Ipcc srren generic_presentation
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Transcript of Ipcc srren generic_presentation
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johnthescone
The IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation
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Demand for energy services is increasing.
GHG emissions resulting from the provision of energy services contribute significantly to the increase in atmospheric GHG concentrations.
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Potential emissions from remaining fossil resources could result in GHG concentration levels far above 600ppm.
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The current global energy system is dominated by fossil fuels.
Shares of energy sources in total global primary energy supply in 2008
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RE growth has been increasing rapidly in recent years.
140 GW of new RE power plant capacity was built in 2008-2009.
This equals 47% of all power plants built during that period.
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The technical potential of renewable energy technologies to supply energy services exceeds current demands.
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RE costs are still higher than existing energy prices, but in various settings RE is already competitive.
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RE costs are still higher than existing energy prices, but in various settings RE is already competitive.
Binary cycle plant
Domestic pellet heating system
Palm oil biodiesel
Small scale CHP (steam turbine)
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RE costs are still higher than existing energy prices, but in various settings RE is already competitive.
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Technical Advancements: For instance growth in size of typical commercial wind turbines.
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RE costs have declined in the past and further declines can be expected in the future.
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Integration characteristics for a selection of RE
electricity generation technologies
* Assuming CSP system with 6 hours of thermal storage in US Southwest.** In areas with Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) > 2,000 kWh/m2/yr (7,200 MJ/m2/yr)
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Capacity credit is an indicator for the reliability of a generation type to be available during peak demand hours.
If a type of generation has a low capacity credit, the available output tends to be low during high demand periods.
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Few, if any, fundamental technical limits exist to the integration of a majority share of RE, but advancements in several areas are needed.
• Transmission and distribution infrastructure• Generation flexibility• Energy storage technologies• Demand side management• Improved forecasting and operational planning methods
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An integrated RE-based energy plant in Lillestrøm, Norway, supplying commercial and domestic buildings
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Lifecycle GHG emissions of RE technologies are, in general, considerably lower than those of fossil fuel options.
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GHG emissions from modern bioenergy chains compared to fossil fuel energy systems, excluding land-use change effects.
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RE deployment increases in scenarios with lower greenhouse gas concentration stabilization levels.
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Global RE primary energy supply from 164 long-term scenarios versus fossil and industrial CO2 emissions.
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Source: SRREN SPM, Figure SPM.9
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Global RE primary energy supply from 164 long-term scenarios versus fossil and industrial CO2 emissions.
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2007
Source: SRREN SPM, Figure SPM.9
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Global RE primary energy supply from 164 long-term scenarios versus fossil and industrial CO2 emissions.
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2007
Source: SRREN SPM, Figure SPM.9
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RE-specific policies and RE targets2011