IOS MIFOR

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    Jun 6, 2011

    STCIPrimary Dealer Ltd.Jun 6, 2011

    Liquidity Monitor (Rs. Cr.) 06-Jun-11

    Inflow Outflow

    Treasury Bills/ CMBs

    Coupon Payment

    SDL Auction/Redemption

    G-Sec Auction/Redemption 12000

    Net Inflow /outflow 0.00 12000.00

    MONEY MARKET

    Short Term Rates

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago

    MIBOR O/N 7.34 7.31 7.36

    MIBID O/N 7.28 7.26 7.30

    Money Market 03-Jun-11 (Rs. Cr.)

    CBLO 4.69 25195

    Repo 6.89 53244

    Call 7.25 16670

    MARKET UPDATE

    I RBI set the cut-off price for the security 7.59% GS 2016 at Rs.96.80 (8.40%), for 8.13% GS 2022 at Rs.97.75 (8.44%) and for

    8.28% GS 2032 at Rs.96.90 (8.60%). All the three securities were fully subscribed.

    I Liquidity remained easy tracking the Reporting Friday. The Call rate ended at an average of 7.25% compared to 7.24%

    previously and the CBLO at 4.69% v/s 6.92% previously. The net infusion witnessed at RBI's LAF Repo window amounted

    to Rs.39,100 Cr.

    I The G-Sec market traded on a subdued note early in wake of the auction supply. However, the prices gained momentum

    going into the auction bidding time. The higher cut-off prices at the auction results further led to a rally. The benchmark

    security 7.80% GS 2021 closed at Rs.96.89 (8.27%), compared to Rs.96.85 (8.27%) seen previously. The total volume

    reported on NDS-OM was to the tune of Rs.10,620 Cr.

    I The OIS market witnessed receiving interest with the 1 year rate closing at 7.93% v/s 7.98% noted earlier and the 5 year

    closing at 7.87% v/s 7.92% earlier.

    I The INR gained 2 Paise to end at Rs.44.81 per dollar compared to Rs.44.83 previously. The 1 month forward premium closed

    at 6.65% (6.42%), the 6 month at 6.40% (6.25%) and the 12 month at 5.98% (5.85%).

    I India's credit growth as on May 20 was noted at 22.3% (YoY) and deposit growth at 17.4%. The loans and advances to the

    Government reduced to Rs.9,544 Cr as on May 27.

    I RBI announced the sale of 91 Day T-Bill for a notified amount of Rs.8,000 Cr and 182 Day T-Bill for Rs.3,000 Cr via multiple

    price auctions to be conducted on Jun 8.

    LAF (Amount in Rs. Cr.)

    85720

    76460

    57310

    46040

    39140

    35125

    40770

    630

    665

    410

    30

    410

    160

    1670

    26-May

    27-May

    30-May

    31-May

    1-Jun

    2-Jun

    3-Jun

    Rev Repo

    Repo

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    CORPORATE BOND MARKET

    Money Market Asset Rates (%)

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close

    1 Month 9.60 9.60

    3 Month 9.64 9.64

    6 Month 9.90 9.90

    9 Month 10.00 10.00

    12 Month 10.05 10.05

    AAA Corporate Bond Yields and Spread

    Yield Spread

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close 3-Jun-11 Previous Close

    1 Year 9.80 9.80 1 40 1 4 0

    3 Year 9.65 9.65 1 14 1 1 1

    5 Year 9.70 9.70 1 12 1 1 1

    10 Year 9.70 9.70 1 26 1 2 6

    G-SEC MARKET

    Benchmark Securities 3-Jun-11

    Security Closing Previous Closing Previous

    Price Close Yield Close

    91 Day T-bill 98.02 98.01 8.12 8.15

    364 Day T-bill 92.42 92.40 8.22 8.25

    7.17% 2015 96.02 95.87 8.35 8.40

    7.99% 2017 97.80 97.81 8.46 8.45

    7.83% 2018 97.39 97.17 8.34 8.38

    7.80% 2021 96.89 96.85 8.27 8.27

    8.08% 2022 97.90 97.69 8.37 8.40

    8.13% 2022 98.07 97.82 8.40 8.43

    8.26% 2027 97.40 97.23 8.56 8.58

    8.28% 2032 97.10 96.95 8.58 8.60

    G-Sec Spreads (bps)

    Spread 3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Day Ago 1 Year Avg.

    5-1 1 8 1 8 1 8 6 1

    10-5 -14 -14 - 7 8

    15-10 1 7 2 0 1 1 1 9

    30-15 1 9 1 7 9 1 4

    30-10 3 6 3 7 2 0 3 3

    Date Latest Cut-off Previous Cut-off

    Price Yield Amount Accepted Price Yield Amount Accepted

    91 Day 1-Jun-11 98 8.19 8000 98.01 8.14 8000

    182 Day 25-May-11 96.04 8.27 3000 96.07 8.20 3000

    364 Day 1-Jun-11 92.34 8.32 3000 92.36 8.29 3000

    -3 -3

    -4

    -1

    -3

    -4

    -2-2

    -4

    7.60

    8.00

    8.40

    8.80

    91DayT-bill

    364DayT-bill

    7.17%2015

    7.99%2017

    7.83%2018

    7.80%2021

    8.08%2022

    8.13%2022

    8.26%2027

    8.28%2032

    -5

    Movement in Yield (bps) (RHS) Closing Yield Previous Close

    Top 5 Traded Securities

    5640

    1775

    1520

    825

    270

    0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

    7.80% GS 2021

    8.13% GS 2022

    8.08% GS 2022

    7.83% GS 2018

    7.59% GS 2016

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    SWAP MARKET

    MIFOR Swaps

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago1 Year 6.55 6.25 6.35

    2 Year 5.75 5.65 6.10

    3 Year 5.75 5.65 6.10

    5 Year 6.70 6.55 6.50

    OIS-MIBOR

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago1 Year 7.93 8.00 8.12

    2 Year 7.82 7.94 8.11

    3 Year 7.84 7.90 8.18

    5 Year 7.87 7.92 8.24

    FOREX MARKET

    Spot Rates

    3-Jun-11 Previous CloseUSD/INR 44.82 44.83

    EUR/USD 1.4501 1 .4468

    GBP/USD 1.6338 1 .6360

    USD/JPY 80.63 80.85

    USD/CNY 6.48 6.48

    Forward Premia (% annualised)

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close1 Month 6.65 6.42

    3 Month 6.55 6.44

    6 Month 6.40 6.25

    9 Month 6.15 5.99

    12 Month 5.98 5.85

    Spread between 5Y GS and 5Y OIS

    0.37 0.350.42

    0.490.53

    30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11

    Spread between 5Y OIS and 1Y OIS

    -0.04 -0.04

    -0.09

    -0.08

    -0.06

    30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11

    45.17

    45.0945.06

    44.85 44.8344.81

    27-May-11 30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11

    $/INR

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    GLOBAL COMMODITIES

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close

    Nymex Crude ($/bbl) 100 .40 100 .29

    Brent Crude ($/bbl) 114 .27 115 .79

    Dubai Crude ($/bbl) 109 .40 108 .24Gold ($/oz) 1530.85 1539 .80

    LMEX 4011.70 4102 .00

    Government Borrowing Programme (Rs. Cr.)

    Budgeted G-Sec Gross Borrowings for 2011-12 4 17 1 28

    Budgeted G-Sec Net Borrowings for 2011-12 3 43 00 0

    Budgeted Redemptions 74128

    G-Sec Gross Borrowings till Date 96000

    G-Sec Gross Borrowing Completed (%) 23 .01%

    Maturities till date 13473Net G-Sec Borrowings till Date 82527

    364 Day T-Bill Gross Borrowings till date 14000

    CMBs Borrowing till date 32000

    GOVERNMENT BORROWINGS

    3-Jun-11 Previous Close

    S E NS E X 18376.48 18494.18

    NIFTY 5516.75 5550.35DJIA 12248.55 12290.14

    S&P 500 1312.94 1314.55

    NASDAQ 2773.31 2769.19

    FTSE 100 5845.95 5928.61

    NIKKEI 225 9492.21 9555.04

    HANG SENG 22949.56 23253.84

    SHANGHAI SE COMP 2728.02 2705.18

    TAIWAN TAIEX 9046.28 8991.36

    F II I nf lo ws ( Rs . C r. ) 0 3- Ju n- 11Purchase Sale Net Net $

    Equity 2467 1778 690 154Debt 350 616 -266 -59

    M F I nf lo ws ( Rs . C r. ) 0 3- Ju n- 11Purchase Sale Net

    Equity 348 322 26Debt 2266 1971 294

    GLOBAL EQUITIES

    Forthcoming Auctions

    Security Date of Auction Amount (Rs. Cr.)

    91 Day T-Bill 8-Jun-11 8000

    182 Day T-Bill 8-Jun-11 3000

    WPI Inflation Revised Provisional

    April 8.66% 8.66%

    March 9.02% 8.98%

    February 9.54% 8.31%

    January 9.47% 8.23%

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    THIS COMMUNICATION IS FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY. IT IS BASED UPON THE INFORMATION GENERALLY AVAILABLE TO PUBLIC AND CONSIDERED RELIABLE. THIS

    REPORT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN INVITATION OR OFFER TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OR PURCHASE OR SALE OF ANY SECURITY AND NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANYTHING

    CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER WITH STCI PRIMARY DEALER.

    STCI Primary Dealer Ltd.

    A/B1- 801, A Wing, 8th floor, Marathon Innova,Marathon Next Gen Compound,Off. Ganpatrao Kadam Marg,Lower Parel (w), Mumbai 400013.

    Dealing Room: (022) 24991094-97, (022) 66202217-20 Settlements: (022)66202262-64, Fax (022) 66202288

    Delhi Office: (011) 23351091 Bangalore Office: (080) 22208891

    Please mail your feedback to [email protected] Website: http://www.stcipd.com

    (Rs. Cr.)

    27-May-11 Previous Week

    Reserve Money 1369015 1361662

    YoY Growth % 15.3 17.4

    Central Govt Deposits with RBI 101 101

    Central Govt WMA 9,544 20,597

    State Govt WMA 216 833

    State Govt 14 T-bill 71615 70750

    Forex Reserves (bln $) 310.22 308.53

    WSS DATA WATCH

    (Rs. Cr.)

    Variation

    20-May-11 Fortnight FY 10-11 so far FY 11-12 so far 2010 yoy 2011 yoy

    Money Supply M3 6655037 6473 94700 163281 745676 957606

    % growth 0.1 1.7 2.5 15.1 16.8

    Bank Deposits 5319256 3246 39,063 111286 567089 787366

    % growth 0.1 0.9 2.1 14.3 17.4

    Bank Credit 3952114 -5271 -12,638 10,031 495698 719964

    % growth -0.1 -0.4 0.3 18.1 22.3

    Non Food Credit 3885557 -12802 -13,551 7,757 503778 702809

    Food Credit 66,557 7,531 913 2,274 -8,080 17,154

    Investments 1583147 13,304 62,506 81,528 190347 135,889

    Head of Treasury

    Prasanna Patankar

    Government

    Securities

    Manish Jadhwani

    Nirav Shah

    Treasury Sales

    Siddharth Shah

    Subodh Kapadekar

    Mahak Khabia

    Shivangani Singh

    Payal Shah

    Chintan Kapadia

    Fixed Income

    Research

    Amol Agrawal

    Meghna Patel

    Mutual fund

    Mihir Kaulgi

    Debt Fund

    Management

    Sabita Braganza

    Equity Desk

    Rajiv Ranjan

    Alok Baadkar

    Risk

    Management

    Smita Nair

    Nazir Rozani

    Settlements

    M N Suresh

    Anita Mohite

    Shyam Margaj

    Shweta Pednekar

    Suhas Lahne

    Delhi Office

    K K Mittal

    Satish Sharma

    Anshul Arora

    Bangalore Office

    Raghu N