOs with appropriate comms package forcoalition forces/establish necessary fire controlmeasures at both CFLCC/division level (M)

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailPROPOSED CCIR Contd

    FFIR

    Interdiction of friendly air assets by Ahurastan ADA forces?

    Loss of 50% of a BDE Azerbaijans combat power?

    Loss of communications with FOB for 24 hrs?

    OR rate drops below 65% for air assets?

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    TF-NailTF-Nail TF-NailTF-NailEEFI

    Location of NILE bases in Ahurastan?

    UAR recovery and resupply routes?