iVoteIsrael 2012 Exit Poll
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Transcript of iVoteIsrael 2012 Exit Poll
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EndofCampaignPress
Conference
EliePieprz,Na-onalDirector
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500lbsofballotsdeliveredtothe
U.S.Embassyinthelastweekof
October
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Impact:SwingStates
Ohio 3500ballots Pennsylvania 3500ballots Florida 7500ballots
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Impact:CongressionalRaces
SenateOH,FL,MA,CT,WI,PA,MO,VA HouseSouthFL,NY,Chicago,LAmetro
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2012ExitPoll
AronShaviv
ShavivStrategyandCampaigns
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Methodologicalnotes:
Sample1,572
Marginoferror+/2.5% Actualvoters ConductedbetweenOctober2224 Demographics(2slides):
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16.8% 15.4%
42.2%
9.4%
15.2%
47.3%
21.9%
0.0%
5.0%10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Inthelast10
years
Inthelast20
years
Over20years
ago
Nonreligious
(chiloni)
Tradi-onal
(masor-)
Na-onal
Religious(Da-
Leumi)
UltraOrthodox
(Haredi)
DemographicsHowlongagodidyoumake
aliyah/movetoIsrael?
Howwouldyoudescribe
yourreligiousstatus?
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20.7% 22.4%23%
33.8%
50.4% 49.6%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
1830 3150 5160 60orolder Female Male
Demographics
AgeGender
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11.2% 2.7% 11.2% 0.9%
61.3%
10.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%50%
60%
70%
Jobsand
Economy
Healthcare Iran Taxa-on Israelrelated
issuessuchas
thestatusof
Jerusalemand
Pales-nian
Other
Whatwasthemostimportantissueforyouinthese
elec6ons?
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62.0%
28.2%
1.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
ARepublicancandidate ADemocratcandidate Anindependentcandidate
CongressionalVote2012HouseofRepresenta6ves
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63.0%
27.8%
1.0%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
ARepublicancandidate ADemocratcandidate Anindependentcandidate
CongressionalVote2012-Senate
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85.0%
14.3%
0.6%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
MiRomney BarackObama WriteIncandidate
Presiden6alVote2012
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59.3%
85.8%
19.5%
84.6%88.8%
28.7%
5.3%
75.6%
0.0%3.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jobsand
Economy
Iran Healthcare Taxa-on Israelrelated
issuessuchas
thestatusof
Jerusalemand
Pales-nians
Mi
Romney
Barack
Obama
Presiden-alVote2012ontheIssues
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84.8% 85.8%
15.1% 18.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Florida Ohio
MiRomney
BarackObama
Presiden-alVote2012inBalegroundStates