IOS MIFOR
Transcript of IOS MIFOR
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STCIPrimary Dealer Ltd.Jun 6, 2011
Liquidity Monitor (Rs. Cr.) 06-Jun-11
Inflow Outflow
Treasury Bills/ CMBs
Coupon Payment
SDL Auction/Redemption
G-Sec Auction/Redemption 12000
Net Inflow /outflow 0.00 12000.00
MONEY MARKET
Short Term Rates
3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago
MIBOR O/N 7.34 7.31 7.36
MIBID O/N 7.28 7.26 7.30
Money Market 03-Jun-11 (Rs. Cr.)
CBLO 4.69 25195
Repo 6.89 53244
Call 7.25 16670
MARKET UPDATE
I RBI set the cut-off price for the security 7.59% GS 2016 at Rs.96.80 (8.40%), for 8.13% GS 2022 at Rs.97.75 (8.44%) and for
8.28% GS 2032 at Rs.96.90 (8.60%). All the three securities were fully subscribed.
I Liquidity remained easy tracking the Reporting Friday. The Call rate ended at an average of 7.25% compared to 7.24%
previously and the CBLO at 4.69% v/s 6.92% previously. The net infusion witnessed at RBI's LAF Repo window amounted
to Rs.39,100 Cr.
I The G-Sec market traded on a subdued note early in wake of the auction supply. However, the prices gained momentum
going into the auction bidding time. The higher cut-off prices at the auction results further led to a rally. The benchmark
security 7.80% GS 2021 closed at Rs.96.89 (8.27%), compared to Rs.96.85 (8.27%) seen previously. The total volume
reported on NDS-OM was to the tune of Rs.10,620 Cr.
I The OIS market witnessed receiving interest with the 1 year rate closing at 7.93% v/s 7.98% noted earlier and the 5 year
closing at 7.87% v/s 7.92% earlier.
I The INR gained 2 Paise to end at Rs.44.81 per dollar compared to Rs.44.83 previously. The 1 month forward premium closed
at 6.65% (6.42%), the 6 month at 6.40% (6.25%) and the 12 month at 5.98% (5.85%).
I India's credit growth as on May 20 was noted at 22.3% (YoY) and deposit growth at 17.4%. The loans and advances to the
Government reduced to Rs.9,544 Cr as on May 27.
I RBI announced the sale of 91 Day T-Bill for a notified amount of Rs.8,000 Cr and 182 Day T-Bill for Rs.3,000 Cr via multiple
price auctions to be conducted on Jun 8.
LAF (Amount in Rs. Cr.)
85720
76460
57310
46040
39140
35125
40770
630
665
410
30
410
160
1670
26-May
27-May
30-May
31-May
1-Jun
2-Jun
3-Jun
Rev Repo
Repo
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CORPORATE BOND MARKET
Money Market Asset Rates (%)
3-Jun-11 Previous Close
1 Month 9.60 9.60
3 Month 9.64 9.64
6 Month 9.90 9.90
9 Month 10.00 10.00
12 Month 10.05 10.05
AAA Corporate Bond Yields and Spread
Yield Spread
3-Jun-11 Previous Close 3-Jun-11 Previous Close
1 Year 9.80 9.80 1 40 1 4 0
3 Year 9.65 9.65 1 14 1 1 1
5 Year 9.70 9.70 1 12 1 1 1
10 Year 9.70 9.70 1 26 1 2 6
G-SEC MARKET
Benchmark Securities 3-Jun-11
Security Closing Previous Closing Previous
Price Close Yield Close
91 Day T-bill 98.02 98.01 8.12 8.15
364 Day T-bill 92.42 92.40 8.22 8.25
7.17% 2015 96.02 95.87 8.35 8.40
7.99% 2017 97.80 97.81 8.46 8.45
7.83% 2018 97.39 97.17 8.34 8.38
7.80% 2021 96.89 96.85 8.27 8.27
8.08% 2022 97.90 97.69 8.37 8.40
8.13% 2022 98.07 97.82 8.40 8.43
8.26% 2027 97.40 97.23 8.56 8.58
8.28% 2032 97.10 96.95 8.58 8.60
G-Sec Spreads (bps)
Spread 3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Day Ago 1 Year Avg.
5-1 1 8 1 8 1 8 6 1
10-5 -14 -14 - 7 8
15-10 1 7 2 0 1 1 1 9
30-15 1 9 1 7 9 1 4
30-10 3 6 3 7 2 0 3 3
Date Latest Cut-off Previous Cut-off
Price Yield Amount Accepted Price Yield Amount Accepted
91 Day 1-Jun-11 98 8.19 8000 98.01 8.14 8000
182 Day 25-May-11 96.04 8.27 3000 96.07 8.20 3000
364 Day 1-Jun-11 92.34 8.32 3000 92.36 8.29 3000
-3 -3
-4
-1
-3
-4
-2-2
-4
7.60
8.00
8.40
8.80
91DayT-bill
364DayT-bill
7.17%2015
7.99%2017
7.83%2018
7.80%2021
8.08%2022
8.13%2022
8.26%2027
8.28%2032
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Movement in Yield (bps) (RHS) Closing Yield Previous Close
Top 5 Traded Securities
5640
1775
1520
825
270
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
7.80% GS 2021
8.13% GS 2022
8.08% GS 2022
7.83% GS 2018
7.59% GS 2016
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SWAP MARKET
MIFOR Swaps
3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago1 Year 6.55 6.25 6.35
2 Year 5.75 5.65 6.10
3 Year 5.75 5.65 6.10
5 Year 6.70 6.55 6.50
OIS-MIBOR
3-Jun-11 Previous Close 15 Days Ago1 Year 7.93 8.00 8.12
2 Year 7.82 7.94 8.11
3 Year 7.84 7.90 8.18
5 Year 7.87 7.92 8.24
FOREX MARKET
Spot Rates
3-Jun-11 Previous CloseUSD/INR 44.82 44.83
EUR/USD 1.4501 1 .4468
GBP/USD 1.6338 1 .6360
USD/JPY 80.63 80.85
USD/CNY 6.48 6.48
Forward Premia (% annualised)
3-Jun-11 Previous Close1 Month 6.65 6.42
3 Month 6.55 6.44
6 Month 6.40 6.25
9 Month 6.15 5.99
12 Month 5.98 5.85
Spread between 5Y GS and 5Y OIS
0.37 0.350.42
0.490.53
30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11
Spread between 5Y OIS and 1Y OIS
-0.04 -0.04
-0.09
-0.08
-0.06
30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11
45.17
45.0945.06
44.85 44.8344.81
27-May-11 30-May-11 31-May-11 1-Jun-11 2-Jun-11 3-Jun-11
$/INR
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GLOBAL COMMODITIES
3-Jun-11 Previous Close
Nymex Crude ($/bbl) 100 .40 100 .29
Brent Crude ($/bbl) 114 .27 115 .79
Dubai Crude ($/bbl) 109 .40 108 .24Gold ($/oz) 1530.85 1539 .80
LMEX 4011.70 4102 .00
Government Borrowing Programme (Rs. Cr.)
Budgeted G-Sec Gross Borrowings for 2011-12 4 17 1 28
Budgeted G-Sec Net Borrowings for 2011-12 3 43 00 0
Budgeted Redemptions 74128
G-Sec Gross Borrowings till Date 96000
G-Sec Gross Borrowing Completed (%) 23 .01%
Maturities till date 13473Net G-Sec Borrowings till Date 82527
364 Day T-Bill Gross Borrowings till date 14000
CMBs Borrowing till date 32000
GOVERNMENT BORROWINGS
3-Jun-11 Previous Close
S E NS E X 18376.48 18494.18
NIFTY 5516.75 5550.35DJIA 12248.55 12290.14
S&P 500 1312.94 1314.55
NASDAQ 2773.31 2769.19
FTSE 100 5845.95 5928.61
NIKKEI 225 9492.21 9555.04
HANG SENG 22949.56 23253.84
SHANGHAI SE COMP 2728.02 2705.18
TAIWAN TAIEX 9046.28 8991.36
F II I nf lo ws ( Rs . C r. ) 0 3- Ju n- 11Purchase Sale Net Net $
Equity 2467 1778 690 154Debt 350 616 -266 -59
M F I nf lo ws ( Rs . C r. ) 0 3- Ju n- 11Purchase Sale Net
Equity 348 322 26Debt 2266 1971 294
GLOBAL EQUITIES
Forthcoming Auctions
Security Date of Auction Amount (Rs. Cr.)
91 Day T-Bill 8-Jun-11 8000
182 Day T-Bill 8-Jun-11 3000
WPI Inflation Revised Provisional
April 8.66% 8.66%
March 9.02% 8.98%
February 9.54% 8.31%
January 9.47% 8.23%
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THIS COMMUNICATION IS FOR PRIVATE CIRCULATION ONLY. IT IS BASED UPON THE INFORMATION GENERALLY AVAILABLE TO PUBLIC AND CONSIDERED RELIABLE. THIS
REPORT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN INVITATION OR OFFER TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OR PURCHASE OR SALE OF ANY SECURITY AND NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR ANYTHING
CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER WITH STCI PRIMARY DEALER.
STCI Primary Dealer Ltd.
A/B1- 801, A Wing, 8th floor, Marathon Innova,Marathon Next Gen Compound,Off. Ganpatrao Kadam Marg,Lower Parel (w), Mumbai 400013.
Dealing Room: (022) 24991094-97, (022) 66202217-20 Settlements: (022)66202262-64, Fax (022) 66202288
Delhi Office: (011) 23351091 Bangalore Office: (080) 22208891
Please mail your feedback to [email protected] Website: http://www.stcipd.com
(Rs. Cr.)
27-May-11 Previous Week
Reserve Money 1369015 1361662
YoY Growth % 15.3 17.4
Central Govt Deposits with RBI 101 101
Central Govt WMA 9,544 20,597
State Govt WMA 216 833
State Govt 14 T-bill 71615 70750
Forex Reserves (bln $) 310.22 308.53
WSS DATA WATCH
(Rs. Cr.)
Variation
20-May-11 Fortnight FY 10-11 so far FY 11-12 so far 2010 yoy 2011 yoy
Money Supply M3 6655037 6473 94700 163281 745676 957606
% growth 0.1 1.7 2.5 15.1 16.8
Bank Deposits 5319256 3246 39,063 111286 567089 787366
% growth 0.1 0.9 2.1 14.3 17.4
Bank Credit 3952114 -5271 -12,638 10,031 495698 719964
% growth -0.1 -0.4 0.3 18.1 22.3
Non Food Credit 3885557 -12802 -13,551 7,757 503778 702809
Food Credit 66,557 7,531 913 2,274 -8,080 17,154
Investments 1583147 13,304 62,506 81,528 190347 135,889
Head of Treasury
Prasanna Patankar
Government
Securities
Manish Jadhwani
Nirav Shah
Treasury Sales
Siddharth Shah
Subodh Kapadekar
Mahak Khabia
Shivangani Singh
Payal Shah
Chintan Kapadia
Fixed Income
Research
Amol Agrawal
Meghna Patel
Mutual fund
Mihir Kaulgi
Debt Fund
Management
Sabita Braganza
Equity Desk
Rajiv Ranjan
Alok Baadkar
Risk
Management
Smita Nair
Nazir Rozani
Settlements
M N Suresh
Anita Mohite
Shyam Margaj
Shweta Pednekar
Suhas Lahne
Delhi Office
K K Mittal
Satish Sharma
Anshul Arora
Bangalore Office
Raghu N