A Compelling Iron Ore Investment Opportunity Corporate Presentation September 2012 TSX: BKI.
Investor Presentation ‖ April 2018 ‖ IRON: TSX · 04/04/2018 · Located anada’s Premier Iron...
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Transcript of Investor Presentation ‖ April 2018 ‖ IRON: TSX · 04/04/2018 · Located anada’s Premier Iron...
Disclaimer
2
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking InformationThis presentation contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act and Canadian securities laws concerning anticipated developments and eventsthat may occur in the future. Forward looking information contained in this presentation includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to: (i) the estimation of mineral resources; (ii) the market,demand for, and future price of iron ore and related products; (iii) estimates of future steel production; (iv) estimation of railway capacity; (v) the negotiation, conclusion and potential terms of infrastructurecontracts; (vi) potential economic benefits of the Kami Project; (vii) future freight costs, (viii) the potential advantages of iron ore concentrate produced from the Kami Project and (ix) the results of the UpdatedPreliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) including statements about future production, future operating and capital costs, the projected IRR, NPV, payback period, construction timelines and productiontimelines for the Kami Project.
In certain cases, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words such as "plans", "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends","anticipates" or "does not anticipate", or "believes", or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will be taken", "occur" or "beachieved" suggesting future outcomes, or other expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions, intentions or statements about future events or performance. Forward-looking information contained inthis presentation is based on certain factors and assumptions regarding, among other things, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the realization of resource estimates, iron ore and other metalprices, the timing and amount of future exploration and development expenditures, the estimation of initial and sustaining capital requirements, the estimation of labour and operating costs, the availability ofnecessary financing and materials to continue to explore and develop the Kami Project in the short and long-term, the progress of exploration and development activities, the receipt of necessary regulatoryapprovals , the estimation of insurance coverage, and assumptions with respect to currency fluctuations, environmental risks, title disputes or claims, and other similar matters. While the Company considersthese assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available to it, they may prove to be incorrect.
Forward looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially differentfrom any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking information. Such factors include risks inherent in the exploration and development of mineral deposits,including risks relating to changes in project parameters as plans continue to be redefined including the possibility that mining operations may not commence at the Kami Property, risks relating to variations inmineral resources, grade or recovery rates resulting from current exploration and development activities, risks relating to the ability to access rail transportation, sources of power and port facilities, risksrelating to changes in iron ore prices and the worldwide demand for and supply of iron ore and related products, risks related to increased competition in the market for iron ore and related products and inthe mining industry generally, risks related to current global financial conditions, uncertainties inherent in the estimation of mineral resources, access and supply risks, reliance on key personnel, operationalrisks inherent in the conduct of mining activities, including the risk of accidents, labour disputes, increases in capital and operating costs and the risk of delays or increased costs that might be encounteredduring the development process, regulatory risks, including risks relating to the acquisition of the necessary licenses and permits, financing, capitalization and liquidity risks, including the risk that the financingnecessary to fund the exploration and development activities at the Kami Project may not be available on satisfactory terms, or at all, risks related to disputes concerning property titles and interest,environmental risks, and the additional risks identified in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Information Form for the most recently completed financial year or other reports and filingsapplicable with Canadian securities regulators. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The forward-looking information is made as of the date of thispresentation. Except as required by applicable securities laws, the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information.
Additional InformationFor further information on the Kami Project please refer to the Technical Reports entitled “Update to the Re-Scoped Preliminary Economic Assessment of the Kamistiatusset (Kami) Iron Ore Property, Labrador”dated effective November 7, 2017 and “An Analysis of the Economic Impacts Associated with the Kami Iron Ore Project: A 8 Mtpa, 26 Year Project” effective November 25, 2017 (the “Reports”) that areavailable on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
NI 43-101 Qualified PersonThe technical information presented in this presentation is from the Report. The Report was prepared under the supervision of Mr. Angelo Grandillo, P.Eng, of BBA, a Qualified Person as defined by NI 43-101,with contributions from Gemtec Limited and Watts, Griffis and McOuat (“WGM”). Mr. Grandillo is a Qualified Person as defined by NI 43-101 and Mr. Grandillo is independent of Alderon. Mr. Grandillo hasreviewed and approved the technical information contained in the Report, with the exception of the mineral resource estimate. Mr. Michael Kociumbas, P.Geo. with independent firm, Watts, Griffis andMcOuat Limited, is a Qualified Persons as defined by NI 43-101 and is responsible for reviewing and approving the mineral resource estimate and the QA/QC associated with the mineral resource estimate. Mr.Kociumbas is independent of Alderon.
What Sets Us Apart
3
Underpinned by 1.27 billion tonnes at 29.8% iron of Measured & Indicated resources
Measured: 536.9 Mt @ 29.9% TFe, Indicated: 737.6 Mt @ 29.5% TFe, & Inferred: 522.6 Mt @ 29.5% TFe
Partners Infrastructure ProductLocation
Labrador Trough
• Safe & stable
jurisdiction
• Long history as a
mining region
• Hydro-electric power
at competitive rates
• Access to skilled labor
Premium Iron Ore
• High Fe Content at
65.2%
• Low phosphorus
• Low alumina
• 100% of production
committed
Strategic Partnerships
• HBIS Group
• Altius Minerals
• Glencore
Ideally Located
• 14.5 km to
common-carrier
railway with +80Mtpa
capacity
• 15.5km to high
voltage grid – power
agreement signed
• Agreement in place to
ship year-round via
deep-water port
Investment Highlights
4
Shovel-ready project with robust economics (USD)• $1.8B NPV8
• 25.7% IRR• C1 cost = $29.94• Capex = $999.4M
Ideal location in Canada’s premier iron ore district
with secured access to low cost utilities and transport
Premium product with high Fe content of 65.2% and
ultra-low deleterious elements
Iron ore market is improving with Chinese demand for
higher grade product expected to remain strong
Located Canada’s Premier Iron Ore District with Established Access to Global Markets
5
Local Skilled Workforce
High-Grade Product, Low
Impurities
Access to Highway and Railway
Strategic Partnerships
24 Year Life of Mine
Year-round Access to Global Market
100% Product Sold
Port + Power Agreements Concluded
Location in Labrador Trough provides low cost access to utilities, transportation and skilled labor
6
Power and Port Agreements Concluded, Railway Access Guaranteed
• Construction of C$220M multi-user dock at Port of Sept-Îles complete
• Secured access to the facility in return for a C$20M investment
• Multi-user platform in deep water up to 23 meters, suitable for large cape-size vessels (250,000dwt)
• Loading capacity of 50 to 60Mt per year
• Power availability confirmed by Crown Utility (Nalcor)
• Power Purchase Agreement signed
• Province’s new industrial rates policy creates a level playing field among industrial users
• Nearby common carrier railway with +80Mtpa capacity guaranteed access
Strategic Partnerships in Place
7
• HBIS Group (formerly Hebei Iron & Steel) is China’s second largest steelmaker and has invested a total of C$182.2M to date & will purchase 60% of annual production • C$119.9M in project equity for 25% interest in the Kami Project• C$62.3M in corporate equity for 19.9% of Alderon common shares
• Altius Minerals owns 39% of the outstanding shares of Alderon• Exploration and project generation company with focus on Newfoundland &
Labrador• Multiple successful investments in the Labrador Trough
• Glencore will purchase 40% of annual production• One of the world’s largest global diversified natural resource companies
Partners will purchase 100% of annual production
Differentiated Product to Supply an Evolving Iron Ore Market
8
• Premium Iron Ore Product• High Fe content with ultra-low impurities• Increasing demand and price support
underpinned by tougher environmental standards
• Platts Index now includes premium iron ore with significant price spread
• Recovering Iron Ore Prices Driven by Continued Demand in China and Future Demand in India• Chinese steel production remains robust• Low quality, high cost Chinese domestic supply
has been curtailed• India positioned to drive next wave of steel
intensity growth• Iron ore consumption expected to peak by mid
to late next decade, 2025-2030, with a CAGR of 0.4%
China’s drive for emissions reduction and India’s steel intensity growth will spur continued demand
65% Fe62% Fe58% Fe
*From Macquire Research
*From Accenture Strategy
Incremental scenario likely due to disruptive factors
Superior Quality Concentrate Relative to Australian and Brazilian Sinter Fines
Fe %* P %* Al2O3 %*High Fe content
Magnetite content• Lowers fuel cost for sintering
Low phosphorus • Offers potential capital
avoidance – no dephosphorization stage
• Reduces operating costs, improves BOF efficiency (lower cycle time and heat loss)
Low alumina• Improves blast furnace
operation• Lowers slag fluidity• Protects tuyeres
* Platts & Company Disclosures 9
Premium product allows end users to improve productivity, reduce costs and meet stringent environmental standards
Updated PEA Highlights
10
US$1.8B NPV8
25.7% IRR
• PEA Updated November 2017
• Capital and operating costs significantly reduced from 2012 bankable feasibility study
• US$999.4 M estimated Initial Capital Cost
• Nationalization of port assets by Quebec government a significant enabler
Robust project with strong financials*
Annual Production (65.2% Fe con) 7.8Mtpa
Initial CAPEX $999.4M
Cash operating cost (FOB) $29.9/t
Capital Intensity ~$130/t
Average annual cash flow +$300M
Payback period 3.7 years
Measured and Indicated Resources
1,093.2Mt @ 29.5% TFe
Mine life 24 years
*Pre-tax, USD
Updated PEA Results: Nov. 2017
11
Reduction in Capex due to Re-scoping of Project
Comparison Points 2017 Updated PEA* 2012 Feasibility Study*
Annual Production (65.2% Fe con) 7.8Mtpa 8.0Mtpa
Initial CAPEX $999.4M $1,272.9M
Cash operating cost (FOB) $29.94/t $42.17/t
Projected Payback Period 3.7 years 3.1 years
Measured and Indicated Resource of the Rose Deposit (COG=15%, 29.6% TFe)
1093.2 Mt 1093.2 Mt
Estimated Mine life 24 years 30 years
12*Pre-tax and in United States dollars. The 2012 Feasibility Study used an exchange rate of $1.00CDN = US$1.00 and was in constant Q4-2012 dollars. No escalation or inflation was applied to costs to bring them to Q1-2017 dollars.
Factors resulting in reduced Capex & Opex• Government of Quebec now owner of facilities at
Pointe-Noire area of Port of Sept Iles, cancelling need to build own stockyard
• Considerably slower project activity in the region• Lower ocean freight rates• Weaker Canadian dollar
Cash operating costs reduced by ~29%
Iron Ore Price Determination (per tonne of Fe concentrate)• $69.40 - Base price based on Platts IODEX 62% (3yr trailing avg.)• + $25.07 - Fe premium for Kami concentrate grading 65.2% Fe and
superior product quality (%SiO2, %Al2O3 and %P) • - 3.8% discount – blend of HBIS (5%) and Glencore (2%) discounts• - $14 – shipping costs from Port of Sept Iles to Chinese Port ($13.35
net considering moisture)
→ $86.23 – CFR selling price
→ $72.23 – FOB price Port of Sept Iles
Summary of Capex & Opex
13
Estimated Capital Costs (M$ US)
Mine (Including Pre-Stripping) $ 135.4
Mineral Processing $ 254.1
Site Infrastructure and Utilities $ 312.8
General Services and Indirects $ 246.5
Pre-Operational Capitalized Costs $ 19.6
Owner’s Costs $ 31.0
TOTAL $ 999.4
Estimated Average LOM Operating Costs (US $/t Dry Concentrate)
Mining $ 10.79
Mineral Processing $ 5.40
General Site $ 0.50
General Administration $ 2.26
Environmental and Tailings Management
$ 0.39
Rail Transportation and Port Services
$ 10.60
TOTAL $ 29.94
Capex & Opex estimates show robust project economics
Conventional FlowsheetHigh quality product
14
Gravity Separation
Rail
Regrind
Primary GrindingGyratory Crusher
Magnetic Separation
%Fe 29.5%Fe Rec % 100%Wt % 100%
Spiral Concentrate Mag Concentrate
Spiral Tails Final tails
%Fe 65.2%% SiO2 4.3%Fe Rec % 77.7%Wt % 35.1%%Mn 0.81%P80 267 um
Final Concentrate
% of total concentrate19%
% of total concentrate81%
Load and Haul
%Fe 66.0%Fe Rec tot % 14.9%Wt % of feed 6.5%
%Fe 65.0%Fe Rec tot % 62.8%Wt % of feed 28.6%
Drill and Blast
Our Role in Sustainability
15
Alderon as a Corporate Citizen
Focus on responsible business behaviors and sustainable practices
CommunityInvolvement
Environmental Responsibility
EconomicGrowth
Be part of bettering the community
Be proactive in environmental stewardship
Be a catalyst for economic growth
Kami Represents Significant Benefits for Federal & Provincial Economies
16
• Economic Impact Analysis− Performed by Dr. Wade Locke of Memorial University− Published in November 2017
• Assessment focused on employment, GDP and treasury impacts
• Covers construction and operations
• Spans project lifecycle of 26 years
Kami Will Create Jobs and Tax Revenue
17
$5.5B in Total Incomes to Workers and Businesses in Newfoundland & Labrador and Quebec
$7.6BIncomes to Workers and Businesses across Canada
$5.1BFederal and Provincial Government Revenues
>100,000Direct, Indirect and Induced Jobs
$21.3BNational GDP contributions over 26-year period
Sustainable Development
20
• Fully released from Federal and Provincial Environmental Assessment; permitted for construction start
• Completed baseline studies of geology, plants, soils, water, and wildlife
• Developed plan for progressive and closure rehabilitation and reclamation at mine site
• Concluded stakeholder agreements• Provincial benefits agreement with Newfoundland and Labrador• Municipal agreements with Labrador City and Wabush• Impact/benefit agreement with two aboriginal groups
Community Engagement
21
• Committed to creating long-term, mutually beneficial relationships based on trust and respect
• Project Consultation Plan involves engaging community residents and groups, local businesses, and government regulators
• Aboriginal Relations Policy involves information sharing, engagement, and traditional land and resource use studies
• More than simply engaging, we strive to acknowledge, value, and give consideration to the diverse knowledge and needs of our stakeholders
Company Profile
22
Ticker IRON: TSX
Shares Outstanding as of Mar 31, 2018 133,471,850
Options as of Mar 31, 2018 6,685,000
Warrants as of Mar 31, 2018 5,241,436
Fully Diluted as of Mar 31, 2018 155,706,567
Cash & Cash Equivalents(as of Dec 31, 2017)
CDN $15.8M
52-week Share Price Range $0.21 - $0.48
Current Share Price as of Apr 4, 2018 $0.25
Major Shareholders in Alderon Iron Ore Corp.
Altius Minerals 39%
HBIS Group 19.6%
Insiders* ~2%
*Source: SEDI
Retail, 39%Insider
Ownership & Strategic
Partners, 61%
Shareholder Distribution
Board of Directors Management
Mark Morabito –
Chairman
Tayfun Eldem
Ian Ashby
Adrian Loader
David Porter
Wang Jinhui (Jeff)
Andrew Furey
Tayfun Eldem – CEO
Kate-Lynn Genzel - CFO
Gary Norris – Executive VP
Government & Community Affairs
Xinneng (David) Li – VP Asia
Pacific Affairs
Olen Aasen – Corporate
Secretary
For more information, please contact:
Phone: 604-681-8030
Email: [email protected]
Corporate Head Office Labrador City Office St. John’s Office Montreal Office
1240 – 1140 West Pender St. Vancouver, BC V6E 4G1
PO Box 214Labrador City, NL A2V 2K5
102-1 Church Hill, Suite 201St. John’s, NL A1C 3Z7
6500 Autoroute Transcanadienne4ieme étage/4th Floor
Pointe-Claire, QC H9R 0A5
www.alderonironore.com
IRON: TSX