(ISGSR) 2015 Rotterdam, the Netherlands 13-16 October 2015

Fifth International Symposium on

Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR) 2015

Rotterdam, the Netherlands

13-16 October 2015

WWW.ISGSR2015.ORG

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Welcome

Dear colleagues, It is my great pleasure to invite you to the fifth International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR2015), which will be held in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. The 5th ISGSR is a continuation of a series of symposiums on geotechnical risk assessment and management, safety and reliability, which started in 2007 in Shanghai, China. The most recent and very successful conference was held at the end of 2013 in Hong Kong, China. It proved again the great value of sharing knowledge and experiences from research and practice between the international geotechnical engineering community, especially the members of TC304 and TC205 of ISSMGE and of GEOSNet. The 5th ISGSR will be even more special, because it will be combined with the presentation of the end results of the Geo-Impuls programme in the Netherlands. It is a five year long, joint industry programme which aims at reducing geotechnical failure substantially in 2015. Implementing Geo Risk Management and the tools developed by the Working Groups in our projects and organizations are the key conditions in reaching this ambitious goal. The Dutch geo-engineers and managers would be honoured to present and discuss their results with the international geo-community. On behalf of the organizing committee I am looking forward to welcoming you in Rotterdam in October 2015! Sincerely yours, Paul Cools, Chair of the Conference Organizing Committee

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Table of contents

Keynote adresses 4

ISGSR 2015 at a glance 5

Day programme Tuesday 13 October 2015 6

Day programme Wednesday 14 October 2015 7

Session schedule Wednesday 14 October 2015 11:00-12:30 8



Day programme Thursday 15 October 2015 11

Session schedule Thursday 15 October 2015 10:30-12:00 12



Banquet 15

Day programme Friday 16 October 2015 16

Session schedule Friday 16 October 2015 10:30-12:00 17

Friday 16 October 2015 Technical visit: 18

Maeslantkering and Maasvlakte 2 Harbour Expansion

Conference Organising Committee 19

Scientific Committee 20

Supporting Technical Committees and chairmen of ISSMGE 21

GEO-Impuls papers 22

Instructions for speakers and chairpersons 23

Sponsors 24

Exhibitors 25

Conference information 26

Conference venue 27

Floor map WTC 28

Adress information 29

How to get to Rotterdam 30

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Keynote adresses

Wilson Tang Lecture

Kok Kwang Phoon, National University of Singapore, Singapore

Keynote speakers

Cees Brandsen, Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment, the Netherlands (Geotechnical risk management in Dutch public infrastructure projects)

Farrokh Nadim, NGI & NTNU, Norway (Accounting for Uncertainty and Variability in Geotechnical Characterization of Offshore Sites)

Limin Zhang, Hong Kong, University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China (Reliability analysis and risk management for engineered slopes)

Samuel G. Paikowsky, University of Massachusetts Lowell, USA (Code Calibration Based on Limit State Uncertainty and Its Utilization in Design)

Bas Jonkman, Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands (Developments in levee reliability and flood risk analysis)

Hongwei Huang, Tongji University, China (Quantitative Geotechnical Risk Management for Tunneling Projects in China)

Mandy Korff, Deltares, the Netherlands (Learning from case studies and monitoring of underground construction works )

Rolf Katzenbach, Technische Universität Darmstadt, Germany (Risk Management and Risk Communication in geotechnical engineering by independent peer review and

special technical solutions)

Welcome addresses

Paul Cools, Geosnet, Chairman of the Conference Organising Committee

Jan Hendrik Dronkers, Director-General of Rijkswaterstaat, Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment, the Netherlands

Johan Vermeer, Director Projectmanagement and Engineering, Municipality of Rotterdam, the Netherlands

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ISGSR2015 at a glance

Tuesday 13 October 2015 TS= Technical Session, SS = Special session

9:00-17:00 Short course

13:30-17:30 Open software event

16:30-18:00 Registration desk open (WTC, Beursplein 37, Rotterdam)

17:30-19:30 Ice breaker: reception at City Hall of Rotterdam

Wednesday 14 October 2015

9:00-10:30 Welcome addresses and Wilson Tang Lecture by Kok Kwang Phoon

11:00-12:30 TS A-1 Risk management TS B-1 Spatial variability SS C-1 Heterogeneity

13:30-14:30 Keynote lectures Cees Brandsen and Farrokh Nadim

14:45-15:30 TS A-2 Risk management TS B-2 Reliability analysis TS C-2 Spatial variability TS D-2 Monitoring and cases

16:00-17:30 SS A-3 Slope stability SS B-3 Geo-RM—Demands SS C-3 Landslide hazards TS D-3 Reliability analysis

17:30-18:00 Meeting executive board GEOSNet

18:00-19:30 Joint meeting ISSMGE TC304 with TC205, TC212 and TC302

Thursday 15 October 2015

9:00-10:00 Keynote lectures Limin Zhang and Samuel Paikowsky

10:30-12:00 TS A-4 Reliability analysis TS B-4 Limit-state design SS C-4 Offshore

13:00-14:00 Keynote lectures Bas Jonkman and Hongwei Huang

14:15-15:00 TS A-5 Natural Hazards TS B-5 Reliability analysis TS C-5 Reliability analysis TS D-5 Monitoring and cases

15:30-17:00 SS A-6 Dikes SS B-6 Site characterization SS C-6 Bayesian methods TS D-6 Reliability analysis

19:00-23:00 Banquet

Friday 16 October 2015

9:00-10:00 Keynote lectures Mandy Korff and Rolf Katzenbach

10:30-12:00 SS A-7 Large dams TS B-7 Natural Hazards SS C-7 Observational Method

12:00-12:30 Closing ceremony

12:30-18:30 Technical visit

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Day programme Tuesday 13 October 2015

9:00-17:00 Short course: Reliability Analysis and

Updating in Geotechnical Engineering

(J.F. Staal Room)

13:30-17:30 Open Software Event

(Goudriaan Room 1 + 2)

16:30-18:00 Registration desk open (WTC, Beursplein 37, Rotterdam)

17:30-19:30 Ice-breaker: reception at City Hall Rotterdam (Stadhuis, Coolsingel 40, Rotterdam) Free admission, access on presentation of the conference badge

City Hall Rotterdam WTC to City Hall Rotterdam: 3 minute walk

City Hall Rotterdam

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Day programme Wednesday 14 October 2015

9:00-10:30 Opening (Chair: Paul Cools) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Welcome addresses by Paul Cools, Jan-Hendrik Dronkers and Johan Vermeer

- Wilson Tang Lecture by Kok Kwang Phoon (Is there anything better than load and resistance factor design for

simplified geotechnical reliability-based design?)

Coffee break and group picture

11:00-12:30 TS A-1 Geotechnical Risk

Management and Risk Commu-

nication

(Rotterdam Hall)

TS B-1 Variability in Ground

Conditions and Site Investiga-

tion

(Mees Auditorium)

SS C1 Stochastic Analysis of Soil

Heterogeneity and Geotechnical

Reliability

(Penn Room 1)

Lunch

13:30-14:30 Plenary session (Chair: Frits van Tol) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Keynote 1: Cees Brandsen (Geotechnical risk management in Dutch public infrastructure projects)

- Keynote 2: Farrokh Nadim (Accounting for Uncertainty and Variability in Geotechnical Characterization of Offshore Sites)

Short break

14:45-15:30 TS A-2 Geotechnical Risk Ma-

nagement and Risk Communi-

cation

(Rotterdam Hall)

TS B-2 Reliability and Risk Ana-

lysis of Geotechnical Structures

(Mees Auditorium)

TS C-2 Variability in Ground

Conditions and Site Investi-

gation

(Penn Room 1)

TS D-2 Case studies, Monito-

ring and Observational Method

(Penn Room 2)

Coffee break

16:00-17:30 SS A3 Probabilistic Slope Stabili-

ty Analysis: The State of Play

(Rotterdam Hall)

SS B3 Geotechnical Risk Ma-

nagement and Communication -

Demands

(Mees Auditorium)

SS C3 Uncertainty and Reliabili-

ty of Landslide Hazard Models

(Penn Room 1)

TS D3 Reliability and Risk Ana-

lysis of Geotechnical Structures

(Penn Room 2)

17:30-18:00 Meeting executive board GEOSNet (Veder Room)

18:00-19:30 Joint meeting TC304 with TC205, TC212 and TC302 (Goudriaan Room 1 + 2)

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Technical Session A-1

Geotechnical Risk Management and Risk Com-

munication

Chair: Almer van der Stoel

Location: Rotterdam Hall

Presentations (12 min. + 3 min. Q&A)

Technical Session B-1

Variability in Ground Conditions and Site Investi-

gation

Chair: Wim Kanning

Location: Mees Auditorium


Special Session C-1

Stochastic Analysis of Soil Heterogeneity and

Geotechnical Reliability

Chair: Michael Hicks

Location: Penn Room 1


Risk management for the underground car park Kruis-plein

Allaart, Portengen

Analyzing Spatial Variability of Geologic Profiles for Four Sites in Hong Kong

Liu, Leung

Geotechnical reliability analysis involving spatially autocorrelated soil properties

Low

Risk management based ground deformation monito-ring during Queens Bored Tunnels project

Mooney, Grasmick, Prantil, Thompson

Spatial Variability of Subsurface Soil Conditions Causing Roadway Settlements

Bilgin, Arens, Salveter, Dettloff

Role of Soil and Structural Heterogeneity in Geotechni-cal System Redundancy

Naghibi, Fenton

Geotechnical Risks in a deep building pit in The Hague’s old city centre - project Veenkade

Van Seters, Spendel

Probabilistic Characterization of a Soft Scandinavian Clay Supporting a Light Quay Structure

A.B. Lundberg, Y. Li

Bearing capacity of spatially random rock masses obeying Hoek-Brown failure criterion

Al-Bittar, Michael, Soubra

Seismic risk management of a canal system model Hara, Kato, Nonoyama, Otake, Honjo

Spatial Variability of soil-rock interface in Chennai using geophysical and geotechnical data

Divya Priya, Dodagoudar

Three dimensional discrete failures in long heteroge-neous slopes

Li, Hicks, Vardon

Using GeoRM to communicate geotechnical risks bet-ween engineers and managers

Vervoorn, Dekker

Non-intrusive Reliability Analysis of Multi-layered Slopes in Spatially Variable Soils

Xiao, Li, Cao, Tang

Probabilistic analysis of velocity distribution under earth embankment for piping investigation

Liu, Hicks, Vardon, Jommi

About the implementation of geotechnical risk manage-ment (Geo-RM) in construction projects

Van der Schrier, Hoeber

Reducing risk on unexploded ordnance by vibrations in the Rotterdam subsoil

Martens, Zandbergen

Safety assessment of a shallow foundation using the random finite element method

Zaskórski, Puła

Session Schedule Wednesday 14 October 2015 11:00-12:30

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Geotechnical Risk Management and

Risk Communication

Chair: Dirk Pereboom


Short presentations (5min. +2min.Q&A)


Reliability and Risk Analysis of Geo-

technical Structures

Chair: Maximilian Huber



Technical Session C-2

Variability in Ground Conditions and

Site Investigation

Chair: Gordon Fenton



Technical Session D-2

Case studies, Monitoring and Obser-

vational Method

Chair: Laura Caldeira



Geotechnical Engineering in Contracts for Civil Projects

Tiggelman, Litjens, Heerema, Kooistra

Correlation Effect in Probabilistic Design against Piping in Multi-Functional Flood

Defences - Aguilar López, Warmink, Schielen, Hulscher

Uplift Risk Maps for Sewerage Renewal Planning in Deltaic Cities

Borst, Van der Hout

Geotechnical monitoring of a trial pit excavation toward the Boom clay in Ant-

werp (Belgium) - De Nijs, Kaalberg, Osselaer, Couck, Van Royen

The position of geotechnical engineering and risk management in Dutch higher

education W. Broere, Van Dalen, Van der Schrier

Dynamic axle loads as a main source of railway track degradation

Steenbergen, de Jong, Zoeteman

Random sets-based system for geotechni-cal soundings density estimation

Boumezerane

Risk Management of groundwater during the rebuilding of the area of Rotterdam

Central De Doelder, Hannink

Urban groundwater management as risk reduction tool for groundwater ex-

tractions Van der Hout, De Doelder

Assessment of risks of regional shallow slope failures

Chen, Zhang

System failure probability of c-φ soil slope stability using vertical random fields

Li, Chu

Risk management of a complex remediati-on of the former Feijenoord Gasworks site

in Rotterdam. De Vries, Hulsbos, Blaauw

Risk evolution during the design of the adaptation of a railway bridge foundation

Spruit, Hannink, van Hengstum, ir. H. Mastbroek

A framework for risk assessment of groundwater drawdown induced subsiden-

ce Sundell, Rosén, Norberg, Wladis, Alén

Determination of Spatial Variability in d70 Grain Size Values Using High Density Site

Measurements - De Visser, W. Kanning, Koopmans, Niemeijer

Non-destructive quality check on cast in-situ piles

Hopman, Hölscher

Geotechnical Risk Management for mu-seum “Our Lord in the Attic” Amsterdam

Balder

Development of a Software Package for Slope Stability Assessment Based on Limit

Analysis Wu

Whole failure process analysis for jointed rock mass based on coupling method of

DDA and FEM H.Z. Su, Wen, Yang

Utilization of EPS Geofoam for Bridge Approach Structure on Soft Bangkok Clay

Chantawarangkul, Seawsirikul, Vardhanabhuti

Limit state imprecise probabilistic analysis in geotechnical engineering

Marques, Beer, Gomes, Henriques

Session schedule Wednesday 14 October 2015 14:45-15:30

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Special Session A-3

Probabilistic Slope Stability Analy-

sis: The State of Play

Chair: Jingson Juang, Vaughan Griffiths



Special session B-3

Geotechnical Risk Management and

Communication — Demands

Chair: Lars Olsson



Special Session C-3

Uncertainty and Reliability of Lands-

lide Hazard Models

Chair: Mauro Rossi, Giovanna Vessia






Chair: Greg B. Baecher



Granular Contact Dynamics for the Pro-babilistic Stability Analysis of Slopes

Meng, Huang, Sloan

Presenting Uncertainty Clearly: Challenges In Communicating Geotechnical Risk

Sartain, Mian, Free

The effect of morphometry, land-use and lithology on landslides susceptibility: An

exploratory analysis Coco, Buccolini

Risk assessment and mitigating measures regarding pile installation at EBS Biohub

quay De Nijs, Nap, Korte, Nederlof

Probabilistic slope stability analysis using RFEM with non-stationary random fields

Griffiths, Huang, Fenton

Would risk management have helped? - A case study

Spross, Olsson, Hintze, Stille

Reliability Assessment of Digital Terrain Models drawn from Digital Photogramme-

try Colantonio, Rainone, Orsini

Stability Analysis of Unsaturated Soil Slope Considering the Variability of Soil-water

Characteristic Curve Zhang, Yan

Soil probabilistic Slope Stability Analysis in Comparison with Limit State Design

Method According to Eurocode 7 Effati Daryani, Bahadori, Daryani

Geo Risk Management Results for a Public Client Organization

Van Staveren, Litjens, Heerema

A New Tool for Large-Area Analysis of Transient Pore Water Pressures in Layered

Shallow Covers Prone to Failure Salciarini, Castorino, Cuomo, Tamagnini

Influence of Model Accuracy on Load and Resistance Factor Calibration of Steel-Strip

Walls Bathurst, Otani, Miyata

Probabilistic Slope Stability Analyses Using Limit Equilibrium and Finite Ele-

ment Methods Akbas, Huvaj

Eight things successful geotechnical risk-managers do

Smits

Modeling morpho-structural settings exploiting bedding data obtained through the interpretation

of stereoscopic aerial photographs Marchesini, Santangelo, Guzzetti, Cardinali, Bucci

Probabilistic VHM failure envelopes for skirted foundations in spatially variable

normally consolidated clay Charlton, Rouainia

Reliability-Based Design of Spatially Variable Undrained Slopes

Faour, Najjar

Integral risk management for DBFM ten-ders and contracts in the Netherlands

Berkelaar, Wong, Pekelharing

Reliability of GBInSAR monitoring in In-gelsberg landslide area (Bad Hofgastein,

Austria) Kieffer, Di Matteo, Romeo

Reliability Analysis Of Near Surface Disposal Facilities Using Collocation Based Stochastic

Response Surface Method Geetha Manjari, Sujitha, Sampurna Dutta, SivakumarBabu

Reliability analysis of heterogeneous slope considering effect of distribution

types Jiang, Li, Wei

Effect of laboratory repeatability of direct shear test on slope stability

Valigi, Ricco, Romeo

Session schedule Wednesday 14 October 2015 16:00-17:30

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Day programme Thursday 15 October 2015

9:00-10:00 Plenary session (Chair: Timo Schweckendiek) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Keynote 3: Limin Zhang (Interactive Evaluation of the Reliability of Engineered Slopes Utilising Multi-source

Monitoring Information)

- Keynote 4: Samuel Paikowsky (Limit-state design)

Coffee break

10:30-12:00 TS A-4 Reliability and Risk Anal-

ysis of Geotechnical Structures

(Rotterdam Hall)

TS B-4 Limit State Design in

Geotechnical Engineering

(Mees Auditorium)

SS C-4 Risk Assessment in Off-

shore Geotechnical Engineering

(Penn Room 1)

Lunch

13:00-14:00 Plenary session (Chair: Martin van Staveren) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Keynote 5: Bas Jonkman (Developments in levee reliability and flood risk analysis in the Netherlands)

- Keynote 6: Hongwei Huang (Quantitative Geotechnical Risk Management for Tunneling Projects in China)

Short break

14:15-15:00 TS A-5 Assessment and Man-

agement of Natural Hazards

(Rotterdam Hall)

TS B-5 Reliability and Risk Anal-


(Mees Auditorium)

TS C-5 Reliability and Risk Anal-


(Penn Room 1)

TS D-5 Case studies, Monitoring

and Observational Method

(Penn Room 2)

Coffee break

15:30-17:00 SS A-6 Risk and safety assess-

ment of dikes

(Rotterdam Hall)

SS B-6 Geostatistical methods

for uncertainty-based geotech-

nical site characterization

(Mees Auditorium)

SS C-6 Application of Bayesian

methods in geotechnical engi-

neering

(Penn Room 1)

TS D-6 Reliability and Risk Anal-


(Penn Room 2)

19:00-23:00 Banquet (boarding Spido boat, Willemsplein 85, Rotterdam)

- Announcement GEOSNet Distinguished Award

- Presentation ISGSR2017 by Vaughan Griffiths

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Reliability and Risk Analysis of Geotechnical

Structures

Chair: Yu Wang




Limit State Design in Geotechnical Engineering

Chair: Jie Zhang



Special Session C-4

Risk Assessment in Offshore Geotechnical Engi-

neering

Chair: Zhongqiang Liu, Jinhui (Lisa) Li



Assessment of Reliability-based Serviceability Limit State Procedures using Full-Scale Loading Tests Huffman, Martin, Stuedlein

Geotechnical ultimate limit state design using finite ele-ments

Brinkgreve, Post

Risk Analysis of Earthquake-Induced Submarine Slope Failure

Rodríguez-Ochoa, Nadim, Cepeda

Reliability based design of dredge sludge depot for mechanism static liquefaction

Mathijssen, de Jager, Hooiveld

Comparison of Methods for Reliability Calibration of Partial Resistance Factors for Pile Foundations

Dithinde, Retief

Reliability of API and ISO guidelines for bearing capaci-ty of offshore shallow foundations

Liu, Lacasse, Nadim, Gilbert

Probabilistic analysis at ultimate limit state of strip footings resting on a spatially varying soil using subset

simulation approach Thajeel, Al-Bittar, Ahmed, Soubra

Bearing capacity of working platforms using distinct layout optimization method

Balachowski, Bialek

Effect of spatial variability on buried footings Li, Tian, Cassidy

Diagnosis of earth-fill dams by several sounding tests Nishimura, Shibata, Shuku

Design of Deep Supported Excavations: Comparison Between Nume-rical and Empirical Methods Katsigiannis, Schweiger, Ferreira, Fuentes

Scale of Fluctuation for Geotechnical Probabilistic Ana-lysis

Nie, Zhang, Huang, Liu, Lacasse

A procedure to determine resistance factors for a newly developed rotation steel pile

Otake, Honjo, Kusano

A proposal for some modifications of EN 1997-1 design approaches

Länsivaara, Poutanen, Knuuti

Evaluation of Empirical Methods for Estimating Brea-ching Parameters of Dikes

Danka, Zhang

Uncertainty in centrifuge test of slope failure and its simulation by MPS method

Yoshida, Shuku

Evaluation and application of characteristic values based on Eurocode 7 design methodology

Kadar, Nagy

Session Schedule Thursday 15 October 2015 10:30-12:00

13


Assessment and Management of

Natural Hazards

Chair: Cristina Jommi




Reliability and Risk Analysis of Ge-

otechnical Structures

Chair: Trevor Orr



Technical Session C-5

Reliability and Risk Analysis of Ge-

otechnical Structures

Chair: Jonathan Nuttall




Case studies, Monitoring and Obser-

vational Method

Chair: Ana Teixeira



The Statistical Analysis of Hydrological Disasters

Kadar, Nagy

Uncertainty evaluation in slope failure using centrifuge model tests

Nishimura, Yoshida, Shuku

Limit-State Design of a steel Storage Tank Foundation on a Crushed Rock Ring based

on Proven Soil Strength Reinders, Schoenmaker, Nohl

Concrete flow in diaphragm wall panels: A full-scale in-situ test

Van Dalen, Bosch, Broere

How to determine the phreatic surface in a dike during storm conditions with wave overtopping?

A method applied to the Afsluitdijk De Raadt, Jaspers Focks, van Hoven, Regeling

Time-dependent reliability analysis of pavement structures under fatigue loading

Deepthi, Sivakumar Babu, Lekshmi

Parameter Identification of Consolidation Settlement Based on Multi-objective Opti-

mization Zheng, Zhang, Zhang

Evaluation of Differential Settlement along Bridge Approach Structure on Soft Bang-

kok Clay Chantawarangul, Vardhanabhuti

Flood safety on dikes with wind turbines Halter

The history of safety factors for Dutch regional dykes

de Gast, Vardon, Jommi, Hicks

Detection of anomalies in diaphragm walls Spruit, van Tol, Broere

Evaluation Settlement models Test Em-bankments Bloemendalerpolder - GeoIm-

puls Program Hoefsloot

Safety Assessment Method of Flood Defences for Flow Sliding

van der Krogt, van den Ham, Kok

Effects of Soil Spatial Variability on Bear-ing Capacity of Shallow Foundations

Daryani, Mohamad

Uncertainties in redesigning an exisiting quay wall

Oung, Brassinga

Soil Displacement Induced Laterally Load-ed Piles Test Embankments Bloemendaler-

polder – GeoImpuls Program Schadee, Hoefsloot

Application of fragility curves in opera-tional flood risk assessment

Wojciechowska, Pleijter, Zethof, Hav-inga, van Haaren, ter Horst

Limit-state Design of Shallow Foundations Kirichek, Tregub

A Consideration on Deterioration Model for Cold Region Tunnel Lining Based on Life-

cycle Concept Sutoh

Reliability Analysis of an Anchored Contig-uous Pile Wall in Ankara Clay with the

Random Set Finite Element Method Akbas, Kokten

Identification and treatment of erodible clays in dikes

Nagy, Nagy

Limit state imprecise interval analysis in geotechnical engineering

Marques, Beer, Gomes, Henriques

Multi-objective optimization and decision aid for spread footing design in uncertain

environment Piegay, Breysse

Session schedule Thursday 15 October 2015 14:15-15:00

14

Special Session A-6

Risk and safety assessment of dikes

Chair: Mike Mooney, Yusuke Honjo,

Wim Kanning, Yu Ohtake



Special Session B-6

Geostatistical methods for uncertainty-

based geotechnical site characterization

Chair: Marco Uzielli, Maximilian Huber,

Frank Wuttke



Special Session C-6

Application of Bayesian methods in

geotechnical engineering

Chair: Jie Zhang, Zijun Cao






Chair: B.K. Low



Uncertainties analysis and life cycle costs of piping mitigation measures

Miranda, Teixeira, Huber, Schwecken-diek

3G - Geophysical Methods Delivering Input to Geostatistical Methods for Geotechnical

Site Characterization Niederleithinger

Quantifying statistical uncertainty in site investigation

Ching, Wu, Phoon

Risk Assessment of Low Level Radioactive Waste In Near Surface Disposal Facilities

Sujitha, Sampurna Datta, Sivakumar Babu

Incorporating observations to update the piping reliability estimate of the Francis

levee Kanning, Bocovich, Schwechendiek, Mooney

Approaches towards a probabilistic as-sessment of geotechnical parameter distri-

butions relying on geophysical imaging Paasche

Bayes Factors and the observational me-thod

Baecher, Christian

Calibration of partial factors for basal reinforced piled embankments

van Duijnen, Schweckendiek, Calle, van Eekelen

Semi-probabilistic safety assessment of pipelines near levees

Sanders, Wiggers

Mapping geotechnical risks for infrastruc-tural works in deltaic areas

Venmans, Schokker, Dambrink , Maljers, Heerema

Effect of prior knowledge on site-specific selection of regression model for characte-

rization of geotechnical properties Emman Aladejare, Wang

Reliability analysis of infinite slopes under random rainfall events

Yuan, Papaioannou, Straub

On the inspection of the river dyke sa-fety in Japan by MLIT

Honjo, Mori, Ishihara, Otake

Interpretation of CPTU test with statistical and geostatistical methods

Spacagna, de Fouquet, Russo

Considering parameter uncertainty in a GIS-based sliding surface model for large areas—

Mergili, Marchesini, Rossi, Alvioli, Schneider-Muntau, Cardinali, Ardizzone, Fiorucci, Valigi, Santangelo, Bucci, Guzzetti

Application of conditional random fields and sparse polynomial chaos expansions

to geotechnical problems Schöbi, Sudret

Modeling Geomorphic Features in Levee Reliability Analyses

Polanco-Boulware, Rice

Reliability of percussion drilling as a mean to define rock surface

Tanttu, Korkiala-Tanttu, Häkkinen, Liukas

Computing the reliability of shallow foun-dations with spatially distributed measure-

ments Papaioannou, Straub

Estimation of Probable Maximum Loss Index of Water Supply System

Maruyama

Laboratory Tests for Backwards Piping Erosion

Robbins, Corcoran, Sharp

Grasping the heterogeneity of the subsur-face: using buildup scenarios for assessing

flood risk Hijma, Van der Meij, Lam

A Preliminary Study on the Comprehensive Evaluation of the Disaster Prevention System of

Large Urban Underground Space Xu, Yu, Fan

Session schedule Thursday 15 October 2015 15:30-17:00

15

Banquet (19:00—23:00)

Boarding at 19:00, Spido, Willemsplein 85)

The conference dinner will take place aboard one of Spido‘s beautiful and unique passenger ships

for a luxurious cruise. Among the busy traffic of sea-going and inland ships, this trip is a special

journey through one of the largest harbours in the world. You can see Rotterdam's impressive sky-

line with its imposing buildings glide by, and then get a unique view of the harbours shipyards,

docks and the hypermodern trans shipping of thousands of containers.

Spido Rotterdam at Willemsplein 85 James Cook

16

Day programme Friday 16 October 2015

9:00-10:00 Plenary session (Chair: Jianye Ching) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Keynote 7: Mandy Korff (Observational method)

- Keynote 8: Rolf Katzenbach (Risk Management and Risk Communication in geotechnical engineering by independent

peer review and special technical solutions)

Coffee break

10:30-12:00 SS A-7 Risk management of

large dams

(Rotterdam Hall)

TS B-7 Assessment and Ma-

nagement of Natural Hazards

(Mees Auditorium)

SS C-7 Observational Method

(Penn Room 1)

12:00-12:30 Closing ceremony (Chair: Paul Cools) (Rotterdam Hall)

- Results ISGSR2015 by prof. Frits van Tol

- Announcement GEOSNet Award

- Announcement GEOSNet Young Researcher Award

12:30 Lunch

12:30-18:30 Technical visit Maeslantkering and Maasvlakte 2 Harbour Expansion

Meeting point: registration desk WTC (where participants can collect their lunch bag)

17

Special Session A-7

Risk management of large dams

Chair: Dave Paul


Session keynote presentations and panel debate


Assessment and Management of Natural Ha-

zards

Chair: Daniel Straub



Special Session C-7

Observational Method

Chair: Thomas Bles, Erwin de Jong


Short presentations and open discussion

Dams-Natural Hazards and Risk Zielinski

Preliminary Assessment of Debris Flow Hazard for Hong Kong Island under Extreme Rainfall

Gao, Zhang, CHEN

Introducing a Dutch guideline on using the Observatio-nal Method

Bles, Stoevelaar, de Jong

Smart Governance, Systemic Risks and Applications of Risk Analysis to Civil Infrastructures

Escuder

Monitoring analysis of foundation deformations of the Botlek lifting bridge

Rijneveld, Jacobse

Observational Method, case A2 Maastricht Van Dalen, Boone,

US Practice in Risk Assessment for Large Embankment Dams

France

Risk analysis on cascade breaching of the Tangjiashan landslide dam and two smaller downstream landslide

dams - Zhu, Peng, Shi, Zhang

Underpinning the Observational Method through process modelling and procurement

Le Masurier

Expert Panel Discussion Tournier, Bridle, Rice

Risk assessment of Induced Earthquake Hazards in the Northern Netherlands

Peters, Kleinjan, Koster

Real-time insight in geotechnical risks; Monitoring during the Observational Method

Galenkamp, C.F. Bosma

Continuous river dyke safety assessment based on a reliability analysis

Otake, Honjo, Hiramatsu, Lee, Kodaka

The Observational Method in a real-time, multi-stakeholder environment

Pot, Van Der Meer, Roelse, Nushi, Nelemans

Probabilistic methodology for seismic deformation assessment of slopes in regions with low to moderate

seismicity Zugic

Open discussion

Session schedule Friday 16 October 2015 10:30-12:00

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Friday 16 October 2015

Technical visit: Maeslantkering and Maasvlakte 2 Harbour Expansion (12:30-18:30)

12:30 meeting point: registration desk, WTC (where participants can also collect their lunch bag)

12:40 Departure bus

The Keringhuis, Public Water Management Information Centre is the Public Water Management

Information Centre about flood risk management in the Province of Zuid-Holland and the impressive Maeslant

Storm Surge Barrier. The Keringhuis shows how we still manage to keep our feet dry in the

water-rich Province of Zuid-Holland. You decide whether there is a storm, a heavy downpour or blazing sun-

shine (Waterplein). Discover how the Maeslant storm surge barrier works.

The Maeslant storm surge barrier is the last part of the Dutch Delta Works and is the world’s largest

moveable barrier. This impressive construction cannot be described in words, only experienced.

Directly to the west of the current port and industrial area of Rotterdam a new top European loca-

tion for port activities and industry is to be created in the North Sea. Maasvlakte 2 will shortly

cover 1000 hectares of new land for industrial sites, located directly on deep water. The

reclaimed land will emerge after the construction of a combination of hard and soft sea defences

in the North Sea. Beach and dunes form the soft part of the sea defence, rubble or concrete

blocks the hard sea wall. Inside these defences, the sites will subsequently be sprayed on. The

sand for this will come from carefully selected locations at sea, but will also become available

when the port itself is deepened. The land reclamation will measure around 2000 hectares in

total. Half of this will consist of infrastructure, such as sea defences, fairways, railways, roads and

port basins. The other 1000 hectares will provide the space for industrial sites.

For more information please visit www.maasvlakte2.com.

Maeslantkering

Maasvlakte 2 Harbour Expansion

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Conference Organising Committee

Paul Cools, Rijkswaterstaat, Ministry of Infrastructure and the Environment, the Netherlands (chairman)

Frits van Tol, Deltares & Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands (co-chair)

Angelique van Tongeren, Royal Netherlands Society of Engineers (KIVI), the Netherlands (secretary)

Dirk Pereboom, Deltares, the Netherlands (secretary)

Annemarij Kooistra, Ingenieursbureau Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Maarten Profittlich, Fugro GeoServices, the Netherlands

Guido Meinhardt, Volker InfraDesign, the Netherlands

Timo Schweckendiek, Deltares & Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands

Peter van den Berg, Deltares, the Netherlands

Mariska van Gelderen, Deltares, the Netherlands

Joost van der Schrier, Royal HaskoningDHV, the Netherlands

Jasper van Alten, Royal Netherlands Society of Engineers (KIVI), the Netherlands

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Scientific Committee

Frits van Tol, the Netherlands (chairman)

Timo Schweckendiek, the Netherlands (co-chair)

Martin van Staveren, the Netherlands (co-chair)

Dirk Pereboom, the Netherlands (secretary)

Saad Al-Jibouri, the Netherlands

Ivan Au, United Kingdom

Gregory. B. Baecher, USA

Lech Balachowski, Poland

Richard Bathurst, Canada

Michael Beer, United Kingdom

Robert Berkelaar, the Netherlands

Andrew Bond, United Kingdom

Laura Caldeira, Portugal

Luigi Callisto, Italy

Jianye Ching, Taiwan

Frederica Cotecchia, Italy

Peter Day, South Africa

Gordon Fenton, Canada

Roger Frank, France

Anthony Goh, Singapore

Vaughan Griffiths, USA

Takashi Hara, Japan

Marcel Hertogh, the Netherlands

Michael Hicks, the Netherlands

Yusuke Honjo, Japan

Hongwei Huang, China

Mark Jaksa, Australia

Rafael Jimenez, Spain

Cristina Jommi, the Netherlands

Bas Jonkman, the Netherlands

Hsein Juang, USA

Leena Korkiala-Tanttu, Finland

Petr Koudelka, Czech

Kishor Kumar, India

Tim Länsivaara, Finland

Dian-Quing Li, China

B.K. Low, Singapore

Dagang Lu, China

Zenon Medina-Cetina, USA

Mike Mooney, USA

Farrokh Nadim, Norway

Laszlo Nagy, Hungary

Lars Olsson, Sweden

Trevor L.L. Orr, Ireland

Samuel Paikowsky, USA

Iason Papaioannou, Germany

K.K. Phoon, Singapore

W.K. Pun, Hong Kong

Adrian Rodriguez-Marek, USA

Rodrigo Salgado, USA

Nick Sartain, United Kingdom

Bernd Schuppener, Germany

Brian Simpson, United Kingdom

Colin Smith, United Kingdom

Kenichi Soga, United Kingdom

Antonio Soriano, Spain

Abdul-Hamid Soubra, France

Jørgen S. Steenfelt, Denmark

Daniel Straub, Germany

Armin Stuedlein, USA

Wing Sun, Hong Kong

António Topa Gomes, Portugal

Marco Uzielli, Italy

Almer van der Stoel, the Netherlands

Pieter van Gelder, the Netherlands

Adriaan van Seters, the Netherlands

Balazs Vasarhelyi, Hungary

Yu Wang, Hong Kong

Jianfeng Xue, Australia

Limin Zhang, Hong Kong

Giovanna Vessia, Italy

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Supporting Technical Committees and chairmen of ISSMGE

Executive Board Geotechnical Safety Network (GEOSNet)

L.M. Zhang, Hong Kong University of Science & Technology, Hong Kong (chairman)

P. Cools, Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment, the Netherlands (co-chair)

D. Straub, TU München, Germany (past chair)

A. Bond, Geocentrix Ltd, United Kingdom

R.B. Gilbert, The University of Texas at Austin, USA

S. Nishimura, Okayama University, Japan

S. Paikowsky, University of Massachusetts Lowell, USA

Chairmen Technical Committees of ISSMGE

TC304 Engineering Practice of Risk Assessment & Management: K.K. Phoon, National University of Singapore

TC205 Safety and Serviceability in Geotechnical Design: Brian Simpson, ARUP

TC212 Deep Foundations: Alessandro Mandolini, Second University of Napoli

TC302 Forensic Geotechnical Engineering: Sivakumar Babu, Indian Institute of Science

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GEO-Impuls papers

Session Title Authors

KN-1 Geotechnical risk management in Dutch public infrastructure projects Brandsen, Cools

KN-7 Learning from case studies and monitoring of underground construction works Korff

A-1 Geotechnical Risks in a deep building pit in The Hague’s old city centre - project Veenkade Case study of the restoration of an old canal and a new underground parking garage

Van Seters, Spendel

A-1 Using GeoRM to communicate geotechnical risks between engineers and managers Vervoorn, Dekker

A-2 Geotechnical Engineering in Contracts for Civil Projects Tiggelman, Litjens, Heerema, Kooistra

A-2 The position of geotechnical engineering and risk management in Dutch higher education Broere, Van Dalen, Van der Schrier

A-2 Risk evolution during the design of the adaptation of a railway bridge foundation Spruit, Hannink, van Hengstum, Mastbroek

C-5 Detection of anomalies in diaphragm walls Spruit, Van Tol, Broere

D-2 Risk management of a complex remediation of the former Feijenoord Gasworks site in Rotterdam De Vries, Hulsbos, Blaauw

D-2 Non-destructive quality check on cast in-situ piles Hopman, Hölscher

D-5 Concrete flow in diaphragm wall panels: A full-scale in-situ test Van Dalen, Bosch, Broere

D-5 Evaluation Settlement models Test Embankments Bloemendalerpolder - GeoImpuls Program Hoefsloot

D-5 Soil Displacement Induced Laterally Loaded Piles Test Embankments Bloemendalerpolder – GeoImpuls Program Schadee, Hoefsloot

B-3 Geo Risk Management Results for a Public Client Organization van Staveren, Litjens, Heerema

B-3 About the implementation of geotechnical risk management (Geo-RM) in construction projects van der Schrier, Hoeber

B-6 Mapping geotechnical risks for infrastructural works in deltaic areas Venmans, Schokker, Dambrink, Maljers, Heerema

C-7 Introducing a Dutch guideline on using the Observational Method Bles, Stoevelaar, de Jong

C-7 Observational Method, case A2 Maastricht Van Dalen, Boone,

C-7 Real-time insight in geotechnical risks; Monitoring during the Observational Method Galenkamp, Bosma

C-7 The Observational Method in a real-time, multi-stakeholder environment Pot, Van der Meer, Roelse, Nushi, Nelemans

paper Long Term Monitoring Test Embankments Bloemendalerpolder - GeoImpuls Program Hoefsloot

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Instructions for speakers and chairpersons

Instructions for Speakers

Please prepare a PowerPoint file with your presentation and include the session ID from the program and the Last Name of the presenting author in the

filename. You are asked to bring a USB memory stick to the session room at least 15 minutes before the start of the session. Please approach the

ISGSR2015 team member in that room for help with loading the presentation file onto the computer. Laser pointers are also available. Please practice

your presentation to ensure it fits within the 12-minute time limit for regular presentations and within the 5-minute time limit for short presentations.

Refer to the conference program for whether your presentation is in regular session or a session with short presentations. Ideally, please also provide the

chairperson with a short CV of yours before the start of the session.

Instructions for Chairpersons

Session chairs are responsible for introducing speakers, moderating the question period, and enforcing the time limits. Speakers are asked to upload their

presentation and to provide their short CV prior to the session, so please make sure you are present in the session room at least 15 minutes before the

start of the session. The time allocated for each regular presentation is 12 minutes plus 3 minutes for short questions and answers; and for short presen-

tations 5 minutes plus 2 Q&A. It is important that you strictly enforce this limit to enable delegates to move between rooms with predicable start time for

each presentation. If a presenter is absent then please impose a break until the next presentation is scheduled to begin. Please enforce the time limit in a

firm but entertaining manner. Furthermore, chairpersons are asked to provide brief notes on the main observations during their session (i.e. technical

trends, breakthroughs etc.) for purposes of the closing session. An ISGSR2015 assistant will be present in each room to load presentation files, assist

with technical issues and collect the notes.

About the Proceedings

The proceedings of ISGSR2015 are available online and accessible from www.repository.tudelft.nl , the online repository of Delft University of Technology.

The papers will be indexed in Google Scholar and they will be submitted to major databases, including Scopus. Each paper has a permanent URL online

(DOI) besides the printed volume, which is available from www.iospress.nl. Authors retain the copyright of their work, signing only a distribution license

form (Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0).

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Sponsors

Premium sponsors:

Main sponsors:

Regular sponsors:

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Exhibitors

Gemeente Rotterdam

Deltares

Fugro

Plaxis

Exhibition hours:

Wednesday 8:30 - 18:00

Thursday 8:30 - 17:30

Friday 8:30 - 14:00

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Conference information

Conference language

The official language of the conference is English.

Online proceedings

The proceedings of the conference are available on: http://ebooks.iospress.nl/ISBN/978-1-61499-580-7

Conference fee

The conference fee is € 500,-. For BSc/MSc students the reduced fee is € 50,- (student card required as proof of student status).

Methods of payment

After registering online you can choose to pay by credit card, iDEAL or PayPal. After payment your registration is guaranteed. Payment must be made in

Euro. On-site registration is also possible.

WiFi Access

Free WiFi is available throughout the entire WTC Rotterdam.

Use the ‘Postillion’ network with username ‘ISGSR’ and the password ‘2015’.

Programme Changes

The organisers are not liable for any changes made to the programme.

Please visit the web site or the App regularly for updates.

Contact information

Information about the conference, dietary requirements or other issues can be requested by e-

mail to [email protected]

Royal Netherlands Society of Engineers

Attn. Angelique van Tongeren

PO Box 30424

2500 GK THE HAGUE

The Netherlands

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Conference venue

Conference City

The 5th international Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR2015) will be held in the heart of Rotterdam. After being ranked 8th in the Top

10 Cities to see in 2014 by Rough Guide, the Rotterdam made the top 5 in the list of 50 Places to Go in 2015 according Time magazine. A city of great

architecture spreading the Maas River, it features beautiful bridges, Europe’s largest harbour and impressive constructions.

For more information on the city of Rotterdam please visit www.rotterdam.info.

Conference location

The conference will be hosted at the World Trade Center (WTC) Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

The WTC is situated in the city center of Rotterdam, easily accessible with transportation to the

central station.

Contact details

Beursplein 37

3011 AA Rotterdam

the Netherlands

T +31 10 405 44 44

F +31 10 405 50 16

E [email protected]

W www.wtcrotterdam.nl

Opening hours registration desk in WTC

Tuesday 13 October: 16:30-18:00 hrs

Wednesday 14 October: 8:00-18:00 hrs

Thursday 15 October: 8:00-17:30 hrs

Friday 16 October: 8:00-13:00 hrs

Accommodation

Your accommodation during your stay in Rotterdam can be chosen at the conference website. We have chosen the closest hotels nearby WTC Rotterdam.

Photo credits

We are World Trade Center and Rotterdam Branding Toolkit grateful for the photos.

WTC Rotterdam

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Floor map WTC

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Address information

WTC Rotterdam

Beursplein 37

3011 AA Rotterdam

City Hall

Coolsingel 40

3011 AD Rotterdam

Spido Rotterdam

Willemsplein 85

3016 DR Rotterdam

Hotels

NH Atlanta Rotterdam

Aert van Nesstraat 4

3012 CA Rotterdam

Hilton Rotterdam

Weena 10

3012 CM Rotterdam

Holiday Inn Express Rotterdam

Central Station

Weena 121

3013 CK Rotterdam

Inntel Hotels Rotterdam Centre

Leuvehaven 80

3011 EA Rotterdam

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How to get to Rotterdam

Rotterdam is easily accessible by plane, train, bus or car. Both the accommodation and the conference venue are in the city centre and easily reached

from Rotterdam Central Railway Station using the underground or local trains.

By plane

Flights are available from several European airports to Rotterdam Airport. Alternatives, like Amsterdam “Schiphol” Airport and Eindhoven Airport have

good train connections (1 - 2 hours) to Rotterdam.

By train

Rotterdam Central Station is part of the High Speed Rail Line from Amsterdam to Paris and

Southern France. In addition all local trains and long distance trains stop at Rotterdam Central

Station.

By bus

Eurolines offers low cost bus services connecting Rotterdam to 500 European destinations

(www.eurolines.com).

By car

The conference venue is accessible by car with paid parking garages.

Transport in Rotterdam

The conference venue is in the city centre of Rotterdam. Most places of interest are within walking distance. |

For more information on public transport in Rotterdam please visit www.ret.nl.

OV-card

In Rotterdam it is mandatory to travel with a OV-chipcard. This anonymous OV-chipcard is a plastic card on which an amount or a travel product can

been loaded. A disposable OV-chipcard for one trip or for a predetermined short-term use. For example, a one-day train or bus ticket or a 3-day ticket for

all public transport within the city of Rotterdam. Travelling with the OV-chipcard is very easy.

For more information www.ov-chipkaart.nl or www.ret.nl

Rotterdam Central Station

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October 2015

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WWW.ISGSR2015.ORG

(ISGSR) 2015 Rotterdam, the Netherlands 13-16 October 2015

Documents

Transcript of (ISGSR) 2015 Rotterdam, the Netherlands 13-16 October 2015