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Transcript of IPMA. Istanbul World Congress
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Value-Based Metrics for Project Portfolio jManagementCésar Hernández, BA (BSc), Industrial Engineer
11--3 November 2010, Istanbul, Turkey3 November 2010, Istanbul, Turkey
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.comp
• Design from inside-out• Innovative space concept• Value-added services• Smart buildings• Flexible concepts
Systems• Digitization• Connectivity
• Process improvementO i ti l Systems
thinking• Connectivity• Automation• Speed• Knowledge
management
• Organizational structure
• Communication • Knowledge transfer• Change management
Agent Based
Modelling
“New Ways of Working”encapsulate all those activitiespthat influence how, where andwhen we work.
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.comp
Agenda.g
1 Introduction1. Introduction
2. New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PV
3. Case Study
4 C l i4. Conclusions
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Introduction.
p
Project Portfolio Management. Integrated Proccess
SEARCHSEARCHEVALUATIONEVALUATIONEVALUATIONEVALUATIONRANKINGRANKINGSELECTIONSELECTION
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
PROJECT PROJECT PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO
BALANCEBALANCEMONITORINGPMO
VISIONMISSION MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT
(PPM)(PPM)
MISSION
MULTIPROJECT MANAGEMENT
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Introduction.
p
Scope
MPM PPMPPMCONTROL
OrganizationOrganization and and GovernmentGovernment
Riskmanagement
Project Project E al ationE al ation
Project Project Ranking and Ranking and
Project identification Portfolio
BalanceEvaluationEvaluation ggSelectionSelectionand qualifying Balance
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Chapter 2
New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PVPPM. PV2PV
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PV
p
Developed Model
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PV.
p
Developed Indicators
Project Value to Portfolio Value. Represents the expected economic PV2PV
j p pvalue added by each candidate to the existing portfolio economic value.PV2PV
x% recovery time value Metric to measure the economic valuex% recovery time value. Metric to measure the economic value generation “dymanic” TRV x%
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PV.
p
Simulation Proccess
Data I t d tiIntroduction
Type of l i ?
ExistingPortfolio
CandidatePortfolio
analysis?
Portfolio V l ti
Individual V l ti
Individual V l ti
Portfolio V l ti Valuation ValuationValuation Valuation
INDICATORS
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Chapter 3
Case study
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Case Study.
p
To ilustrate the interest of an aggregatedt f li l i i t d f i di id l
yProject Portfolio analysis. Scenary description
portofolio analysis instead of an individualproject evaluation
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jportfolio FVEFVE1
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k1 )WACC(a)1(
T t l I t t (Y 2009) 290 000 €Total Investments (Year 2009) = 290.000 €Period 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Free Cash Flows 53.500 € 64.000 € 122.000 € 164.000 € 44.000 €Financial Expenses 47.000 € 45.250 € 72.200 € 169.050 € 55.900 €
Existing Portfolio
Portfolio Performance
IndicatorsIRR (%) WACC (%) Value (%)
P1 18,12 7 11,12, ,P2 21,66 15 6,66P3 14,4 10,37 4,04
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
New value-based metrics for PPM. PV2PV.
p
Project Portfolio analysis. Scenary descriptionCandidate Projects
I t t 200 000 €Investment: 200.000 €Candidate Economic and Financial data 2010 2011 2012 2013
PA Free Cash Flows 71.000 € 78.000 € 85.000 € 99.000 €Total Financial Flows 44.720 € 43.040 € 41.360 € 159.680 €
PB Free Cash Flows 57.000 € 57.000 € 67.500 € 67.500 €Total Financial Flows 54.200 € 53.150 € 52.100 € 51.050 €
PC Free Cash Flows 64.000 € 71.000 € 78.000 € 85.000 €Total Financial Flows 55.500 € 52.875 € 50.250 € 97.625 €
PD Free Cash Flows 85.000 € 88.500 € 92.000 € 99.000 €Total Financial Flows 48.320 € 46.640 € 44.960 € 163.280 €
Candidate PerformanceCandidate Performance Indicators IRR(%) WACC(%) Project Value (%)
PA 22,54 12,98 9,56PB 9,05 2,1 6,95PC 17 15 9 7 7 45
Candidate Projects
PC 17,15 9,7 7,45PD 28.33 15,04 13,29
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Case Study.
p
yProject Portfolio analysis. Results
Candidates PV2PVPortfolio ranking.PV2PV
Individual Valoration Ranking
Candidate A 14442 € 4 2Candidate B 84600 € 1 4Candidate C 60209 € 2 3Candidate D 28426 € 3 1
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Chapter 4
Conclusions
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Conclusions
p
INDIVIDUAL ANALYSIS Vs PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
PROBLEM DYNAMIC. MEASUREMENT OF THE IMPACT AND INFLUENCE OF THE PROJECT WACC TO THE PORTFO IO WACCTO THE PORTFOLIO WACC
EFECTIVENESS OF PV2PVEconomic Value
Creation Measurement
Portfolio Impact
EFECTIVENESS OF PV2PV
SCENARY SIMULATION
Individual evaluation
2424thth IPMA World CongressIPMA World Congresswww.ipma2010.com
Conclusions
p
A NEW APPROACH. ORGANIZATIONS AS PROJECT PORTFOLIOSPROJECT PORTFOLIOS
Economic Value Creation
Measurement
Portfolio Impact
Individual evaluation