Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next...
Transcript of Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next...
Irish Climate Change PolicyThe Next Steps
Oisín CoghlanFriends of the Earth
Environment Ireland Conference, 4 September 2007
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
• Ireland is the fifth most climate polluting country per person in the OECD
• If everyone on Earth polluted like the Irish we would need three planets to survive
The Big Picture
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
564.70 7.72 360.70@ €20x5yrs3.61State purchases 204.00@ €20x5yrs2.04ETS purchases €m 2.07Domestic Sinks
To be covered by:7.30Distance to target
351.65126.0870.332010 GrossNCCS
125.4069.952005 reported gross315.16113.0063.03Kyoto target
100.0055.78Kyoto baseline
2008-2012 Total
Mt
% of Kyoto baseline
Million Tonnes CO2e
The Kyoto Step
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
A critical juncture
• Kyoto kicks in on 1 January 2008• The 30th Dáil coincides with the five year
Kyoto period• April’s NCCS: tinkering not transformation• June’s Programme for Government is A New
Departure
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
A new departure?
Bertie Ahern, Drumcondra 2002
John Gormley, Sandymount 2007
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
• A reduction of 3% per year on average in our greenhouse gas emissions
• An annual carbon budget presented by the Minister for Finance
• A high-level climate change commission• An all party approach to climate change
targets• Social partnership status for environmental NGOs
Programme for Government commitments
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
3% a year reduction on avg
64.012008-2012 average 320.052008-2012 Total
60.172012 Commitment62.03201163.95201065.93200967.97200870.072007 (Nap Projection)
Million tonnes CO2e
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
A carbon budget is a set amount of carbon that can be emitted in a given amount of time, either by the whole economy, or a pre-selected sub-population or set of activities.
Ecofys, Developing a carbon budget for the UK, 2006
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
3% a year reduction on avg
64.012008-2012 average 320.052008-2012 Total
60.172012 Commitment62.03201163.95201065.93200967.97200870.072007 (Nap Projection)
Million tonnes
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
Mobilizing public opinionThe commission, all-party approach, social partnership
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays is coming to a close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences. Winston Churchill, 1936.
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
The challenge ahead
5%7 - 92050 Ecofys
3% - 4%42.4 - 44.62020 Ecofys
3%60.172012 Government commitment
69.952005 actual
Annual reduction required
Million tonnes CO2e
“Carbon budget”
4th September 2007 Irish Climate Change Policy The Next Steps
Climate Protection Act
• 2050 and 2020 targets into law• Average annual cut of least 3% into law• Legislative framework for carbon budgeting• Statutory role for commission on targets and
measures• Responsibility, scrutiny, accountability,
sanctions for ministers and departments
Irish Climate Change PolicyThe Next Steps