Ipsos MORI Issues Index: August 2015

AUGUST 2015 ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

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2

Issues Facing Britain: August

Base: 1,054 British adults 18+, 31st July – 9th August 2015

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

50%

37%

27%

17%

17%

17%

16%

13%

13%

12%

Immigration/immigrants

NHS

Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Unemployment

Education/Schools

Housing

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

Low pay/fair wages

+8

+5

0

0

+1

+3

+2

-9

+2

-1

%

Change since July:

-4

Position

Top mentions %

+1

-1

+1

+3

+2

3

Issues Facing Britain: August




50%

37%

27%

17%

17%

17%

16%

13%

13%

12%

32%

8%

13%

7%

5%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%


NHS

Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Unemployment

Education/Schools

Housing



Low pay/fair wages

Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE

4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

NHS UNEMPLOYMENT

CRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*

*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants

5

Cameron becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Global Recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US

End of

recession

announced


Lowest score

since March 2008

(26%)

Northern Rock

nationalised

6

Cameron becomes PM


Immigration / Immigrants*


* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


Border controls relaxed for

Romanians and Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (50%)

7

Cameron becomes PM


Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score (5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since December

2008 (16%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

8

Cameron becomes PM


Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May day riots Riots in

England

9/11

Lowest score

since Oct 92 (9%)

9

Cameron becomes PM


NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2006

(47%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

10

Cameron becomes PM


Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

April 2011 – Pupil Premium

introduced


11

Cameron becomes PM


Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

9/11 London

Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing in

Libyan Civil War

Rise of

ISIS


12

Cameron becomes PM


Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

July 2014:

highest score

recorded (18%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


13

Cameron becomes PM


Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


14

Cameron becomes PM


Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

A8 Countries

join the EU

House prices

rising at fastest

rate in 10 years

Highest score since

July 2007 (16%)


15

Cameron becomes PM


Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Lords vote to increase

compensation for those whose

company pension schemes

have collapsed

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-

off from state benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


16

Cameron becomes PM


Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Flooding in

England


17

Cameron becomes PM


Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)

UKIP come first in Euro

elections


EU Referendum bill:

Highest score since June

2005 (13%)

18

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 214 Conservative and 305 Labour supporters aged 18+, 31st July – 9th August 2015



66%

44%

32%

9%

14%

21%

11%

16%

15%

6%

39%

38%

26%

22%

21%

15%

19%

11%

12%

18%


NHS

Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Unemployment

Education/Schools

Housing



Low pay/fair wages

Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

19

Concern about immigration by subgroups


N.B. Boxed figures are significantly different to the average

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Immigration

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

42%

18-24

38%

25-34

44%

35-44

46%

45-54

62%

55-64

64%

65+

Concern about immigration by age:

44%

49%

57%

45%

Concern by

region:

50%

37%

66% 66%

39% 41% 50%

61%

50%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social Grade Urbanity Party support

Concern about immigration by key demographic

groups:

29%

20

Age and social grade – different priorities What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Immigration/Poverty/Economy/NHS


36%

43%

39%

52%

59%

68%

25%

13%

21%

15% 18%

8%

31%

19%

41%

20%

32%

17%

36%

20%

39% 40%

45%

36%

ABC1 18-34 C2DE 18-34 ABC1 35-54 C2DE 35-54 ABC1 55+ C2DE 55+

IMMIGRATION POVERTY/INEQUALITY ECONOMY NHS


Ipsos MORI Issues Index: August 2015

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