IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... ·...

6

Transcript of IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... ·...

Page 1: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is
Page 2: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is

Please Turn Over

Industry overview: Government of India (GOI) has been proactive and has brought in a variety of measures to step up public investments. This is reflected in the strong growth of the infrastructure sector since 2002. Investments across different sectors are listed below:

From independence to liberalization, India invested around 3% of its GDP in infrastructure which resulted in significant infrastructure gap. However, from the 10th Five Year Plan, the GOI started focusing on infrastructure investments in a big manner on a larger scale. The chart below compares the infrastructure spending across the last three five year plan periods.

OVERVIEW OF THE INDIAN RAILWAYS SECTOR: As per the Indian Railways Statistical Publications 2016; Indian Railways is one of world’s largest rail networks with 66,687 route kms of route lengths. It is a state-owned public utility of the GOI. The Ministry of Railways (MoR) oversees the Indian railway sector through the Railway Board, MoR (RB). The railway infrastructure and services are delivered by 16 geographically based Zonal Railways (ZRs). GOI identified ramping up investments in Indian Railways as the top priority area, realizing the lack of adequate carrying capacity and the resulting congestion that has accelerated Indian Railway’s loss of market share to other modal transports. Hence, in the last 3 years, GOI has made commendable progress in initiating infrastructure creation. The chart below indicates the amount of investments made since 2004:

SNAPSHOT

Issue Opens Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Issue Closes Friday, June 22, 2018

Price Band 180/185

Bid Lot 80 shares and multiples

thereafter

Face Value Rs10

Listing BSE & NSE

Type of Issue Offer for Sale

Offer Size (Rsmn)

Fresh Issue -

OFS 4,662

Total 4,662

*Implied Market Cap (Rsmn) 37,000

*PE

(Based on FY17 earnings)

10

*Note : Implied Market Cap & PE are calculated at higher price band of Rs185

Issue allocation

Reservations % of Net Issue

QIB 50%

NIP 15%

Retail 35%

Total 100%

Object of the offer

To carry out the divestment of equity shares

To achieve the benefits of listing the equity shares on the

Stock Exchanges

Last 3 year Summarized Financials

Rs(mn) FY15 FY16 FY17

Sales 10,127 10,905 13,534

EBITDA 3,470 3,564 3,583

EBITDA % 34.3% 32.7% 26.5%

Profit After Tax 3,122 2,829 3,618

Profit Margin % 30.8% 25.9% 26.7%

Earning Per Share 17.6 14.0 15.6

RoNW(%) 18.5 15.0 17.3

Details of Selling Shareholder & No of Shares

Government of India 25,200,000

Total 25,200,000

IPO UPDATE

RITES Limited

Source: RHP

Page 3: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is

IPO UPDATE

RITES Limited

Untapped opportunity: Under-investment in railways has led to overstretched infrastructure with more than 60% routes being more than 100% utilized leading to huge unmet passenger demand and decreasing modal share in freight. Further, due to passenger fares being low, the passenger trains utilized two-third of capacity and generated one-third of revenues, whereas high freight rates meant railway freight was getting out-priced in the market. Hence, in the last 3 years, GOI has made commendable progress in initiating infrastructure creation. As seen in chart below, the amount of investments made during the last 3 years is almost 75% of the total investments made in the railways during the past decade (FY04 – FY14).

About the company: Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is a Government of India Enterprise, under the aegis of Indian Railways. RITES Ltd, an ISO 9001:2008 company, is a multi-disciplinary consultancy organization in the fields of transport, infrastructure, and related technologies. It provides a comprehensive array of services under a single roof and believes n transfer of technology to client organizations. In overseas projects, RITES actively pursues and develops cooperative links with local consultants/firms, as means of maximum utilization of local resources and as an effective instrument of sharing its expertise The company has evolved from providing transport infrastructure consultancy and quality assurance services and has developed expertise in: 1. Design, engineering and consultancy services in transport infrastructure sector with a focus on railways, urban transport,

roads and highways, ports, inland waterways, airports, and ropeways 2. Leasing, export, maintenance, and rehabilitation of locomotives and rolling stock 3. Undertaking turnkey projects on engineering, procurement and construction basis for the railway line, track doubling, 3rd

line, railway electrification, up gradation works for railway transport systems and workshops, railway stations and construction of institutional/ residential/ commercial buildings, both with or without equity participation

4. Wagon manufacturing, renewable energy generation and power procurement for Indian Railways through collaborations by way of joint venture arrangements, subsidiaries or consortium arrangements.

5. Has a significant presence as a transport infrastructure consultancy organization in the railway sector. 6. It is the only export arm of Indian railway for locomotives, Rolling stock, equipment and spares.

Please Turn Over

Page 4: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is

IPO UPDATE

RITES Limited

Client's of the company: In India, its clients include various central and state government ministries, departments, instrumentalities as well as local government bodies and public sector undertakings. These include Indian Railways, NTPC, Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India Limited, High Speed Rail Corporation of India Limited, Public Works Department, DMRC, Steel Authority of India Limited, Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited, Bharat Coking Coal Limited, Metro Link Express for Gandhinagar and Ahmedabad (MEGA) Company Limited, Indian Port Rail Corporation Limited, Airports Authority of India, among others. We also engage with various large private sector corporations including L&T Metro Rail (Hyderabad) Limited, Kanti Bijlee Utpadan Nigam Limited (KBUNL), Cimmco Limited, Titagrah Wagons Limited, Snowmex Engineers Limited, Unity Infraprojects Limited, Rajdeep Buildcon Private Limited, Mahalsa Constructions Private Limited, Marymatha Constructions Limited, AFCON Infrastructure Limited, INCAP, ARK Services, MNEC Consultants Private Limited, Indian Geotechnical Services Limited, Geokno India Private Limited and NATRIP Implementation Society among others. Key Investment Rationale:

1) Diversified revenue stream:

2) Technical expertise and business divisions with specialized domain knowledge and stringent quality controls: The company has a strong technical expertise across the different business divisions. To serve its clients and customers with tailored solutions; the organization is streamlined (different divisions like Rail infra, Quality assurance, Technical services, Urban Infratech to mention a few) in order to meet the specific requirements of each such market segment. It has evolved from primarily being a railway consultancy services provider to a diversified multi-disciplinary transport infrastructure consultancy and engineering organization undertaking a wide gamut of services. 3) Large order book with diversified clientele base across sectors:

Please Turn Over

Source: RHP

Source: RHP Source: RHP

Page 5: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is

IPO UPDATE

RITES Limited

4) Preferred consultancy organization of the Government of India including the Indian Railways: The company was incorporated by the MoR and has been contributing to the development of transport infrastructure in India for the last 44 years. It occupies a key position in the growth plans of the Government of India with respect to the infrastructure and energy space. The status of a public sector undertaking and with the established relationships with governments, governmental instrumentalities and other public sector enterprises in India as well as across various countries where the company has undertaken projects in the past, can be effectively leveraged to increase its presence and participation in the new emerging infrastructure sectors and in developing new business relationships with governments and government instrumentalities as well as private sector corporations both in India as well as internationally.

SWOT ANALYSIS:

Financials: The company has been debt free for more than 10 years and has been dividend paying since the last 5 years. The company has clocked revenue growth of 8% and 24% in FY16 and FY17 respectively. On the other hand, there has been a drop in the core PBT which indicates lack of pricing power of the company. On the net profits, there has been growth of -9.4% and 28% respectively. On a consolidated basis, the company has posted growth of CARG 15.62% in the topline and CAGR 7.73% in PAT for last three fiscals (FY15 to FY17). The debtors of the company have also been high. The company has been a mixed bag of financials in spite of being debt free and asset light.

Outlook and valuations:

At the price of Rs185, the company is trading at 11x its FY17 EPS. The company has valuations which do not appear to be stretched. The decent order book and revenue visibility, it is complimented with regular dividend payouts. However, one should not ignore the fact that the recent PSU listings have not being that great. (Going forward, for FY19, the government has set a divestment target of Rs80,000cr. The other railway firms which are likely to hit primary market include Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL), Indian Railway Finance and IRCON International). Also with the subdued secondary market conditions, one may or may not get any listing gains. One can invest in the IPO with a long term perspective.

Particulars (Rs. mn) FY13 FY15 FY16 FY17 9MFY18 FY14

Revenue from Operation 9,556 10,127 10,905 13,534 9,362 10,965

Sales Growth -8% 8% 24% -31% 15%

EBITDA 2,177 3,470 3,564 3,583 2,997 2,811

EBITDA % 22.8% 34.3% 32.7% 26.5% 32.0% 25.6%

Profit After Tax 2,332 3,122 2,829 3,618 2,525 2,606

Profit Margin % 24.4% 30.8% 25.9% 26.7% 27.0% 23.8%

Source: RHP

Source: RHP

Please Turn Over

Page 6: IPO UPDATE - reports.progressiveshares.comreports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/IC... · Incorporated in 1974, Rail India Technical & Economic Services Ltd (RITES Ltd) is

IPO UPDATE

RITES Limited

DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES-

Progressive Share Brokers Pvt. Ltd. and its affiliates are a full-service, brokerage and financing group. Progressive Share Brokers Pvt. Ltd. (PSBPL) along with its affiliates are participants in virtually all securities trading markets in India. PSBPL started its operation on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1996. PSBPL is a corporate trading member of Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE) for its stock broking services and is Depository Participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) and is a member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products. PSBPL is SEBI registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 with SEBI Registration No. INH000000859. PSBPL hereby declares that it has not defaulted with any stock exchange nor its activities were suspended by any stock exchange with whom it is registered in last five years. PSBPL has not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange / SEBI or any other authorities; nor has its certificate of registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of time. PSBPL offers research services to clients as well as prospects. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Other disclosures by Progressive Share Brokers Pvt. Ltd. (Research Entity) and its Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 with reference to the subject company (s) covered in this report-: · PSBPL or its associates financial interest in the subject company: NO · Research Analyst (s) or his/her relative's financial interest in the subject company: NO · PSBPL or its associates and Research Analyst or his/her relative's does not have any material conflict of interest in the subject company. The research Analyst or research entity (PSBPL) has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. · PSBPL or its associates actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report: NO · Research Analyst or his/her relatives have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report: NO · PSBPL or its associates may have received any compensation including for brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months. PSBPL or its associates may have received compensation for products or services other than brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months. PSBPL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report. Subject Company may have been client of PSBPL or its associates during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and PSBPL may have co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months. · The research Analyst has served as officer, director or employee of the subject company: NO PSBPL and/or its affiliates may seek investment banking or other business from the company or companies that are the subject of this material. Our sales people, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed herein, and our proprietary trading and investing businesses (if any) may make investment decisions that may be inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. In reviewing these materials, you should be aware that any or all of the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to real or potential conflicts of interest including but not limited to those stated herein. Additionally, other important information regarding our relationships with the company or companies that are the subject of this material is provided herein. This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject PSBPL or its group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this document is sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored. Unless otherwise stated, this message should not be construed as official confirmation of any transaction. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of PSBPL. All trademarks, service marks and logos used in this report are trademarks or registered trademarks of PSBPL or its Group Companies. The information contained herein is not intended for publication or distribution or circulation in any manner whatsoever and any unauthorized reading, dissemination, distribution or copying of this communication is prohibited unless otherwise expressly authorized. Please ensure that you have read “Risk Disclosure Document for Capital Market and Derivatives Segments” as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India before investing in Indian Securities Market. In so far as this report includes current or historic information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Terms & Conditions: This report has been prepared by PSBPL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of PSBPL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. PSBPL will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.

Registered Office Address: Progressive Share Brokers Pvt. Ltd, 122-124, Laxmi Plaza, Laxmi Indl Estate, New Link Rd, Andheri West, Mumbai-400053; Tel No.: 022-40777200; www.progressiveshares.com Contact No.:022-40777500.

Compliance Officer: Mr. Shyam Agrawal, Email Id: [email protected], Contact No.:022-40777500.